Amagqabantshintshi eMarike ye-Forex-Ukufumana i-Deja Vu Feeling

UDejà Vu, uluvo olungaqondakaliyo lokuba sibe lapha ngaphambili

NgoNovemba 17 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 6287 izimvo • Comments Off Kwi-Déjà Vu, i-Uncanny Sense yokuba besilapha ngaphambili

Ngamanye amaxesha kufanelekile ukuthatha inyathelo ukubuya umva kwimeko ezinesiphithiphithi ukuze uvavanye umonakalo. Oku kukwabonelela ngethuba lokumisela ukuba ngawaphi amanyathelo athathiweyo ukushenxisa kwisiphithiphithi kungene kulawulo lwentlekele olusebenzayo. Umfanekiso ocacileyo unokuthi emva koko uvele malunga nokuba umonakalo uqulethwe njani, ulungiswe kwaye ngawaphi amanyathelo abekiweyo okwakha ngokutsha kunye nokuthintela imeko efanayo yesiphithiphithi evela kwakhona.

UDejà vu (ngokwenyani "sele ebonile") ngamava okuziva uqinisekile ukuba umntu sele ebonile okanye efumene imeko yangoku, nangona iimeko ngqo zodibaniso lwangaphambili bezingaqinisekanga kwaye mhlawumbi bezicingelwa. Eli gama laqanjwa ngumphandi wezengqondo wase-France, u-ilemile Boirac (1851-1917) kwincwadi yakhe ethi L'Avenir des sciences psychiques (“The future of Psychic Sciences”), eyathi yandiswa isincoko awayesibhala ngethuba esenza isidanga sokuqala. Amava e-déjà vu ahlala ehamba kunye nemvakalelo yokunyanzelwa yokuqhelana, kunye nemvakalelo "yovuyo", "ukungaqheleki", "ubungqindilili", okanye into uSigmund Freud ayibiza ngokuba "yinto engaqhelekanga". Amava "angaphambili" asoloko enxulunyaniswa nephupha, nangona kwezinye iimeko kukho ingqiqo eqinisekileyo yokuba amava enzeka ngenene kwixesha elidlulileyo…

Ngokuqhelekileyo 'ndenza' kwenye indawo kwingingqi yamagama angama-5,000 XNUMX ngosuku kwiFXCC. Uninzi lwamanqaku eendaba adalwe ngokuba nomdla osempilweni ngokubhekisele kwiindaba zezoqoqosho ezikhoyo, ngakumbi iindaba kunye okanye izigqibo ezisisiseko ezinokuthi zibumbe ilizwe lethu lemali ye-forex. Ndiza kukhangela ngokukhawuleza iBloomberg, iReuters, i-FT, iindaba eziphambili zase-UK kunye neendaba ze-iconoclastic zeendaba ukuze zithathe iingqondo kunye neengcezu zomhlaba wonke ukuhambisa oko sinethemba lokuba kuya kuba yingqiqo enomdla, imifanekiso kunye nemicimbi ekhoyo yangoku. Ngokwendalo kukho amaxesha apho ndivelisa inqaku kwaye 'livakalelwa' ngokungathi ndiyaziphindaphinda, ngamanye amaxesha kufuneka ndithabathe kabini ukuqinisekisa ukuba andibhalanga into efanayo kutsha nje, njengeendaba izolo ezivelileyo iFrance neJamani zahlulwe nzulu kwinyathelo elilandelayo eliya phambili.

Ngaba kwakungo-Okthobha kuphela apho uMerkel noSarkozy babeneenqwelo moya ezingapheliyo phakathi kweJamani neFrance ukuze babe ngabadlali abakhulu ukufumana isisombululo kwingxaki yamatyala eYurophu? Ngaba ngekhe basikhokele kulengxwabangxwaba siye kwisivumelwano esitsha? Ukanti apha siyinyanga kwaye iReuters ihambisa umxholo kunye nenqaku elibonisa ukuba akukho nto ifezekileyo kwinyanga ephelileyo ngaphandle kokubonakala kungenakwenzeka; imeko embi yenziwe mandundu ..

