Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso eJamani kufikelele kwiminyaka emithathu ephantsi, i-UK yehle yaya kuthi ga kwi-2.2%, njengoko uAsmussen esithi i-ECB ayikafikeleli kumda “wento enokuyenza” kumaxabiso enzala…
Emva kokunciphisa izinga le-ECB kwi-0.25% kwiveki edlulileyo abahlalutyi abaninzi, kuquka neyakho ngokwenene, bakholelwa ukuba i-ECB ayiyi kumisa apho kwaye yayiza kukhwela kwi-rhetoric kwaye inike ingxelo esongelayo yokunciphisa inzala eninzi ukwenzela ukuba buthathaka i-euro, leyo. I-ECB iyithatha njengephezulu kakhulu kwaye inokuba nokonakalisa ishishini eliqhutywa ngaphandle. 'Intetho' mhlawumbi iya kwandulela naliphi na isenzo, kunye ne-ECB enethemba lokuba amahemuhemu aya kubangela ngokwaneleyo ukuthengiswa kwe-euro njengoko kunzima kakhulu (kwaye kuyingozi) ukungena ngokuzithandela kwintsimi yezinga elibi.
I-ECB isenokunyusa unikezelo lwenkqubo yabo ye-LTRO kwiibhanki, ezinye zazo ezisenokuba zisenemiba yokungabi namali yokuhlawula amatyala ngokusekwe kwiimvavanyo zamva nje zoxinzelelo. U-Asmussen we-ECB uthi i-ECB ayikafikeleli kumda wento enokuyenza kwimilinganiselo yenzala ngokuxhomekeke kwi-inflation developments ngokwephephandaba laseJamani.
IBhanki yaseFransi ikhupha iingqikelelo ezintsha
Uqikelelo olutsha lwezoqoqosho oluvela kwiBhanki yaseFransi lupapashwe ngale ntsasa. Iqikelela ukuba uqoqosho lwaseFransi luya kukhula nge-0.4% kwiinyanga ezintathu zokugqibela ze-2013. Siza kufumanisa ngoLwesine indlela iFransi eyenze ngayo kwikota yesithathu yalo nyaka, xa idatha entsha ye-eurozone GDP ikhutshwa. Iingcali zezoqoqosho zicinga ukuba imveliso yesiFrentshi inyuke nge-0.1% kuphela kwi-Q3, ukucotha ukusuka kwi-0.5% erekhodiweyo phakathi kuka-Epreli noJuni. Nge-S&P yokwehlisa iFransi kwiveki ephelileyo.
Idatha yokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-UK ikhutshwe
Ixabiso lentengo lase-UK lehle laya kutsho kwelona nqanaba lisezantsi ukususela ngoSeptemba 2012. Isalathiso samaxabiso abathengi sifike kwi-2.2% kuphela ngo-Oktobha, sihla sisuka kwi-2.7% kwinyanga edlulileyo kwaye siphantsi kakhulu kunoko bezoqoqosho bebelindele. Elona galelo likhulu lokuhla kwezinga livela kumacandelo ezothutho (ngokukodwa amafutha eemoto) kunye nezemfundo (iifizi zokufunda). Ezinye izalathi zamaxabiso abathengi zihambe ngendlela efanayo. I-CPIH ikhule nge-2.0% enyakeni ukuya kuOktobha 2013, yehle ukusuka kwi-2.5%. I-RPIJ ikhule nge-1.9%, yehla ukusuka kwi-2.5%.
UK House Price Index ngoSeptemba 2013 ibonisa amaxabiso e-3.8% ngonyaka.
Inqanaba lexabiso lexabiso lendlu yase-UK (184.9) liye lahla kancinci ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo (186.0). Nangona kunjalo, ukukhula kwamaxabiso e-UK ngonyaka kuye kwaqhubeka nokunyuka ngenxa yokuwa okukhulu kwamaxabiso epropati ngoSeptemba 2012. Kwiinyanga ze-12 ukuya kuSeptemba 2013 amaxabiso ezindlu e-UK anyuke nge-3.8%, ukusuka kwi-3.7% ukunyuka kwiinyanga ze-12 ukuya ku-Agasti ka-2013. Ukukhula kwexabiso lendlu kuhlala kuzinzile kulo lonke elase-UK, nangona amaxabiso eLondon akhula ngokukhawuleza kunomndilili wase-UK. Ukunyuka konyaka kubonise ukukhula kwe-4.2% eNgilani kunye ne-1.4% eWales, ihlaziywa ngokuwa kwe-1.1% eScotland kunye ne-1.5% eNyakatho ye-Ireland.
