Iimarike eziphambili ze-equity zase-US zivale i-flat, i-euro inyuka ngesiseko sedatha eqinile ye-Eurozone, isalathisi sendawo yedola yase-US siwela malunga ne-0.3%
Izalathi zezabelo zaseMelika; I-DJIA kunye ne-SPX, zonke zibonise ukuziphatha kwe-whipsawing ngexesha leseshini yokurhweba yaseNew York, ekhokelela abahlalutyi abaninzi bezobugcisa ukuba bacebise ukuba iimarike ze-equity mva nje zibonisa izibonakaliso zakudala zokufikelela ekupheleni kwe-2017 unyaka ogcweleyo we-bullish trend. Njengoko singena kwinto ebizwa ngokuba "ixesha lokufumana umvuzo" e-USA, uninzi lwezitokhwe ze-FAANG zijongeka phantsi koxinzelelo, ngakumbi izabelo zeAmazon, eziye zawa malunga ne-4% ngoLwesine, ngaphambi kokuxela umvuzo wayo emva kokuvalwa, isalathiso seNASDAQ siphulukene ne-circa. 2% kule veki. Ixesha lemivuzo lachazwa njengesizathu sokuba iimarike ze-equity ziqhubeke nokuprinta iirekhodi eziphezulu kwi-Q1-2 2018, nje ukuba inkqubo yokunciphisa irhafu kaTrump ibekwe amaxabiso, nangona kunjalo, kubonakala ngathi kukho uloyiko malunga ne: Apple, Alphabet (Google) kunye neAmazon, njengoko bonke bexela amanani abo onyaka emva kokuvalwa kwentengiso yangoLwesine.
Iimalike zezabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo nazo zibonakale ngathi zonakaliswe zibhondi ze-treasury zeminyaka elishumi zophula i-2.78%, njengesiphumo sento eguqulelwa njengengxelo ye-hawkish evela kwi-Fed/FOMC, emva kokuba inzala engundoqo igcinwe kwi-1.5%, ibhengezwe kwincopho ye-Fed/FOMC. Intlanganiso yabo yakutshanje yeentsuku ezimbini. Abahlalutyi kunye nabatyali-mali balungiselela imeko yenzala ye-2.75% ekupheleni kwe-2018, ekugqibeleni babulala i-bubble yeshumi elide kwimarike yebhondi.
Ngaphandle koloyiko, iindaba zekhalenda yezoqoqosho ezinxulumene ne-USA ubukhulu becala bezilungile; Ilahleko yemisebenzi yomceli mngeni ifike ngezantsi koqikelelo lwe--2.5%, amabango okuqala okungabikho kwemisebenzi evekini abetha uqikelelo lwe-230k, i-ISM yokuvelisa i-ISM yokuvelisa i-beat forecast ngokuza kwi-59.1 kunye noqikelelo lwenkcitho yolwakhiwo, luza kwi-0.7% ngoDisemba.
I-USD yafumana inzuzo edibeneyo ngexesha leeseshoni zokurhweba ngoLwesine; xa ithelekiswa ne-euro kunye neponti yase-UK i-USD nayo yawa, kodwa yenza iinzuzo eziphantsi malunga ne-0.2% xa ithelekiswa ne-yen. Isalathiso sedola sehle nge-0.3%, i-oyile ye-WTI yophule i-65 yeedola yesiphatho somphanda i-Brent isoyikisa inqanaba le-70 yeedola, ngelixa igolide inyuke nge-0.3%, ithatha kwakhona eyona nto ibalulekileyo ye-1350 yeedola, kwinqanaba elinye ngexesha leeseshoni zosuku.
Iindaba zezoqoqosho ze-Eurozone, ngendlela ye-PMIs yokuvelisa ngokubanzi evela: eItali, eFransi, eJamani kunye ne-EZ, yanceda i-euro ukuba inyuke ngokuchasene noninzi loontanga bayo, ufundo aluphumelelanga ukubetha uqikelelo ngomgama othile, nangona kunjalo, oku ekuqaleni unyaka ithemba labaphathi bokuthenga lamkelwa kakuhle ngabatyali-zimali kwiyuro. I-EUR/USD inyuke yaya kuthi ga kwi-0.8% ngosuku, ngelixa ibuyisela isibambo se-1.2500. Abatyali-zimali baseYurophu balile ukuthenga ithemba; zonke ii-indices ezihamba phambili zivaliwe, i-DAX nge-1.41. %
I-Sterling ifumene inzuzo ngexesha leeseshoni zangoLwesine, amahemuhemu aqokelele ukuba ibhanki ephakathi yase-UK i-BoE iya kuzisa umgaqo-nkqubo we-hawkish njengoko bebhengeza isigqibo sabo senzala yesiseko samva nje, ngelixa ukuvumelana kwe-economists ku-polled kuxhomekeke kwimbono yokuba amazinga aya kubanjwa kwi-0.5% . Irhuluneli, uMark Carney, unokuhambisa inkcazo yesikhokelo phambili, ecebisa ukuqiniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wemali, ukuqala kwiinyanga zasentwasahlobo. I-GBP/USD yenyuka nge-0.5% ngemini, ngokuchasene ne-yen yeponti yase-UK yenyuka nge-0.5%. Ngelixa i-PMIs yokuvelisa yayilungile kwi-EZ ukufundwa kwe-UK kwehle kakhulu, inqanaba layo eliphantsi ukususela ngoJuni 2017, lingena kwi-55.3, lilahlekile uqikelelo lwe-56.5.
