I-Black Swan, ukungaqeshwa kunye nokungaziwa
Inkomfa yonyaka yeqela lase-UK Conservative ifikelele esiphelweni ngoLwesithathu. Amahemuhemu ebejikeleza ukuba urhulumente womdibaniso wase-UK sele eza kungena kuxinzelelo olukhulu lokuphembelela kwaye anciphise umyinge wamashumi amahlanu epesenti yerhafu njengoko, ngokoluvo lwabaninzi be-Conservatives, engaboneleli ngengeniso eninzi eyongezelelweyo. Ukurhanelwa kukuba izinga eliphezulu lerhafu likwabaphazamisa oosomashishini ekusekeni amashishini amatsha. Zombini ezi nkolelo azifane zikwazi ukumelana nokuphononongwa. Ukucinga ukuba usomashishini uya kumiswa ukuseka ishishini elitsha ngenxa yeenkxalabo malunga nezinga eliphezulu lerhafu. Ngokufanayo irhafu engamashumi amahlanu ekhulwini, esebenzayo kwabo bafumana ngaphezulu kwe-£150k ngonyaka, inokuvelisa ukuya kuthi ga kwi-7 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi ngonyaka ngokuhambelana nabahlawuli berhafu base-UK. Ayiyomali engabalulekanga xa i-UK ifundiswa yiNkulumbuso ukuba inqumle ivenkile yayo kunye namakhadi etyala kwaye iphile ngeendlela ezingqongqo.
Umbutho wedemokhrasi wase-USA utyhalela phambili ngerhafu 'yesigidi', kwaye ngokungafaniyo norhulumente womanyano wase-UK. benze 'izibalo zabo' ngokufanelekileyo. Ngezikhanyiso ezinje ngoWarren Buffett ezama ukufumana inkxaso phakathi kwabafowunelwa bakhe abakumgangatho ophezulu ukuze anyuswe irhafu kwizityebi le nto inokuthi ifumaneke. Ngokwezibalo irhafu eyongezelelweyo yeepesenti ezintlanu kwabo barhola isi-1 sesigidi seerandi ngonyaka izakwenza i-450 yebhiliyoni eyongezelelweyo ngonyaka. Isixa esikhulu esinokuthi sixhase eminye imisebenzi ebalulekileyo yoluntu e-USA. Isicwangciso semisebenzi kaMongameli Obama esityhilwe ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba siya kuxabisa malunga nama-477 eebhiliyoni zeerandi, abantu abazizityebi ke ngoko banokuba nebhongo lokuba intlawulo yabo yerhafu eyongezelelweyo inyuse amathuba engqesho kwinkqubo ebenze ukuba baxhamle kangako. Iinkokeli zeSenate yeDemokhrasi zibhengeze esi siphakamiso namhlanje njengoko abezomthetho becinezela umboniso malunga nendlela yokukhulisa uqoqosho. Inkokeli enkulu uHarry Reid, iNevada Democrat, uthe namhlanje irhafu yeepesenti ezi-5 iya kuvelisa ukuya kuthi ga kwi-450 yeebhiliyoni zeedola. Iidemokhrasi zazama amaRiphabhlikhi, ala ukunyuswa kwerhafu, ukuvimba isicwangciso.
Abangaziwa, iqela le-hacker-activists emva kokuhlaselwa kwiiwebhusayithi zenkampani kunye norhulumente, bafungile ukucima iNew York Stock Exchange "kwi-Intanethi" ngo-Oct. 10. Eli qela lithumele umyalezo kwi-YouTube ebhengeza imfazwe kwi-stock exchange enkulu yehlabathi. ukuziphindezela ngokubanjwa ngobuninzi kwabaqhankqalazi baseWall Street. Umyalezo awuzange uchaze ukuba ingaba isoyikiso sibhekiselele kuphela kuhlaselo lwewebhusayithi ye-NYSE, engayi kuba nefuthe ekurhwebeni. Ongaziwayo uqalise ukukhanyelwa kohlaselo lwenkonzo kwiiwebhusayithi kwiinyanga ezininzi, kubandakanywa neentshukumo ngoDisemba ngokuchasene neendawo ze-MasterCard Inc. kunye neVisa Inc.
Esi soyikiso siyaphikiswa ngamanye amalungu e-Anonymous, athe ku-Twitter akazange agwetywe. Ukuthunyelwa ku-Anonnews.org kuthe phantse akunakwenzeka ukuba kuqinisekiswe ukusebenza ngenxa yemo ye-Anonymous njengombutho "ongenalo ulwakhiwo lwemigangatho."
