Julayi 5 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 5055 izimvo • Comments Off kwiZigqibo zeSterling kunye neBhanki ePhakathi
Izolo, ngoSuku lwe-Independence yase-US kunye neemarike zase-US zivale, i-EUR / GBP yokuthengisa iphuhliswe kwiimeko zemarike ezincinci. Isenzo sexabiso sasiqhutywa ikakhulu yingqwalasela yobugcisa. Iinkonzo zokugqibela ze-PMI kwi-EMU zazingaphantsi kokubi kunokuba bekulindelwe. Iinkonzo zase-UK ze-PMI zehla ukuya ngaphantsi kunokuba zilindelwe kwi-51.8, kodwa zahlala ngaphezu kwe-50 boom okanye i-bust level.
I-EUR / USD ifikelele phezulu kwi-0.8047 ngaphambi nje kokupapashwa kwenani lase-UK. Noko ke, eli nyathelo latshintshwa kungekudala.
I-EUR/GBP yenze kwakhona i-spike yethutyana ephezulu kurhwebo lwasemva kwemini kwaye yazalisa izibonelelo ngasentla komqobo we-0.8050. Oku kunokuba ngenxa yohlengahlengiso lwezikhundla kwintambo phambi kwentlanganiso ye-BoE. Le ntshukumo yaphinda yatshintshwa njengoko i-euro yawela phantsi kwibhodi ekupheleni korhwebo eYurophu. I-EUR / GBP ivale iseshoni kwi-0.8034, phantse ingatshintshi ukusuka kwi-0.8036 ivale ngoLwesibini.
Namhlanje, kuya kuba lusuku oluxakekileyo kubathengisi be-EUR / GBP njengoko zombini i-BoE kunye ne-ECB iya kuthatha isigqibo malunga nomgaqo-mali wezemali. Yonke into ibonakala ilungile ukuze i-BoE iqalise kwakhona inkqubo yokuthengwa kwe-asethi. Idatha yomsebenzi iqinisekisa ukuba umsebenzi e-UK uyacotha. Kwangaxeshanye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kukwiminyaka emi-2 ½ ephantsi. I-MPC yayisele isondele ekuqaliseni kwakhona inkqubo kwinyanga edlulileyo kunye nerhuluneli uKumkani ngokuthanda i-£ 50B yokuthengwa kwe-asethi. Ngoko ke, ingxoxo kwimarike kukuba i-BoE iya kubhengeza i-£ 50 okanye i-£ 75B yokuthengwa kwebhondi. Inqaku elinye ecaleni: mva nje (umzekelo kudliwano-ndlebe oluphambi kwekomiti yePalamente), amalungu e-BoE ngokucacileyo ayesazi ukuba impembelelo yokuthengwa kwebhondi kuqoqosho yayingasayi kuba yinto emangalisayo kwakhona.
Ke, amanye amanyathelo (afana nesicwangciso ngokubambisana norhulumente ukuququzelela ukuboleka imali kuqoqosho) aya ebaluleka ngakumbi. Nangona kunjalo, kwimeko yangoku i-BoE, ayikwazi ukukubetha ngoyaba ulindelo lwemarike. Ngoko ke, sikhethe ukuthenga i-asethi eyongezelelweyo ye-£50B. Oku kufuneka kungathathi hlangothi ngokufanelekileyo kwi-sterling. Kwi-ECB, kukho nendawo yokothuka. Asiyikhuphi into yokuba i-ECB iya kuthatha inyathelo elibukhali. Iimpembelelo kwiimarike zehlabathi akukho lula ukuqikelela. Nangona kunjalo, asilindelanga ukuba i-ECB iza kuzisa inkxaso eninzi kwi-euro, nokuba ngaba isigqibo siya (ixeshana?) Ukuxhasa ii-asethi ezinobungozi. Ngoko ke, sicinga ukuba i-0.8100 / 0.8169 ukuchasana kuya kuhlala kukuchasana okunzima kwi-EUR / GBP ye-cross rate.
Umnqamlezo we-EUR / GBP udibanisa emva kwexesha elide lokuthengisa eliqale ngoFebruwari kwaye laphela ngoMeyi-Meyi xa isibini sibeka ukulungiswa okuphantsi kwe-0.7950. Ukusuka apho, i-rebound/inkina emfutshane ikhatyelwe ngaphakathi.
Okwangoku siqhubeka nokudlala uluhlu kwaye sisakhetha kancinci ukuthengisa i-EUR / GBP ibe namandla okubuyisela isenzo kwindawo ye-0.7950.
