NgoSeptemba 26 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 4900 izimvo • Comments Off kwi-Euro ifile, Phila i-Euro
Kuya kufika imini yaxa zonke izizwe kwilizwekazi lethu ziya kubumba ubuzalwana baseYurophu. Imini iyakufika xa siyakubona i-United States of America kunye ne-United States of Europe, ubuso ngobuso, befikelela omnye komnye ngaphesheya kolwandle. -UVictor Hugo ngo-1848.
NgoDisemba 1996, uyilo lwemali ebhankini ye-euro yakhethwa emva kokhuphiswano. IBhunga le-European Monetary Institute (EMI) likhethe ophumeleleyo, umzobi waseAustria uRobert Kalina, "Iminyaka kunye neZimbo zaseYurophu" ibingumxholo. Umfuziselo wawu; iifestile, isango, kunye neebhulorho. ULuc Luycx, igcisa laseBelgium, uphumelele ukhuphiswano olubanzi lwaseYurophu oluququzelelwe ukuyila iingqekembe ze-euro. Wayila icala eliqhelekileyo laseYurophu. Icala lesizwe lahlukile kwilizwe ngalinye kwalishumi elinesibini. I-euro ekuqaleni yaba yimali eqhelekileyo yaseYurophu kumazwe alishumi elinesibini kwiManyano yaseYurophu. Le yayiyeyona nguqu inkulu yemali kwihlabathi lanamhlanje elakha layingqina xa imali 'yaqala ukusebenza' ngo-2002.
IManyano yaseYurophu (EU) inobutyebi njengeUnited States. I-EU yeyona ndawo inkulu yorhwebo kwihlabathi. I-euro yeyesibini ngobukhulu imali yokugcina kunye neyesibini eyona mali ithengiswa kakhulu kwihlabathi emva kwedola yaseMelika. Ukususela ngoJulayi ka-2011, malunga ne-890 yeebhiliyoni zee-euro ejikelezayo, i-euro yayinelona xabiso liphezulu lidityanisiweyo lemali engamaphepha kunye neengqekembe zemali ezisasazwa kwihlabathi liphela, igqithise idola yaseMelika. Ngokusekwe kuqikelelo lweNgxowa-mali yezeMali yaMazwe ngaMazwe ye-GDP ka-2008 kunye nokulingana kwamandla okuthenga phakathi kweemali ezahlukeneyo, i-eurozone yeyesibini ngobukhulu kwezoqoqosho kwihlabathi.
UGeorge Soros, obethe i-10 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngo-1992 ngaphambi kokuthotywa kwexabiso leponti yeBhanki yaseNgilani kunye noJohn Taylor kwi-FX Concepts, oqhuba i-hedge fund enkulu yehlabathi, baqikelele ukuqhekeka kwe-euro, okanye baqikelele ukuba iya kuhla ngokulingana nedola. . Nangona kunjalo, ukubikezela kwabo kunokuguqulelwa ngokulula njengokubheja, ngokucacileyo banezizathu zokuba bafuna ukuwa kwaye ezo zizathu azinabuntu, kukunyoluka okusisiseko. Abo bazinikele ngokupheleleyo kwinkcaso yesijwili ngokuchasene nemali basenokuba balixhasa iqela elingalunganga. Ungalibali ukuba nangona uguqe ngamadolo ngelixa ujongile umkhosi waselwandle, izoyikiso kwisimo semali yogcino lwemali yase-USA zisoloko zibangela uqhushululu kulawulo lwase-USA ukusukela oko kudityaniswa koqoqosho lwaseYurophu. Ngokukodwa xa eso soyikiso kwisimo sogcino lwedola sifikelela kwixabiso le-oyile ngee-euro.
Ngokuchasene nedola, i-euro isuka kwi-82.3 yeesenti ngo-Oktobha 2000 ukuya kwi-$ 1.6038 ngoJulayi 2008. Imvumelwano ngokubanzi kukuba i-euro iya kubamba ngaphezulu kwe-$ 1.30 kulo nyaka njengoko iiBhanki eziPhakathi kunye neengxowa-mali zobutyebi zifuna ezinye iindlela kwidola. Masingalibali ukuba i-SNB (iBhanki yeSizwe yaseSwitzerland) ukuzimisela ukugxumeka i-franc ixhasa ngokuthe ngqo i-euro njenge-indirect 'by proxy' yokugcina ubutyebi. Eso sikhonkwane sibonakala sisibetho esikhulu kubutyebi obufihliweyo ngaphambili 'bupakwe' ngokusisigxina.
