I-2 yezigidi zezigidi zeerandi ye-Eurozone yokuKhupha iNgxowa-mali izelwe
Yiyo loo nto, ingxoxo iphelile, i-bunting inokubekwa, amaqela ezitalatweni angabanjwa kuzo zonke izitalato kwiYurophu yonke njengoko 'i-D' imini inathi, i-bail out fund iphila kwaye sonke sinokuphefumla lula. Ngaphandle kwababhali beekopi zeBloomberg ngokucacileyo, ngoku kuya kufuneka afumane omnye umntu oza kutyhola ngokuqhubekeka koqoqosho lwehlabathi, ngaphandle kokuba ngokuqinisekileyo bagxeka ngokucothayo okuqhubekayo kwingxowa-mali ye-2 yeetriliyoni zeedola..damn.. bona?
IFransi neJamani, awona mazwe mabini aphambili kwezoqoqosho kumazwe alishumi elinesixhenxe athathe i-euro kwaye ngenxa yoko abarhwebi abakhokelayo, kubonakala ukuba bafikelele kwisivumelwano sokunyusa ingxowa-mali yokuhlangula ye-eurozone ukuya kwi-2 yeetriliyoni zeedola njengenxalenye ye-euro. "isicwangciso esipheleleyo" ukusombulula ingxaki yetyala elizimeleyo. Le ngqungquthela yale mpelaveki kufuneka iqinisekise isivumelwano ngoonozakuzaku be-EU baxelwe ngokuhlwa ngoLwesibini. Mhlawumbi ukutyhala kokugqibela kwavela kumthombo ongaphandle; Isilumkiso se-arhente yokulinganisa iMoody's, ukuba ingaphonononga umlinganiselo we-AAAA obawela waseFransi ngenxa yeendleko zokukhupha imali kwiibhanki zayo namanye amalungu e-eurozone, kubonakala ngathi inike uSarkozy noMerkel inkuthazo eyongezelelweyo.
Nangona kunjalo, i-Moody's inqumle iireyithingi ezizimeleyo zaseSpain ngeenotshi ezimbini ngoLwesibini, isithi amatyala aphezulu kumacandelo ebhanki kunye neshishini alishiya ilizwe lisengozini yoxinzelelo lwenkxaso-mali. Ithemba lokukhula eliya liba mandundu kummandla we-euro kwenza ukuba kube nzima kakhulu eSpain ukufikelela usukelo lwayo olunqwenelekayo lwezemali, i-arhente yokulinganisa yongezwe kwaye iSpain inokuthotywa kwakhona ukuba imeko yetyala leeuro zone iya iqatsela, uMoody's walumkisa.
Ukusukela ekubekeni imilinganiselo yaseSpain phantsi koqwalaselo ekupheleni kukaJulayi, akukho sisombululo sithembekileyo sengxaki yamatyala ekhoyo ngoku ethe yavela, kwaye kuyo nayiphi na imeko kuya kuthatha ixesha lokuzithemba kumanyano lwezopolitiko lwale ndawo kunye namathemba okukhula abuyiselwe ngokupheleleyo.
Iindaba zesisombululo 'sesicwangciso esikhulu' zihlanganise abatyali-zimali base-US kunye neemarike zase-USA. I-Dow Jones Industrial Average iphakame ngamanqaku angama-250, okanye i-2.2%, ukuya kwi-11,651, emva kokuwa kwangaphambili ngamanqaku angama-101 ngaphambi kosuku. Iimakethi zase-US ngaphambili zasabela kakubi kuzo naziphi na iindaba ezintsha ezivela eYurophu njengoko kubonakala ngathi kukho ukwahlukana okungalungelelaniyo okuphuhlayo phakathi kweFransi neJamani. Ngaphambili kwimini i-Goldman Sachs ibike ilahleko yekota yesithathu ye-393 yezigidi, kuphela ilahleko yesibini kwiminyaka eyi-12, kwaye igosa eliyintloko lezemali uDavid Viniar uthe ukuguquguquka kweemarike kube negalelo ekuwa.
Oonozakuzaku be-EU abakufutshane neengxoxo bathi isivumelwano seFranco-German siquka ukonyusa iindonga zemali kumalungu e-eurozone ukuze akwazi ukumelana nosoyikiso lwexesha elizayo "lwesiganeko setyala" okanye ukusilela kwetyala elizimeleyo kumazwe abuthathaka, ngakumbi iGrisi. Oku kuya kuthatha iifom ezimbini, ingxowa-mali yebheyile ephambili, indawo yozinzo lwezemali yaseYurophu, iya kunikwa amandla omlilo ongezelelweyo okwenza ukuba inikeze iziqinisekiso zelahleko yokuqala kubanini-bhondi. Oonozakuzaku abaphezulu bathi oku kuzakuzisa ukonyuka ngokuphindwe kahlanu kwingxowa-mali yomlilo - inika ngaphezulu kwe-2 yezigidi zezigidi zezigidi zeedola xa kuthelekiswa nesakhono sangoku sokuboleka kwee-euro ezingama-440 eebhiliyoni. I-EFSF ngokuqinisekileyo iya kuba yi-inshurensi, ngaloo ndlela yoyisa ukuchasana kweBhanki ye-European Central kwimbono yokuguqula ibe yibhanki.
