Uqikelelo lwendalo kwiveki eqala nge-3 kaJulayi 2013

Agasti 5 • Izihloko ezifakiwe, Ngaba iTrendle isenguMhlobo wakho • 6354 izimvo • Comments Off Kwindlela yokuqikelela yeveki eqala nge-3 kaJulayi 2013

Njengoko i-SPX ifikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu lokurekhoda amanani eNFP ayaphoxeka, kodwa idola ihlala ithengiwe.

Njengokungathi ubungqina obufunekayo ukuba i-Fed iqhubekile ukuzibophelela kwimali Ukunciphisa kuphembelela ukunyuka kwezalathisi eziphambili ze-equities ze-SPX, i-DJIA kunye ne-NASDAQ, ifike ngohlobo lweziganeko ezininzi zeendaba eziphoxayo kwiveki ephelileyo zisilela ukukhupha 'ibhidi' kula maxesha kunye neemarike. Uluhlu lwedatha engekho mgangathweni oluvela e-USA kwiveki ephelileyo belubaluleke kakhulu, kodwa ibikukushicilelwa kakubi kwemisebenzi okubangele ukuba abahlalutyi abaninzi bahlale phantsi banike ingqwalasela. Ushicilelo olubi lwezoqoqosho lubandakanya oku kulandelayo;

Ngaphandle kweziganeko zeendaba ezimnandi ezingathandekiyo zokuphikisa idatha engeyiyo, ngaphandle kwe-USA GDP inyuke yaya kwi-1.7% inyanga nenyanga kunye novavanyo olwahlukeneyo lokuzithemba kwabathengi oluqinisekileyo, iimakethi zonyukile, njengoko kwenza idola xa kuthelekiswa neeperali zayo zontanga.

Oku kunyuka kwe-greenback kwiiseshini zorhwebo zeveki ephelileyo kubangele utshintsho kwiindlela zexesha elide ezicwangcisiweyo kwitshathi yemihla ngemihla kwaye olu tshintsho siza kulujonga ngakumbi malunga nokuqhubekeka okunokwenzeka kule veki yangoku.

 

Imisitho yomgaqo-nkqubo, okanye imicimbi yeendaba ekumgangatho ophezulu njengeveki, enokuthi ichaphazele iimvakalelo kwaye iguqule imikhwa.

Iinkonzo ze-PMI ze-UK zipapashwa ngoMvulo. Kuqoqosho oluxhomekeke kakhulu kuqoqosho lweenkonzo ukuqinisa ukuzithemba kunye nabahlalutyi bentsebenzo yezoqoqosho babeka amaxabiso kufundo oluphuculweyo lwama-57.4 xa luthelekiswa nama-56.5 ngaphambili. Amanani okuvelisa, ngoncedo lwe-ONS yase-UK nayo iya kushicilelwa ngoLwesibini. Ngaphambili ushicilelo lwaluyi-0.8% engalunganga, kulindeleke ukuba kuprintwe nge-0.9% elungileyo. Ukuba inani lihlala li-negative oku kunokuqala ukubuza i-PMI efanelekileyo enikezelwe nguMarkit ngaphambili kwaye ichaphazele ixabiso le-sterling xa lithelekiswa noontanga bayo abakhulu.

Ibhalansi yorhwebo yase-USA iya kubekwa esweni ngononophelo ngoLwesibini ukwenzela ukusebenza koqoqosho oluzinzileyo kunye nokuqinisekisa ukuba ukukhula kwamva nje kunobunzima obubambekayo. Uluhlu lwe-oyile ekrwada e-USA nalo luyakuchaphazela ixabiso le-oyile kwaye luveze ukuba 'lunxanelwe' kangakanani na uqoqosho lwase-USA ngamandla.

Izinga lengqesho yase-Australia eprintwe ngokuhlwa kwangoLwesithathu/ngoLwesine kusasa inokugqiba ukuba i-hawkish, okanye i-dovish urhulumente wase-Aussie kwaye ingaba kukho nayiphi na i-appetitive kwi-RBA yokunciphisa inzala ngokukrakra kunokuba bekuxoxiwe ngaphambili.

