NgoSeptemba 14 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 10828 izimvo • Comments Off xa uyikhaba engceni ende, uyikhabe ngakumbi, emva koko uyingcwabe
Kwakukho oosomashishini abahlonitshwayo abanjengoNouriel Roubini, owathi, ngowama-2005 ukuya kowama-2006, wabona imingcipheko yenkqubo yeebhanki yezithunzi eyayinokubangela imarike zentengo yemboleko. Ukufika kokubanjwa kwentliziyo ngo-2007-2008, kuqhutyelwa ngu-Bear Sterns kwaye ekugqibeleni kukhokelela ekuweni kuka-Lehman, iingcali zezoqoqosho ezifana no-Nouriel azizange zibambe ixesha elinokugula "Ndakuxelela njalo" bethetha intetho, endaweni yoko banika izisombululo kwaye babikezela ingozi Isiphumo ukuba ezi ngcebiso zingahoywa…
Isiphakamiso esenziwe ngoochwephesha kwezoqoqosho ngelo xesha yayikukuba 'isitalato esikhulu' sasifuna ukuhlangulwa endaweni yeWall Street. Intsingiselo yokuba ukusilela kwenkqubo kuye kwangena nzulu kwinkqubo yeebhanki kunye nokusetyenziswa kwemali koluntu lwethu ekuhlanguleni kuphela ukusuka ezantsi ukuya phezulu, ngokuvumela i-'Joe Six Pack 'ukuba icime inani lamatyala akhe, endaweni yoko Iibhanki ezenza okufanayo, zinokunceda ukulungisa umonakalo.
Abanefuthe kumajelo osasazo aphambili kunye nemikhosi enamandla yokuphembelela bazame ukusicenga ukuba sibuyele ngo-2008 ukuba iibhanki zazinengxaki yokuhlawula amatyala hayi ingxaki yokusombulula ingxaki. Oku kungqineke kuyeyona nto igwetyiweyo kwaye iyingozi, yayiyimeko yokuxazulula ingxaki ekhokelela ekukhawuleziseni nasekunkcenkcesheleni iliso ibheyile kunye nokuhlangula okuya kuthatha izizukulwana ukuba zihlawule. Umthwalo obabazekayo wokuhlangulwa kunye nokukhutshwa kwebheyile kuya kuhlala kwimiqolo yabantu abaninzi nakwizizukulwana ezizayo. Amanani kunqabile ukuba axoxwe kumajelo eendaba aqhelekileyo, nangona kunjalo, uqikelelo lubonisa ukuba, e-UK kuphela, umthwalo kumntu ngamnye unokuba usondela kwi- £ 35,000. Elo 'lityala lesithunzi' elifihliweyo eliya kuthi lixhonywe kukungazi kumashumi eminyaka ngokusebenzisa irhafu ethe ngqo nengathanga ngqo, okanye ngokulahleka kweenkonzo ezibonakalayo okanye ezingaphathekiyo ezibalulekileyo- "konke okukuko kunye" 'amanyathelo angqongqo' ..
Kwakungenakuphepheka ukuba imiba yokuhlawula amatyala ingakhange iphathwe ngokuchanekileyo umva ngo-2008-2009, isahluko esilandelayo kwisahluko esivelayo siya kuba sisifo esibuhlungu. Siphinde sancokola kwimithombo yeendaba ukuba iibhanki ezinjengeSoc Gen okanye iAgriole yeTyala baneengxaki "zokuhlawula amatyala" hayi imiba yokusombulula ngelixa amazwe 'e-PIIGS' (aboleka kuwo imali) asilele nje. Impikiswano yokuba i-Europe ayiphumelelanga ukuyifumana ngendlela eyiyo indlu, xa i-USA ne-UK bezingazihlambanga, i-Euroland iye yafumana ubungakanani bayo bokunciphisa i-ECB kunye ne-Euro centric bank zahlangulwa ngokungxama nobungakanani obufanayo kwiibhanki zase-UK ..
Ingxelo ka-Vickers e-vaunited kwaye elindelweyo e-UK icebisa ukwahlulwa kwenkqubo yeebhanki zentengiso kunye notyalo-mali ngowama-2019. Esi 'sisombululo' sisegumbini elifanayo lezoqoqosho 101 njengesivumelwano saseBasel, osithelekelele, naso siyaya ngumthetho wokugqibela ngowama-2019. Akukho nkqubo engaphumeleliyo ukujongana neyona nto iphambili ngeli thuba ukucingisisa okungcungcuthekiswayo kunye nokuzibekel 'amangomso into yokuba izigqibo kunye nabenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo bazama ukuthenga ixesha .. kwakhona ..