I-Berlin kunye ne-Paris ngokucacileyo zivumile ukuba iibhanki zaseYurophu kufuneka zihlaziywe ukuze zihlangabezane ne-9% ye-capital ratio efunwa yi-European Banking Authority emva kokuphonononga kwakhona amanqanaba okuvezwa kwe-60 ukuya kwi-70 "yenkqubo" yeebhanki. I-EBA ikwaphawule oku kubonakaliswa kufutshane kakhulu kumaxabiso akhoyo emarike xa kuthelekiswa nokumakishwa kwimodeli. I-recapitalization iyonke efunekayo iya kufutshane ne-100bn ye-euro kunokuba i-€200bn ecetyiswe nguChristine Lagarde, umlawuli olawulayo we-IMF. Iibhanki zaseFransi nezaseJamani zinokufikelela ekujoliswe kuko komlinganiselo omtsha wenkunzi kwimithombo yazo ngaphandle koncedo lwemali karhulumente, okanye i-EFSF. Iibhanki zamanye amazwe, nangona kunjalo, zinokufuna inkxaso yemali evela kurhulumente okanye i-EFSF.
Ngaba iimarike ziya kusithenga esi sisombululo, okanye ziya kukhawuleza 'zenze izibalo' ngokukhawuleza zisike kwi-spin kwaye zibone ukuba owona monakalo wokwenyani ulinganiselwa kwi-2 yezigidigidi zeedola? Eyona mali inzima yokwenyani yee-euro ezingama-440 eebhiliyoni inokunyuselwa ukuya kuthi ga kumlinganiselo njengoko umlenze ngamnye omtsha oqhubekayo wengxaki eqhubekayo iguquka. I-EU ayiwagcini amandla engxowa-mali eyandisiweyo yomile, iwasebenzisa ngokukhawuleza ngelixa inika umbono wokuba isetyenziswa kuphela isihlanu, izinto ezikrelekrele, okanye ngaba kunjalo? Lixesha kuphela eliya kuxela..
Markets
I-SPX inyuke nge-2.04% kurhwebelwano lwasemva kwexesha emva kokuba iimarike zaseYurophu ziye zawa phantsi kakhulu. I-FTSE ivale i-0.48%, i-CAC ivalwe i-0.79% kwaye i-STOXX ivalwe i-0.39%. I-DAX yaphula umkhwa ngokuvala i-0.31%. Ngokuphathelele kwi-equity index futures i-FTSE icebisa ukuvulwa okuqinisekileyo kwe-circa 1.3%+ iSPX ithe tyaba ngoku.
ngeemali
I-euro yadibana kurhwebo lwasemva kwexesha njengesiphumo sesisombululo esinikelwe yi-France neJamani ekubeni ichithe iseshoni yangaphambili iphantsi xa ithelekiswa nedola emva kokuba i-Moody's Investors Service icuthe uqikelelo lwebhondi kurhulumente wase-Spain, oko kuphembelela inkxalabo yokuba ingxaki yamatyala iya kusasazeka. Idola yawa ngokuchasene neemali zaseOstreliya naseKhanada njengoko isitokhwe kunye neempahla ezithengiswayo zadibana, zithomalalisa imfuno yendawo yokusabela ecacileyo. I-euro ixabise ipesenti ye-0.1 eNew York emva kokunyuka kwangaphambili kwe-0.6 ekhulwini. I-euro ifumene ipesenti ze-0.1 ukuya kwi-yen ye-105.56. Imali yaseJapan yayithe tyaba kwi-76.83 xa ithelekiswa nedola emva kokuhambela phambili ukuya kuthi ga kwi-0.3 ekhulwini. Imali yaseJapan iye yacima nayiphi na inzuzo xa ithelekiswa nedola emva kokuba iphephandaba lase-Nikkei lichaze ukuba urhulumente waseJapan kunye nebhanki ephakathi baya kujongana namanyathelo ayilelwe ukujongana namandla emali.
Ukukhutshwa kwedatha yezoqoqosho ngentsasa ye-19 ka-Oktobha
09:00 Eurozone-Akhawunti yangoku Agasti
09:30 UK-Imizuzu yeBhanki yaseNgilani
10:00 Eurozone - Ulwakhiwo Imveliso Agasti
Imeko ye-akhawunti ye-ECB yangoku inempembelelo enkulu kumandla e-euro. Intsilelo yeAkhawunti ethe gqolo inokubangela ukuba i-euro yehle, ibonise ukuhamba kwe-euro kuqoqosho, ngelixa intsalela inokukhokelela kuxabiso lwendalo lweyuro. Imizuzu ye-BoE yase-UK ngamanqaku anika ingqiqo kwinkqubo yokwenza izigqibo ze-MPC kunye noluvo lwe-BoE malunga nophuhliso lwezoqoqosho ngaphakathi nangaphandle kwe-UK. Imizuzu ngokubanzi ibonisa isalathiso sotshintsho kwizinga lenzala kwixesha elizayo nto leyo iimarike ziya kujolisa ngakumbi kuyo.
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