Uphengululo lweMarike ngoMeyi 24 2012
Iimarike zase-US zibonise intshukumo ephawulekayo kwi-downside kwintengiso yasekuseni ngoLwesithathu ngenxa yokuqhubeka nokuxhalaba malunga nemeko yezemali eYurophu, eyafika njengoko iinkokeli zaseYurophu zibambe ingqungquthela ebukeleyo eBrussels. Nangona kunjalo, izitokhwe zenze ukubuyiswa okubonakalayo kwinxalenye yokugqibela yosuku lokurhweba oluye lwabalelwa kwiingxelo ezivela kwingqungquthela yaseYurophu malunga namanyathelo iinkokeli ezizimisele ukuwathatha ukukhulisa ukukhula koqoqosho. Iimarike zaseYurophu zigqibe ngokuqinileyo kwi-downside ngoLwesithathu zibuyisela umva iinzuzo ezivela kwiintsuku ezimbini ezidlulileyo zokurhweba emva kweenkxalabo malunga nemeko yaseGrisi.
Ngolwalathiso oluncinci oluvela kwiiNkokheli zaseYurophu kunye namazwi ahlabayo avela kwi-IMF, iBhanki yehlabathi kunye neemarike ze-OECD ziya kuqhubeka kwimodi yokunciphisa ingozi njengoko iimali ziqhubeka zifuna indawo ekhuselekileyo yokudlala kwaye ziphephe nantoni na yaseYurophu.
Idrama kwi-Eurozone iyaqhubeka nokubanzima kwiimarike, kunye neengxelo zeendaba zanamhlanje ezibonisa owayesakuba lilungu lebhodi ye-ECB u-Lorenzo Binhi Smaghi exoxa "ngomdlalo wemfazwe"- isimbo sokulinganisa ukurhoxiswa kwamaGrike kwimali eqhelekileyo. UBinhi Smaghi wathi “ukuhamba kunzima” waza waqukumbela kuqheliselo lokulinganisa ukuba ukushiya iyuro “ayisosicombululo kwiingxaki zabo (eGrisi). Siyavuma, nangona kunjalo iimarike azizange zikhuthazeke njengoko izimvo zakhe zibonelela ngolunye uphawu lokuba abantu abanzulu bacinga ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba baphume kwi-Eurozone yaseGrisi.
Idola ye-Euro
I-EURUSD (1.2582) I-euro iyaqhubeka nokuba buthathaka, iphule ngoJanuwari 2012 ephantsi kwe-1.2624 kwaye ivule umnyango kwi-1.2500 ebalulekileyo yengqondo. I-EUR ihlala yomelele ngokwembali, ngaphezu kwenqanaba eliphakathi ukususela ekuqaleni kwe-1.2145 kwaye inamandla kakhulu kune-2010 ephantsi ye-1.1877.
Silindele ukuba i-EUR ibe phantsi; nangona kunjalo ungacingi ukuba i-EUR iya kuwa. Ukuhlanganiswa kokuhamba kokubuyisela, ixabiso eJamani, amandla okuba i-Fed iguqukele kwi-QE3 kunye nenkolelo yemarike eqhubekayo yokuba abasemagunyeni baya kubonelela ngamanqanaba ahlukeneyo enkxaso ye-backstop. Ngokufanelekileyo, asenzanga tshintsho kummiselo wethu wokuphela konyaka we-1.25; nangona qaphela ukuba i-EUR inokuwela ngaphantsi kweli nqanaba kwixesha elikufutshane.
Iphawundi yaseSterling
I-GBPUSD (1.5761) I-Sterling ibethe kwiinyanga ezimbini eziphantsi xa kuthelekiswa nedola ngoLwesithathu njengoko inkxalabo eqhubekayo malunga nokuphuma kweGrike kwi-euro kubangele abatyali-mali ukuba bathengise oko bakubona njengemali enobungozi, kunye nedatha yokuthengisa engafanelekanga yongezwa kwimbonakalo yokukhula yase-UK eguquguqukayo.
Iponti inyuke xa ithelekiswa ne-euro ebuthathaka ngokubanzi njengoko ithemba lengqungquthela ye-European Union inokwenza inkqubela-phambili ekujonganeni nengxaki yamatyala yaphela, ngelixa imithombo ixelele iReuters zone ye-euro ixelelwe ukuba yenze izicwangciso ezinokwenzeka ukuba iGrisi iyiyeke ibloc yemali.
