Uphengululo lweMarike ngoMeyi 21 2012
Ngelixa kukho iindlela ezibonakalayo zomngcipheko wedatha kuqoqosho lwaseYurophu kule veki, umngcipheko wentengiso ophambili uya kuqhubeka ukumelwa ngamaxhala amaGrike. Ukwenza oko, kulandela le ntlanganiso ye-G8 yempelaveki eCamp David, lindela umngcipheko weengcinga ezithe kratya malunga nendlela iJamani enokuthi ivuselele ngayo i-ajenda zokukhula eGrisi kwaye mhlawumbi nasekhaya.
Kukho indawo yokuqiniseka ngononophelo malunga neGrisi ukuba iTroika ingayikhulula imigaqo yenkqubo yayo yoncedo ngelixa iJamani neFrance zisiya kumalinge okukhulisa imali eGrisi anokuthi abonelele abezopolitiko base-Greek ngeniso phambi konyulo kwinyanga ezayo. Okwangoku, nangona kunjalo, kufuneka sivume ukuba uphuhliso aluthandeki kolu luvo. Imvumelwano yezoqoqosho ilindele ukuba i-UK inyibilike kuqoqosho lobuchwephesha xa i-Q1 GDP ikhutshwa ngolwe-Lwesine kwenye yeeveki eziphambili eziza kuthi zibeke uqoqosho lwase-UK kwindawo ebonakalayo kuyo yonke iveki.
Oko kunokwenzeka ukuba kwandulelwe yingxelo yokuthengisa ebuthathaka ngo-Epreli ngoLwesithathu kulandela inzuzo enkulu kwinyanga ephelileyo. Amanani e-CPI yase-UK ngolwe-Lwesibini kufuneka abonakalise ukumodareyitha kwamanani emali ngenqanaba lonyaka-kulindeleke ukuba lehle liye kwi-3.3% kwaye ke kuqhubeke ukwehla ukusuka kwi-5.2% yencopho yamva nje ngo-Septemba. Isandwich embindini woku iya kuba yinkcukacha engaphezulu kwincoko ye-BoE malunga nokuba iyaqhubeka na ukwandisa ithagethi yokuthengwa kwempahla xa imizuzu yentlanganiso ye-10 ye-Meyi ye-BoE yoMgaqo-nkqubo wezeMali ikhutshwa ngoLwesithathu. Kukho iiseti ezintathu zokukhutshwa kwendawo ye-Euro ezinokuhambisa iimarike.
Okona kubalulekileyo licandelo lemveliso elilawula ii-indices (PMIs) ngakumbi iJamani (Lwesine). I-PMI kaMeyi kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokubonisa ikhontrakthi kwicandelo lokuvelisa eJamani kodwa oku kuyaphikisana namandla asandula ukwenziwa kwiifektri zaseJamani. Ukuzithemba kweshishini laseJamani kuya kusinceda ukuba siqonde ukuba ukuhlala phantsi kuvavanyo lwe-IFO ukusukela ngoFebruwari kubeka umngcipheko ekuguqukeni kukungazithembi okungathandekiyo kunikwe ithoni yophuhliso ngoMeyi.
Idola ye-Euro
I-EURUSD (1.2716) I-euro inyuke kancinci ngokuchasene nedola emva kokuwa ngokuzinzileyo ukusukela ekuqaleni kwenyanga ekupheliseni ukuzithemba kuqoqosho lwe-euro.
I-euro ithengiswe nge- $ 1.2773, xa kuthelekiswa ne- $ 1.2693. Kodwa kwangoko ngemini, kwafika iinyanga ezine eziphantsi kwe- $ 1.2642, kugxininisa amaxhala okuphuma kwesiGrike kwindawo enye yemali kunye neebhanki ezibuthathaka zaseSpain.
Iphawundi yaseSterling
I-GBPUSD (1.57.98) I-Sterling ibetha iinyanga ezimbini ezisezantsi ngokuchasene nedola ngolwesiHlanu ngaphambi kokuphola kancinci, kwaye ihlala isemngciphekweni weengxaki zommandla we-euro ngenxa yonxibelelwano olusondeleyo lwase-UK kulo mmandla.
Kwangoko kwiseshoni, umngcipheko wokuthintela umngcipheko waqhuba iponti ukuya kwiinyanga ezimbini eziphantsi kwe- $ 1.5732, ngaphambi kokufumana urhwebo nge-1.5825 yeedola, inyuke ngepesenti ye-0.2 ngosuku.