U-Nassim Taleb, umbhali weyona ncwadi ithengiswa kakhulu "I-Black Swan," uthe namhlanje kwinkomfa yeendaba eKiev ukuba isiphithiphithi sangoku semarike yehlabathi sibi kakhulu kuno-2008 ngenxa yokuba amazwe afana ne-US anemithwalo yamatyala amakhulu.
Ngokuqinisekileyo, sijongene nengxaki enkulu ngoku kwaye siya kuhlawula ixabiso eliphezulu. Ubume bengxaki ayikaqondwa. Akukho nto yakhayo siyenzileyo kwiminyaka emithathu enesiqingatha. Akukho mntu ufuna ukwenza into enzima ngoku.
UTaleb wazisa igama elithi "idada elimnyama", elivela kwinkolelo yaseNtshona yokuba onke amadada ayemhlophe de abahloli bafumanisa iindidi ezimnyama e-Australia ngo-1697. Uhlalutyo luqikelela, ngaloo ndlela luthethelela iindleko eziphezulu zokubiyela iintlekele.
Abaqeshi US wabhengeza kakhulu umsebenzi ukucuthwa kwiminyaka emibini ngoSeptemba, ekhokelwa ukucutha kwi Bank of America Corp. kunye emkhosini. Ukudubula okubhengeziweyo kwaxhuma i-212 ekhulwini, ukwanda okukhulu ukususela ngoJanuwari 2009, ukuya kwi-115,730 kwinyanga ephelileyo ukusuka kwi-37,151 ngoSeptemba 2010, ngokutsho kweChicago-based Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. Ukusika kwingqesho karhulumente, ekhokelwa yisicwangciso sokunciphisa iminyaka emihlanu yoMkhosi, kwaye kwi-Bank of America yabalelwa phantse 70 ekhulwini izibhengezo. Ukwehla kwengqesho yeenkonzo, nangona kunjalo, bekungavisisani nengxelo eyahlukileyo evela kwi-ADP ye-payrolls processor ebonisa ii-payrolls zabucala zizonke zinyuke nge-91,000, ngaphezu kolindelo lwezoqoqosho lokunyuka kwama-75,000. I-ADP ithe uninzi lweenzuzo, ezigqithise kwinani lika-Agasti le-89,000, ziphuma kwicandelo leenkonzo.
Izitokhwe ziye zadibana kunye nempahla yorhwebo yathabath' unyawo kuhla kwazo lweentsuku ezintathu njengoko idatha yezoqoqosho yase-US iphezulu kuqikelelo kunye nethemba likhula lokuba iinkokeli zaseYurophu ekugqibeleni ziya kuphinda zizenzele iibhanki. Izabelo zamandla zikhokelela kwinzuzo njengoko i-oyile iye yanda kulandela ukuhla kwezinto ebezingalindelekanga. I-SPX iphakame i-1.8 yeepesenti ukuvala kwi-1,144.03 kwi-4 pm ixesha laseNew York, yongeza kwi-2.3 yeepesenti yezolo ukuphawula inzuzo enkulu yeentsuku ezimbini ngenyanga. I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index inyuke ngeepesenti ze-3.1, imisa ukuchithwa kweentsuku ezintathu. I-S & P GSCI Index of commodities inyuke ngeepesenti ze-2.8 njengoko ioli inyuke ngeepesenti ze-5.3 ukuya kwi-$ 79.68 umgqomo, iphinda ibuyele kwi-7.9 yeepesenti kwiiseshoni ezintathu ezidlulileyo. I-UK FTSE equity index future icebisa ukuvulwa kancinci kwiseshoni yaseLondon, isalathiso okwangoku sikwi-0.5%. ikamva leSPX liphantsi malunga ne-0.3%.
Ukukhutshwa kwedatha yezoqoqosho enokuthi ichaphazele imvakalelo kwiiseshoni zasekuseni eLondon naseYurophu ziquka oku kulandelayo;
09:30 UK – Isalathiso seeNkonzo zikaJulayi
12:00 UK - Isibhengezo seRhafu ye-MPC
I-12: I-45 ye-Eurozone - Isibhengezo sereyithi ye-ECB
Ukuqikelelwa kukuba zombini i-UK kunye ne-ECB isiseko semilinganiselo iya kugcinwa kumanqanaba afanayo. Kwakukho amahemuhemu aphuhliswayo ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba ukuba i-ECB yayicinga ukunciphisa izinga lesiseko, nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokumangalisa ukunyuka kwexabiso lentengo yaseYurophu evezwe kwiveki ephelileyo, izinga lokunyuka kweepesenti zesiqingatha esipheleleyo ukusuka kwi-2.5-3%, nayiphi na ukunciphisa izinga lesiseko. akunakwenzeka kakhulu.
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