Uhlobo olwahlukileyo lwesiphithiphithi ngoku luvele ngenxa yokulawulwa gwenxa kwale meko ngawo onke amagosa anxulumene nesi sifo. Kukho oorhulumente ababini abangcolileyo abangakhethwanga kwezobuchwephesha abangaphakathi entliziyweni ye-maelstrom kwaye ngaphandle kwothotho olungapheliyo lweentlanganiso akukho luhlu lupheleleyo okanye imephu yendlela ekuvunyelwene ngayo mayeke ukubekwa endaweni kwaye umanyano lweMerkozy luhleli lungangqinelani ngenxa ye-ECB esebenza njengomboleki wokugqibela. I-resort, okanye ukunciphisa ngokukhawuleza kunikwe ukungqubana kunye nomgaqo-siseko.

Impumelelo ekuphela kwayo ngamalungu alishumi elinesixhenxe emali enye ejonge ukungathengwa okungapheliyo nokungashicilelwanga kunye nemisebenzi engekho mthethweni eyenziwa yiECB okwangoku. Le meko sele isiphithiphithi njengangaphambili, kodwa ngoku inezinto ezintsokothileyo ezingeyomfuneko . Ngummangaliso ukuba ii-indices eziphambili ezinxulunyaniswe neYurophu zingakhange zibuyiselwe kumanqanaba e-2008-2009, kuphela zirp (zero rate policy) kunye namanqanaba e-gargantuan of liquidity entsha ukusukela ngo-2008-2009 ethintele oku kungaphepheki. I-France kunye ne-Jamani bayinyusile imfazwe yamazwi malunga nokuba i-Central Bank yase-Europe ingenelele ngamandla ukumisa ingxaki yamatyala e-euro emva kokuthengwa kweebond ngokuthe ngcembe kusilele ukuzola kwiimarike.

Ukujongana nokunyuka kweendleko zokuboleka njengoko inqanaba layo le-'AAA 'lisemngciphekweni, iFrance yacela isenzo esomeleleyo se-ECB. Isiphithiphithi semarike yeBond sisasazeka kwiYurophu iphela. Isivuno se-Italiyali seminyaka eli-10 sesivuno sikhuphuke ngaphezulu kweepesenti ze-7, ezingenakufikeleleka kwixesha elide. Izivuno kwiibhondi ezikhutshwe yiFrance, iNetherlands neOstriya zona kunye neJamani ezenza isiseko sendawo ye-euro nazo zonyukile. “Indima ye-ECB kukuqinisekisa uzinzo lwe-euro, kodwa kunye nozinzo kwezemali eYurophu. Siyathemba ukuba i-ECB iza kuthatha amanyathelo ayimfuneko ukuqinisekisa uzinzo kwezemali eYurophu, ” Isithethi sikarhulumente waseFrance uValerie Pecresse uthe emva kwentlanganiso yekhabhinethi eParis. Umphathiswa Wezemali wase-France u-Francois Baroin uphindaphinde umbono kaParis wokuba ingxowa-mali yokuhlangula i-EFSF yendawo ye-euro kufuneka ibe nelayisensi yokubhankisha, into ephikiswa yi-Berlin. Ukuhamba okunjalo kuya kuvumela ukuba ingxowa-mali iboleke kwi-ECB, iyinike amandla okucima umlilo ukulwa nengxaki yokusasazeka. “Isikhundla eFrance kukuba indlela yokuthintela ukosuleleka kukuba i-EFSF ibe nelayisensi yokubhankisha,” U-Baroin utshilo ecaleni komsitho wokuwonga.

Kodwa i-Chancellor yase-Germany u-Angela Merkel wayenza yacaca i-Berlin ukuba iyala ukuxinzelela ukuba ibhanki engaphakathi ithathe inxaxheba enkulu ekusombululeni ingxaki yamatyala, esithi imigaqo ye-European Union iyasithintela isenzo esinjalo. "Ngendlela esibona ngayo izivumelwano, i-ECB ayinakho ukusombulula ezi ngxaki," Uthe emva kokuthetha ne-Nkulumbuso yase-Ireland u-Enda Kenny. Ekuphela kwendlela yokufumana ukuzithemba kweemarike yayikukumilisela iinguqu ekuvunyelwene ngazo kwezoqoqosho kunye nokwakha umanyano olusondeleyo lwaseYurophu ngokutshintsha isivumelwano se-EU, utshilo uMerkel. Abaqulunqi bomgaqo-nkqubo we-ECB bayaqhubeka nokulahla iminxeba yamazwe aphesheya yokungenelela ngokugqibeleleyo njengombolekisi waseYurophu wokugqibela, egxininisa ukuba kuxhomekeke koorhulumente ukusombulula ingxaki yamatyala ngokusebenzisa amanyathelo angqongqo kunye nohlaziyo.