Inkxalabo malunga nekamva lommandla we-euro ibone abatyali-mali belambile kukhuseleko lwedola kunye ne-yen. Ukwehliswa kukaMoody kweebhanki ezili-16 zaseSpain emva kwexesha ngoLwesine, kubandakanya neyona ndawo inkulu ye-euro iBanco Santander inyuse ibango lezi mali zikhuselekileyo.
Oku kweza njengemali mboleko ezimbi zebhanki zaseSpain zenyuka ngo-Matshi zaya kutsho kwelona liphezulu kwiminyaka eyi-18 kwaye zagcina iindleko zokubolekwa kweSpain kumanqanaba aphakamileyo. Ngaphandle kokuchacha kwangolwesiHlanu, iponti isendleleni yesithathu seveki yokulahleka kwaye ilahlekile iipesenti ezi-2.5 ngokuchasene nedola ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kule nyanga.
Imali yaseAsia-yePacific
I-USDJPY (79.10) I-yen yayixutywe ngokuchasene nezinye iimali eziphambili: i-euro inyuke yaya kwi-100.94 yen ukusuka kwi-100.65 yen ngasekupheleni kwangoLwesine, ngelixa idola yehla yaya kwi-78.95 yen ukusuka kwi-79.28.
Umphathiswa Wezemali waseJapan u-Jun Azumi uthe ngolwesiHlanu ukuba ujonge ukuhamba kwemali ngononophelo olongezelelekileyo kwaye ukulungele ukuphendula ngokufanelekileyo-isigqubuthelo esigubungele ungenelelo lokuthengisa i-yen.
U-Azumi uthe abalindi babesabela kakhulu emva kokuba i-yen inyuke yaya kwiinyanga ezintathu eziphezulu xa kuthelekiswa nedola kunye ne-euro. Uthe uqinisekisile neQela lamaZwe asixhenxe amatyeli aliqela kwixesha elidlulileyo ukuba ukuhamba kwemali ngokugqithileyo akunqweneleki.
Sijonge iimali ngesilumkiso kwaye sikulungele ukuphendula ngokufanelekileyo. Kubekho ukunyuka ngequbuliso kwe yen izolo ebusuku oku kubangelwe ngabanye babaqikeleli abasabela kakhulu.
Idola inyuke ngepesenti ye-0.2 ukuya kwi-yen ye-79.39, nayo ngaphezulu kweenyanga ezintathu eziphantsi ze-79.13 yen yathinta iseshoni yangaphambili. I-euro inched up ipesenti ye-0.2 ukuya kwi-100.81 yen, isezantsi isezantsi ukusukela ngoFebruwari 7 we-100.54 yen.
I-Japan ichithe irekhodi ye-8 yezigidi zeerandi (i-100.6 yezigidigidi zeedola) kungenelelo ngongenelelo kwimarike yemali ngo-Okthobha u-31, xa idola labetha irekhodi eliphantsi le-yen ye-75.31, kunye nenye ye-1 yezigidi zeerandi ekuqaleni kukaNovemba kwiindawo zokuthengisa ezingachazwanga kwimarike.
igolide
Igolide (1590.15) Uqhubekile nokuphinda wenyuka ngolwesiHlanu njengoko idola yaseMelika ilahlekelwe ngumphunga kwaye ibuthathaka ngokunxulumene nezinye iimali ezinkulu, ishiya isinyithi sivulelwe inkqubela phambili encinci emva kweeveki ezimbini zelahleko..
Igolide yokuhanjiswa kukaJuni inyuke nge-17 yeedola, okanye iipesenti ezi-1.1, ukuya kuthi ga kwi-1,591.90 yeedola kwi-Comex yokwahlulahlula iNew York Mercantile Exchange. Kwiveki, intsimbi yafumana i-0.5%.
I-oyile endala
Ioyile ekrwada (91.48) ikamva liyaqhubeka kwindlela eya ezantsi ngolwesiHlanu, ngomhla wesithandathu ngokulandelelana wokwehla njengoko abatyali zimali behleli benenkxalabo malunga nokukhula kwehlabathi kunye nokuncipha kwemfuno yeoyile phakathi kwezinto ezininzi zaseMelika. Abatyalomali baphinde bazikhupha iindaba zokuba ukubuyela umva kombhobho wase-US, obonwa njengesixhobo sokunciphisa i-glut kwi-oyile hub Cushing, Okla., Kukuqala kule mpelaveki.
Amaxabiso aphele ngeveki iipesenti ezi-4.8, iveki yesithathu ebomvu. Indawo yokuhlala yangoLwesihlanu ikwayeyona iphantsi ukusukela nge-Okthobha 26.
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