ISIQINISEKISO SOKUTHENGA NGEVEKI 25/01 - 29/01 | Ii-USD ZIYAHLAWULWA KWIINYAKA ZONYAKA-KUNYE NOKUFUMANEKA KWENKQUBO YONYAKA NJENGOKO I-US EQUITY INDICES RISE PHEZU KWAYO NJE IINGXAKI ZENGQESHO
Ngelixa uninzi lweebhanki eziphambili ziqhubeka nokuqhuba imigaqo-nkqubo yezemali ye-NIRP okanye ye-ZIRP (yomibini imigaqo-nkqubo emibi kunye nenqanaba lenzala) ukuhamba ngendlela eyonakalisayo yobhubhane, amaxabiso emali kuzwelonke anokungaphambuki ngamanani abalulekileyo kwiinyanga ezizayo.
Ke ngoko, abarhwebi kufuneka baphikisane neyona mali iphambili yokubambisa ngokujikeleza okuxineneyo kwemihla ngemihla okwexeshana kude kufike isikhokelo somgaqo-nkqubo ocacileyo.
Isalathiso sedola i-DXY iphakame malunga ne-0.20% ukuza kuthi ga ngo-2021. Ithengisa kufutshane nomyinge we-90.00 yokubamba ihlala ithathwa njengenqanaba le-psyche elibalulekileyo apho ii-odolo ezininzi zeemarike zihlanganisiwe.
Ngexesha lokubhala, i-9: 00 am UK ixesha ngolwesiHlanu, nge-22 kaJanuwari i-EUR / i-USD iphantsi -0.31% unyaka-ukuya-kumhla ngelixa i-GBP / i-USD inyuke nge-0.03%. I-USD / JPY inyukile nge-0.36%, kwaye i-USD / CHF iphantsi -0.07%. Ngokuchasene neAussie, idola yaseMelika inyuke nge-0.35% xa ithelekiswa ne-Kiwi ezantsi -0.03%.
Ngoku ulawulo lukaTrump luyishiyile iNdlu yeWhite House, i-forex, ukulingana kunye nabathengisi bempahla banokukhangela phambili kwixesha apho ii-tweets zingahambisi iimarike. Ngexesha leemfazwe zerhafu ezingafunekiyo kunye nokunganyanzeleki kwi-China, bekukho ixesha apho iingcinga zikaTrump ezingahleliwe (ezithunyelwa ngeqonga leendaba zosasazo) zabangela ukuba iimarike zibetheke kwaye ngamanye amaxesha zingene kwindawo yentengiso yebhere.
Ulawulo lukaJoe Biden aluchithanga xesha ukubuyisa uninzi lweepolisi ezahlulayo zikaTrump. Ngomsebenzi omninzi, uBiden ukhuphe ii-odolo zesigqeba zokulawula impendulo kwi-COVID-19 kunye nokubuyisela ubudlelwane namanye amazwe. Uphinde wajoyina inyathelo laseParis lokutshintsha kwemozulu, eyeka ukwakha udonga lwaseMexico / e-USA, enika abemi bokufika, kwaye efikelela eIran naseVenezuela.
Indlela yokuphatha ezolileyo iya kuchaphazela ngokuthe ngqo iimarike zezemali ngenxa yemeko ye-USA njengoyena ndoqo wehlabathi. I-SPX 500 inyuke nge-4.03% ngenyanga kwaye i-NASDAQ 100 inyuke nge-5.52% ukusukela ngoLwesihlanu kusasa.
Kukho imiqondiso esele ikhona yokuba iimarike zezemali zisabela kwiziseko ezisisiseko ezidweliswe kwikhalenda yezoqoqosho kwezi veki zidlulileyo. Umzekelo, umvuzo ofunyenweyo weNetflix ubangele ukuba ixabiso lokulingana lenyuke ngaphezulu kwe-12%. Inkonzo yokusasaza ikonwabele ukukhula okumangalisayo kwababhalisi ngexesha lobhubhane. Abahwebi banika ingqalelo kwizigqibo zenqanaba lenzala, izibhengezo zomgaqo-lawulo wemali, kunye nenani lentswela-ngqesho.
