I-Fibonacci kunye nesicelo sayo kwi-Forex Trading
Kuzo zonke ezi zinto: imigaqo, iipateni, izikhombisi kunye nezixhobo ezisetyenziselwa ukurhweba, igama, umtsalane kunye nengcinga ye "Fibonacci" ime njengeyona imangalisayo kwaye ikhuthaza. Yinto eyaziwayo ekusetyenzisweni kwezibalo, iboleka igunya elingahambelaniyo nezixhobo zangoku, ezisetyenziswa ngokuxhaphakileyo zetshathi, ezinje nge: MACD, RSI, PSAR, DMI njl.
Inokumangalisa into yokuba abathengisi abaninzi be-novice bafunde ukuba ulandelelwano 'lwantlandlolo' lwe-Fibonacci lusetyenziswa ngabarhwebi abaninzi kunye nemigqaliselo kumaziko aphambili xa kuyilwa iimodeli zorhwebo lwealgorithmic, kwimizamo yabo yokufumana inzuzo kwintengiso. Isifundo esifutshane sembali kwiFibonacci kufanelekile okwangoku, ngaphambi kokuba singene kwindlela esinokuyisebenzisa ngayo le nto inyulu, yezibalo, imeko kwiitshathi zethu.
Ulandelelwano lweFibonacci lathiywa ngegama lesazi sezibalo esingumTaliyane uLeonardo wasePisa, owayebizwa ngokuba nguFibonacci. Incwadi yakhe eyi-1202 ethi Liber Abaci yazisa le meko kwimathematics yaseYurophu. Ulandelelwano lwaluchazwe ngaphambili njengamanani eVirahanka kwimathematics yaseIndiya.
UFibonacci ucacisile ithiyori yakhe esebenzisa umzekelo wokukhula (wethiyori) wenani lomvundla, isibini esisandula ukuzalwa semivundla ekhwela inenyanga enye. Ekupheleni kwenyanga yayo yesibini umntu obhinqileyo angavelisa esinye isibini semivundla, kucingelwa ukuba imivundla ayisoze ife, ezi zibini zivelisa isibini esitsha (inkunzi enye, ibhinqa elinye) rhoqo ngenyanga ukusukela kwinyanga yesibini kuye phambili. Iphazili ebuzwe nguFibonacci yile: zingaphi izibini eziya kubakho kunyaka omnye? Imodeli yemathematics echaza olu lwandiso lwaba lulandelelwano lweFibonacci. Ukulandelelana kwamanani kubonakala kuseto lwebhayoloji: amasebe emithini, amagqabi esiqwini, iziqhamo ezivelisa ipayinapile, intyatyambo yeartichoke, iferns engatyibilikiyo kunye nepine cones 'bracts.
Ulandelelwano lwezibalo, olufunyenwe kwaye lwaphuhliswa ngaphezulu kweminyaka engama-800 emva koko, lunxibelelana njani nokuthengisa kwanamhlanje? Zimbini iinkolelo apho isicelo sichaphazelekayo. Omnye unomdla kwinto ebizwa ngokuba "sisiprofeto esizalisekisayo". Esinye isicelo sinxulumene nokunqongophala kwendalo kwiimvakalelo, njengoko amandla ombutho ephela; intshukumo ebukhali yentengiso iya kuthi ibuyele kumanqanaba athile. Masijongane nethiyori yokuzalisekisa ngokwakho ngaphambi kokuba sichaze izibalo ezisemva kwethiyori yokubuyisela.
Ithiyori yokuzalisekisa icebisa ukuba xa abathengisi abaninzi besebenzisa ithiyori yokubuyisela indawo yeFibonacci, imarike inokubuyela kula manqanaba kwaye kukho ubungqina bokuba lethiyori inokuba isemsebenzini kwiimarike. Ukuba abarhwebi aboneleyo: kwiibhanki ezinkulu, amaziko, ihedge fund kunye nabaqulunqi aboneleyo beendlela zokurhweba zealgorithmic, sebenzisa ukulandelelana kokubuyisela ukubeka iiodolo, emva koko amanqanaba anokuhlaselwa. Ingozi ephambili kukuba nanini na xa sifumana ukunyuka okubalulekileyo, umzekelo, isibini esikhulu semali, ithuba likho lokuba siza kufumana urhoxiso olubalulekileyo, ngenxa yezizathu ezahlukeneyo. Njengokuba ixabiso libuyela umva abalandeli beFibonacci baya kuthi “eureka! Iyasebenza kwakhona! ” Xa inyani inokuba abathathi-nxaxheba bathengise ngaphezulu okanye bathengisa ngaphezulu kwintengiso kwaye ngoku bafumana amathandabuzo, ngelixa intengiso iyema ukufumana inqanaba elitsha 'lendalo'.