Iindaba ngale ntsasa zokuba iGrisi inethuba elingama-98% lokungaphumeleli azimangalisi, incoko ngoku imalunga "nokungabinamali yokuhlengahlengisa". Malunga nokuba oku kubandakanya ntoni ukuba kuhlala kubonakala, ngokuqinisekileyo uxanduva kunye nokugxila kuyakuba kulawulo lweendaba kunye nokujikeleza ngokuchasene nokulungisa iingxaki. Ngenxa yokuba isivuno seminyaka emibini yamaGrike sinyuke ngamanqaku angama-480, okanye iipesenti ezingama-4.8, ukuya kwiipesenti ezingama-74.35, emva kokufikelela kwirekhodi iipesenti ezingama-74.88 kwangoko namhlanje umbuzo olula kufuneka ubuzwe; “Ingaba ilizwe lingaze lihlawule njani inzala engaka?” Isibophelelo seminyaka eli-10 yesizwe sivelisa amanqaku asisiseko angama-31 ukuya kwiipesenti ezingama-23.85, emva kokufikelela kwipesenti ezingama-25.01. Isityholo sokushukuma ngentla kwesenzo sinokuhlawuliswa nakwabenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo base-Italiya banikezela ngamagosa abo kumagosa amaTshayina ukuba asebenze njengebhanki yabo ekhethekileyo yokugqibela ebhengezwe izolo phambi kwentengiso ebalulekileyo yase-Itali ngale ntsasa.
Iimarike zaseAsia zaxutywa kubusuku bobusuku nakorhwebo lwakusasa I-Nikkei yaqhubela phambili ukuvala i-0.95%, kodwa i-Hang Seng yaphahlazeka nge-circa ye-4.21% ishiya isalathiso phantsi nge-12.3% ngonyaka. I-CSI (iShanghai) nayo ivaliwe nge-1.12% iyishiya ingama-7.24% ngonyaka. I-ASX ivale i-0.85% ngelixa i-NZX ivala i-0.66%. I-UK ftse okwangoku yehla nge-0.5% ngelixa ikamva le-SPX lemihla ngemihla licebisa ukuba kuvulwe i-circa ye-0.8% ezantsi. Igolide iphantsi kwe- $ 3 nge-ounce kunye neBrent ekrwada i- $ 8 ngomgqomo.
I-euro iye yawa xa ithelekiswa ne-yen kunye nedola kwaye yahlala phantse ukuba i-SNB ithathe isigqibo sokuba iya kuba ngokuchasene ne-franc kwi-1.200. I-Sterling iwile xa ithelekiswa nedola kunye ne-yen. I-Aussie nayo iwile xa ithelekiswa nedola, i-yen kunye ne-swissy. I-loonie (idola yaseCanada) ibonakalise ukuba ikhuselekile ngokuthelekiswa nezinye iimali eziphambili mva nje, nangona kunjalo, ingabi nomtsalane njengoko ezinye iimali zaseScandinavia zibonakala, zithatha, kwaye yinto enkulu yokucinga, ukuba ukulungele ukuhlawula usasazeko. Umzekelo ukusasazeka okuphakathi kweepips ezingama-30 kwi-euro / nok (krone yaseNorway) kuyenza indawo yokurhweba ngaphandle kwesibindi kuphela.
Ushicilelo lwedatha kamva namhlanje lubandakanya amaxabiso okungenisa e-USA kunye nohlahlo-lwabiwo mali lwaseMelika, amaxabiso okugqibela aphezulu ngokwempembelelo. Ingxelo yenyanga yentsilelo okanye intsalela ebanjwe ngurhulumente wase-US. Ingxelo ibonelela ngolwazi oluneenkcukacha ngokubhekisele kwiirisithi zomdibaniso kunye nolwandiso olusekwe kwiingxelo zobalo mali zamashishini aseburhulumenteni, amagosa ahambisa imali kunye neengxelo zeFederal Reserve Bank. INgxelo yoHlahlo-lwabiwo mali yeNyanga (intsalela) ibonisa ukuba iirisithi zigqithile kumhla obekiweyo. Ngokuchasene noko, inani elibi (intsilelo) libonisa ityala likarhulumente. Okulindelweyo (okuvela eBloomberg) kwiphaneli yezoQoqosho ekuphononongwe kubo kuphakamisa ulindelo oluphakathi lwe- $ 132.0B, xa kuthelekiswa nenani lenyanga ephelileyo- $ 90.5B.