NgoLwesine ubona inkomfa yabezindaba ye-BOJ eya kugqiba ukuba i-BOJ kunye norhulumente waseJapan bazimisele kangakanani kwiinjongo zabo ezahlukeneyo ezichaziweyo malunga nokunyuka kwamaxabiso, ukukhula kunye nokunciphisa imali.

Amabango aqhubekayo okungasebenzi e-USA anokubekwa esweni ngokusondeleyo ngakumbi kuneeveki ezidlulileyo ngoLwesine ngenxa yoshicilelo oludanisa kakhulu lwe-NFP. Isibikezelo sesokuba amabango aqhubekayo angene kwi-336K.

 

Ukujongwa komkhwa ngeveki

Forex

I-EUR/USD ayiphumelelanga ukufikelela kumazinga aphezulu ngexesha leeseshoni zorhwebo zeveki ephelileyo ukuphakamisa urhano lokuba imeko yangoku ifikelele esiphelweni sendalo. Iintsuku ezine kwezintlanu zokurhweba ziphele ngeHiekin Ashi dojis zamandla ahlukeneyo nokubonakala. Nangona kunjalo, i-DMI isathembisile, i-MACD ngokufanayo, i-RSI ngoku ifunda ngaphezulu kwe-70, ngelixa i-stochastics isekwindawo ethengwe kakhulu kodwa ingekawi.

Ibhendi ye-Bollinger ephakathi yaphulwa kwi-downside ngexesha leeseshoni zokurhweba zangoLwesihlanu, oku kwakukuphela kwesibonakaliso, vala iphethini yesenzo sexabiso eliboniswe yikhandlela lemihla ngemihla le-Heikin Ashi, elicebisa ukuba i-bullish trend yangoku iphelile. Ukuba abarhwebi bangene kurhwebo, ngokwendlela ye-classical trend indicators ngoJulayi 11th, ke inzuzo yepip kufuneka ibaluleke. Abarhwebi bayacetyiswa ukuba bajonge ezinye izikhombisi ezimbi, mhlawumbi ubuncinci bePSAR ukuvela ngaphezulu kwexabiso kunye neembali ezininzi zeembali ezingalunganga (i-DMI kunye neMACD) ngaphambi kokuvala urhwebo lwabo lwangoku olude kwaye emva koko benze intengiso emfutshane.

IGBP / USD. Ikhebhula iphelise imeko yayo yangoku yokuthengisa mva nje nge-31 kaJulayi. I-up-trend iqale ngokufana nezinye iindlela ezichasene nedola ngomhla okanye malunga ne-11 kaJulayi. Umkhwa waphela uninzi lwezalathisi zokurhweba eziqhelekileyo zijika zibe zimbi; I-PSR ngaphezu kwexabiso, i-DMI kunye ne-MACD ebonisa ukufundwa okungalunganga, ukuwela i-stochastics kwi-setting ehlengahlengisiweyo ye-9,9,5 kunye nokuphuma kwintsimi ethengiswa kakhulu, ngelixa i-RSI yehla ngaphantsi komgca we-median we-50. Nangona kunjalo, iveki iphelile ngokubonelela ngengxaki kubarhwebi abanokuthi bathathe urhwebo olufutshane olusekelwe kwiimpawu ezidumileyo kunye nesenzo sexabiso eliboniswe ngamakhandlela e-Heikin Ashi. Ngenxa yokuhlwempuzeka kwe-NFP yokushicilela ukuvakalelwa kutshintshile ngokuchasene nedola kwiseshoni yokugqibela yokurhweba. Ikheyibhuli inyuke yaya kutsho kwi-R1, emva kokuba indanda kufutshane nenqanaba le-pivot yemihla ngemihla phambi kokuba kushicilelwe imisebenzi. Ukuvalwa korhwebo lwangoLwesihlanu kwavelisa ikhandlela le-doij. Abarhwebi abanentambo emfutshane ngoku kuya kufuneka babeke esweni inyathelo lamaxabiso kwiiseshoni ezimbini ezizayo zokuthengisa ukuba urhwebo lwabo olufutshane lusasebenza na. Ndiyathemba ukuba abathengisi abafutshane banokufumana intuthuzelo kwimeko yangoku ukuba bangene ngokwezikhombisi okanye nge-31 kaJulayi kwaye ngenxa yoko basenombhobho, okanye babonisa ilahleko encinci yokurhweba.

