I-EUR / GBP ilungiselela iMfazwe yeeBhanki eziMbindi
Izolo, ukurhweba nge-EUR/GBP ireyithi yomnqamlezo bekuvalelwe kudederhu lweentengiso ezisecaleni ecaleni kwe-0.8020 pivot. Ukulungiswa kwangoMvulo kwe-euro kwakuyekile, kodwa kwakungekho mdla / iindaba zokuthumela imali enye ephezulu. Idatha yase-UK ayizange inike nasiphi na isikhokelo esicacileyo. Ngokuchasene nomlinganiselo wokuvelisa ngoMvulo, i-PMI yokwakha yaphuma ibuthathaka kakhulu kunokuba ilindelwe kwi-48.2 ukusuka kwi-54.5 (i-52.9 ilindeleke). Idatha yokuboleka kweMeyi yase-UK yaxutywa. Akukho nakuphi na ukusabela okubonakalayo kwitshathi ye-EUR/GBP kwaye oku kwahlala kunjalo kwiseshoni yokurhweba. Kamva emini, i-euro yafumana inzuzo ekuphuculeni imvakalelo emngciphekweni kwaye oku kwahluzwa nakwi-EUR/GBP yorhwebo. Aba babini bavale iseshoni kufuphi ne-intraday highs kwi-0.8036, xa kuthelekiswa ne-0.8015 ngoMsombuluko. Nangona kunjalo, ukusuka kumbono wobugcisa, akukho nqanaba elibalulekileyo eliye labethwa.
Ngobusuku nje obunye, amaxabiso evenkile ye-BRC ehle ukuya kutsho kwi-2 ½- ngonyaka ephantsi nge-1.1%. Kwakungekho kusabela kwe-EUR / GBP.
Kamva namhlanje, abatyali-mali baya kujonga i-PMI ye-Juni yecandelo leenkonzo, inxalenye yokugqibela ebalulekileyo yolwazi oluya kwintlanganiso ye-BoE yangomso. Isalathisi kulindeleke ukuba sibonise kuphela ukuhla okuphakathi ukusuka kwi-53.3 ukuya kwi-52.9. Nangona kunjalo, ii-PMI zamva nje zibonise ukutenxa okukhulu kwimvumelwano.
Umbuzo obalulekileyo kukuba ingaba le ngxelo iya kukwazi ukutshintsha okulindelweyo kwisigqibo somgaqo-nkqubo we-BoE wangomso. IBhanki yaseNgilani ikulungele ngokucacileyo ukuthatha inyathelo elongezelelweyo nanjengoko kukho ingxoxo malunga nokusebenza kwe-QE engaphezulu. Ngevoti esondeleyo esele intlanganiso yenyanga edlulileyo kunye nomlawuli we-BoE uKumkani kwinkampu encinci, imeko ekhethiweyo kukuba i-BoE iphakamise inkqubo yokuthengwa kwe-asethi nge-£ 50 bn. Siyathandabuza ukuba idatha yanamhlanje iya kutshintsha uvavanyo lwe-BoE. Naliphi na inyathelo elongezelelweyo liya kuba yinto eyothusayo kwaye inokuthi ithiyori ibe yimbi kwi-sterling.
Nangona kunjalo, mva nje imalike yemalike ibinoncedo kakhulu kwiibhanki ezingoovimba ngokuma okukhawulezileyo ukuxhasa ukukhula (njenge-BoE okanye iFed). Siyathandabuza ukuba i-25 yesiseko samanqaku e-ECB ancitshisiwe (kunye ne-de facto impembelelo encinci kwiimarike zexabiso lenzala) iya kutshintsha isimo sengqondo semarike. Ke, kukho iimeko ezahlukeneyo ezinokwenzeka kodwa siyathandabuza ukuba ziya kutshintsha utshintshiselwano lwamva nje lwe-EUR/GBP. Okwangoku silindele ukuba indawo ephezulu kwi-EUR/GBP ihlale inzima.
Kutsha nje, sijonge ukuthengisa ukomelela ukuze sibuyise isenzo esisezantsi kuluhlu. Kwiveki ephelileyo, sijike singathathi hlangothi ngakumbi kwiibhulukhwe ezimfutshane ze-EUR/GBP njengoko uluhlu olusezantsi lwafika kumgama omangalisayo. Okwangoku siqhubeka nokudlala uluhlu kwaye sisakhetha kancinci ukuthengisa i-EUR / GBP ibe namandla okubuyisela isenzo kwindawo ye-0.7950.
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