Amaxabiso oMthengi waseJamani ngo-Oktobha 2013: + 1.2% ngo-Oktobha 2012
Amaxabiso abathengi eJamani anyuke nge-1.2% ngo-Okthobha ka-2013 xa kuthelekiswa no-Okthobha ka-2012. Izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso njengoko lilinganiswe luluhlu lwamaxabiso abathengi liye lehla kwakhona (ngoSeptemba 2013: +1.4%). Ixesha lokugqibela kubonwe izinga elisezantsi lokunyuka kwamaxabiso ngo-Agasti 2010 (+1.0%). Xa kuthelekiswa noSeptemba 2013, ixabiso lexabiso lomthengi liye lehla nge-0.2% ngo-Oktobha 2013. I-Ofisi ye-Federal Statistical (i-Destatis) ngoko iqinisekisa iziphumo zayo zexeshana ze-30 Oktobha 2013. Izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso ngo-Okthobha 2013 lalibangelwa ikakhulu kuphuhliso lwamaxabiso. iimveliso ze-oyile yezimbiwa (−7.0% ngo-Oktobha 2012).
Amaxabiso eWholeyile yaseJamani ngo-Okthobha ka-2013: –2.7% ngo-Oktobha 2012
Isalathiso samaxabiso okuthengisa kwintengiso ye-wholesale yehla nge-2.7% ngo-Oktobha 2013 ngo-Oktobha 2012, njengoko kuchazwe yi-Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). Xa kuthelekiswa noSeptemba 2013, isalathiso samaxabiso athengiswayo sehle nge-1.0% ngo-Oktobha ka-2013.
Ujoliso lwe Forex
I-yen yehla ipesenti ze-0.5 ukuya kwi-99.69 ngedola ekuqaleni kweLondon, ibuthathaka kakhulu ukususela ngoSeptemba 13. Yehla ipesenti ye-0.4 ukuya kwi-133.42 nge-euro. Idola yenyuka ngeepesenti ze-0.2 ukuya kwi-1.3386 yeedola nge-euro. Ipondo ifumene ipesenti ye-0.2 ukuya kwi-A $ 1.7109 emva kokunyuka kwe-1.7 yeepesenti kwiiseshoni ezintlanu ezidlulileyo. Iyen iye yafikelela kwelona nqanaba lisezantsi kwiiveki ezisibhozo xa ithelekiswa nedola njengoko umsantsa phakathi kwezivuno zaseJapan kunye ne-US 30-year bond uye wanda ukuya kutsho kwelona nqanaba lisezantsi ukusukela ngo-2011 phakathi kweempawu zozinzo kuqoqosho lwehlabathi.
Imali yase-Australia yehla i-0.3 yeepesenti ukuya kwi-93.30 yeesenti zase-US emva kokuba ingxelo evela kwi-National Australia Bank Ltd. ibonise ukuzithemba kweshishini ku-5 ngo-Oktobha ukusuka kwi-12 kwinyanga edlulileyo.
Ipondo yehla ipesenti ye-0.1 ukuya kwi-$ 1.5968 ekuqaleni kwexesha laseLondon emva kokuwa kwi-$ 1.5951, ephantsi kakhulu ukususela ngoNovemba 5. I-Sterling yayikwi-83.88 pence nge-euro emva kokuxabisa i-83.01 pence ngoNovemba 7th, inqanaba elinamandla ukususela ngo-17 kaJanuwari. Iponti yehle ngosuku lwesithathu xa ithelekiswa nedola phambi kwengxelo eyathi izazi ngezoqoqosho ziya kubonisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-UK kunyuke ngesantya esisezantsi kwinyanga ephelileyo.
Iibhondi & Gilts
Isivuno kwi-benchmark ye-10-year Treasuries yongeza amanqaku amathathu kwi-2.77 ekhulwini ekuqaleni kweLondon emva kokuchukumisa kwangaphambili i-2.776, ininzi ukususela ngoSeptemba 18th. Ixabiso le-2.5 yepesenti yenqaku ngenxa ka-Agasti 2023 yawa 1/4, okanye i-$ 2.50 nge-$ 1,000 yemali yobuso, ukuya kwi-97 22/32. Isivuno se-Treasury seminyaka eyi-30 sifikelele kwi-3.882 ekhulwini, inqanaba eliphezulu elibonwe ukususela ngoSeptemba 11. OoNondyebo bexesha elide bamiselwe ukuhambisa eyona lahleko inkulu yehlabathi yetyala elizimeleyo kulo nyaka njengoko idatha yezoqoqosho eyomeleleyo kunokuba bekulindelwe evela e-US yongeza izizathu ze-Federal Reserve ukunciphisa ukuthengwa kwe-asethi.
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