Ukugxila kuguqukela eJapan kunye ne-yen ngaphezulu kwexesha leholide, njengoko ukuhanjiswa kwedatha yaseYurophu naseMelika kubuyela umva
Yiveki ezolileyo yeendaba zekhalenda yezoqoqosho, ngenxa yexesha leholide leXmas, nangona kunjalo, iindaba zoqoqosho lwaseAsia (ngakumbi ezivela eJapan), ziza zininzi kwaye zikhawuleze kwaye ziya kubandakanya inani elitsha le-CPI, eliye lahlala liphantsi kakhulu kwi-0.2% ngonyaka, ngaphandle kwamanyathelo okhuthazo abekiweyo njengenxalenye yenkqubo yezoqoqosho yomphathiswa we-Abe;
I-Abenomics (ア ベ ノ ミ ク ス Abenomikusu) ibhekisa kwimigaqo-nkqubo yezoqoqosho ekhuthazwe nguShinzō Abe ukusukela kunyulo lukaDisemba 2012, olonyule u-Abe ukuba abe lixesha lakhe lesibini njenge-Nkulumbuso yaseJapan. I-Abenomics isekwe phezu "kweentolo ezintathu" zokunciphisa imali, ukuvuselela imali kunye nohlengahlengiso kulwakhiwo.
Njengomphumo wokugxila eJapan, ngelixa iindaba zoqoqosho ezivela eYurophu naseMelika zibuyela umva, i-yen inokuba yimali ehlala ibonwa kule veki izayo, de kube ukulingana kunye neemarike zeFX zivulwe ngokupheleleyo.
Ngokweendaba zaseYurophu; I-CPI yaseJamani kunye nesalathiso samaxabiso asezindlwini e-UK, ngokwe-Nationwide Bank / Umbutho Wezakhiwo, zezona ndaba zibalulekileyo. Ukusuka e-USA iBhodi yeNkomfa yokufunda abathengi ngokuzithemba isabhalisa njengenye yezona mpembelelo zibalaseleyo, idatha ethambileyo, ukufundwa kwemvakalelo okukhoyo. Iindidi ezahlukeneyo ze-Case-Shiller zexabiso lendlu ziya kupapashwa e-USA, abahlalutyi baya kugqobhoza le datha kunye nezinye iindlela ezahlukeneyo zezindlu ezipapashwe kutshanje, kubandakanya i-NAHB kunye nezinye iindaba ezikhuthazayo ngokubhekisele: ukwakhiwa kwezindlu ukuqala, iimvume kunye nokugqitywa, ukulungiselela ukulinganisa ubushushu obupheleleyo babemi base-US kunye nomnqweno wokuthatha amanqanaba aphezulu aphezulu etyala lokubambisa.
NgeCawa iqala iveki ngamaxabiso okungenisa i-YoY eJamani, aqikelelwa ukuba angene nge-2.7%, eli nani lijongwa ngozinzo, njengoko isikhundla saseJamani njengendlu yamandla ethunyelwa ngaphandle, sifuna ukuba iindleko zokungenisa kwempahla eluhlaza zihlala ziphantsi ngokungaguqukiyo.
NgoMvulo lusuku olulawulwa ziindaba zekhalenda yezoqoqosho lwaseJapan; Inani le-CPI lakutshanje lenyanga nonyaka, ngoku likwi-0.2% YoY ngaphandle kwempumelelo yenkqubo ye-Abenomics, amanani abantu abangaphangeliyo (ngoku akwi-2.8%) kwaye siyakufumana imizuzu yentlanganiso yomgaqo-nkqubo wezemali we-BOJ wakutsha nje, nge-30 ka-Okthobha yama-31, enokuhambisa isikhokelo phambili, ngokunxulumene nomgaqo-lawulo wemali kwi2018.
