I-GDP yase-UK kunye ne-Eurozone CPI iya kuhlolwa ngokusondeleyo ngoLwesihlanu we-29
Ngo-8: 30am, ngoLwesihlanu i-29 Septemba, i-UK yezibalo ezisemthethweni ze-ONS, iya kukhupha i-Q2 GDP yelizwe yakutshanje (eyokugqibela). Ulindelo alunanguquko; omabini amanani eQoQ kuqikelelwa ukuba aya kuhlala kwi-0.3% kwi-Q2 kwaye inani lonyaka lilindeleke ukuba lihlale kwi-1.7%. Abatyali-mali baya kubeka esweni ukukhutshwa ngononophelo ngeempawu zabo nabuphi na ubuthathaka besakhiwo kuqoqosho lwase-UK, ngakumbi ngokunxulumene neBrexit, njengoko inani lifanele lifike ngaphambi koqikelelo, emva koko abahlalutyi banokugweba ukuba ukuphuma kwe-EU kunefuthe elibi kwimpilo yezoqoqosho.
Ukuba umzobo we-GDP ubetha uqikelelo ngoko kuya kuba yinto elindelekileyo elindelekileyo ukuba i-sterling iphakame, ngokuchasene noontanga bayo abakhulu. Nangona kunjalo, abahlalutyi kunye nabatyali-mali banokugweba ukuba, nokuba iikota ezimbini zokuqala ze-2017 zongeza kwi-0.5% edibeneyo, kunye nokukhula okuqikelelweyo ngonyaka kwe-1%, ukukhula kwe-GDP yase-UK kuncitshiswe ngokufanelekileyo ngesiqingatha xa kuthelekiswa no-2017. Kwaye ukuba ikota yamva nje iyamangalisa, mhlawumbi i-0.1% -0.2%, ngoko ikota yokukhula engalunganga mhlawumbi i-Q4 okanye i-Q1 2018, ingaba kwi-horizon. Okumangalisayo kukuba, ukuba i-GDP iwa kakhulu, inokunyanzela i-BoE ukuba ibeke ishelufu naziphi na iingcamango zexabiso lesiseko liphakamisa ukuba lisondele ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba.
Nge-9: 00 ekuseni ngoLwesihlanu, i-ejensi yezibalo ezisemthethweni ze-Eurozone, ikhupha idatha yayo yakutshanje kwi-CPI; Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso abathengi. Okulindelekileyo kukunyuka ukuya kwi-1.6% ngoSeptemba, ukusuka kwi-1.5% yenani elichazwe ngo-Agasti kunye ne-1.3% erekhodwe ngoJuni. Ukuza kwinyanga ngaphambi kokuba uMario Draghi enze isibophelelo; ukuqalisa ukuthotywa kweskimu sokuthengwa kwe-asethi ye-€ 60b ngenyanga, eli nani liya kubekwa esweni ngokusondeleyo njengoko i-ECB iqhubekile nokugxininisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kusetyenziswa njenge-barometer yokuvavanya uxinzelelo kuqoqosho, ukulinganisa ukuba yomelele ngokwaneleyo ukumelana nemozulu. ukucutha kwaye emva koko kunyuke izinga lenzala kwibloc yemali enye, ukusuka kumlinganiselo othe tyaba we-0.00%. Ukuba izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso lamva nje libetha ulindelo ngoko i-euro inokunyuka xa ithelekiswa noontanga bayo abakhulu, njengoko abahlalutyi baya kufumanisa ukuba i-ECB ayinasizathu sokurhoxa ekuzibopheleleni kwayo. Ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuphosakele i-forecast kuphela nge-0.1%, abaqapheli be-euro banokugweba ukuba i-miss encinci enjalo, ayiyi kuphumeza ukuzinikela kwe-ECB kakhulu.
Idatha yezoqoqosho echaphazelekayo yase-UK
• I-GDP Q1 0.2%
• Intswela-ngqesho 4.3%
• Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso nge-2.9%
• Ukukhula komvuzo 2.1%
• Ityala likarhulumente v GDP 89.3%
Umyinge wenzala 0.25%
• Ityala labucala v GDP 231%
• Iinkonzo ze-PMI 53.2
• Iintengiso zentengiso 2.4%
Ugcino lomntu 1.7%
Idatha yezoqoqosho echaphazelekayo ye-Eurozone
• I-GDP (eyonyaka) 2.3%
• Intswela-ngqesho 9.1%
• Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso nge-1.5%
Umyinge wenzala 0.00%
• Ityala v GDP 89.2%
• I-PMI edibeneyo 56.7
• Iintengiso zentengiso 2.6%
• Amatyala endlu v GDP 58.5%
• Izinga lokonga 12.31%
• Ukukhula komvuzo 2%
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