Ukungaqeshwa kolwakhiwo yeyona ngxaki iphambili yasekhaya ejongene nolawulo lweBiden. Kuyinkohliso ukuyicombulula idatha ukuze ufumane amanani okungaqeshwa okwenyani. Ezinye iiarhente zibeka zizonke kwizigidi ezili-18, kwaye ezinye zicebisa kufutshane nezigidi ezingama-25 xa unika abo baxhomekeke ngokukhululekileyo kubasebenzi nakubantu abaziqeshileyo abaphulukene neshishini kunye nengeniso. Nokuba yeyiphi i-metric esetyenzisiweyo inyani ihleli ukuba phambi kobhubhane inani elisemthethweni lokungabikho kwemisebenzi lalisondele kwizigidi ezi-5-6.
Amandla afunekayo ukuze abantu baqubude, bathathe iintonga ezaphukileyo kwaye baqale ukwakha ubomi babo obaphukileyo kwaye amashishini amele umceli mngeni omkhulu. Ngelixa iimarike zokulingana ziqhubeka nokuprinta iirekhodi eziphakamileyo, uqoqosho lokwenyani lusephefumlweni. Akukho ntengiso yezezimali ingena ezantsi, yiyo loo nto i-1.9 yezigidi zezigidi ze-Biden yokukhuthaza kufuneka incede ngokuthe ngqo iintsapho ezihlawulelwayo kunye nemizi ye-ASAP.
Intsholongwane yesibini ye-COVID-19 iye yahlasela i-Europe ngamandla. E-UK ubhubhane uqhuba ngokungathandabuzekiyo, ngolwe-Lwesithathu i-UK irekhodishe ukusweleka kwe-1,820 mihla le kwaye yaya kwi-10,000 ngeveki, ezona metric zibi ukusukela oko ubhubhane waqala ngoFebruwari-Matshi 2020. IJamani, ngaphambili yayinconywa ngolawulo lwayo kunye nokuthintela intsholongwane Ufumene ubunzima bokufa kwabantu ngosuku olungaphezulu kwe-1,000 XNUMX.
Impembelelo yesibetho kuqoqosho lwaseYurophu kwezi nyanga zidlulileyo ibinzima. NgoLwesihlanu amanani okuthengisa e-UK afike ngezantsi kokulindelweyo; Ukukhula nge-0.3% ngoDisemba ngo-2020 ukuwa malunga ne -1.5%, elona nani libi ukusukela oko amanani okuthengisa aqala ukurekhodwa ngo-1993.
Idityaniswe nokuwa, umbane we-IHS Markit we-metric wase-UK ngoJanuwari wawothusa. I-Reuters iqikelele ukufundwa kwe-45.1, kodwa elona nani lifike ku-38.8. Umlinganiso odityanisiweyo ungene nge-40.6, ubukhulu becala ngaphantsi kwamanqanaba angama-50 ahlulahlula uxinzelelo ekukhuleni.
Ukuthengisa kunye neenkonzo ziintsika ezixhasa uqoqosho lwase-UK, kwaye amanani adanisayo abonisa umngeni omkhulu wokwakha kwakhona ojamelene noRhulumente wase-UK. Ixesha elifutshane i-UK ngokungathandabuzekiyo ikhokelela kwinciphiso yokuntywila kwindawo ezimbini kwaye ngelixa iBrexit iye yanyamalala njengesihloko esivela kwiindaba eziphambili, ifuthe layo liqala ukuchaphazela urhwebo.
I-Sterling iphendule kabuhlungu kwii-PMI ze-PMit, i-GBP / i-USD yehla nge-S1 kwaye yayithengisa -0.53% nge-11: 00 ekuseni e-UK. I-euro iphendule kakuhle kwii-PMI ze-Eurozone ezazisondele (okanye zabetha) iingqikelelo. I-EUR / USD ibuyiselwe ukurhweba kufutshane neflethi, ngelixa i-EUR / GBP ithengise nge-0.51% isoyikisa ngokwaphula i-R3.
Kwiveki ezayo ukuya kwimpembelelo yemicimbi yekhalenda
uMvulo lusuku oluzolileyo ngeendaba eziphakathi ukuya kweziphezulu. Isalathiso semozulu yeshishini le-Ifo eJamani siyakhutshwa, kwaye uqikelelo kukuwa ukusuka kwi-92.1 ukuya kwi-91.8, ukuwa okunokuchaphazela ixabiso le-EUR xa kuthelekiswa noontanga bayo bezemali.