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Yikhabe engceni ende, uyikhabe ngakumbi, emva koko uyingcwabe
NgoSeptemba 14 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 10828 izimvo • Comments Off xa uyikhaba engceni ende, uyikhabe ngakumbi, emva koko uyingcwabe
Kwakukho oosomashishini abahlonitshwayo abanjengoNouriel Roubini, owathi, ngowama-2005 ukuya kowama-2006, wabona imingcipheko yenkqubo yeebhanki yezithunzi eyayinokubangela imarike zentengo yemboleko. Ukufika kokubanjwa kwentliziyo ngo-2007-2008, kuqhutyelwa ngu-Bear Sterns kwaye ekugqibeleni kukhokelela ekuweni kuka-Lehman, iingcali zezoqoqosho ezifana no-Nouriel azizange zibambe ixesha elinokugula "Ndakuxelela njalo" bethetha intetho, endaweni yoko banika izisombululo kwaye babikezela ingozi Isiphumo ukuba ezi ngcebiso zingahoywa…
Isiphakamiso esenziwe ngoochwephesha kwezoqoqosho ngelo xesha yayikukuba 'isitalato esikhulu' sasifuna ukuhlangulwa endaweni yeWall Street. Intsingiselo yokuba ukusilela kwenkqubo kuye kwangena nzulu kwinkqubo yeebhanki kunye nokusetyenziswa kwemali koluntu lwethu ekuhlanguleni kuphela ukusuka ezantsi ukuya phezulu, ngokuvumela i-'Joe Six Pack 'ukuba icime inani lamatyala akhe, endaweni yoko Iibhanki ezenza okufanayo, zinokunceda ukulungisa umonakalo.
Abanefuthe kumajelo osasazo aphambili kunye nemikhosi enamandla yokuphembelela bazame ukusicenga ukuba sibuyele ngo-2008 ukuba iibhanki zazinengxaki yokuhlawula amatyala hayi ingxaki yokusombulula ingxaki. Oku kungqineke kuyeyona nto igwetyiweyo kwaye iyingozi, yayiyimeko yokuxazulula ingxaki ekhokelela ekukhawuleziseni nasekunkcenkcesheleni iliso ibheyile kunye nokuhlangula okuya kuthatha izizukulwana ukuba zihlawule. Umthwalo obabazekayo wokuhlangulwa kunye nokukhutshwa kwebheyile kuya kuhlala kwimiqolo yabantu abaninzi nakwizizukulwana ezizayo. Amanani kunqabile ukuba axoxwe kumajelo eendaba aqhelekileyo, nangona kunjalo, uqikelelo lubonisa ukuba, e-UK kuphela, umthwalo kumntu ngamnye unokuba usondela kwi- £ 35,000. Elo 'lityala lesithunzi' elifihliweyo eliya kuthi lixhonywe kukungazi kumashumi eminyaka ngokusebenzisa irhafu ethe ngqo nengathanga ngqo, okanye ngokulahleka kweenkonzo ezibonakalayo okanye ezingaphathekiyo ezibalulekileyo- "konke okukuko kunye" 'amanyathelo angqongqo' ..
Kwakungenakuphepheka ukuba imiba yokuhlawula amatyala ingakhange iphathwe ngokuchanekileyo umva ngo-2008-2009, isahluko esilandelayo kwisahluko esivelayo siya kuba sisifo esibuhlungu. Siphinde sancokola kwimithombo yeendaba ukuba iibhanki ezinjengeSoc Gen okanye iAgriole yeTyala baneengxaki "zokuhlawula amatyala" hayi imiba yokusombulula ngelixa amazwe 'e-PIIGS' (aboleka kuwo imali) asilele nje. Impikiswano yokuba i-Europe ayiphumelelanga ukuyifumana ngendlela eyiyo indlu, xa i-USA ne-UK bezingazihlambanga, i-Euroland iye yafumana ubungakanani bayo bokunciphisa i-ECB kunye ne-Euro centric bank zahlangulwa ngokungxama nobungakanani obufanayo kwiibhanki zase-UK ..
Ingxelo ka-Vickers e-vaunited kwaye elindelweyo e-UK icebisa ukwahlulwa kwenkqubo yeebhanki zentengiso kunye notyalo-mali ngowama-2019. Esi 'sisombululo' sisegumbini elifanayo lezoqoqosho 101 njengesivumelwano saseBasel, osithelekelele, naso siyaya ngumthetho wokugqibela ngowama-2019. Akukho nkqubo engaphumeleliyo ukujongana neyona nto iphambili ngeli thuba ukucingisisa okungcungcuthekiswayo kunye nokuzibekel 'amangomso into yokuba izigqibo kunye nabenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo bazama ukuthenga ixesha .. kwakhona ..
