I-Forex Roundup: Imithetho yeDola ngaphandle kweZilayidi
NgoLwesine, abatyali-mali baya kubeka iliso kwiimarike zeebhondi zehlabathi ngokusondeleyo njengoko isivuno siqhubeka nokunyuka. Emva kwexesha kwiseshoni yaseAsia, i-Australia iya kukhupha idatha yayo yorhwebo ngo-Agasti. NgoLwesihlanu, i-US iya kupapasha ingxelo yayo yeveki yokungabinamsebenzi.
NgoLwesine, nge-5 ka-Okthobha, nantsi into ekufuneka uyazi:
Phambi kokubonisa ukubuyiswa, izivuno zebhondi e-US naseYurophu zifikelele kumanqanaba angazange abonwe kwiminyaka. E-UK, isivuno seminyaka engama-30 safikelela kwi-5%, eJamani, safikelela kwi-3% okokuqala ngqa ukususela ngo-2011, kwaye i-10 yeminyaka ye-Nondyebo ifikelele kwi-4.88%. Kwixesha elizayo, abatyali-mali baya kuqhubeka beqwalasela ngokusondeleyo kwimarike yebhondi kuba yinto ebalulekileyo kwiimarike zemali.
Kuqikelelwa ukuba ii-payrolls zabucala zanda nge-89,000 ngoSeptemba, ngaphantsi kwemvumelwano yemarike ye-153,000, ephawula inqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu ukususela ngoJanuwari 2021, ngokwe-Automatic Data Processing (ADP). Kukho ubungqina bokuba imarike yabasebenzi iyancipha, kodwa ezinye iingxelo zinokubonelela ngobungqina. Iinkonzo ze-ISM ze-PMI zehla ukusuka kwi-54.5 ukuya kwi-53.6 ngoSeptemba ngokuhambelana nokulindela.
Ingcali yezoQoqosho, uADP Nela Richardson:
Imarike yethu yemisebenzi iphantsi kokwehla kakhulu kule nyanga, ngelixa imivuzo yethu iye yehla ngokuthe ngcembe.
Njengomphumo wengxelo ye-ADP ethambileyo, iibhondi ziye zachacha ngandlel’ ithile, kodwa idatha yase-US efunekayo ngoLwesine ngaMabango angenamsebenzi kunye nolwesiHlanu kunye neePayrolls ezingezizo iiFarms zinokuqalisa iinzuzo ezininzi ze-USD kwaye zonyuse ukuguquguquka kwemarike yeebhondi.
Ngaphandle kokuguquguquka okungalawulekiyo kwangoLwesibini, USD / JPY yahlala iqinile malunga ne-149.00. Njengoko isibini senyuka ngaphezu kwe-150.00, abasemagunyeni baseJapan banokuthi bangenelele. Ngaxeshanye, iDola yaseMelika sele iqalisile ukubuyisa ukunyuka kwayo mva nje ukusuka kwinyanga ezili-11 ukuphakama. Kukho izinto ezininzi ezinempembelelo, kubandakanywa ukungabikho kwengxelo ye-ADP yase-US izolo kunye nokusebenza kwecandelo leenkonzo zase-US, ebonisa ukuba i-Fed inokuphinda ithathele ingqalelo ukunyuka kwexabiso lenzala. Ukuphendula, i-US Treasury bond isivuno sathamba, sacinezela ngakumbi idola.
Amagosa amaninzi e-Fed, nangona kunjalo, athi ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kufuneka kuhlaziywe kwi-2% ngokuqhubekayo ukulungiswa komgaqo-nkqubo. Kuye kwaqinisekiswa ukuba umbono wokuzinziswa kwamaxabiso aphezulu uyomelezwa luluvo oluphangaleleyo lwemalike lokuba ukunyuswa kwamaxabiso kuya kwenzeka kulo nyaka. Abarhwebi kufuneka balumke xa bethatha isimo se-bearish esomeleleyo kwi-USD / JPY kuba le meko ingako inokunyusa izivuno zebhondi yase-US kunye ne-USD.
Ngokuncipha kweDola yaseMelika, YeEUR / USD ixhumele kwi-1.0525 kwaye yavuka yonke imihla. I-Eurozone yokuthengisa iintengiso zehle nge-1.2% ngo-Agasti kwaye i-Index yexabiso loMvelisi (PPI) yehla nge-0.6%, ngokuhambelana nokulindela kweemarike.
Idatha yorhwebo yaseJamani ilindeleke ngoLwesine. Ekubeni i-European Central Bank (i-ECB) ilindeleke ngokuqinisekileyo ukuba inganyuki amaxabiso, izimvo ezivela kumabhanki aphakathi azifanelekanga kangako.
Nangona umkhwa usephantsi, i IGBP / USD isibini sasinosuku lwaso olungcono kwisithuba senyanga, sinyuka ukusuka kwiinyanga ezintandathu ezisezantsi kwi-1.2030 ukuya malunga ne-1.2150.
Njengoko amaxabiso empahla enyuka, i Aud / USD izinga lotshintshiselwano liphakame, libambe ngaphezulu kwe-0.6300. Ukuqhawula ngaphezulu kwe-0.6360 kuyadingeka ukunciphisa uxinzelelo lwe-bearish. Idatha yorhwebo yase-Australia iya kukhutshwa ngoLwesine.
Kwakulindeleke ukuba i-Reserve Bank yaseNew Zealand (RBNZ) igcine izinga layo kwi-5.5%. Ulindelo lwemarike lubonisa ukuba ukunyuka kwesantya kunokwenzeka ngoNovemba 29 emva kohlaziyo oluhlaziyiweyo lwe-macro kunye nenkomfa yabezindaba. Ngaphandle kokuwa ngoSeptemba kwi-0.5870, NZD / USD wachacha, wagqiba usuku ngokuqinisekileyo malunga ne-0.5930.
Ngenxa yokuhla kabukhali kwamaxabiso eoli ekrwada, iDola yaseKhanada yayiyeyona iqhuba kakubi phakathi kweemali ezinkulu. USD / CAD ifikelele kwelona nqanaba liphezulu ukusukela ngoMatshi ka-1.3784. Ngaphandle kweenzuzo ezincinci, igolide iphantsi koxinzelelo kwi-1,820 yeedola. isilivere ilahlekelwe ngumhlaba kwaye idibanise ilahleko yakutsha nje kwi- $ 21.00, ihlala kuluhlu lwakutsha nje.
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