I-EUR / GBP ineza ezinye izinongo
NgoLwesibili, i-EUR/GBP yehla yenyuka ebangeni eliqinile lokuhweba emaceleni ezinhlotsheni zabafana abakhulu abangu-0.82. Umbhangqwana ubambe phakathi kwebanga elimangalisayo lendawo yosekelo engu-0.8222/10 kodwa ukuhlolwa kwangempela akuzange kwenzeke. Sekushiwo lokho, kusabalulekile ukuthi futhi i-EUR/GBP yehlulekile ukurekhoda noma yiziphi izinzuzo embuthanweni wayizolo wengozi. I-Intraday, lo mbhangqwana ubambe eduze nezintaba zangoMsombuluko e-Asia, kodwa waba ngaphansi kwengcindezi ephakathi kusukela ekuqaleni kokuhweba eYurophu.
I-CPI kaMashi yase-UK yabikwa ku-3.5 % (ikhuphuke isuka ku-3.4% futhi iqhathaniswa nokuvumelana kwe-3.4%). Asilindele ukuthi lokhu kuchezuka kuzoba yisici esibalulekile ekuhloleni kwe-BoE. Noma kunjalo, i-GBP ithole amakhizane ambalwa lapho ikhishwa. I-euro izamile ukubuyisa isithunzi ngemuva kwendali ye-T-bill yaseSpain kanye nenhlolovo ye-ZEW yaseJalimane kodwa umnyakazo wacishe wavalwa ngokushesha. I-EUR/GBP izinze endaweni engu-0.8230/55 ingxenye esele yeseshini futhi yavala iseshini ngo-0.8243, yehle isuka ku-0.8265 ngoMsombuluko kusihlwa.
Ikhalenda le-eco eYurophu nase-US lincane kakhulu. Ikhalenda lase-UK liyathakazelisa. Idatha yemakethe yezabasebenzi yase-UK izoshicilelwa. Imvamisa, lo mbiko awuhambisani nemakethe ngaphandle uma kukhona ukuchezuka okubanzi ekuvumelaneni. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, Amaminithi omhlangano we-BoE odlule azoshicilelwa. Lo mbiko unamandla okuhamba emakethe. Emhlanganweni kaMeyi i-MPC izoba nombiko omusha wokwehla kwamandla emali otholakalayo futhi isigaba sakamuva sokuthengwa kwempahla sizoqedwa.
Ngakho-ke, izimakethe zizokujabulela kakhulu ukuthola noma yimaphi amacebo ngesinqumo sikaMeyi. Sicabanga ukuthi iphethini yokuvota ngo-Ephreli yayifana neyomhlangano kaMashi (abaphikisayo abangu-2 bavuna ukuthengwa kwempahla eyengeziwe).
Siphinde sicabange ukuthi i-MPC ngeke ishintshe ukuhlola kwayo emnothweni kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali. Uma ibhange lingase libe 'nokukhathazeka' kakhulu ngokukhuphuka kwamanani emali (ukwehla kwamandla emali kwehla kancane uma kuqhathaniswa nendlela elindelwe), lokhu kuzobhekwa njengokunciphisa isimo nge-QE eyengeziwe.
Ukufingqa: silindele ukuthi amaminithi angathathi hlangothi noma angathathi hlangothi ku-sterling kodwa sibona ubungozi bangaphandle bomphumela omuhle kakhulu.
Kamuva, sibambe umbono wokuthi umcimbi wephrofayili ephezulu uyadingeka ukusula ukwesekwa okubalulekile. Uma nje lo mcimbi ungaveli, i-EUR/GBP ingase ihlale ebangeni lamanje eduze nokwehla kwakamuva. Ukwengeza, ngaphansi kokusekelwa okungu-0.8222/10, amanye amazinga okusekela amaningana abalulekile akleliswa (0.8143, Agasti 2010 aphansi; 0.8068, Juni 2010 aphansi).
Ngakho-ke, ikhefu, uma likhona, lingase liqhathaniswe kancane kancane nalokho okungenzeka kube yi-EUR/USD. Ngakho-ke, kungathatha isikhathi ukuthi i-EUR/GBP iphuke ngokucacile ngaphansi kwaleli zinga lephrofayili ephezulu. Noma kunjalo, uma kubhekwa umuzwa ongemuhle ophelele wohlobo lwemali olulodwa, asikayithathi inzuzo ngezikhindi ze-EUR/GBP okwamanje.
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