NgoSeptemba 14 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 6501 izimvo • Comments Off on Ukuba i-European Monetary Union iyawa kwenzeka ntoni emva koko?
Phakathi kweempawu zobuntu ezininzi uninzi lwethu lukufumanisa kungathandeki ukucinga ukuba "Ndikuxelele njalo" kufuneka ube kwinqanaba eliphezulu. Ukumamela, okanye ukufunda amagqabantshintshi avela kubachasi bexesha elide be-European Union, ngoku abonwabileyo kwimizuzu elishumi elinesihlanu yodumo oluhlaziyiweyo njengoko i-Economic and Monetary Union ye-European Union iza phantsi koxinzelelo olunamandla kunokuba nzima, iwotshi emisiweyo ilungile kabini Usuku…
Sikwinqanaba lokuqala lokuba siyinyamezele imikhosi yezopolitiko esidla umhlala-phantsi, (ababengavumelani nokudityaniswa nangayiphi na indlela) bethengisa ii-ajenda zabo (kwaye ngaphandle kwamathandabuzo iincwadi) kuye nabani na oya kumamela okanye aprinte. Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokuba i-EMU iyinyani, kukho impazamo enkulu kwimpikiswano yabo, umbuzo ongenakuphendulwa, bawuphepha ngokungxama lo mbuzo besebenzisa 'ubuchule' obudiniweyo obebebanceda ngaphambili; “Zithini iindleko zotshintsho, ingabiza malini 'ukuqhekeza umanyano. Hayi ngokwemiba yezentlalo engaphathekiyo, okanye isiphithiphithi, okanye inyani yokuba amanye amazwe akhulayo aseYurophu angashiywa engenalawulo, kodwa kwiiponti ezinzima ezibandayo, iisheleni kunye neepeni ezindala (okanye iDrachmas), ingabiza malini? Izigidi zeerandi, iitriliyoni ezimbini, ukuba iindleko zokuphuma azinakulinganiswa kwaye azinakoyiswa ngoko ke ibiyinzuzo kwaye ngubani? ”
Xa umbuzo ubuzwa ukuthula bathi cwaka. Iindleko zokwahlukana azinakulinganiswa, ziyafana nokwenza isakhiwo esiphakamileyo sezakhiwo esele zikho, sele zakhiwe zaze zahlawulwa, zikrazula iprojekthi ukulungiselela abantu abakhohlakeleyo kwezopolitiko kwaye abambalwa abangenalwazi bayakuba yintlekele yokwenyani .
Ngelixa amajelo eendaba aqhelekileyo ane-laser egxile kwi-Greece imeko ye-PIIGS ilityelwe ngokulula. NgokweNgxowa-mali yeMali yeHlabathi, iBhanki yeHlabathi kunye ne-CIA World Factbook, e-Italiya (ngo-2010) yayiyeyesibhozo ngobukhulu kuqoqosho emhlabeni kwaye ikwindawo yesine ngobukhulu eYurophu ngokwe-GDP kunye nezoqoqosho lweshumi ngobukhulu. Ihlabathi kunye neyesihlanu ngobukhulu eYurophu ngokwemigaqo yokuthenga i-GDP yamandla. I-Italiya lilungu leQela leSibhozo (i-G8) izizwe ezinamashishini, i-European Union kunye ne-OECD. I-Itali inoqoqosho olwahlukeneyo lwamashishini kunye nemveliso ephezulu yasekhaya (GDP) ngomntu ngamnye kunye nesiseko esenziwe ngophuhliso. Ngale nto engqondweni ukuba ilizwe, ngabantu, yimidla yeshishini eyenza umgca wokucwangcisa ukuphuma kwi-Euro? Ngaba iJamani, okanye ngenene iFrance?
