Idatha yengqesho kunye nentswela ngqesho e-USA izakujongwa kule veki izayo, njengoko kufunyenwe ukufundwa kokugqibela kwe-NFP ka-2017
Ikhalenda yethu yezoqoqosho iqala ukuthatha ubume obubonakalayo kule veki izayo njenge: FX, equity kunye neemarike zorhwebo ekugqibeleni ziphinde zabuyela ebomini, emva kweXmas kunye neeholide zonyaka omtsha. Ngelixa kukho uxinzelelo lokufundwa kwe-PMI kwihlabathi liphela epapashwe ngu: UMarkit, uCaixan kunye ne-USA elingana ne-ISM kwiveki yonke, eyona nto kugxilwe kuyo evekini yimisebenzi kunye nentswela-ngqesho, ngakumbi amanani emisebenzi e-USA.
Iveki iphela ngenani le-NFP lenyanga kwaye kwi-180k eqikelelweyo ngoDisemba, abahlalutyi kunye nabatyali mali banokulijonga eli nani njengelidanisayo, xa benikwa imisebenzi yethutyana elifanele ukuba yenziwe lixesha leholide. Umceli mngeni wokulahleka kwemisebenzi, iinombolo zomsebenzi we-ADP, amabango amatsha okungaqeshwa kunye namabango aqhubekayo aya kupapashwa. Nangona kunjalo, kukho enye i-metric edla ngokungahoywa kwingxolo; Inqanaba labasebenzi lokuthatha inxaxheba kwabantu abadala eMelika, elijikeleze i-62%. Inyaniso ephazamisayo; ukuba phantse abantu abadala abalishumi e-USA abasebenzi ngokwezoqoqosho / abaphangeli / abekho kwigridi, ayilulo uhlobo lomntu onokulindela ukuba uqoqosho olukhulayo lubhalise.
NgeCawa iqala iveki ngemveliso ye-China kunye ne-PMI engezizo ezokuvelisa, uqikelelo kukuba la manani mabini ahlala esondele kumanani apapashwe ngo-Novemba kwaye anikwa iwonga lase China njengenjini yomhlaba wokukhula kwemveliso, inani eliqikelelweyo lokuvelisa kwi-51.7 liya kuhlala lisondele Kujongwe abatyali zimali nabahlalutyi, ngayo nayiphi na imiqondiso yobuthathaka
NgoMvulo (usuku lonyaka omtsha) lusuku oluzolileyo kakhulu lweendaba zekhalenda yezoqoqosho, olona papasho luphambili ngamanani efandesi yobisi aphuma rhoqo ngenyanga eNew Zealand. Kubarhwebi beedola ze-kiwi la manani abalulekile ngenxa yesikhundla selizwe njengothumeli ngaphandle wobisi kwiAsia. Idatha yase-Australia epapashwe ngomhla iqulethe i-PMI yamva nje ngoDisemba kunye nokusebenza kwe-AiG yesalathiso sokwenza.
Ukufika nje kwangoLwesibini, ulwazi lwekhalenda yethu yezoqoqosho luqala ukubuyela esiqhelweni njengosuku oluxakekileyo lokuhanjiswa kweendaba ezisisiseko. Amanani okuthengisa aseJamani kufuneka abonakalise ukukhula kwe-1% ngo-Novemba (minyaka le nakwi-MoM), uphuculo kufundo olubi olupapashwe ngo-Okthobha. I-raft ye-Eurozone yokuvelisa ii-PMIs ngoDisemba zipapashwa, kunye neFrance, iJamani, i-Itali kunye namanani abanzi e-Eurozone kulindeleke ukuba ahlale kufutshane angatshintshi. Ngelixa inani le-PMI lase-UK liqikelelwa ukuveza ukuwa ukusuka kwi-58.2 ukuya kwi-57.9. Njengoko kugxilwe emva koko kujika eNyakatho Melika, i-Canada ka-PMI ka-Canada ityhiliwe, njenge-PMI yase-USA evela eMarkit.
NgoLwesithathu uqala ngamanani amatsha okuthengisa iimoto asuka e-USA, ihlala ibonisa ukubanakho kwabathengi base-US, ukuzithemba kunye nomnqweno wokuthatha ityala elitsha. I-PMI yamvanje yokuvelisa iSwitzerland ngoDisemba iyakhululwa, njengoko kunjalo nangoDisemba ukungabikho kwemisebenzi kweJamani, ngenqanaba eliqikelelweyo lokuphucula ukuya kwi-5.5%. I-PMI yokwakha yase-UK ngoDisemba iqikelelwe ukuba ihlale ingatshintshanga kwi-53.1, ngelixa inkcitho yokwakha e-USA iqikelelwe ukuba yehle kwi-0.7% ngexesha lonyaka ngo-Novemba. Ukukhutshwa kwedatha yokuchaphazeleka okuphezulu e-USA ngalo mhla zezi: Ukufundwa kwemveliso ye-ISM ngoDisemba kulindeleke ukuba ihlale ingatshintshanga kwi-58.2, i-ISM yokuqeshwa kweetriki kunye nokukhutshwa kwemizuzu kwintlanganiso ye-FOMC eyayibanjwe ngoDisemba, apho bathatha isigqibo ukunyusa inzala ephambili kwi-1.5%.
