Uphengululo lweMarike kaJuni 8 2012
Amaxabiso okutya ehlabathi abe nokuhla kwawo okukhulu kwisithuba esingaphezulu kweminyaka emibini ngoMeyi njengoko ixabiso leemveliso zobisi liye lehla ekuboneleleni okonyukayo, oko kwanciphisa uxinzelelo kuhlahlo lwabiwo-mali lwamakhaya. Isalathiso sezinto zokutya ze-55 ezilandelwa yi-United Nations 'Food & Agriculture Organisation yehla nge-4.2% ukuya kwi-203.9 amaphuzu ukusuka kumanqaku angama-213 ngo-Ephreli, i-arhente esekelwe eRoma yabika kwiwebhusayithi yayo. Elo yaba lelona pesenti lihle kakhulu ukusukela ngoMatshi ka-2010.
Unobhala kaNondyebo wase-US uTimothy F. Geithner kunye noSihlalo we-Federal Reserve uBen S. Bernanke banenkxalabo malunga neshishini lebhanki laseYurophu, uNdunankulu waseFinland uJyrki Katainen uthe emva kokudibana namagosa amabini ase-US. UKatainen uthe uxoxe noGeithner noBernanke ngeendlela zokubuyisela imali kwiibhanki ezisengxakini.
Kwiintsuku ezimbini emva kokuba igosa eliphezulu likarhulumente lathi ukufikelela kweSpain kwiimarike zamatyala kuvalwe; uNondyebo wabetha i-2 yebhiliyoni ekujoliswe kuyo (i-USD2.5 bn) kwintengiso yebhondi, yanciphisa inkxalabo malunga nokuxhasa imali kwindawo yesithathu enkulu yokusilela kohlahlo lwabiwo-mali.
IBhanki yaseNgilani ishiye isicwangciso sayo sovuselelo simisiwe njengoko isoyikiso esisuka kwixabiso lentengo ebesijolise kulo ligqithise iinkxalabo zabenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo malunga nomngcipheko kwi-UK ukusuka kwingxaki yamatyala aseYurophu.
I-China yehlise izinga lenzala okokuqala ukusukela ngo-2008, inyusa iinzame zokulwa nokudodobala koqoqosho oluya lukhula njengoko imeko yetyala eliya lisanda eYurophu isoyikisa ukukhula kwehlabathi. Umlinganiselo wemali-mboleko yonyaka omnye uya kuhla ukuya kwi-6.31% ukusuka kwi-6.56% esebenzayo ngomso. Idiphozithi yonyaka omnye iya kuwela kwi-3.25% ukusuka kwi-3.5%. Iibhanki nazo zinokubonelela ngesaphulelo se-20% kwireyithi yebenchmark yokuboleka imali.
Izitokhwe zaseJapan zenyuka, kunye ne-Topix Index ibeka eyona nkqubela inkulu yeentsuku ezintathu ukusukela ngoMatshi ka-2011, phakathi koqikelelo lwabenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo e-US, e-China naseYurophu baya kuthatha inyathelo lokukhuthaza ukukhula phakathi kobunzima betyala.
Idola ye-Euro:
I-EURUSD (1.2561) Idola yaqina kancinci ngokuchasene ne-euro ngoLwesine emva kokuba uSihlalo we-Federal Reserve u-Ben Bernanke elindele ubungqina kwiCongress kunye ne-China yokuqala yokunciphisa izinga lenzala kwiminyaka emithathu.
I-euro yathengiswa kwi-$ 1.2561, ihla kwi-$ 1.2580 ngexesha elifanayo ngoLwesithathu.
Idola ibe phantsi koxinzelelo kwangethuba emva kokuba i-China ibhengeze ukuba iza kuthoba inzala yayo ngekota yenqaku, phakathi kokukhula okucothayo kuqoqosho lwesibini ngobukhulu kwihlabathi.
Kodwa i-greenback yaqiniswa emva kokuba uSihlalo we-Fed uBernanke, kubungqina beCongress, wayenomdla malunga nokukhula "okuphakathi" kwaye akazange anike ntlupheko entsha.
Iponti enkulu yaseBritane
I-GBPUSD (1.5575) I-Sterling yenyuka yaya kwiveki enye ephezulu ngokuchasene nedola ngoLwesine emva kokuba iBhanki yaseNgilani ikhethe ukungayandisi inkqubo yayo yokuthenga i-asethi kunye ne-China ngokungalindelekanga yehlisa inzala, inyusa iimali ezinobungozi.
Intshukumo ye-BoE ibilindelwe ngokubanzi nangona igcuntswana lezoqoqosho liye lanika elinye ithuba lokuthomalalisa ngokomlinganiselo emva kokuqhutywa kwedatha ebuthathaka, kubandakanywa amanani abonisa ukudodobala koqoqosho e-UK bekunzulu kuneengcinga zangaphambili.
Ukumangala kwe-China kwabhengezwa ngexesha elifanayo njengoko i-BoE ibhengeze amaxabiso angatshintshiyo, njengoko kulindeleke.
Iponti inyuke nge-0.6 yeepesenti kwi-1.5575 yeedola emva kokuba ibethe i-1.5601 yeedola, eyona inamandla ukusukela nge-30 kaMeyi.
