Uxinzelelo luya kubakho kwi-BoE yokunyusa inzala, ukuba i-CPI yase-UK ingena nge-3%, lindela ukuba i-sterling isabele xa uqikelelo luhlangatyeziwe
NgoLwesibini kusasa, nge-8: 30 kusasa GMT, iarhente yezibalo yase-UK esemthethweni (i-ONS) iya kutyhila inani elitsha le-CPI kuthotho lwedatha yokunyuka kwamaxabiso, eya kuthi ibandakanye i-RPI kunye nexabiso lokuveliswa kwamaxabiso. Uqikelelo lwe-CPI (ukunyuka kwamaxabiso abathengi) ukunyuka ukuya kwiminyaka emihlanu ephezulu ye-3% yonyaka, kunye ne-RPI (ukunyuka kwamaxabiso entengiso), inyuka iye kwi-4%. Igalelo lamaxabiso omvelisi liqikelelwa ukuba linyuke laya kwi-8.2%. Olu luhlu lweedatha, kunye nokunyusa umvuzo kuphela ukunyuka nge-approx. I-2.1% i-YoY, iyakongeza kuxinzelelo kwaye ikwazi ukuhambisa iimbumbulu eziyimfuneko, kwikomiti yomgaqo-lawulo wezemali yeBhanki yaseNgilani yokunyusa inzala yase-UK okokuqala kule minyaka ilishumi, ukusukela oko kwabakho ingxaki yezezimali ka-2007.
Ireyithi yehlisiwe yaya kwi-0.25% ukusuka kwi-0.5%, kungekudala emva kwesiphumo sereferensi seBrexit, kwangaxeshanye irhuluneli ye-BoE uMark Carney naye wazibophelela ekwenzeni i-QB engaphezulu kwama-250b e-QE, ukuba uqoqosho lwase-UK luye lwafumana enye impembelelo eBrexit. . Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kubangelwe ngokuthe ngqo sisigqibo sereferendamu; njengenkonzo eqhutywa yinkcitho, inkcitho yabathengi, ukungenisa ilizwe, elibaleka ukusilela rhoqo (kwaye lisanda), iponti ewela nge-10% xa kuthelekiswa nedola yase-US kunye ne-14% xa kuthelekiswa ne-euro, ukusukela ngevoti kaJuni ka-2016, ibe nefuthe elimandla ukusebenza kwezoqoqosho e-UK. Kungenxa yeso sizathu le nto uCarney kunye ne-MPC bebambeke phakathi kwelitye nendawo enzima xa kuthathelwa ingqalelo ukuphakamisa izinga lesiseko ukuya kwi-0.5%. Ingqwalaselo yokunyusa amaxabiso ayizukuphucula ukusebenza koqoqosho, ukusuka ekukhuleni kwe-GDP ye-0.3% kwikota yamva nje, inokwenzakalisa ukukhula, kuba abathengi baya kufumana ukuboleka kubiza kakhulu. Endaweni yoko ukunyuka kuya kuzikhusela; ukuqinisa ixabiso leponti, ngokuqinisekisa ukuba iindleko zokungeniswa kwempahla zehla kancinci, nto leyo ingazukuchaphazela kakhulu icandelo eliqhutywa ziinkonzo zoqoqosho; Ngaphandle kokuba imivuzo inyukile, okanye amaxabiso ehla kakhulu, abathengi baya kuba nencitho encinci.
Uqoqosho lwebhanki ye-HSBC luqikelele ukunyuka kwamazinga esiseko; enye iya kubhengezwa ngoDisemba, enye ngoMeyi, ekufuneka (ithiyori) ibangele ukuba i-CPI ibuyele kwi-2.5%. Ngexesha eligqibeleleyo amalungu amathathu e-BoE kufuneka avele phambi kwekomiti yokhetho kaNondyebo (urhulumente kunye nabenzi bomthetho wepalamente) njengoko amanani emali ekhutshwa, echaza ulawulo lwabo loqoqosho besebenzisa izixhobo zomgaqo-lawulo wemali. Uqikelelo kukuba ixesha lokubonakala alikho ngengozi; ukuba banolwazi lokuba iimetrikhi eziphambili zokunyuka kwamaxabiso zikhuphukile. Abahlalutyi kunye nabatyali mali bayakuhlawula kakhulu kwingxoxo kwintlanganiso yekomiti, njengoko baya kwenza kumanani emali.
IINKCUKACHA EZIQHELEKILEYO ZE-UK.
Umyinge wenzala 0.25%
Ixabiso lexabiso lentengo le-CPI 2.9%
Ixabiso lexabiso lentengo le-RPI 3.9%
• Ukukhula kweGDP QoQ 0.3%
• Ukukhula kweGDP yonyaka nge-1.5%
• Ukukhula komvuzo 2.1%
• Ukuthengisa kwintengiso 2.4%
• I-PMI edibeneyo 54.1
« I-CPI yaseNew Zealand sisitshixo, impembelelo ephezulu, iindaba zezoqoqosho ezidweliswe ngoMvulo, nangona kunjalo, imiba yezopolitiko e-USA, e-UK nase-Europe kufuneka ijongwe kakhulu Iziliphu ezi-Sterling, njengoko iingxoxo zeBrexit zifikelela kwinqanaba elibalulekileyo, inkolelo kaJanet Yellen yokuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kunyuka, kubangela ukuba idola laseMelika kunye namashishini anyuke »