USD / JPY igcine isimilo sayo ngexesha leeseshoni zorhwebo zeveki ephelileyo njengorhwebo olunenkohliso ngendlela emangalisayo. I-greenback iye yarhweba kwinqanaba eliqinileyo ukususela ngo-11 kaJulayi xa abaninzi abahwebi bebeya kuhendelwa ukuba bafutshane isibini semali. Emva koko i-downside momentum ebonakalayo kwitshathi ibe buthathaka kakhulu, ngelixa i-yen iye yaphuhlisa amandla ngenxa yesimo sayo sokhuseleko samva nje njengoko i-Nikkei ilahlekelwe yilahleko enkulu kwiiseshoni zokurhweba ngobusuku / kwasekuseni kwiveki ephelileyo.

I-USD / JPY iphuhlisa uninzi lotyekelo lokhuseleko olulungele ukuphuma luye kwinqanaba eliphezulu. I-DMI inethemba lokuseto oluhlengahlengisiweyo lwama-20 (ukusasaza ingxolo), i-MACD yenza ukuhla okuphezulu, isebenzisa i-histogram njengomboniso, ngelixa i-RSI ibingaphezulu komgca wama-50 ophakathi kwiintsuku ezilandelelanayo. I-stochastics kusafuneka iwele kwaye inokuthi inyukele phezulu kuseto oluhlengahlengisiweyo lwe-9,9,5. Abarhwebi bayacetyiswa ukuba bajonge iitshathi zabo ngononophelo bekhangela obunye ubungqina, njengePSAR ebonakala ngezantsi kwexabiso, ukuze bathathe indlela ende, okanye babeke urhwebo.

I-AUD / i-USD. I-Aussie xa ithelekiswa ne-USD ibonakalise ukuba lurhwebo olunzima kakhulu kwezi veki zamva nje kuba esi sibini sempahla yorhwebo sithandwa, sifana nedola yen, sirhweba kuluhlu olumxinwa kakhulu. Nangona kunjalo, nge-30 kaJulayi imo yokufa kwesi sibini semali yokuziphatha yaphela njengokugqabhuka ukuya ezantsi kuye kwabonwa nazo zonke iimpawu eziphambili zokurhweba ziqala ukusebenza. I-PSR ngaphezu kwexabiso, ukwenza i-MACD isezantsi kwi-histogram, ngokunjalo ne-DMI. I-RSI iprinta kwindawo ye-30, evunyiweyo ngokubanzi njengophawu oluhamba phambili lokuba oku kuwa ngokukrakra kunokuqhubela phambili. Ibhendi yeBollinger esezantsi iye yaphulwa ngelixa i-stochastics iye yawela kwi-setting ehlengahlengisiweyo ye-9,9,5. Abarhwebi kolu rhwebo lufutshane baya kucetyiswa ukuba bahlale nalo de kuboniswe imiqondiso echasene noko. Mhlawumbi njengabarhwebi abancinci ekufuneka bejonge kwiPSAR ukuba bavele ngezantsi kwexabiso ukuphuma kwaye balinde ukuqiniswa kwesalathiso ngaphambi kokutshintsha uluvo lwabo kwi-bullish.

