Masenze itheko ngokungathi li-19,999.
Ngesinye isihlandlo, ngexesha leseshini yokurhweba yaseNew York ngoLwesihlanu i-6th kaJanuwari, i-DJIA yafikelela kwindawo ephezulu kwimbali, ifikelela kwi-19,999, inqaku elinye elihlazo 'lokuphatha' kwengqondo ye-20,000. I-FTSE 100 yase-UK iprinte iirekhodi ezininzi kwiveki ephela nge-6 kaJanuwari, iphele iveki kwi-7,210.
Iingcali zezoqoqosho ezininzi xa zixutyushwa, zicebisa ukuba i-post-presidential, i-bounce yonyulo, iya kuphelelwa, emva kokuvulwa kwe-20 kaJanuwari. Uninzi luxela kwangaphambili ukuba ukunyuka kwemarike ye-equity yamva nje kuya kuhla (nge-sterling), nje ukuba izicwangciso zeBrexit zikhutshwe ngurhulumente wase-UK. Nangona kunjalo, kukho abahlalutyi abaninzi kunye neengcali zezoqoqosho ezinombono ochaseneyo.
Nangona kukho izinto ezininzi ezixhalabisayo, ngokwemilinganiselo yemveli yeemarike zemasheya 'ezixabisa ukufikelela kumanqanaba awothusayo, kubonakala kungekho nqanaba liphezulu lokuxhathisa, okanye isiganeko sedada elimnyama kufutshane, esinokubangela ukuba kuthengiswe ngesiquphe. Nangona kunjalo, kufuneka sihlale siphaphile ukuba iziganeko ze-swan ezimnyama (ngokwendalo yazo) azifane zixelwe kwangaphambili kwizinto eziqhelekileyo.
Umlinganiselo wangoku we-P/E we-FTSE 100 yase-UK yi-circa 34, i-avareji yembali yi-15. Umlinganiselo we-P/E uchazwa ngcono njengomlinganiselo wexabiso lesabelo senkampani xa kuthelekiswa nengeniso yesabelo ngasinye. Njengoko igama lisitsho, ukubala i-P/E, uthatha ngokulula ixabiso lempahla yangoku yenkampani kwaye uhlukanise ngengeniso yayo ngesabelo ngasinye (EPS): I-P/E Ratio = Ixabiso leMarike ngeSabelo ngasinye. Umvuzo ngeSabelo ngasinye (EPS). Ke ngoko isalathiso esiphambili sase-UK kukuxabisa ngokobuchwephesha iinkampani ezininzi kwinqanaba lazo lembali kabini.
Abahlalutyi abaninzi basebenzisa i-"Case Schiller Ratio" ukulinganisa i-USA Standard & Poor's index (SPX 500). Ibizwa ngokuba yi "CAPE" imele; iCyclic-Adjusted Price-to-Earning ratio equka iminyaka eli-10 edlulileyo. Umlinganiselo wangoku ngu-28.16, inqanaba eliphakathi li-16.05. Elona nqanaba liphezulu lirekhodiweyo lalingoDisemba 1999 kuma-44.19, elona nqanaba liphantsi lirekhodiweyo laliyi-4.78 ngoDisemba ka-1920. Kunokucingelwa ukuba iimarike zase-USA zisenomthamo omninzi wokunyukela phezulu; ukuya phezulu kwinqanaba eligqithileyo elingqinwe phambi kwe-dot com crash ka-1999-2000. Ngaphandle koko, abatyali-mali kunye nabahlalutyi banokufumanisa ukuba ixabiso le-SPX okwangoku li-42% lixatyiswe kakhulu, ngokubhekiselele kwinqanaba eliphakathi.
Omnye umba uninzi lwabahlalutyi kunye neengcali zezoqoqosho ezimanyene kuwo, yindlela ezi rekhodi ziphakamileyo ekufikelelwe kuzo; hayi ngokusebenza kwenkampani erekhodiweyo, kodwa ngamazinga emali aphantsi kakhulu, ukuvumela iinkampani ezinkulu ezicatshulweyo ukuba zizibandakanye ekuthengeni isitokhwe sazo, ukuze kunyuswe ixabiso lesabelo kunye nokunyusa izabelo.
Umzekelo, iinkampani zase-USA zichithe malunga ne-2.5 yeetriliyoni zeedola kule minyaka mithandathu idlulileyo zisenza ezo zinto. Ngokuqinisekileyo, inkqubo enjalo yayiza kuthiwa "urhwebo lwangaphakathi" emva kwe-1982. Oku kwatshintsha xa iKhomishoni yezoKhuseleko kunye noTshintshiselwano igqithise umgaqo we-10b-18, owavula amasango ezikhukula ukuba iinkampani ziqale ukuphinda zithenge izabelo zabo ngobuninzi. Ngokumalunga nokuba lo mkhuba ungaqhubeka okanye awuqhubeki, ukuba amazinga ase-USA afikelela kwinto ecingelwa ukuba 'yesiqhelo' ye-3% ekupheleni kwe-2018, ayinakwenzeka kakhulu.
Idola, ngokuhambelana neemarike zezabelo zamashishini ase-USA, yonwabele ukunyuselwa konyulo lukamongameli, ngakumbi ngenxa yentlanganiso kaDisemba ye-FOMC, apho kwabhengezwa i-0.25% yenqanaba lokunyuka. I-euro isondele kwi-parity kunye nedola, ngelixa i-sterling yehle malunga ne-20% xa ithelekiswa ne-USD, ukususela nge-23rd kaJuni kwisigqibo se-Brexit yereferendamu. Kwaye i-yen yehle nge-17% xa ithelekiswa nedola, ukusukela ngo-Agasti ka-2016.
Iziganeko zekhalenda yezoqoqosho zenqaku le-9 kaJanuwari 2016, onke amaxesha acatshulwe ngamaxesha aseLondon.
07:00, imali eyenziwe EUR. Imveliso yoShishino lwaseJamani. Ingqikelelo yeyokuba izinga loqikelelo lweshishini laseJamani linyuke laya kutsho kwi-1.9% kwinyanga kaNovemba, ukusuka kwi-1.2% ngaphambili.
07:00, imali eyenziwe EUR. Ibhalansi yoRhwebo lwaseJamani (i-euro) (NOV). IJamani yohlukile ngokufanelekileyo phakathi kwezizwe eziphambili ze-G10, ekuthumeleni ibhalansi elungileyo yorhwebo; bathumela ngaphandle ngaphezu kokuba bathenga kumazwe angaphandle. Ukuqikelelwa ngoNovemba yi-20.3b ye-euro, ukusuka kwi-19.3b ye-euro ngaphambili.
09:30, imali eyenziwe EUR. I-Euro-Zone Sentix Intembeko yabatyali-zimali (JAN). Uqikelelo oluvela kwii-economists ezivotelwe kufundo lwe-12.8, olunyuka ukusuka kuDisemba odlulileyo ukufundwa kwe-10.
10:00, imali eyenziwe EUR. Umyinge we-Euro-Zone Unemployment (NOV). Ulindelo kukuba i-headline ye-Eurozone izinga lokungaqeshwa liya kuhlala lihleli kwi-9.8%.
20:00, imali eyenziwe USD. Ityala loMthengi. Uqikelelo lucebisa ukuba intengo yetyala yabathengi base-USA iya kuba inyukile, ikakhulu ngenxa yezizathu zonyaka, nge-$18.400b ukusuka kwi-16.018b yeedola yokunyuka kwinyanga edlulileyo.
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