Ukuthelekisa nokuthelekisa i-Italiya xa ithelekiswa neGrisi kwenza ukuba kufundwe okunomdla; IGrisi ngu-27th kuqoqosho olukhulu emhlabeni jikelele ngemveliso yelizwe (GDP) kunye ne-34th ngobukhulu ekuthengeni amandla ombane (PPP), ngokweedatha yiBhanki yeHlabathi ngonyaka ka-2009. I-GDP yaseGrisi, emalunga ne-300 yezigidigidi zeedola, imele malunga ne-0.5% yemveliso yehlabathi. Ityala lalo eliziibhiliyoni ezingama-470 zeedola likhulu kuphela xa kuthelekiswa nobukhulu boqoqosho lwaseGrisi, kodwa ngaphantsi kwe-1% yetyala lehlabathi kwaye ingaphantsi kwesiqingatha ibanjwe ziibhanki zabucala (ikakhulu isiGrike). I-Barclays Capital iqikelela ukuba ziibhanki ezimbalwa zeli lizwe ezibaluleke kakhulu ezibambe kufutshane ne-10% ye-Tier 1 capital kwiibhondi zikarhulumente wase-Greek, uninzi lubambe kancinci.
Ukujonga loo datha unokuxolelwa ngokuzibuza ukuba kutheni 'ingxaki' yamaGrike iphakanyiswa ngamandla ngenxa yesiphumo esincinci esincinci esinokubakho kwisinye. Impendulo inokuba ii-Eurosceptics zibone ithuba elininzi kwisithuba seshumi lokuzibandakanya kwezopolitiko hayi kwimvisiswano yemali. Uloyiko lokwenyani lunokuvela kubantu bezopolitiko abazimiseleyo bodwa ukuba xa iYurophu ingagqitha kule ngxaki, njenge-United States yaseYurophu, iyakube ingenakunyanzeliswa kwaye isijwili sodwa esichasene nenkqubela siya kuba yingxolo yomoya.
Iibhanki zase-Yuropu ziyaphulukana needipozithi njengee-saver kunye nemali eyonakaliswe yimeko yengxaki yamatyala yokukhangela iindawo zokuzimela, imeko enokuthi ibe mandundu kwimeko zoqoqosho nezemali. Iibhanki zaseGrikhi zinamava okubhabha nge-circa ye-19% kwezi nyanga zilishumi elinambini zidlulileyo ngelixa iibhanki zaseIreland zibone ukubhabha kweesetyhula ezingama-40%. Kuyathakazelisa ukuqonda ukuba iibhanki zase-UK ukubonakaliswa kwetyala lamaGrike kufikelela kwi-circa ye- € 2.5bl ngelixa ukubonakaliswa kwetyala lase-Ireland kungumjikelezo we- £ 200bl. I-Ireland "ngumhlobo wase-UK oza kuncediswa" ngokwezepolitiki zase-UK, oku ngaphandle kokuvezwa okukhulu kunye nomngcipheko kwiibhanki 'zabanini' ababhatala irhafu. Kuya kubonakala ngathi urhano kwezopolitiko lwase-UK 'lwaseYurophu' aludluleli kulwandle lwaseIreland.
Olu dumo ekugqibeleni lwaba yinyani, njengoko iibhanki ezimbini eziphambili zaseFrance zehliswa nguMoody's. Ityala i-Agricole SA kunye ne-Societe Generale SA bafumana ireyithingi yabo yexesha elide enqamle inqanaba elinye nge Moody's ukuya kwi Aa2. Banokungayeki apho nge-BNP Paribas phantsi koqwalaselo olukhulu. Iindaba zifumene indlela yokuphendula ethe cwaka kwiimarike ezinezabelo ze-CA ngokwenyukela phezulu ukuya kuthi ga kwi-5% kwinqanaba elinye kule seshoni yakusasa.