Nangona kunjalo, abahlalutyi abaninzi bakholelwa ukuba intshukumo ngoku imele ekuphela kwendlela yokuthintela usulelo, ngaphandle komngcipheko wokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwimali yokuprinta. Inkulumbuso yase-Itali u-Mario Monti uzakufuna inkxaso epalamente ngezicwangciso zakhe zokulawula ityala lesibini ngobukhulu kwingingqi ye-euro njengoko isivuno sebhondi sihleli ngaphezulu komyinge we-7 wepesenti yokubambisa. Isivuno kwibenmarkmark yase-Italiya yeminyaka eli-10 ye-bond inyuke ngamanqaku e-6 ukuya kwi-7.07 yeepesenti, usuku lwesithathu lubambe ngaphezulu kwenqanaba elakhokelela eGrisi, ePortugal nase-Ireland ukuba bafune uncedo lwe-European Union. IMonti, izakuvavanya inkxaso yepalamente kurhulumente wezobuchwephesha namhlanje xa esiza nenkqubo yakhe kwiNdlu yeeNgwevu eRome ngentsimbi yokuqala emva kokujongana nevoti yokuzithemba kurhulumente wakhe omtsha oqala ngentsimbi yesi-1.

I-Itali izama ukunciphisa ityala le-1.9 yezigidi zeerandi (i-2.6 yezigidi zeedola), ngaphezulu kweSpain, iGrisi, iPortugal neIreland zidityanisiwe, kwaye ukutsiba kwezivuno zeebhondi sele kunyusa iindleko zokuboleka kwilizwe ekufuneka lithengise malunga ne-440 yezigidigidi zeerandi ityala kunyaka olandelayo. UNondyebo kwafuneka anikezele ngesivuno seepesenti ezingama-6.29, esona siphezulu ukusukela ngo-1997, kwimixokelelwane yeminyaka emihlanu kwifandesi ngoNovemba 14. URoberto d'Alimonte, unjingalwazi wezopolitiko kwiYunivesithi yaseLuiss eRome;

IMonti izakuzama ukuveza izicwangciso zikarhulumente wakhe 'ngokudibanisa ubuchule,' kwangaxeshanye ebhengeza amanyathelo azakwenza ukuba omabini amaqela aphambili angonwabi. Kungabakho ukuphinda kuveliswe irhafu yepropathi ephambili engafunwa liqela likaBerlusconi kunye nomthetho omtsha kwinkqubo yepenshini kunye nemarike yezabasebenzi ephikiswa yiDemocratic Party okanye abanye babameli bayo.

 

Iakhawunti yeDemo ye-Forex Iakhawunti ebukhoma ye Forex Fundisa iakhawunti yakho

 

Ukuzithemba kwe-UK kuyawa ukuze kufikelele iNew Recorded Low                                                                             Ukuzithemba kwabathengi e-UK kuye kwahlasela ixesha lonke, kuxhokonxwa kukuwa kwengxaki ye-eurozone kunye noxinzelelo olukhulu kuhlahlo-lwabiwo mali lwasekhaya, ingxelo evela kuZwelonke ifumene. I-Consumer Confidence Index, esekwe kuphononongo lwarhoqo ngenyanga, yafumanisa ukuba ukuzithemba kwehla kwinyanga yesihlanu ngokulandelelana ngo-Okthobha ukuya kwilitye elitsha elinamanqaku angama-36. Oku kungaphantsi komndilili wokusebenza kwe-78, ngelixa izinto ezilindelwe ngabathengi ziye zafikelela nakwezona ziphantsi zokufunda ezingama-48, zehle ngamanqaku ali-14 kwinyanga ephelileyo. Kuphela yi-3% yabathengi echaze imeko yezoqoqosho yangoku "njengelungileyo" kwaye yi-13% kuphela elindele ukuba iphucule kwezi nyanga zintandathu zilandelayo.

