Amanani akhulayo e-USA GDP anokuzolisa iimvakalelo zabatyali mali, kodwa aphakamise imibuzo malunga nomgaqo-nkqubo wezemali we-Fed
NgoLwesithathu we-28 kaFebruwari nge-13: 00 pm GMT (ixesha lase-UK), amanani akutshanje e-GDP ngokunxulumene noqoqosho lwase-USA azakupapashwa. Zimbini iindlela zokulinganisa ezikhutshiweyo; Kunyaka ophelileyo kumanani okukhula konyaka kunye nenani ukuya kuthi ga kwaye kubandakanya iQ4. Uqikelelo kukuba inani leYoY liza kwehla liye kwi-2.5% ukusuka kwi-2.6% ebhaliswe ngoJanuwari, ngelixa inani le-Q4 liqikelelwa ukuba liza kuhlala kwinqanaba le-Q3 le-2.4%.
Amanani akhulayo e-GDP akutshanje aza kujongwa ngeliso elibukhali ngenxa yezizathu ezininzi: iintshukumo ezinokwenzeka zeFed / FOMC ngokomgaqo-nkqubo wezemali, amanyathelo anokwenzeka kanondyebo kunye nolawulo lwase-USA ngokomgaqo-nkqubo wezemali, ukubaluleka kokukhula kumanani emali kwaye eli nani likhulayo limele ntoni, ngokunxulumene nolungiso lwemakethi lwentengiso eUSA lwakutsha nje, olufunyenwe ngasekupheleni kukaJanuwari ekuqaleni kukaFebruwari.
Idatha enzima yezoqoqosho, ehanjiswa ziiarhente ezahlukeneyo zezibalo zase-USA (ikakhulu i-BLS), ayisiyongxaki njengokuba injalo ngaphandle kwengxaki, ingxelo yemithombo yeendaba iya kwenza abatyali mali bakholelwe. Ukukhula koqoqosho lwase-USA okungqinwe ngo-2017 kwaxhaswa ngamatyala, omabini amatyala wabathengi / amashishini kunye netyala likarhulumente, ngoku elikwi-105.40% xa abaphathi bangaphambili babecinga inani elingaphezulu kwe-90%. Ngelixa iFed ihleli kwi-4.2 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi ngaphandle kwesicwangciso sokuqinisa, njengoko bezama ukulinganisa izibonelelo zedola ephantsi, xa kuthelekiswa nomonakalo wexesha elide onokubangela. Imivuzo inyukile ngokuhambelana (nokwenyuka kwamaxabiso) kwaye isabambekile kumanqanaba e1990 kubantu baseMelika, uninzi lwabo longeze umvuzo wabo ngamatyala.
Ngokubanzi, kukho uxinzelelo olwandayo kuqoqosho lwase-USA, uxinzelelo olunokuthi lonyuswe ukuba i-GDP inyuke ngokukhawuleza kwaye amalungu ekomiti ye-FOMC athathe isigqibo sokuba uqoqosho lomelele ngokwaneleyo ukuba lungene ngaphezulu kwamazinga amathathu enzala asele eqikelelwe ngo-2018. Inani le-GDP labetha isibikezelo xa amanani ekhutshwa ngolwe-Lwesithathu, abatyali mali banokuyithatha njengobungqina bokuba i-FOMC inendawo eyaneleyo yokunyusa amaxabiso ngaphezulu, ngaphandle kokubangela monakalo ekukhuleni. Oku kunokubangela ukuba abathengisi beFX babize ixabiso ledola yaseMelika.
Amanani e-GDP yase-US zezinye zezona khalenda zoqoqosho ezikhutshiweyo ezifunyanwa ngabahwebi beFX, amandla okuhambisa izibini ze-USD ziphezulu kakhulu, ke abathengisi kufuneka baqwalasele ngononophelo kulawulo lwazo naziphi na izikhundla zedola abanazo kwimarike, njengoko idatha ikhutshwa .
IIMETRIKI ZEZOQOQOSHO EZIBALULEKILEYO EZIBALULEKILEYO EKUKHUNJULWENI IKHALENDA.
• IGDP YoY 2.5%.
• I-GDP QoQ 2.4%.
• Ukuhla kwamandla emali nge-2.1%.
• Ukukhula komvuzo 4.47%.
Umyinge wenzala 1.5%.
Umyinge ongenamisebenzi 4.1%.
• Ityala likarhulumente v GDP 105.4%.
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