Inombolo ye-GDP yamva nje yase-UK inokubetha ixabiso le-sterling kwaye ityhile nayiphi na impembelelo eqhubekayo yeBrexit
Nge-9: 30 kusasa nge-GMT, ngoLwesine we-23 ka-Novemba, i-arhente yezibalo yase-UK i-ONS iya kutyhila zombini amanani apheleleyo enyanga kunye nonyaka e-GDP kuqoqosho lwase-UK. Uqikelelo alukho utshintsho; I-1.5% yokukhula rhoqo ngonyaka kunye ne-0.4% kwikota yesi-3, ehambelana ne-0.4% exelwe i-Q2. Ngelixa la manani engoyiki kangako kunabahlalutyi abaninzi kunye nabatyali mali aboyikayo i-UK emva kwesigqibo sayo esenziwe ngo-Juni 2016, ukukhula kwe-1.5% kubonisa ukuncipha ukusuka kumanani angaphambili e-2% + ekukhuleni ngo-2016 kwaye kusilela kakhulu kuqikelelo olwenziwe ngabo bobabini. Urhulumente wase-Bhritane kunye ne-arhente ye-OBR (iofisi ejongene noxanduva) ngo-2017.
Amanani e-GDP aza kupapashwa kusuku olulandelayo emva kokuba u-Chancellor wase-UK enze uhlahlo-lwabiwo mali, idatha yakutshanje iveze ukuba urhulumente uboleka kwaye intsilelo inyukile nge-MoM, inani le-GDP ke ngoko liza kujongwa ngononophelo ngabatyali zimali ngeempawu zabo nabuphi na ubuthathaka obuqhubekayo boqoqosho, njengoko kutyhilwe li-0.3% ye-YoY yokukhula kwentengiso erekhodwe kutshanje, kuqoqosho oluthembele kakhulu kumthengi, eli nani libangele inkxalabo yabatyali mali.
Abatyalomali kunye nabahlalutyi banokukholelwa ukuba (okwethutyana) okona kubi kugqithile e-UK, ngokwempembelelo zeBrexit. I-sterling iyonke igcine inqanaba eliphezulu (elinokuphikiswa) xa kuthelekiswa noontanga bayo, ngaphandle kwemicimbi eqhubekayo yeBrexit. Ukusukela ukufikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu le-93.00 ngasekupheleni kuka-Agasti 2017, i-EUR / GBP ibuyele kwiintsingiselo; ngoku ihleli kufutshane nenqanaba le-89.00, isilele ukubamba kwisiphatho se-90.00. I-GBP / i-USD ngoku ibambe inqanaba le-1.32, iwele nge-1.20 ngoJanuwari, nangona kufanele ukuba kuqatshelwe ukuba inzuzo yekhebula ibisisiseko sokungabi namandla kwedola, ngokuchasene namandla amangalisayo.
Ukuba amanani okukhula kwamva nje aphose iithagethi, kunokwenzeka kakhulu ukuba umnqamlezo ococekileyo kunye nentambo (i-GBP / USD) ziya kuchaphazeleka. Kwangokunjalo, ukuba amanani abetha uqikelelo, ke ukubalasela kufanele kuphakame xa kuthelekiswa noontanga babo kwaye inani le-Q2 lityhile ukuphucuka komda kwi-0.3% eyayibhalwe ngaphambili kwi-Q1, ngelixa i-Q3 ngokwembali inokuthi imele ikota efanelekileyo yokukhula koqoqosho.
Njengeziganeko zekhalenda yezoqoqosho enzima, amanani e-GDP ahlala enakho ukwenza ixabiso lemali yasekhaya yelizwe apho kukhutshwa khona amanani, ngenxa yoko abathengisi beFX baya kucetyiswa ukuba: benze umcimbi, babeke esweni ukubonwa kwabo kwikhebula kunye nokubalasela. iminqamlezo, kwaye uhlengahlengise umngcipheko kunye nezikhundla ngokubanzi ngokufanelekileyo.
I-UK KEY EBALULEKILEYO METRICS SNAPSHOT
• Ukukhula kwekota ye-GDP i-0.4%.
• Ukukhula kwe-GDP ngonyaka yi-1.5%.
• Ixabiso lentengo (CPI) 3%.
• Ukungaphangeli 4.3%.
• Ukukhula komvuzo 2.2%.
Umyinge wenzala 0.5%.
• Intengiso kwintengiso YoY -0.3%.
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