Amanani e-GDP akutshanje oqoqosho lwase-USA anokunceda iFed isete ikhosi yomgaqo-nkqubo wezemali ngo-2018
Nge-13:30pm GMT ngoLwesithathu wama-29, inani lamva nje lekota le-GDP yonyaka e-USA, liya kupapashwa. Inani lokugqibela lekota livelise inani lokukhula kwe-3%, uluvo lokuvumelana, oluqokelelwe kwii-economists ezixutywe yiReuters, lubonisa ukunyuka kwi-3.2% yokukhula kweQoQ yakutshanje.
Ngabatyalo-mali e-USA bagxile kwiziphakamiso zerhafu zikaTrump, ezinokuvotelwa kulo Lwesine kwi-Senate kunye ne-FOMC ngenxa yokudibana ngoDisemba 12-13, ukuxoxa ngenzala kunye nomgaqo-mali wemali, eli nani lakutshanje lokukhula kwe-GDP lingagxininisa ingqondo. Izitulo zeFed zengingqi abenza iFOMC, njengoko besenza isigqibo ngomgaqo-nkqubo wenzala ka-2018.
Uluvo olugqithiseleyo kukuba i-FOMC iya kubhengeza ukunyuka kwezinga lenzala ephambili e-USA ukuya kwi-1.5%, ekupheleni kwentlanganiso yabo kaDisemba. Nangona kunjalo, yinkcazo yesikhokelo sangaphambili ehamba naso nasiphi na isibhengezo, ngokubhekisele kuyo nayiphi na ithayimthebhile enokubakho yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ngo-2018, abatyali-mali kunye nabarhwebi beFX baya kugxila kuyo.
Ngaba inani le-GDP liza njengoko liqikelelwe kwi-3.2% yokukhula, ngoko i-FOMC inokuziva inamandla okuzibophelela kwinkqubo yokunyuka kwezinga ngo-2018, ukuze ikwazi ukuphakamisa izinga lenzala eliphambili kwi-3% kwi-2018. Ukuba i-FOMC yenza izinga ngoDisemba, ke baya kuba bagcine ukuzibophelela kwabo 2017 ukunyusa kathathu ngo-2017. Ngelixa i-FOMC yokuthumela ngumgaqo-nkqubo wemali hayi yemali, baya kuba nolwazi ngenkxaso ecetywayo yokunciphisa irhafu kaTrump iya kuba nayo kwiimarike zezabelo, ngoko ngokusebenzisa umgaqo-nkqubo wabo wezemali banako ukukwazi ukuba yi-hawkish kunye nokuqinisa ukuvuselela imali, ukuba ukukhula kunamandla kunye nokunciphisa irhafu kumiselwe ngokupheleleyo.
Ukuba inani le-GDP yamva nje liza njengoko liqikelelwe, okanye libethe ingqikelelo, ngoko ke ii-USD currency pairs zinokufumana ukunyuka njengoko: abatyali-mali, abarhwebi kunye nabahlalutyi baya kukhuthazwa ekubuyiseni okuqhubekayo uqoqosho lwase-USA olwenzileyo kwaye lufumanise ukuba uqoqosho lomelele ngokwaneleyo imozulu inkqubo ezinzileyo yokunyuka inyuka ngo-2018. Abatyalo-mali banokugqiba ukuba i-Fed inegumbi lokuqalisa ukuzikhupha kwi-balance sheet yayo eyi-$ 4.5 yetriliyoni, efunyenwe ngeprogram yokuthenga i-asethi (QE) ukususela kwi-2007, njenge-subprime financial crisis kudale ukosuleleka kuzo zonke iimarike zemali.
Ngokwendalo ukuba uqikelelo luphose uqikelelo lokunyuka ukuya kwi-3.2%, emva koko abathathi-nxaxheba kwimarike banokujonga ukuba iFOMC kuya kufuneka yamkele umgaqo-nkqubo othe kratya ngo-2018, njengoko ukukhula koqoqosho okuqhubekayo e-USA kungakhelwanga kwiziseko eziqinileyo. data yakutshanje nzima uye wacebisa.
ENGUNDOQO EFANELEKILEYO IDATHA YOQOQOSHO yase-USA
• Iqondo lokukhula kwe-GDP yi-3%.
• Inqanaba lokungaphangeli 4.1%.
• Ixabiso lentengo ngu-2%.
Umyinge wenzala 1.25%.
• Amatyala karhulumente kwi-GDP 106%.
• I-PMI edibeneyo ye-54.6.
• Ukukhula kweentengiso zentengiso nge-4.6% YOY.
• Ukukhula komvuzo 3.2%.
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