NgoLwesine lusuku oluxakeke kakhulu kwiindaba zekhalenda yezoqoqosho, nangona kunjalo, uninzi lwezinto ezikhutshwayo ziphantsi ukuya kwimpembelelo ephakathi. Iinkonzo zamva nje zase China kunye nee-PMI ezidityanisiweyo zeCaixan ziya kupapashwa, kunye ne-PMI yamva nje yaseJapan. Njengoko ingqalelo ijika i-Yurophu, i-index yexabiso lendlu yase-UK epapashwe nguZwelonke iya kukhutshwa, ulindelo kukunyuka kwe-0.2% ngoDisemba ukubhalisa ukunyuka kwe-2% yoYY. Iqela leenkonzo kunye nee-PMIs ezihlanganisiweyo zamazwe e-Eurozone kunye ne-Eurozone zipapashiwe ngokukodwa, uninzi lwazo kulindeleke ukuba lubonakalise utshintsho oluncinci okanye akukho lutshintsho kufundo lukaNovemba. Ibhanki esembindini yase-UK i-BoE ipapasha i-metric zayo zango-Novemba ngoku: ukuboleka imali Ukugxininiswa kugcinwa e-UK njengoko kupapashwa kweenkonzo zamva nje kunye ne-PMI ye-Markit PMIs, kunye neenkonzo eziqikelelweyo ukwenza uphuculo oluncinci ukuya kwi-54.1, ukusuka kwi-53.8.
Njengokuba ingqalelo ijikela kwimakethi yase-USA evulekileyo kugxilwe kwimisebenzi, ngakumbi ngamanani eNFP ngenxa yokuba aza kupapashwa ngosuku olulandelayo, ngolwesiHlanu. Amanani emisebenzi ye-ADP ayapapashwa, njengoko kusenziwa umceli-mngeni kwimisebenzi, amabango abantu abaswele ingqesho kunye namabango aqhubekayo e-USA nawo aya kutyhilwa. Ukudityaniswa kwezi metriki kunokubonelela ngesalathiso sokuchaneka kwengqikelelo yokukhula komsebenzi we-NFP ngoDisemba. Ukupapashwa komhla wedatha ebalulekileyo kuphela ngesiseko semali yaseJapan kunye nemali mboleko kunye nedatha yesaphulelo.
NgoLwesihlanu kungqina ukupapashwa kwemali eseleyo yase-Australia, iinkonzo zakutshanje zaseJapan kunye nee-PMI ezihlanganisiweyo zityhilwe. Njengoko kugxilwe kwiimarike zaseYurophu 'kuvulekile, iqela lee-PMI zentengiso zamazwe akhokelayo e-Eurozone liyapapashwa, i-Itali, iFrance, iJamani kunye ne-Eurozone ebanzi, ngelixa i-metric yokwakha yaseJamani nayo iveziwe. Inani lakutshanje le-Eurozone CPI liqikelelwe ukuba lingene kwi-1.4%, ukuwa kancinci ukusuka kwi-1.5%.
Ukupapashwa kwedatha yaseMntla Melika kuqala ngenani labangasebenziyo laseCanada, kulindeleke ukuba lingene kwi-5.9% ngenqanaba lokuthatha inxaxheba kwe-65.7%. Ukusuka e-USA siza kufumana amanani amatsha eNFP, ngoncedo lwe-BLS (i-ofisi yamanani abasebenzi). Uqikelelo kukuba imisebenzi ye-185k yenziwa ngo-Disemba, ukuwa ukusuka kwi-228k eyenziweyo ngo-Novemba. Izinga lokuthatha inxaxheba kwabasebenzi liqikelelwa ukuba liza kuma kuma-62.7%, kwaye izinga lokungabikho kwemisebenzi lihlala lingatshintshi kwi-4.1%. Umndilili weeyure zeveki kunye nemivuzo efunyenwe eMelika, kulindeleke ukuba ihlale ihambelana namanani kaNovemba kwaye ingabonisi lutshintsho.
Inani elilinganisiweyo lezorhwebo lase-USA ngo-Novemba liqikelelwa ukuba liphucule kancinci ukuya kuthi ga kwi-48b yeedola, ii-odolo ezizinzileyo zika-Novemba ziqikelelwa ukuba zihlala kufutshane ne-1.3% yenani elipapashwe ngo-Okthobha, ngelixa i-ISM engeyiyo eyokuvelisa / yeenkonzo zokufunda ifikelela ekuchazeni ukunyuka okuncinci. ukuya ku-57.5. Idatha yeveki ngeveki yase-USA iphela nge-Baker Hughes rig count, etyhila ukusebenza kweoyile yasekhaya kwilizwe. Igosa le-Fed uMnu Harker uza kwenza intetho kwiinkomfa ezimbini, izifundo zakhe ngumbono wezoqoqosho kunye nokulungelelaniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali.
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