Imali yaseAsia-yePacific
I-USDJPY (79.71) Idola yenyuka yaya phezulu ukusuka ngoMeyi 25 ngokuchasene ne-yen ngoLwesine emva kokuba ingxelo ibonise inani labantu baseMelika abafuna izibonelelo ezitsha zokungaqeshwa kwehle kwiveki ephelileyo okokuqala ngqa ukusukela ngo-Epreli, isikhumbuzo sokuba imarike yabasebenzi abalimeleyo isaphiliswa kancinci.
Idola liye laphakama njenge-79.71 yen kwaye ekugqibeleni lithengiswa kwi-79.63 yen, i-0.8 ipesenti.
Ngaphambi kokuba uBernanke aqalise ubungqina bakhe kwiCongress, ukurhweba kuye kwaphenjelelwa ngamawele e-China amangalisayo kwimilinganiselo yenzala, ukunciphisa iindleko zokuboleka ukulwa nokukhula okungahambi kakuhle ngelixa enika iibhanki ukuguquguquka okongezelelweyo ukuseta amazinga ediphozithi.
Imfuno efanelekileyo kwifandesi yebhondi yaseSpain kunye nolindelo lokuba abenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo baseYurophu banokuthatha amanyathelo angaphezulu ukuxhasa uqoqosho lwehlabathi lukhokelele kwimfuno yemali ecingelwayo eyingozi njengedola yase-Australia, enyuke yaya kutsho phezulu kwiiveki ezintathu.
igolide
Igolide (1588.00) ikamva liye lehla, livala ngaphantsi kwe-US1,600 i-ounce okokuqala kwiveki emva kokuba usihlalo we-Federal Reserve yase-US u-Ben Bernanke engakhange achaze nawaphi na amanyathelo amatsha okunciphisa imali ngelixa ethetha neCongress.
Igolide igqithise i-1,600 yeedola nge-ounce ngolwesiHlanu odlulileyo emva kokuba ingxelo yemisebenzi yase-US engalunganga ikhokelele abanye abatyali-zimali ukuba bakholelwe ukuba ukunyuswa kwemali kusenokuba sendleleni.
Oko kunyuka kwamandla okuhlawula amatyala kwinkqubo yezemali kunokuba yinzuzo kwigolide, kuba abatyali-mali bathanda ukuguqukela kwigolide kunye nezinye iintsimbi ezixabisekileyo ukubiyela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okunokukhokelela.
Ikhontrakthi yegolide ethengisiweyo kakhulu, yokuhanjiswa kwe-Agasti, ngoLwesine yehla i-$ 46.20, okanye i-2.8 yeepesenti, ukuhlala kwi-$ 1,588.00 i-troy ounce kwi-Comex yecandelo leNew York Mercantile Exchange, elona xabiso liphantsi lokuhlalisa ukususela ngoMeyi 31.
UBernanke wenqabile ukujongana ngokuthe ngqo nomnye umjikelo wokunciphisa ubungakanani, wathi kwakungekudala ukuba alawule naziphi na izenzo ezinokwenzeka ngaphambi kokuba intlanganiso yeFed ezayo imiselwe ngoJuni 19-20.
I-oyile endala
Ioyile ekrwada (84.82) amaxabiso ehle kancinane emva kokuba usihlalo we-Federal Reserve uBen Bernanke watshitshisa amathemba omthengisi wokuvuselela ngokukhawuleza kuqoqosho olubuthathaka lwase-US.
Ikhontrakthi engundoqo yaseNew York, i-West Texas Intermediate crude yokuhanjiswa ngoJulayi ityibilike i-20 yeesenti zase-US ukuvala kwi-US84.82 umphanda.
Kwintengiso yaseLondon, i-Brent North Sea crude kaJulayi yahlala kwi-$ US99.93 umgqomo, phantsi kwe-71 yeesenti zase-US ukusuka kwinqanaba lokuvala ngoLwesithathu.
Ukungaphumeleli kukaMnu Bernanke ukubonakalisa nayiphi na inkuthazo entsha kwindlela yoqoqosho lwase-US, kumazwi ngoLwesine kwiphaneli yeCongressional, yathatha i-steam ngaphandle kwe-equity kunye neemarike zeoli.
Amaxabiso e-oyile eberhweba phezulu kakhulu, ekhuthazwa sisigqibo se-China sokuthoba inzala engundoqo njengoko ukukhula kuncipha kwelona lizwe lisebenzisa umbane likhulu ehlabathini.
Ixabiso leoli liye lehla kakhulu kwiinyanga ezintathu ezidlulileyo, kunye nekhontrakthi ephambili yaseNew York, i-West Texas Intermediate crude, ihla ukusuka kwi-110 yeedola emgqonyeni ekuqaleni kuka-Matshi kwiinkxalabo malunga nokudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi.
Umphathiswa wezamandla e-Algeria ngoLwesine ucele i-OPEC ukuba icuthe iziphumo kwintlanganiso yayo kwiveki ezayo ukuba amalungu e-oyile cartel aphule umda wawo.
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