On ULwesibini, i-ONS yase-UK ipapasha idatha yayo entsha yengqesho kunye nentswela ngqesho. Uqikelelo kukulahleka kwemisebenzi eyi-160K ngo-Okthobha, kunye nokunyuka kwenqanaba lokungabikho kwemisebenzi ukuya kwi-5.1%. Isibalo sebango kufuneka sonyuke nge-86.3K ngoDisemba 2020. Nangona kunjalo, olu tshintsho luncinci luthomalalisa ukubhujiswa kwe-COVID-19 kuluntu lwase-UK.
Iskimu se-furlough (sandisiwe kude kube ngu-Epreli 2021) sithintela ukulahleka kwemisebenzi. Izigidi ezisithoba zikweso sicwangciso, kwaye uqikelelo lubonisa ukuba i-30% yabasebenzi iya kuba yinto engafunekiyo ngaphandle kwenkxaso, kwaye amashishini azizigidi ezine angaba ziZombi ngaphandle kwamathuba okusinda. Ukuba amanani okuqeshwa / ukungabikho kwemisebenzi aphoswa luqikelelo, i-GBP inokuba phantsi koxinzelelo.
Emva kwemini, i-Case-Shiller index index yendlu iya kupapashwa. Uqikelelo yi-8.4% yokukhula konyaka, inani eliqaqambileyo elijonga ubundlobongela bangasemva. Ukufunda ngokuzithemba kwabathengi beBhodi ye-Confederation e-US kuqikelelwe ukuba kuza kufika i-88 ngoJanuwari.
Iziganeko eziphambili zekhalenda uLwesithathu zibandakanya idatha yokunyuka kwamaxabiso eAustralia. I-AUD ingasabela kwiiseshoni zokurhweba zaseSydney / zaseAsia ukuba inani liyaphoswa okanye libethe uqikelelo nangowuphi na umgama. Iiodolo zempahla ezihlala ixesha elide (ngaphandle kwezothutho) eMelika ngoDisemba ziqikelelwa ukubonisa ukuphucuka okuthobekileyo ukuya kwi-0.6%.
Emva kwexesha ngokuhlwa, i-USD inokufumana ukungazinzi xa i-Federal Reserve ibhengeza isigqibo senqanaba lenzala, kwaye izinga elibalulekileyo kufuneka lihlale kwi-0.25%. Abahlalutyi kunye nabarhwebi emva koko baya kugxila kwisitulo se-Fed senkomfa yeendaba no-Jerome Powell ukufumanisa ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo wezemali oncomekayo uyaqwalaselwa na.
Ii-USA uLwesine amabango angenamsebenzi ngeveki kunokwenzeka ukuba aqhubeke nomkhondo wawo. Uqikelelo ngamabango ongezelelweyo angama-951K ngeveki. Ngaphandle kokuba kuphuculwe ukungabikho kwemisebenzi, akunakwenzeka ukuba uqikelele xa uqoqosho lwase-USA kunye noluntu lukwixesha elizinzileyo lokukhula okubuyiselweyo.
Eli nani lakutshanje linokuchaphazela ixabiso le-USD xa kuthelekiswa noontanga. Ukuthengiswa kwekhaya elitsha ngoDisemba kuxeliwe kamva kwiseshoni yaseNew York, kwaye uqikelelo luyonyuka laya kwi-2.9%, ukubuyela umva ngoNovemba.
kusasa uLwesihlanu kusasa uthotho lweedatha zaseJapan zipapashwa kubandakanya amanani abantu abangaphangeliyo kunye nemveliso yezamashishini. Zombini ezi metric zinokuveza ukonakala kancinci okunokuchaphazela ixabiso le-JPY xa kuthelekiswa noontanga.
Kwiiseshoni zaseLondon-zaseYurophu, amanani abantu abangaphangeliyo aseJamani ayapapashwa njengoko kwenza umlinganiso weQ4 2020 GDP. Ukungabikho kwemisebenzi kulindeleke ukuba kuhlala kungatshintshi kwi-6.1%, nge-Q4 GDP iwa -1.2% kwaye inani lonyaka linyuka laya kwi -4.6%, emele elona xesha lifundwayo ukusukela kwiminyaka yoRhwebo olukhulu. Emva kwemini ngaphambi nangexesha leseshoni yaseNew York, kupapashwa idatha eyahlukeneyo ye-arhente kuqoqosho lwase-USA. Inkcitho yomntu, umvuzo wobuqu, umvuzo, ukuthengiswa kwekhaya, kunye nophando lwaseMichigan luya kubonisa nabuphi na ubuthathaka ngokubanzi okanye amandla kuqoqosho lwase-USA.
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