Isicwangciso sokurhweba seGartley Pattern
Ipateni yeGartley luhlobo lwepateni yeHarmonic exhomekeke kumanani eFibonacci kunye nemilinganiselo.
UH.M. Gartley wenza lo mzekelo ngowe-1932. IGartley ikwabizwa ngokuba ziipatheni ezingama-222, njengoko kuchazwe kwiphepha lama-222 lencwadi kaHM Gartley.
Amanani eFibonacci awazange asetyenziswe ekuqaleni kwipateni yeGartley, kodwa uLarry Pesavento ekugqibeleni wawafaka kwincwadi yakhe ethi "Fibonacci Ratios ngePattern Recognition."
Yintoni ipateni yeGartley?
Ipateni yeGartley, njengayo nayiphi na enye ipateni ye-Harmonic, ichaza ixabiso eliphezulu kunye nokuhla.
I-Gartley isebenzisa amanani e-Fibonacci kunye nemilinganiselo ukuze ibonise intsingiselo kunye namanqaku amaxabiso. I-Fibonacci lulandelelwano lwamanani olwenziwe ngokudibanisa amanani amabini angaphambili kunye (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13). La manani achaza ukuchithwa kwexabiso kunye nokubuyisela, kunye namanqanaba okuxhasa kunye nokuchasana.
Indlela yokuchonga ipateni?
Ipateni ibonakala njengoko uhamba ukusuka ku-X ukuya ku-A. Emva koko, kukho inguqu ukusuka kwindawo A ukuya kwindawo B. Amanani eFibonacci adlala apha. Umlinganiselo weepesenti ze-61.8 ulingana nomgama phakathi kwe-A kunye ne-B kunye ne-X kunye ne-B. Emva koko, ixabiso liguquka ukusuka ku-B ukuya ku-C, kunye ne-38.2 yepesenti yokubuyisela kwakhona.
Umlinganiselo womgama phakathi kuka-A no-C yi-88.6%. Ixabiso ke lihamba ukusuka ku-C ukuya ku-D, kunye ne-127.2 yepesenti. Umgama phakathi kwamanqaku B kunye no-D yi-161.8 ekhulwini. Ekugqibeleni, ipateni iphelela kwindawo D, kunye nomgama wama-78.6 ekhulwini phakathi kwe-X kunye ne-D.
Ulandelelwano lweFibonacci lusetyenziselwa ukubala le milinganiselo. Yahlula inani ngokulandelelana ngenani ukuya ekunene ukuze ufumane i-61.8%. 13/22, umzekelo, ilingana no-0.619.
Indlela yokusebenzisa ipateni yeGartley kwisicwangciso?
I-Gartley inokusetyenziswa kuzo zombini iifom ze-bullish kunye ne-bearish.
Kwi-downtrend, i-bullish Gartley iyavela kwaye iqikelele ukuguqulwa okunokwenzeka. Uyilo lufana no-M kwialfabhethi.
Kwi-uptrend, i-bearish Gartley ibonakala, ibonisa ukuguqulwa kwexabiso. Ipateni ibonakala ngathi nguW.
Ukungena kurhwebo lweGartley, okokuqala, chonga ipateni kwaye emva koko ujonge ukunyaniseka kwayo. Ukucwangcisa ipateni yeGartley kwitshathi yakho, kuqala, zoba isangqa esijikeleze amaxabiso amane kwaye uqinisekise ukuba bayasabela kumanqanaba abo eFibonacci.
Qaphela unobumba u-X, A, B, C, kunye no-D ohambelana nesenzo ngasinye sokutshintsha kwexabiso. Uya kukwazi ukugweba ubungakanani bepateni ngokubanzi kwaye ube nombono olungileyo weparameters ngale ndlela.
Kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuba kufuneka ulinde uqinisekiso lokubuyela umva kwendlela ngaphambi kokuba ungene kurhwebo. Kungenxa yokuba ipateni yeGartley inokubonelela ngeempawu eziphosakeleyo ngamanye amaxesha.
Ukujongana nale ngxaki, i-oscillators yesantya okanye ezinye iindlela zohlalutyo lobugcisa kufuneka zisetyenziswe.
Ipateni yeGartley inokusetyenziswa kulo naliphi na ixesha. Nangona kunjalo, ukukhangela ipateni yeGartley kumaxesha amade, afana neetshathi zeveki okanye zenyanga, yeyona ndlela ilungileyo yokuyibona kuba ivelisa imiqondiso embalwa yobuxoki.
Okukwintsusa
I-Gartley yindlela elula ye-Harmonic. Ke ngoko, kungcono ukudibanisa iGartley kunye nolunye uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha ukuze ufumane okuninzi kuyo.
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