Nangona yonke isiphithiphithi i-euro ngokwenene yomelezwa nge-1.42 yeepesenti kwiveki ephelileyo ngokuchasene nebhasikithi yeentanga ezilithoba eziphuhlileyo, uninzi ukususela ekufumaneni i-1.55 ekhulwini kwixesha eliphela ngoJuni 3, ngokutsho kweBloomberg Correlation-Weighted Currency Indexes. Inyukile ipesenti ye-2.5 ukusuka kule nyanga ephantsi ngoSeptemba 12, izalathisi zibonisa. Ekupheleni kweveki yokugqibela ye-1.35 yeedola, imali i-12 yepesenti yomelele kunomyinge we-$ 1.2024 ukususela ngoJanuwari 1999. Nangona abacwangcisi beyinqumle iingqikelelo zabo zokuxabisa, basayibona inyuka ukuya kwi-$ 1.43 ekupheleni kwe-2012, ngokusekelwe kwi-median ye-35. uqikelelo kuphando lweBloomberg. Ukuwa malunga ne-40%, ukuze kufikelelwe kwi-parity kunye nedola yaseMelika, ngokuqinisekileyo iphumile kwiradar?
I-Schneider Foreign Exchange, i-forecaster yemali echanekileyo kakhulu ngexesha leekota ezintandathu ukuya kwi-30 kaJuni, ngokutsho kwedatha ehlanganiswe yi-Bloomberg, iqikelela ukuba i-euro iya kurhweba kwi-$ 1.56 ngonyaka ozayo. Baphinde baqhubele phambili ngokucebisa ukuba ukusilela kweGrisi kuya kungqina ukuba "i-cathartic" emangazayo kulo mmandla, ukubuyisela ingqalelo ngqo kwi-US $ 1 yetriliyoni yohlahlo lwabiwo-mali kunye nokunyuka kwamatyala, ngokukaStephen Gallo, intloko yohlahlelo lwemalike. . Olo gxininiso lungabuyela e-UK njengentsilelo kunye nolawulo lwamatyala okuthe kuphela ngobabalo 'lobukrelekrele' ubudlelwane noluntu kunye nokuphambuka kuye kwahlala kungathandabuzeki. Ngelixa ityala lekhadi letyala lase-UK (intsilelo) libonakala liphantsi kolawulo lwe-mortgage (ityala lilonke) liselikhulu.
“Andiqondi ukuba iyuro iza kuqhawuka, ijongene nemiceli mngeni emininzi kodwa ayizukuwohloka,” u-Audrey Childe-Freeman, intloko yehlabathi yesicwangciso semali eLondon kwiyunithi yebhanki yabucala yaseJPMorgan. "Ngokwezoqoqosho, akukho lizwe lilungu elinokuzuza ekwahlukaneni kwe-euro kwaye yiyo loo nto ngokwezopolitiko, akunakwenzeka ukuba yenzeke."
"Kutyalwe imali eninzi kakhulu kwezopolitiko kunye neengcamango ukuze iprojekthi ye-euro isebenze kunye nokusondeza ilizwekazi laseYurophu ukususela ekupheleni kweMfazwe Yehlabathi II ukuyivumela ukuba ivele ngoku," - Thanos Papasavvas, intloko yolawulo lwemali eLondon. I-Investec Asset Management Ltd., etyala imali malunga ne-95 yeebhiliyoni zeedola, yathi ngoSeptemba 20 udliwano-ndlebe kunye neBloomberg.
Ngelixa yonke into ekugxilwe kuyo kwimithombo yeendaba ibikukuwa okunokwenzeka kwe-Euro, ngakumbi ngabezopolitiko abaphiko lasekunene abadanisa kwangaphambi kwexesha engcwabeni layo, ngaba kufuneka baqale ukuvuma ekugqibeleni ukuba iprojekthi enkulu kangaka ayinakuvunyelwa kwaye ayiyi kuvunyelwa ukuba isilele? Xa kuqwalaselwa imbali yamva nje, kufanelekile ukukhumbula indlela amazwe awomeleleyo anjengeArgentina athe avela ngayo kwingxaki yawo yezemali, ixhala elibonakala kwiintshaba ze-Euro inokuba kukuba ummandla we-Euro unokuvela womelele kwaye umanyane ngakumbi nje ukuba le ngxaki iphelile. Ingqikelelo apho abalawuli base-USA banokuyifumana ingathandekiyo ukuba ekugqibeleni ichaphazela imeko yogcino lwemali yabo.
euroIngxaki ye-euroAmagqabantshintshi kwintengiso ye forex
« Abezopolitiko, kunye neeHats zabo ezintathu Uthatha ipilisi ebomvu kwaye uhlala eWonderland kwaye ndikubonisa indlela enzulu ngayo umvundla womvundla »
I-Euro ifile, Phila i-Euro
NgoSeptemba 26 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 4900 izimvo • Comments Off kwi-Euro ifile, Phila i-Euro
Kuya kufika imini yaxa zonke izizwe kwilizwekazi lethu ziya kubumba ubuzalwana baseYurophu. Imini iyakufika xa siyakubona i-United States of America kunye ne-United States of Europe, ubuso ngobuso, befikelela omnye komnye ngaphesheya kolwandle. -UVictor Hugo ngo-1848.