KwiBhanki ephakathiintle
« Uphengululo lweNtengiso yeFXCC ngoJulayi 05, 2012 Igolide kunye neSilivere zilinde kwiiBhanki eziPhakathi »
Izigqibo ze-Sterling kunye ne-Central Bank
Julayi 5 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 5055 izimvo • Comments Off kwiZigqibo zeSterling kunye neBhanki ePhakathi
Izolo, ngoSuku lwe-Independence yase-US kunye neemarike zase-US zivale, i-EUR / GBP yokuthengisa iphuhliswe kwiimeko zemarike ezincinci. Isenzo sexabiso sasiqhutywa ikakhulu yingqwalasela yobugcisa. Iinkonzo zokugqibela ze-PMI kwi-EMU zazingaphantsi kokubi kunokuba bekulindelwe. Iinkonzo zase-UK ze-PMI zehla ukuya ngaphantsi kunokuba zilindelwe kwi-51.8, kodwa zahlala ngaphezu kwe-50 boom okanye i-bust level.
I-EUR / USD ifikelele phezulu kwi-0.8047 ngaphambi nje kokupapashwa kwenani lase-UK. Noko ke, eli nyathelo latshintshwa kungekudala.
I-EUR/GBP yenze kwakhona i-spike yethutyana ephezulu kurhwebo lwasemva kwemini kwaye yazalisa izibonelelo ngasentla komqobo we-0.8050. Oku kunokuba ngenxa yohlengahlengiso lwezikhundla kwintambo phambi kwentlanganiso ye-BoE. Le ntshukumo yaphinda yatshintshwa njengoko i-euro yawela phantsi kwibhodi ekupheleni korhwebo eYurophu. I-EUR / GBP ivale iseshoni kwi-0.8034, phantse ingatshintshi ukusuka kwi-0.8036 ivale ngoLwesibini.
Namhlanje, kuya kuba lusuku oluxakekileyo kubathengisi be-EUR / GBP njengoko zombini i-BoE kunye ne-ECB iya kuthatha isigqibo malunga nomgaqo-mali wezemali. Yonke into ibonakala ilungile ukuze i-BoE iqalise kwakhona inkqubo yokuthengwa kwe-asethi. Idatha yomsebenzi iqinisekisa ukuba umsebenzi e-UK uyacotha. Kwangaxeshanye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kukwiminyaka emi-2 ½ ephantsi. I-MPC yayisele isondele ekuqaliseni kwakhona inkqubo kwinyanga edlulileyo kunye nerhuluneli uKumkani ngokuthanda i-£ 50B yokuthengwa kwe-asethi. Ngoko ke, ingxoxo kwimarike kukuba i-BoE iya kubhengeza i-£ 50 okanye i-£ 75B yokuthengwa kwebhondi. Inqaku elinye ecaleni: mva nje (umzekelo kudliwano-ndlebe oluphambi kwekomiti yePalamente), amalungu e-BoE ngokucacileyo ayesazi ukuba impembelelo yokuthengwa kwebhondi kuqoqosho yayingasayi kuba yinto emangalisayo kwakhona.
Ke, amanye amanyathelo (afana nesicwangciso ngokubambisana norhulumente ukuququzelela ukuboleka imali kuqoqosho) aya ebaluleka ngakumbi. Nangona kunjalo, kwimeko yangoku i-BoE, ayikwazi ukukubetha ngoyaba ulindelo lwemarike. Ngoko ke, sikhethe ukuthenga i-asethi eyongezelelweyo ye-£50B. Oku kufuneka kungathathi hlangothi ngokufanelekileyo kwi-sterling. Kwi-ECB, kukho nendawo yokothuka. Asiyikhuphi into yokuba i-ECB iya kuthatha inyathelo elibukhali. Iimpembelelo kwiimarike zehlabathi akukho lula ukuqikelela. Nangona kunjalo, asilindelanga ukuba i-ECB iza kuzisa inkxaso eninzi kwi-euro, nokuba ngaba isigqibo siya (ixeshana?) Ukuxhasa ii-asethi ezinobungozi. Ngoko ke, sicinga ukuba i-0.8100 / 0.8169 ukuchasana kuya kuhlala kukuchasana okunzima kwi-EUR / GBP ye-cross rate.
Umnqamlezo we-EUR / GBP udibanisa emva kwexesha elide lokuthengisa eliqale ngoFebruwari kwaye laphela ngoMeyi-Meyi xa isibini sibeka ukulungiswa okuphantsi kwe-0.7950. Ukusuka apho, i-rebound/inkina emfutshane ikhatyelwe ngaphakathi.
Okwangoku siqhubeka nokudlala uluhlu kwaye sisakhetha kancinci ukuthengisa i-EUR / GBP ibe namandla okubuyisela isenzo kwindawo ye-0.7950.
KwiBhanki ephakathiintle
« Uphengululo lweNtengiso yeFXCC ngoJulayi 05, 2012 Igolide kunye neSilivere zilinde kwiiBhanki eziPhakathi »