Izitokhwe zaseYurophu zikhuphukile kurhwebo lwakusasa ngenxa yokucinga ukuba i-China inganikezela ngenkxaso yalo mmandla ngaphandle kokuba iNkulumbuso u-Wen Jiabao esithi amazwe akufuneki axhomekeke kwizibambiso. I-China esebenza njengebhanki yokugcina e-Europe ngokuchaseneyo ne-IMF ngumbono onomdla. Isalathiso se-STOXX sonyuke nge-0.3%, i-DAX inyuke nge-0.08%, i-CAC inyuka nge-0.4%. I-MIB i-bourse yase-Itali kunye nesalathiso seenkampani ezingama-XNUMX ezona zinemali eninzi ziphezulu
.5%, esi salathisi siwele ngokutyumkileyo i-34.44% ngonyaka ngonyaka. I-ftse okwangoku icaba, ikamva le-SPX lemihla ngemihla licebisa ukuvulwa kwe-0.5% ezantsi. Igolide iphantsi kwe- $ 5 i-ounce kwaye i-Brent iluhlaza phantsi kweedola ezingama-252 ezibalulekileyo. Kwezorhwebo lwaseAsia iNikkei ivale i-1.14%, i-CSI yavala i-0.47% yaze i-Hang Seng yavala i-0.08%.
Idola yaseMelika ibinamandla kurhwebo lwakusasa ngobusuku izuze lukhulu xa ithelekiswa nedola yaseAsiya kunye neLoonie (idola yaseCanada). Inzuzo xa ithelekiswa ne-franc yaseSwitzerland, i-euro kunye ne-sterling bezilulamile. I-yen ne-franc benze i-uzuzo olulinganayo xa kuthelekiswa neemali eziphambili.
Ukukhutshwa kwe-USA ngokubaluleka kule mvakwemini kubandakanya amaxabiso esalathiso, ukuthengisa okuqhubela phambili kunye noluhlu lwezorhwebo.
Ingxaki yomanyano lwaseYurophuAmagqabantshintshi kwintengiso ye forexAmagqabantshintshi kwintengiso
« Ukungafani-iAka Forex Scalping Intswela-ngqesho e-USA ikhokelela kwiNtlupheko »
Ukuba i-European Monetary Union iye yawa kwenzeka ntoni emva koko?
NgoSeptemba 14 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 6501 izimvo • Comments Off on Ukuba i-European Monetary Union iyawa kwenzeka ntoni emva koko?
Phakathi kweempawu zobuntu ezininzi uninzi lwethu lukufumanisa kungathandeki ukucinga ukuba "Ndikuxelele njalo" kufuneka ube kwinqanaba eliphezulu. Ukumamela, okanye ukufunda amagqabantshintshi avela kubachasi bexesha elide be-European Union, ngoku abonwabileyo kwimizuzu elishumi elinesihlanu yodumo oluhlaziyiweyo njengoko i-Economic and Monetary Union ye-European Union iza phantsi koxinzelelo olunamandla kunokuba nzima, iwotshi emisiweyo ilungile kabini Usuku…
Sikwinqanaba lokuqala lokuba siyinyamezele imikhosi yezopolitiko esidla umhlala-phantsi, (ababengavumelani nokudityaniswa nangayiphi na indlela) bethengisa ii-ajenda zabo (kwaye ngaphandle kwamathandabuzo iincwadi) kuye nabani na oya kumamela okanye aprinte. Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokuba i-EMU iyinyani, kukho impazamo enkulu kwimpikiswano yabo, umbuzo ongenakuphendulwa, bawuphepha ngokungxama lo mbuzo besebenzisa 'ubuchule' obudiniweyo obebebanceda ngaphambili; “Zithini iindleko zotshintsho, ingabiza malini 'ukuqhekeza umanyano. Hayi ngokwemiba yezentlalo engaphathekiyo, okanye isiphithiphithi, okanye inyani yokuba amanye amazwe akhulayo aseYurophu angashiywa engenalawulo, kodwa kwiiponti ezinzima ezibandayo, iisheleni kunye neepeni ezindala (okanye iDrachmas), ingabiza malini? Izigidi zeerandi, iitriliyoni ezimbini, ukuba iindleko zokuphuma azinakulinganiswa kwaye azinakoyiswa ngoko ke ibiyinzuzo kwaye ngubani? ”
Xa umbuzo ubuzwa ukuthula bathi cwaka. Iindleko zokwahlukana azinakulinganiswa, ziyafana nokwenza isakhiwo esiphakamileyo sezakhiwo esele zikho, sele zakhiwe zaze zahlawulwa, zikrazula iprojekthi ukulungiselela abantu abakhohlakeleyo kwezopolitiko kwaye abambalwa abangenalwazi bayakuba yintlekele yokwenyani .