NgoDisemba 1996, uyilo lwemali ebhankini ye-euro yakhethwa emva kokhuphiswano. IBhunga le-European Monetary Institute (EMI) likhethe ophumeleleyo, umzobi waseAustria uRobert Kalina, "Iminyaka kunye neZimbo zaseYurophu" ibingumxholo. Umfuziselo wawu; iifestile, isango, kunye neebhulorho. ULuc Luycx, igcisa laseBelgium, uphumelele ukhuphiswano olubanzi lwaseYurophu oluququzelelwe ukuyila iingqekembe ze-euro. Wayila icala eliqhelekileyo laseYurophu. Icala lesizwe lahlukile kwilizwe ngalinye kwalishumi elinesibini. I-euro ekuqaleni yaba yimali eqhelekileyo yaseYurophu kumazwe alishumi elinesibini kwiManyano yaseYurophu. Le yayiyeyona nguqu inkulu yemali kwihlabathi lanamhlanje elakha layingqina xa imali 'yaqala ukusebenza' ngo-2002.
IManyano yaseYurophu (EU) inobutyebi njengeUnited States. I-EU yeyona ndawo inkulu yorhwebo kwihlabathi. I-euro yeyesibini ngobukhulu imali yokugcina kunye neyesibini eyona mali ithengiswa kakhulu kwihlabathi emva kwedola yaseMelika. Ukususela ngoJulayi ka-2011, malunga ne-890 yeebhiliyoni zee-euro ejikelezayo, i-euro yayinelona xabiso liphezulu lidityanisiweyo lemali engamaphepha kunye neengqekembe zemali ezisasazwa kwihlabathi liphela, igqithise idola yaseMelika. Ngokusekwe kuqikelelo lweNgxowa-mali yezeMali yaMazwe ngaMazwe ye-GDP ka-2008 kunye nokulingana kwamandla okuthenga phakathi kweemali ezahlukeneyo, i-eurozone yeyesibini ngobukhulu kwezoqoqosho kwihlabathi.
UGeorge Soros, obethe i-10 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngo-1992 ngaphambi kokuthotywa kwexabiso leponti yeBhanki yaseNgilani kunye noJohn Taylor kwi-FX Concepts, oqhuba i-hedge fund enkulu yehlabathi, baqikelele ukuqhekeka kwe-euro, okanye baqikelele ukuba iya kuhla ngokulingana nedola. . Nangona kunjalo, ukubikezela kwabo kunokuguqulelwa ngokulula njengokubheja, ngokucacileyo banezizathu zokuba bafuna ukuwa kwaye ezo zizathu azinabuntu, kukunyoluka okusisiseko. Abo bazinikele ngokupheleleyo kwinkcaso yesijwili ngokuchasene nemali basenokuba balixhasa iqela elingalunganga. Ungalibali ukuba nangona uguqe ngamadolo ngelixa ujongile umkhosi waselwandle, izoyikiso kwisimo semali yogcino lwemali yase-USA zisoloko zibangela uqhushululu kulawulo lwase-USA ukusukela oko kudityaniswa koqoqosho lwaseYurophu. Ngokukodwa xa eso soyikiso kwisimo sogcino lwedola sifikelela kwixabiso le-oyile ngee-euro.
Ngokuchasene nedola, i-euro isuka kwi-82.3 yeesenti ngo-Oktobha 2000 ukuya kwi-$ 1.6038 ngoJulayi 2008. Imvumelwano ngokubanzi kukuba i-euro iya kubamba ngaphezulu kwe-$ 1.30 kulo nyaka njengoko iiBhanki eziPhakathi kunye neengxowa-mali zobutyebi zifuna ezinye iindlela kwidola. Masingalibali ukuba i-SNB (iBhanki yeSizwe yaseSwitzerland) ukuzimisela ukugxumeka i-franc ixhasa ngokuthe ngqo i-euro njenge-indirect 'by proxy' yokugcina ubutyebi. Eso sikhonkwane sibonakala sisibetho esikhulu kubutyebi obufihliweyo ngaphambili 'bupakwe' ngokusisigxina.