I-AUD yawa ngokuchasene noninzi loontanga bayo emva kokuba amanani okwakha amva nje ase-Australia apapashwe ngentsasa yangoLwesibini ekuseni, aphoswe uqikelelo loqikelelo ngomgama othile. Ukuvunywa kwezakhiwo kwehle nge-20% ngenyanga kaDisemba, kunye neYoY yehla nge-5.5%, ukusuka kwi-18.1% yokunyuka ngoNovemba. Amaxabiso avela kumazwe angaphandle anyuke nge-2%, amaxabiso athunyelwa ngaphandle nge-2.8% QoQ kwikota yesine. Abatyalomali bathathe le datha njengobungqina bokuba i-RBA iya kunqanda ukuphakamisa inzala yemali engundoqo ngexesha lentlanganiso yabo kwiveki ezayo. I-AUD / i-USD ivaliwe i-0.2%, iphinda ibuyiselwe kwi-0.6% yangaphambili.
I-USDOLLAR
I-USD / JPY ithengiswa kuluhlu oluncinci kunye ne-bias ukuya phezulu, iphula i-R1 ngexesha leseshoni yasekuseni yaseYurophu kunye ne-109.00 handle, kunye nokuvala usuku malunga ne-0.3% kwi-109.46. I-USD / CHF ithengiswa kwitshaneli ebanzi yemihla ngemihla, iwela nge-S1, ukubamba ukuwa kwayo ngaphambi nje kwe-S2, phantsi malunga ne-0.6% kwi-0.9265. I-USD / CAD ithengiswa kwi-bearish range, iwa malunga ne-0.2% ngosuku kwi-1.226.
UKUQALA
I-GBP/USD irhweba ngoluhlu olubanzi lwe-bullish ngexesha leeseshoni zemini, ekuqaleni iwela nge-S1, intambo ibuyiselwe ukophula i-R1, emva koko inyuke iye kuvala nge-1.426, inyuke malunga ne-0.5% ngemini. I-GPB / CHF ibethelwe nge-whips emini, ekuqaleni inyuka nge-R2, ukuze ibuyele umva ngokukrakra kwaye isuse inzuzo, ivale i-1.321, kufuphi ne-flat ngosuku, kunye nexabiso elifikelela kufuphi ne-pivot yemihla ngemihla. Ukususela ekuphuleni i-100 DMA (ebekwe kwi-1.313) ukuya kwi-downside ngoJanuwari 30th, i-GBP / CHF iye yabuyiselwa ngamandla.
EURO
I-EUR / GBP ithengiswa kwi-tight range kunye ne-bias ukuya kwi-downside, ewela kwi-S1, emva koko i-reversal direction, iphetha usuku kwi-circa 0.876, i-flat ngosuku kunye nexabiso elisondeleyo kwi-PP yemihla ngemihla. I-EUR/USD inyuke nge-approx. I-0.6% ngosuku, emva kokuyeka ekuqaleni nge-PP, isibini semali sabuya umva, ukuya kufikelela kwi-R2 kwaye sivale kwi-circa 1.2508. I-EUR / CHF ithengiswa malunga ne-approx. Uluhlu lwe-0.2% ngexesha lemini, ukuvala ngokusondeleyo kwi-flat kufuphi ne-PP yemihla ngemihla kwi-1.158.
GOLD
I-XAU/USD yaqala yawela kwi-PP yemihla ngemihla ifikelela kwi-intraday ephantsi ye-1,337, ngaphambi kokuba ibuyele ekufikeleleni kwi-intraday ephezulu ye-1,351, isinyithi esixabisekileyo saphela usuku malunga ne-1,348, malunga ne-0.3% ngosuku.
I-INDICES SNAPSHOT YE-1 FEBRUWARI.
• I-DJIA ivale i-0.14%.
• I-SPX ivale i-0.06%.
• I-NASDAQ ivale i-0.35%.
• I-FTSE 100 ivale i-0.57%.
• I-DAX ivale i-1.41%.
• I-CAC ivale i-0.50%.
• I-EURO STOXX ivalwe nge-0.88%
IMICIMBI YEKHALENDA YOQOQOSHO NGOWE-2 FEBRUWARI ENGUNDOQO.
• IGBP. Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI (JAN).
• I-EUR. I-Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (YoY) (DEC).
• IUSD. Utshintsho kwiiPayrolls ezingezizo ezefama (JAN).
• IUSD. Inqanaba lokungaphangeli (JAN).
• IUSD. Imiyalelo yeFactory (DEC).
• IUSD. Iiodolo zeMpahla eGqibelekayo (DEC F).
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