Ngelixa amajelo eendaba aqhelekileyo ane-laser egxile kwi-Greece imeko ye-PIIGS ilityelwe ngokulula. NgokweNgxowa-mali yeMali yeHlabathi, iBhanki yeHlabathi kunye ne-CIA World Factbook, e-Italiya (ngo-2010) yayiyeyesibhozo ngobukhulu kuqoqosho emhlabeni kwaye ikwindawo yesine ngobukhulu eYurophu ngokwe-GDP kunye nezoqoqosho lweshumi ngobukhulu. Ihlabathi kunye neyesihlanu ngobukhulu eYurophu ngokwemigaqo yokuthenga i-GDP yamandla. I-Italiya lilungu leQela leSibhozo (i-G8) izizwe ezinamashishini, i-European Union kunye ne-OECD. I-Itali inoqoqosho olwahlukeneyo lwamashishini kunye nemveliso ephezulu yasekhaya (GDP) ngomntu ngamnye kunye nesiseko esenziwe ngophuhliso. Ngale nto engqondweni ukuba ilizwe, ngabantu, yimidla yeshishini eyenza umgca wokucwangcisa ukuphuma kwi-Euro? Ngaba iJamani, okanye ngenene iFrance?
Ukuthelekisa nokuthelekisa i-Italiya xa ithelekiswa neGrisi kwenza ukuba kufundwe okunomdla; IGrisi ngu-27th kuqoqosho olukhulu emhlabeni jikelele ngemveliso yelizwe (GDP) kunye ne-34th ngobukhulu ekuthengeni amandla ombane (PPP), ngokweedatha yiBhanki yeHlabathi ngonyaka ka-2009. I-GDP yaseGrisi, emalunga ne-300 yezigidigidi zeedola, imele malunga ne-0.5% yemveliso yehlabathi. Ityala lalo eliziibhiliyoni ezingama-470 zeedola likhulu kuphela xa kuthelekiswa nobukhulu boqoqosho lwaseGrisi, kodwa ngaphantsi kwe-1% yetyala lehlabathi kwaye ingaphantsi kwesiqingatha ibanjwe ziibhanki zabucala (ikakhulu isiGrike). I-Barclays Capital iqikelela ukuba ziibhanki ezimbalwa zeli lizwe ezibaluleke kakhulu ezibambe kufutshane ne-10% ye-Tier 1 capital kwiibhondi zikarhulumente wase-Greek, uninzi lubambe kancinci.
Ukujonga loo datha unokuxolelwa ngokuzibuza ukuba kutheni 'ingxaki' yamaGrike iphakanyiswa ngamandla ngenxa yesiphumo esincinci esincinci esinokubakho kwisinye. Impendulo inokuba ii-Eurosceptics zibone ithuba elininzi kwisithuba seshumi lokuzibandakanya kwezopolitiko hayi kwimvisiswano yemali. Uloyiko lokwenyani lunokuvela kubantu bezopolitiko abazimiseleyo bodwa ukuba xa iYurophu ingagqitha kule ngxaki, njenge-United States yaseYurophu, iyakube ingenakunyanzeliswa kwaye isijwili sodwa esichasene nenkqubela siya kuba yingxolo yomoya.