NgoLwesibini iyaqhubeka ngeendaba zoqoqosho zaseJapan, njengoko irhuluneli / umphathi oyintloko we-BOJ ehambisa intetho eKeidanren, emva koko ikhalenda ilawulwa ziindaba ezivela e-USA. Amaxabiso edatha yendlu ka-Okthobha e-Shiller amaxabiso wedatha e-USA azakupapashwa, isalathiso semizi esihamba phambili esingama-20 (iingcinga ezingundoqo) kulindeleke ukuba singene ekukhuleni kwe-1% kwinyanga leyo, iyonke i-USD S & P / Case-Shiller Ekhaya laseMelika Uqikelelo lwamaxabiso Index (YoY) (OCT) ukuqikelela ukuhlala kufutshane ne-6.19% yokufunda ebhaliswe ngoSeptemba. Isalathiso samvanje sokuvelisa iRichmond kunye neDallas Fed kunye nofundo lomsebenzi lupapashiwe, kuzo zombini kulindeleke ukuba zikhule ngokuphakathi.
NgoLwesithathu uqala ngamanani amancinci okuthengisa aseJamani, aqikelelwe ukuveza ukunyuka ukuya kwi-2.5% yeYO ngoNovemba, emva kokuwa okungalindelekanga -1.4% ngo-Okthobha. Ukuqala kwezindlu kunye neeodolo zokwakha eJapan ziqikelelwa ukuba zigcina uqikelelo lwamva nje lokukhula. Ngexesha leseshoni yokurhweba yaseNew York iBhodi yeNkomfa yamva nje yokufunda ukuzithemba kwabathengi ipapashiwe, kuthotho lokukhutshwa kweBhodi yeNkomfa yanyanga zonke, le metric yokuzithemba ikwindawo ephambili. Ilindelwe ukuthengiswa kwekhaya eMelika, inyanga nenyanga kunye nonyaka, kukwaqikelelwa ukuba kuya kugcinwa amanqanaba okukhula ngoku. Isihlenga sokukhutshwa kwedatha yezoqoqosho, enxulumene noqoqosho lwaseJapan, sivale usuku; Amanani okukhula kweentengiso, ukuthengwa kweebhondi kunye neyona mveliso yamvanje yokuveliswa kwemizi-mveliso iya kupapashwa, kunye noqikelelo lokugqibela lokuhlala kufutshane ne-5.9% ye-YoY ukukhula kwenani, etyhilwe ngo-Okthobha.
NgoLwesine ingqalelo iguqukela kuqoqosho lwase-UK, kunye nexabiso lakutshanje lexabiso lendlu kwilizwe lonke kulindeleke ukuba libonakalise ukukhula kwe-2% ye-YoY, yehle isuka kwi-2.5%. Kwezinye iindaba zaseYurophu i-ECB izakupapasha iincwadana zayo zoqoqosho. Intsalela yosuku ilawulwa ziindaba zekhalenda yezoqoqosho e-USA; Amanani entsalela kurhwebo oluphambili, uluhlu lwempahla ngexabiso eliphezulu, amabango okuqala nelaqhubekayo okungaqeshwa kunye nee-inventri zamandla ezahlukeneyo.
NgolwesiHlanu kungqina amanani amatsha ecandelo labucala laseAustralia elipapashwa, kukhutshwa amanani obonelelo ngemali kwi-Eurozone, inani leJamani le-CPI YoY liyakupapashwa, ulindelo lokwehla ukuya kwi-1.5% ngonyaka ngoDisemba, ukusuka kwi-1.8% ka-YoY. Idatha yekhalenda yezoqoqosho veki nganye iyavalwa nge-Baker Hughes yangoku, ukubala okuhlala kutshintsha ixabiso leoyile xa kukhutshwa.
« Igolide iyaqhubeka nokuchacha kwakutshanje, i-euro inyuka xa ithelekiswa noontanga, ii-equity eziphambili zaseYurophu zithengiswa kabukhali, ii-equities zase-US ziwa emva kwenkqubo yokurhafiswa kwerhafu ifumana ukukhanya okuluhlaza Ukuthengisa okuthe tyaba kuthe tyaba nangona bekukho urhulumente wase-UK. Ukugxothwa komphathiswa, idola yaseMelika inyuka njengoko iindaba ezilungileyo zoqoqosho zikhokelela kwinkolelo yokuba inzala iya kunyuka ngo-2018 »