Ngoku makhe sijonge indlela iliza leemvakalelo ezinokuthi zirhoxise ngayo kwaye izibalo ziqale ukusebenza. Uqala ngokufumana phezulu nasezantsi ekushukumisweni kweemarike kwaye ucebe amanqaku amabini, le yi-100% yentshukumo. Amanqanaba asetyenziswa ngokuxhaphakileyo eFibonacci ngama-38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, ngamanye amaxesha ama-23.6% kunye nama-76.4% ayasetyenziswa, nangona inqanaba lama-50% lingeyonxalenye yolandelelwano lwezibalo, ibifakwe kule minyaka idlulileyo ngabarhwebi ngobuninzi . Kwindlela eqinileyo yokubuyisela umva ubuncinci isetyhula i-38.2%, kwimeko ebuthathaka, ukubuyisela endaweni kwakhona kunokuba yi-61.8% okanye i-76.4%. Ukubuyiselwa ngokutsha ngokupheleleyo (kwe-100% yentshukumo) kuya kushenxisa intshukumo esele ikho.
Amanqanaba e-Fibonacci kufuneka abalwe kuphela emva kokuba imarike yenze intshukumo enkulu kwaye ibonakala ngathi ithambile kwinqanaba lexabiso elithile. Ukuba ayibalwanga ngokuzenzekelayo yiphakeji yokutshata, amanqanaba okubuyisela kwakhona i-Fibonacci angama-38.2%, ama-50% kunye nama-61.8% asetelwe ngokuzoba imigca ethe tyaba kwii-oncharts ukuchonga iindawo ezinokubuyela kuzo kwimarike, ngaphambi kokuphinda uqalise umkhwa owenziwe kuqala lixabiso elikhulu lokuqala hamba. Oku kulandelayo ngoku zizicwangciso ezimbalwa abathengisi be-forex abazisebenzisela ukuthengisa amanqanaba eFibonacci.
- Ukungena ngokukhawuleza kwinqanaba le-38.2%, yeka ilahleko engaphantsi kwenqanaba le-50%.
- Ukungena kwinqanaba le-50%, yeka ilahleko yokuyalela nje ngezantsi kwenqanaba lama-61.8%.
- Ukufutshane kufutshane nomphezulu wokuhamba, usebenzisa amanqanaba eFibonacci njengokuthatha iithagethi zenzuzo.
Njengesiqhelo kuye kubarhwebi ukuziqhelanisa nokusebenzisa iFibonacci. Indawo elungileyo onokuqala kuyo iya kubuya / kuvavanyo ngokucwangcisa iincopho zeebhokhwe kwitshathi yemihla ngemihla. Fumana ngokulula iintshukumo ezinkulu eziphambili, fumana incopho kunye nomkhombe kwaye uqinisekise ukuba ukubuyisela endaweni kwakhona 'kuyasebenza'. Kuyafana kuzo zonke iindlela zokurhweba akukho nanye eqinisekileyo, akukho nanye eyi-100% ethembekileyo. Nangona kunjalo, sonke siye sangqina, amaxesha ngamaxesha, iimarike zethu ziyabuya kwaye ziphinde zibuye emva kwentshukumo enkulu yentengiso. Ukuba ungancamathisela ezinye zezibalo kunye nesayensi kulolo phinda ulusebenzise kwaye uluxhase (uqikelele), ubuchule bolawulo lwemali olululo, emva koko unokufumanisa ukuba ukongeza iFibonacci kwisicwangciso sakho sokuthengisa kusebenza kakuhle kakhulu.
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