Iibhanki zase-Yuropu ziyaphulukana needipozithi njengee-saver kunye nemali eyonakaliswe yimeko yengxaki yamatyala yokukhangela iindawo zokuzimela, imeko enokuthi ibe mandundu kwimeko zoqoqosho nezemali. Iibhanki zaseGrikhi zinamava okubhabha nge-circa ye-19% kwezi nyanga zilishumi elinambini zidlulileyo ngelixa iibhanki zaseIreland zibone ukubhabha kweesetyhula ezingama-40%. Kuyathakazelisa ukuqonda ukuba iibhanki zase-UK ukubonakaliswa kwetyala lamaGrike kufikelela kwi-circa ye- € 2.5bl ngelixa ukubonakaliswa kwetyala lase-Ireland kungumjikelezo we- £ 200bl. I-Ireland "ngumhlobo wase-UK oza kuncediswa" ngokwezepolitiki zase-UK, oku ngaphandle kokuvezwa okukhulu kunye nomngcipheko kwiibhanki 'zabanini' ababhatala irhafu. Kuya kubonakala ngathi urhano kwezopolitiko lwase-UK 'lwaseYurophu' aludluleli kulwandle lwaseIreland.
Olu dumo ekugqibeleni lwaba yinyani, njengoko iibhanki ezimbini eziphambili zaseFrance zehliswa nguMoody's. Ityala i-Agricole SA kunye ne-Societe Generale SA bafumana ireyithingi yabo yexesha elide enqamle inqanaba elinye nge Moody's ukuya kwi Aa2. Banokungayeki apho nge-BNP Paribas phantsi koqwalaselo olukhulu. Iindaba zifumene indlela yokuphendula ethe cwaka kwiimarike ezinezabelo ze-CA ngokwenyukela phezulu ukuya kuthi ga kwi-5% kwinqanaba elinye kule seshoni yakusasa.
Izitokhwe zaseYurophu zikhuphukile kurhwebo lwakusasa ngenxa yokucinga ukuba i-China inganikezela ngenkxaso yalo mmandla ngaphandle kokuba iNkulumbuso u-Wen Jiabao esithi amazwe akufuneki axhomekeke kwizibambiso. I-China esebenza njengebhanki yokugcina e-Europe ngokuchaseneyo ne-IMF ngumbono onomdla. Isalathiso se-STOXX sonyuke nge-0.3%, i-DAX inyuke nge-0.08%, i-CAC inyuka nge-0.4%. I-MIB i-bourse yase-Itali kunye nesalathiso seenkampani ezingama-XNUMX ezona zinemali eninzi ziphezulu
.5%, esi salathisi siwele ngokutyumkileyo i-34.44% ngonyaka ngonyaka. I-ftse okwangoku icaba, ikamva le-SPX lemihla ngemihla licebisa ukuvulwa kwe-0.5% ezantsi. Igolide iphantsi kwe- $ 5 i-ounce kwaye i-Brent iluhlaza phantsi kweedola ezingama-252 ezibalulekileyo. Kwezorhwebo lwaseAsia iNikkei ivale i-1.14%, i-CSI yavala i-0.47% yaze i-Hang Seng yavala i-0.08%.
Idola yaseMelika ibinamandla kurhwebo lwakusasa ngobusuku izuze lukhulu xa ithelekiswa nedola yaseAsiya kunye neLoonie (idola yaseCanada). Inzuzo xa ithelekiswa ne-franc yaseSwitzerland, i-euro kunye ne-sterling bezilulamile. I-yen ne-franc benze i-uzuzo olulinganayo xa kuthelekiswa neemali eziphambili.
Ukukhutshwa kwe-USA ngokubaluleka kule mvakwemini kubandakanya amaxabiso esalathiso, ukuthengisa okuqhubela phambili kunye noluhlu lwezorhwebo.
Ingxaki yomanyano lwaseYurophuAmagqabantshintshi kwintengiso ye forexAmagqabantshintshi kwintengiso
« Ukungafani-iAka Forex Scalping Intswela-ngqesho e-USA ikhokelela kwiNtlupheko »