 

Indice

The SPX ifikelele kumanqanaba amatsha ngexesha leeseshoni zorhwebo zeveki ephelileyo, ngokufanayo i-DJIA ilandele ngokufanelekileyo. Nangona ezi zintsha ziphakamileyo kunye nokugweba isenzo sexabiso eliboniswe kwitshathi yemihla ngemihla, abahlalutyi abaninzi kunye nabarhwebi babonakala bengaqinisekanga ukuba nayiphi na i-breakout ukuya kwi-upside inokunyusa ngakumbi. I-DJIA, i-SPX kunye ne-NASDAQ ziye zarhweba kwiindawo eziqinileyo kwiiveki zakutshanje zibonelela ngemeko enzima kakhulu kubathengisi beendlela zokulawula.

Ukulandelwa rhoqo kweFed stimulus tapering kunokuba noxanduva lwale ngxaki, okanye inyani elula yokuba abathengisi babonakala bengathandabuzi ukubiza ixabiso kwiindices eziphambili ngaphaya kwamanqanaba erekhodi zamva nje ngaphandle kokubonisa ngokucacileyo ukuba uqoqosho lwase-USA luyalungisa. Kubarhwebi abaqhelekileyo; usebenzisa uninzi lwezona zikhombisi zikhethwayo zixhaphakileyo, ukuhlala ixesha elide i-DJIA sisigqibo esicacileyo esilinde naziphi na iziganeko zeendaba ezimbi ezinokubangela ukuba kuthengiswe. Abarhwebi ekude i-DJIA bayacetyiswa ukuba bajonge i-PSAR ebonakala ngaphezulu kwexabiso njengesizathu esincinci sokubamba ukurhweba kwabo okude. Ngelixa ujonga olunye uqinisekiso ngendlela ye-MACD, DMI kunye ne-RSI yokushicilela imiqondiso ye-bearish.

 

commodities

Ioyile yeWTI iphakamise ukutyekela kwayo emva kokuthengiswa kwangoko, okuhambelana namanani asezantsi e-USA kunye nokwanda koxinzelelo eMbindi Mpuma. I-WTI iqale ikhefu ukuya ku-Agasti 1 emva kokuvela kwekhandlela le-doji elidala kusetyenziswa uHeikin Ashi uvaliwe nge-31 kaJulayi. Ioyile iphinde yasongela ngokuthatha ukuphakama kwayo konyaka eprintwe kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo. Ukujonga kwezona zibonisi zikhethwayo zokurhweba zikuthandayo zombini i-WTI kunye ne-Brent yeoyile ibonakala inyusa, i-DMI iphrinta phezulu kwi-histogram njengoko kunjalo nge-MACD, ngelixa ukufundwa kwe-RSI kukwi-60. Abarhwebi beTrend yeoyile ende baya kukhuthazwa ukuba bahlale ixesha elide kude kube yimiqondiso ye-bearish, ngendlela yezona zikhombisi ziqhelekileyo ezisetyenziswayo, ebonakalayo kwitshathi yemihla ngemihla.

 

igolide

IGolide ayiphumelelanga ukugcina ukuqhambuka kwayo kwe-bullish ukuya phezulu kuba ithengiswe kuluhlu oluqinileyo lwe-bullish kwiiseshini ezininzi zeeveki ezidlulileyo. Umqondiso wokuvala kunye norhwebo olunokwenzeka ukuya ezantsi, luze ngenceba yesalathisi se-PSR esibonakala ngaphezulu kwexabiso ngelixa i-RSI inxibelelana nomgca we-50 we-median. Ibhendi yeBollinger ephakathi iye yaphulwa ngelixa i-stochastics, (kwisetingi ehlengahlengisiweyo ye-9,9,5) iye yawela kwaye yaphuma kwindawo ethengwe ngokugqithisileyo. Abarhwebi begolide baya kucetyiswa ukuba bahlale mfutshane de uninzi lwezalathisi ezihamba phambili zicebisa ngenye indlela. Ukholo oluncinci kakhulu lunokubekwa kwindawo ekhuselekileyo yegolide okwangoku, ngenxa yomngcipheko womngcipheko kwiparadigm kwaye ulungelelwaniso olulandelayo okwangoku alukwazi ukumisela..

  

 

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