Nangona yonke isiphithiphithi i-euro ngokwenene yomelezwa nge-1.42 yeepesenti kwiveki ephelileyo ngokuchasene nebhasikithi yeentanga ezilithoba eziphuhlileyo, uninzi ukususela ekufumaneni i-1.55 ekhulwini kwixesha eliphela ngoJuni 3, ngokutsho kweBloomberg Correlation-Weighted Currency Indexes. Inyukile ipesenti ye-2.5 ukusuka kule nyanga ephantsi ngoSeptemba 12, izalathisi zibonisa. Ekupheleni kweveki yokugqibela ye-1.35 yeedola, imali i-12 yepesenti yomelele kunomyinge we-$ 1.2024 ukususela ngoJanuwari 1999. Nangona abacwangcisi beyinqumle iingqikelelo zabo zokuxabisa, basayibona inyuka ukuya kwi-$ 1.43 ekupheleni kwe-2012, ngokusekelwe kwi-median ye-35. uqikelelo kuphando lweBloomberg. Ukuwa malunga ne-40%, ukuze kufikelelwe kwi-parity kunye nedola yaseMelika, ngokuqinisekileyo iphumile kwiradar?
I-Schneider Foreign Exchange, i-forecaster yemali echanekileyo kakhulu ngexesha leekota ezintandathu ukuya kwi-30 kaJuni, ngokutsho kwedatha ehlanganiswe yi-Bloomberg, iqikelela ukuba i-euro iya kurhweba kwi-$ 1.56 ngonyaka ozayo. Baphinde baqhubele phambili ngokucebisa ukuba ukusilela kweGrisi kuya kungqina ukuba "i-cathartic" emangazayo kulo mmandla, ukubuyisela ingqalelo ngqo kwi-US $ 1 yetriliyoni yohlahlo lwabiwo-mali kunye nokunyuka kwamatyala, ngokukaStephen Gallo, intloko yohlahlelo lwemalike. . Olo gxininiso lungabuyela e-UK njengentsilelo kunye nolawulo lwamatyala okuthe kuphela ngobabalo 'lobukrelekrele' ubudlelwane noluntu kunye nokuphambuka kuye kwahlala kungathandabuzeki. Ngelixa ityala lekhadi letyala lase-UK (intsilelo) libonakala liphantsi kolawulo lwe-mortgage (ityala lilonke) liselikhulu.
“Andiqondi ukuba iyuro iza kuqhawuka, ijongene nemiceli mngeni emininzi kodwa ayizukuwohloka,” u-Audrey Childe-Freeman, intloko yehlabathi yesicwangciso semali eLondon kwiyunithi yebhanki yabucala yaseJPMorgan. "Ngokwezoqoqosho, akukho lizwe lilungu elinokuzuza ekwahlukaneni kwe-euro kwaye yiyo loo nto ngokwezopolitiko, akunakwenzeka ukuba yenzeke."
"Kutyalwe imali eninzi kakhulu kwezopolitiko kunye neengcamango ukuze iprojekthi ye-euro isebenze kunye nokusondeza ilizwekazi laseYurophu ukususela ekupheleni kweMfazwe Yehlabathi II ukuyivumela ukuba ivele ngoku," - Thanos Papasavvas, intloko yolawulo lwemali eLondon. I-Investec Asset Management Ltd., etyala imali malunga ne-95 yeebhiliyoni zeedola, yathi ngoSeptemba 20 udliwano-ndlebe kunye neBloomberg.
Ngelixa yonke into ekugxilwe kuyo kwimithombo yeendaba ibikukuwa okunokwenzeka kwe-Euro, ngakumbi ngabezopolitiko abaphiko lasekunene abadanisa kwangaphambi kwexesha engcwabeni layo, ngaba kufuneka baqale ukuvuma ekugqibeleni ukuba iprojekthi enkulu kangaka ayinakuvunyelwa kwaye ayiyi kuvunyelwa ukuba isilele? Xa kuqwalaselwa imbali yamva nje, kufanelekile ukukhumbula indlela amazwe awomeleleyo anjengeArgentina athe avela ngayo kwingxaki yawo yezemali, ixhala elibonakala kwiintshaba ze-Euro inokuba kukuba ummandla we-Euro unokuvela womelele kwaye umanyane ngakumbi nje ukuba le ngxaki iphelile. Ingqikelelo apho abalawuli base-USA banokuyifumana ingathandekiyo ukuba ekugqibeleni ichaphazela imeko yogcino lwemali yabo.
euroIngxaki ye-euroAmagqabantshintshi kwintengiso ye forex
« Abezopolitiko, kunye neeHats zabo ezintathu Uthatha ipilisi ebomvu kwaye uhlala eWonderland kwaye ndikubonisa indlela enzulu ngayo umvundla womvundla »