URobert Gardner, ingcali yezoqoqosho kwilizwe lonke, wathi:

Ukuzithemba kwabathengi kuqhubekile nokutyibilika ngo-Okthobha, kwehla ngamanqaku alithoba ukuya kwinqanaba elitsha lonke elingama-36. Isalathiso ngoku siwele iinyanga ezintlanu zilandelelana, sayishiya ityhafile ngamanqaku amahlanu ngaphantsi kwe-41 yangaphambili ebhalwe ngoFebruwari kulo nyaka. . Isalathiso sokuzithemba, esaqala ngoMeyi 2004, ngoku singaphezulu kwamanqaku angama-40 ngaphantsi komndilili we-78.

Isalathiso samva nje sikhutshwe kusuku olulandelayo emva kokuba iBhanki yaseNgilani iqikelele umngcipheko ophucukileyo wokudibanisa imali kwaye yavula indlela yomnye umjikelo wamanyathelo engxamiseko.

Ubume bemivuzo                                                                                                                                                                     Izitokhwe zaseYurophu zawa, zathumela iStoxx Europe 600 Index esezantsi kusuku lwesithathu kwezine, ngaphambi kokuba iFrance neSpain zithengise iibhondi phakathi kweendleko zokuboleka. Ikamva lesalathiso laseMelika lenyuka ngelixa izabelo zaseAsia zazingatshintshi. I-Stoxx 600 yehla nge-0.5 yeepesenti ukuya kwi-235.75 nge-9: 25 ekuseni eLondon njengoko iSpanish seminyaka elishumi isivuno sezibophelelo sanyuka saya kwirekhodi yexesha le-euro kwaye isivuno seminyaka emihlanu sesiFrentshi saqabela kwiinyanga ezintandathu eziphezulu. Ixesha elizayo kwi-Standard & Poor's 10 Index ephela ngoDisemba inyuke ngepesenti ye-500. I-MSCI Asia Pacific Index ayitshintshanga kancinane. IFransi neSpain baceba ukuthengisa i-0.4 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi (i-12.2 yezigidigidi zeedola) zeebhondi namhlanje kuvavanyo lweemfuno zabatyali zimali njengoko iindleko zokuboleka ezonyukayo zichaphazela isiseko sommandla. Iifandesi zaseFrance zingange-16.5 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi zamatyala emva kwesivuno kwibhanti yeminyaka eli-8.2 yesizwe inyuke izolo kwirekhodi ye-euro ehambelana nomlinganiso wemiqulu yeJamani. ISpain ikhupha i-10 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi zenqanaba elitsha lokukhusela ukhuseleko ngoJanuwari 4.

Imifanekiso eqingqiweyo yentengiso ngo-10: 15 kusasa nge-GMT (ixesha lase-UK)                                                                                                        Iimarike zaseAsia zafumana ubutyebi obuxubekileyo kwiseshoni yasebusuku. INikkei ivale i-0.19%, i-Hang Seng ivale i-0.76% kwaye i-CSI yavala i-0.3%. E-Australia i-ASX 200 ivale i-0.25%. Iibhuji zaseYurophu zinenye intsasa engenazigqibo kwaye engonwabisi, zonke izalathiso eziphambili ngoku azilunganga. I-STOXX okwangoku iphantsi kwe-1.08%, i-UK FTSE ngoku iphantsi kwe-1.30%, i-CAC iphantsi kwe-1.43% kwaye i-DAX yehla nge-0.78%. I-Brent Circe iphantsi kwe-1.23% kwi-ICE kwaye indawo yegolide iphantsi nge-0.43%. ikamva lezabelo kwi-SPX lenyuke nge-0.14%.

Ukukhutshwa kwedatha yezoqoqosho enokuthi ichaphazele iseshoni yasemva kwemini                                                   13:30 US - Ezezindlu ziqala ngo-Okthobha 13:30 e-US - Imvume yokwakha ngo-Okthobha 13:30 e-US - Amabango okuQala nokuQhubeka nokuSebenza ngaphandle kweNtsebenzo 15:00 e-US - uPhilly Fed ngoNovemba Uqikelelo lwebloomberg yoQeqesho olungenamisebenzi lwama-395K, xa kuthelekiswa nenani langaphambili elikhutshiweyo eyayiyi-390K. Uphando olufanayo luqikelela i-3633K yamabango aqhubekayo, xa kuthelekiswa nenani langaphambili le-3615K.

Amagqabantshintshi zivaliwe.

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