Ukudakumba kwe-GPB / USD njengemvumelwano ye-GDP yase-UK kunye norhulumente wase-UK akenzi nkqubela phambili kwi-Brexit
Iarhente yezibalo yase-UK, i-ONS, ibonelele ngenani elothusayo kuqoqosho lwase-UK ngoMvulo kusasa. Ukukhula kwe-GDP kweza -0.4% ngenyanga ngenyanga kaDisemba, kuphulukene nolindelo lokukhula kwe-0.00%. Kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba ngokwembali, kuqoqosho olunje ngeBritane; Iqhutywa ziinkonzo kunye nokusetyenziswa, inyanga yokugqibela nekota yonyaka ngokuqinisekileyo iyancomeka, malunga nokukhula. Kodwa ikota ingene nge-0.2%, ilahlekile kuqikelelo kwaye yehla ukusuka kwi-0.6% kwi-Q3. Ngokwee-arhente ezahlukeneyo, ukukhula konyaka kuye kwafika ngokwahlukeneyo phakathi kwe-1.3% kunye ne-1.4%, kuxhomekeke kubalo. AbakwaReuters bakuqinisekisile nge-1.3%, behla ukusuka kwi-1.6%
Isebe lezobudlelwane boluntu e-UK langena kwimeko yeengxaki, libonisa ukuba ukukhula kuye kwaphela, njengoko besele kusenzeka eYurophu. Nangona kunjalo, ukujonga phantsi kwebhonethi kwisiqwengana sedatha, kungunobangela wealam. Ukuthunyelwa kwelinye ilizwe kuye kwawa, ngaphandle kwesikiti esibuthathaka. Utyalo-mali lweshishini yi -3.7% unyaka nonyaka kwaye imveliso ngoku ikwimo yokudodobala, emva kokuhambisa iinyanga ezintandathu kuthotho lokufundwa okungalunganga. Imveliso yoshishino kunye nemveliso yokwakha nayo iyadlala ngothando. Uninzi lwezi metriki, longezwe kwiseti eyintlekele ye-IHS Markit PMIs epapashwe kwiveki ephelileyo, zibonakalisa uqoqosho oluya ngakwindawo yokudodobala kwezoqoqosho, okanye eyona nto imaxongo ukuya kwi-Q3-Q4 ye-2019.
I-Sterling yawa ngokuchasene uninzi loontanga bayo abaphambili kuzo zonke iiseshoni zangoMvulo zokuthengisa; I-GPB / iUSD iphelise ukuthengisa ngemini kwehla nge-0.67% nge-1.286, yaphazamiseka nge-S3, yaphelisa iinzuzo ezenziweyo ukusukela phakathi kuJanuwari, ngelixesha ekugqibeleni isuka kubukhulu besiphatho se-1.300 kunye ne-200 DMA. I-EUR / GBP ithengise nge-0.27% kwaye ngoku ithengisa ngokuthe veki ngeveki, kwi-0.878. Ngokuchasene ne-AUD, i-NZD kunye ne-CHF, ukuphindaphindeka kwempendulo efanayo yokuwa. Ngaphandle kwedatha emnyama, i-UK FTSE 100 yavala i-0.82% ngosuku. Ngenxa yobuninzi beefemu kwisalathiso esisekwe e-USA kwaye zorhwebo ngeedola, ukuwa kwe-sterling kunefuthe eliluncedo.
Ukunqongophala kwenkqubela phambili malunga neBrexit kuye kwacaciswa kwakhona, njengoko umcebisi we-EU uMichel Barnier kuye kwafuneka aphindaphinde, ngaphandle kwamathandabuzo, ukuba imigaqo yesivumelwano sokurhoxa ayisayi kuphinda ivulwe ukuze kuthethwe kwakhona. Ngaphandle koku, urhulumente weTory wabeka iminwe yabo ezindlebeni zabo, inkulumbuso ngoMeyi eqhubeka nokubalisa ngokungathi incoko yababini ingaqhubeka. Ipalamente yase-UK kufuneka ixoxe nge-Brexit kwakhona ngolwesiThathu we-13, ngexa uMeyi aqikelelwa ukuba acele ipalamente ixesha elininzi, njengoko umhla wokugqibela wama-29 ku-Matshi usondela ngokukhawuleza. Ngeendaba ezincinci zaseYurophu, okanye iindaba ze-Eurozone ezipapashwe ngoMvulo, ii-indices eziphambili ze-Eurozone; I-CAC yaseFrance kunye ne-DAX yaseJamani, bavala usuku malunga ne-1.0%. I-EUR / USD ivale usuku ezantsi nge-0.46% kwi-1.127, njengoko i-euro inikezele ngexabiso xa kuthelekiswa noninzi loontanga bayo.
I-indices zase-USA zinamava oxhamlo lokurhweba ngexesha leseshoni yaseNew York ngoMvulo, i-DJIA ivale -0.21%, i-SPX inyuke nge-0.07% kunye ne-NASDAQ inyusa i-0.13%. Umbono weentetho zorhwebo, ezicwangciselwe ukubakho kule veki ne-China, zinobunzima ekuthathweni kwezigqibo zabatyali zimali kunye nendlela abavakalelwa ngayo, njengoko abatyali mali befuna nentuthuzelo kwindawo ekhuselekileyo ye-USD, ethe yenyuka xa kuthelekiswa noontanga bayo. Impembelelo (yento eyabonwa njenge) isitatimende esibi yi-FOMC kunye nesihlalo seFed uJerome Powell, xa begcina ireyithi ephambili kwi-2.5%, kubonakala ngathi yehlile. Umhla wokugqibela ka-Matshi wesi-2, wokuba i-USA ifake ama-25% eerhafu kwi-200b yeedola zokungeniswa kwamaTshayina eMelika, kubonakala ngathi kuphelelwe lixesha. Ungenelelo ngqo kwiTrump, lunokutshintsha imeko.
Iziganeko ezinempembelelo ephezulu abathengisi beFX abafuna ukuyikhetha kwiiseshoni zangoLwesibini, zibandakanya iintetho zikaMark Carney iRhuluneli yeBhanki yaseNgilani ngo-13: 00 emva kwemini ixesha lase-UK noJerome Powell, ongusihlalo webhanki enkulu yase-USA iFed, ngo-17: I-45pm ixesha lase-UK. Umxholo weentetho zabo khange ukhutshwe ngaphambili, uluhlu lwezihloko abanokuzigubungela lubalulekile.
Kunye noMnumzana Carney izifundo ze: ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, amanani okudodobala e-UK GDP akutshanje kunye neBrexit kungaxoxwa ngawo. Ndikunye noMnu. Powell umxholo ungabandakanya ukungavisisani okuqhubekayo kwezorhwebo ne China, ithemba lokunyuka kwenqanaba lenzala ngexesha le-2019, ukukhula kwehlabathi okunokuthi kwehle kunye neendlela ezahlukeneyo zamva nje ezinxulumene noqoqosho lwase-USA, zingangeni njengokuqikelela. Ngokwendalo, ngexesha lokusiwa kwazo zombini ezi ntetho kubaphulaphuli bazo, ezemali ezibini zinoxanduva, ziya kuba phantsi kweliso.
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