Ngokuchasene nedola, i-sterling yokugqibela yehla ngeepesenti ze-0.4 kwi-1.5703 yeedola, ilahleko ilahleko emva kokubetha iseshoni ephantsi ye-1.5677 yeedola, ephantsi kwayo ukusukela phakathi kuMatshi. Ilandelele ukuwa okubukhali kwi-euro, eyabetha i-22 yenyanga ye-XNUMX ngokuchasene nedola njengoko abatyali-mali bebuyela kwii-asethi ezikhuselekileyo.
Imali yaseAsia-yePacific
I-USDJPY (79.61) I-JPY inyuke nge-0.7% ukusuka izolo evaliweyo kwaye igqithise zonke iinqununu ngenxa yokunyuka komngcipheko okuqhubekayo, kwaye njengoko abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike baqwalasela utshintsho oluncinci kwingxelo ye-BoJ emva kwentlanganiso yayo yakutshanje. I-BoJ ishiye umgaqo-nkqubo ungatshintshi, kwi-0.1% njengoko kulindelwe, kodwa yehla igama eliphambili elithi 'ukunciphisa okunamandla' kwinkcazo yomgaqo-nkqubo, ukunciphisa ukulindela ukuthengwa kwempahla eyongezelelweyo kwixesha elisondeleyo. Amanani orhwebo lwentengiso yaseJapan nawo akhutshiwe kwaye abonisa inqanaba elicothayo lomsebenzi xa kujongwa ukwehla kwamazinga okukhula kuzo zombini iimpahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle kunye nezo zisuka kumazwe angaphandle, kunye neyokugqibela esele inyukile xa ithelekiswa neyangaphambili.
Ulungelelwaniso lwezorhwebo lwaseJapan luza kuhlala lunomngeni ngenxa yesidingo sokuthengwa kwamandla kumazwe angaphandle ngenxa yokuwa kwemveliso yamandla enyukliya.
igolide
Igolide (1559.65) Ikamva lehlile usuku lwesithathu njengoko ixhala lokuwa ukusuka ekuphumeni okunokwenzeka kweGrike kummandla we-euro kutyhalele abatyali-mali ukuba bafumbe kwidola yaseMelika.
I-euro yatshona kumgangatho wayo ophantsi xa ithelekiswa nedola yaseMelika ukusukela ngoJulayi ka-2010, njengoko abatyali mali beqhubeka nokuchitha iiasethi ezibonakalayo kumngcipheko wokuba iinkokheli zaseYurophu zingabinakho ukuthintela ukubonakala kokuwohloka kwetyala le-euro.
I-European Central Bank (ECB) kunye namazwe e-euro-zone anyusa iinzame zokulungisa izicwangciso ezinokwenzeka zokuphuma kweGrisi, imithombo ixelele.
Ikhontrakthi yegolide ethengisiweyo kakhulu, yokuhanjiswa kweJuni, ngoLwesithathu yawela i-$ 28.20, okanye i-1.8 yeepesenti, ukuhlala kwi-$ 1,548.40 i-troy ounce kwi-Comex yecandelo leNew York Mercantile Exchange. I-Futures yayirhweba ngaphantsi kwangaphambi kwemini, isoyikisa ngokuphela ngaphantsi kweveki ephelileyo ye-10 yenyanga yokuhlala ephantsi kwe-1,536.60 yeedola.
I-oyile endala
Ioyile ekrwada (90.50) amaxabiso ehle, ehla ukuya kutsho kwiinyanga ezintandathu phantsi kwe-US90 yeedola eNew York njengoko idola yaseMelika iqhubela phambili kuxinzelelo lwamatyala e-eurozone.
Abatyali-mali bafuna ukhuseleko olunxulumene ne-greenback njengoko uloyiko lukhula kwimbonakalo ye-eurozone. Ngesivumelwano phakathi kwe-Iran kunye neKhomishini yezaMandla, ukungavisisani kwezopolitiko kuye kwawa ecaleni. Kwaye kunye nokunyuka okuphezulu kunokuba bekulindelwe kwi-inventories exelwe kule veki, i-oyile ekrwada ayinanto encinci yokuxhasa ukunyuka kwexabiso.
Njengoko i-euro yangena kwi-22-inyanga ephantsi, ikontrakthi engundoqo yaseNew York, i-West Texas Intermediate crude ukuze ihanjiswe ngoJulayi, slid $US1.95 ukuya kwi-US89.90 yeedola - elona nqanaba liphantsi ukususela ngo-Oktobha.
I-Brent North Sea crude kaJulayi yehle i-$US2.85 ukuya kwi-US105.56 ibhekile kwizivumelwano zaseLondon.
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