Iindaba ngale ntsasa zokuba iGrisi inethuba elingama-98% lokungaphumeleli azimangalisi, incoko ngoku imalunga "nokungabinamali yokuhlengahlengisa". Malunga nokuba oku kubandakanya ntoni ukuba kuhlala kubonakala, ngokuqinisekileyo uxanduva kunye nokugxila kuyakuba kulawulo lweendaba kunye nokujikeleza ngokuchasene nokulungisa iingxaki. Ngenxa yokuba isivuno seminyaka emibini yamaGrike sinyuke ngamanqaku angama-480, okanye iipesenti ezingama-4.8, ukuya kwiipesenti ezingama-74.35, emva kokufikelela kwirekhodi iipesenti ezingama-74.88 kwangoko namhlanje umbuzo olula kufuneka ubuzwe; “Ingaba ilizwe lingaze lihlawule njani inzala engaka?” Isibophelelo seminyaka eli-10 yesizwe sivelisa amanqaku asisiseko angama-31 ukuya kwiipesenti ezingama-23.85, emva kokufikelela kwipesenti ezingama-25.01. Isityholo sokushukuma ngentla kwesenzo sinokuhlawuliswa nakwabenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo base-Italiya banikezela ngamagosa abo kumagosa amaTshayina ukuba asebenze njengebhanki yabo ekhethekileyo yokugqibela ebhengezwe izolo phambi kwentengiso ebalulekileyo yase-Itali ngale ntsasa.
Iimarike zaseAsia zaxutywa kubusuku bobusuku nakorhwebo lwakusasa I-Nikkei yaqhubela phambili ukuvala i-0.95%, kodwa i-Hang Seng yaphahlazeka nge-circa ye-4.21% ishiya isalathiso phantsi nge-12.3% ngonyaka. I-CSI (iShanghai) nayo ivaliwe nge-1.12% iyishiya ingama-7.24% ngonyaka. I-ASX ivale i-0.85% ngelixa i-NZX ivala i-0.66%. I-UK ftse okwangoku yehla nge-0.5% ngelixa ikamva le-SPX lemihla ngemihla licebisa ukuba kuvulwe i-circa ye-0.8% ezantsi. Igolide iphantsi kwe- $ 3 nge-ounce kunye neBrent ekrwada i- $ 8 ngomgqomo.
I-euro iye yawa xa ithelekiswa ne-yen kunye nedola kwaye yahlala phantse ukuba i-SNB ithathe isigqibo sokuba iya kuba ngokuchasene ne-franc kwi-1.200. I-Sterling iwile xa ithelekiswa nedola kunye ne-yen. I-Aussie nayo iwile xa ithelekiswa nedola, i-yen kunye ne-swissy. I-loonie (idola yaseCanada) ibonakalise ukuba ikhuselekile ngokuthelekiswa nezinye iimali eziphambili mva nje, nangona kunjalo, ingabi nomtsalane njengoko ezinye iimali zaseScandinavia zibonakala, zithatha, kwaye yinto enkulu yokucinga, ukuba ukulungele ukuhlawula usasazeko. Umzekelo ukusasazeka okuphakathi kweepips ezingama-30 kwi-euro / nok (krone yaseNorway) kuyenza indawo yokurhweba ngaphandle kwesibindi kuphela.
Ushicilelo lwedatha kamva namhlanje lubandakanya amaxabiso okungenisa e-USA kunye nohlahlo-lwabiwo mali lwaseMelika, amaxabiso okugqibela aphezulu ngokwempembelelo. Ingxelo yenyanga yentsilelo okanye intsalela ebanjwe ngurhulumente wase-US. Ingxelo ibonelela ngolwazi oluneenkcukacha ngokubhekisele kwiirisithi zomdibaniso kunye nolwandiso olusekwe kwiingxelo zobalo mali zamashishini aseburhulumenteni, amagosa ahambisa imali kunye neengxelo zeFederal Reserve Bank. INgxelo yoHlahlo-lwabiwo mali yeNyanga (intsalela) ibonisa ukuba iirisithi zigqithile kumhla obekiweyo. Ngokuchasene noko, inani elibi (intsilelo) libonisa ityala likarhulumente. Okulindelweyo (okuvela eBloomberg) kwiphaneli yezoQoqosho ekuphononongwe kubo kuphakamisa ulindelo oluphakathi lwe- $ 132.0B, xa kuthelekiswa nenani lenyanga ephelileyo- $ 90.5B.
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