Ngabe ukunyakaza kumaMakethe we-Forex kungahleliwe?
Ukungahleliwe kungachazwa njengokuntuleka kwephethini noma ukubikezela ochungechungeni lwezehlakalo. Imicimbi elandelanayo engahleliwe, izimpawu noma izinyathelo, ibonakala ingenayo i-oda futhi ihluleka ukulandela iphethini ehlakaniphile, noma yinoma iyiphi inhlanganisela.
Uma uthola iqembu labathengisi ukuze uthole ingxoxo ebucayini babo, esinye sezihloko eziphikisana kakhulu kuzoba ukungahleliwe kwezimakethe ezihlukahlukene esizisebenzisayo, ikakhulukazi izimakethe zangaphambili. Ngokujwayelekile abanikela ekuxoxweni bayothatha izikhundla ezinganambambili / eziphambene; abanye bathi izimakethe ze-forex zihleliwe ngokuphelele, ezinye zikhomba ukuthi azikho.
Uma samukela ukuthi izimakethe zethu zihlelekile ngokuphelele ngakho sisho ukuthi zonke izinzuzo zethu zize zibe ngaphansi kwesinye sezici futhi zithonya; inhlanhla kanye nenhlanhla kuphela. Sitshela ukuthi ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo kanye nokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe akusizi ngalutho. Siphakamisa nokuthi, ngenkathi ezinye izenzakalo zekhalenda zomnotho zingase zithuthe izimakethe, asikwazi ukubikezela; uma, kanjani nokuthi zingakanani, zizohambisa izimakethe lapho zikhishwa.
Kunzima ukubeka inombolo ngenani labathengisi abahlanganyela ekuhwebeni forex nsuku zonke, ulwazi lwamuva lwe-BIS luchaza ukuthi inzuzo ibe yi-$ 5 trillion ngosuku ngalunye, ukubeka phambili i-forex njengemakethe enkulu yokuhwebelana emhlabeni wonke ngebanga elithile. Ingabe imakethe enjalo, enezigidi zabanikeli abahluleka ukudala amaphethini abonakalayo, lapho singabona ngokucacile amaphethini omlando namathuthuka, cishe nganoma yikuphi okuphakathi kuze kube isikhathi eside, sikhetha ukugcina?
Uma izimakethe zethu ze-forex zihleliwe futhi zingenakwenzeka ukuhweba, ngokuqinisekile ngeke sibone izitayela ezibonakalayo ngaphezu kwesikhathi esiya esikhathini eside kuya esikhathini eside? I-4hr yethu, noma amashadi wansuku zonke angathatha ukufana kweshadi lesitifiketi; njalo nge-whipsawing phakathi kokubili okuhamba phambili futhi okuhamba phambili, okunikeza ulwazi kokubili okungenakwenzeka ukuhumusha nokuhweba.
Inkulumo ethi "ekhohliswa ngokungahleliwe" ivame ukusetshenziselwa abaphikisi bokuhweba, njengoba behlukumeza ngokuhweba ukuhweba. Nokho, le nkulumo ingachazwa ngezindlela ezahlukene; akusikho isimangalo sokuthi izimakethe zihleliwe, ngakho-ke singakwazi ukukhohliswa ukuziphatha kwemakethe, kungaba incazelo yokuthi abahwebi bakhohliswa yilokho okungahleliwe okumele kube khona. Izimakethe zethu ze-forex azivami ukuhamba ngezimo ezingahleliwe, ngokuyinhloko zithinta isisindo semibono kanye nokuzwa okubangelwa amashumi ezinkulungwane zezohwebo ezibekwa abadayisi abancane abadayisayo, kuze kube yibo abahwebi bezinga lesikhungo, emabhange amakhulu kanye nasezikhungweni zemali. Iminingi yale mibono ithuthukiswe njengemiphumela yezenzakalo zekhalenda zomnotho ezisisekelo, ezikhishwe nsukuzonke. Ingabe siphakamisa ngokujulile ukuthi uma, ngokwesibonelo; i-USA FOMC iphakamisa inani lesithakazelo esiyinhloko ngokungalindelekile ngu-1% ngesikhathi somhlangano wokugcina wonyaka ngoDisemba, kanti inani le-USD ngeke liphakamise? Uma kunoma yikuphi ukungahleliwe, khona-ke kubalulekile kuphela ekupheleni kokuhamba.
Imizamo yethu ehlangene yenza ukuba umbhangqwana wokuqala uhambise isiqondiso esisodwa noma esinye. Ake sicabange ngeso lengqondo umbhangqwana wethu we-forex emakethe njengengqimba enkulu yempi, nephoyinti eliphakathi elimelela iphuzu lezinsuku zonke. I-physics, amandla kanye namandla ohlangothini olulodwa luzowina, ukudonsa ukuphepha kwethu kube yizimo ezihamba phambili noma ezinkampanini ngosuku, kuze kufike ku-R1 (bullish), noma i-S1 bearish. Akukho lutho oluhlelekile kulokhu kuhamba, kungumphumela wemvelo ngokuphelele.
Okokugcina uma sifuna ubufakazi obengeziwe bokuthi ukunyakaza kwamakethe akuyona okungahleliwe, cabangela ukuthi izimakethe zethu ze-forex ziziphatha kanjani ngesikhathi sokuhweba okuhlukile nokuthi indlela ehamba ngayo ihambisana kanjani nomsebenzi. Njengoba sisondela ku-10pm GMT, sizobona izinguquko ezincane kumanani emakethe, ngaphandle kokuthi indaba enkulu yezindaba zezepolitiki iphule, noma umnotho womhlaba usezingeni lokuhamba. Ngokwengxenye enkulu, ngalesi sikhathi sakusihlwa, izimakethe zizolile, njengoba izingxenye ezinkulu zezimali zihamba emigqeni encane kakhulu, intengo ibikezela kakhulu. Akunakwenzeka ukuhweba kunikezwe ukungabi khona kwemali kanye nevolumu, kodwa umdwebo ophelele wendlela izimakethe zethu ze-forex ezingekho okungahleliwe, kodwa ezingenakulinganiswa nomsebenzi.
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