Ngomhla wesihlanu • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 5536 izimvo • Comments Off e China, Crude kunye neGCC
Kunyaka ophelileyo, amaxabiso e-oyile anyuke kakhulu ekuphenduleni intwasahlobo yaseArabia, afikelela kufutshane ne-126 yeedola ngomphanda ngo-Epreli odlulileyo kwincopho yengxaki yaseLibya.
Ukususela ngoko, amaxabiso awazange abuyele kumanqanaba aphakathi kwe-2010, xa ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka lalijikeleze i-80 yeedola ngomphanda. Endaweni yoko, amaxabiso e-oyile ahlala emalunga ne-110 yeedola ngomphanda ngamnye ngo-2011, anyuke nge-15% kuphela ngo-2012.
Amaxabiso e-oyile aphezulu adla ngokunceda i-GCC (iGulf Cooperation Council) ngokunyuka kweengeniso, kodwa xa amaxabiso enyuka ngokukhawuleza, okanye ehlala ephakamile ixesha elide, imveliso ebiza kakhulu iba nomtsalane kangako kwaye abarhwebi bamazwe angaphandle bathanda ukunciphisa ukusetyenziswa kwe-oyile. Kwiimeko ezinjalo, imfuno encinci ye-oyile iguqulela ekukhuleni kwehlabathi.
Inkxalabo ephambili ye-OPEC lixabiso le-oyile kunye nokuziphatha kwabathengi. Amaxabiso aphezulu azisa ingeniso ephezulu kodwa kukho inqanaba apho imfuno yabathengi iyancipha. Ukuba amaxabiso anyanzelisa utshintsho kwimfuno yabathengi, utshintsho lunokusuka kuhlengahlengiso olulula ukuya kwindlela yokuziphatha yexesha elide esongela usetyenziso kwixesha elide.
I-China, njengamanye amazwe amaninzi, sele ibhengeze ukukhula okuphantsi kowama-2012. Ekubeni ingumrhwebi onamandla we-oyile kumazwe angaphandle, imfuno yorhwebo kufuneka ngokwethiyori yehle. Ngaloo ndlela, amandla okuthenga e-China aqina ngokubhekiselele ekuthengeni i-asethi ye-dollar yase-US, kule meko i-oyile, iyenza ingabizi kakhulu e-China kunokuba abanye bayingenise ngaphandle. Ngaloo ndlela ixabiso elikhulayo leoli lihlawulwa kakuhle ngamandla okuthenga okomelezayo. Ngenxa yoko, umthamo we-China wezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle ezivela kumalungu e-GCC e-OPEC (uMbutho waMazwe aThumela iPetroliyam ngaphandle) uye wanda.
Amashumi amane ekhulwini e-oyile yehlabathi aphuma kwi-OPEC, eyenziwe ngamazwe ali-12 kuphela, isithathu kuwo singamalungu e-GCC. Kodwa ngokudibeneyo, iSaudi Arabia, i-UAE, iKuwait kunye neQatar zenza malunga nesiqingatha se-OPEC iyonke - i-20 pesenti yobonelelo lweoyile yehlabathi.
Amazwe amane e-GCC aye anyusa ngokuthe chu ukuthunyelwa kwawo e-China, ukusuka kwi-4.6 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngonyaka odlulileyo ukuya kwi-7.8 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ze-oyile ngoFebruwari. Oku kuhambelana nokunyuka kweepesenti ze-68.8 kwinani elithengiswe yi-China kumazwe amane e-GCC ngonyaka nje omnye.
Oku kufuneka kubonwe njengophawu oluqinisekisayo. Njengoko idola yaseMelika inokuthi ibe buthathaka kwixesha eliphakathi ngenxa yovuselelo olunamandla lomgaqo-mali wase-US nanjengoko umkhwa wokuya kwi-periphery ubuyela ngokuthe ngcembe kwisimo sesiqhelo, i-China, kunye nezinye izizwe zase-Asia ezinokuxabisa iimali zazo, zinokugcina imfuno. ukuthunyelwa kwe-GCC kumazwe angaphandle.
Amaxabiso e-oyile nawo aya kunceda uqoqosho lwe-GCC. Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka, amaxabiso aphenjelelwe kakhulu luphuhliso lwase-Iran. Ngezohlwayo ezichaphazela ibhalansi yentlawulo yase-Iran, sele sibona uqoqosho olukhulu lusiya kwezinye iimarike zeoyile, kubandakanya neSaudi Arabia kunye neKuwait. Olu tshintsho luya kubeka i-China kwindawo eyomeleleyo njengoko i-Iran iya kunyanzelwa ukuba ithengise i-oyile yayo e-China njengoyena mthengi uphambili kwaye i-China iya kulithoba ixabiso elinokufunyanwa yi-Iran.
I-China iya kuba lelinye lamazwe ambalwa aza kungenisa ioyile kodwa angakwazi ukuyihlawula ngenxa yezohlwayo.
I-GCC kufuneka iqhubeke isonwabela ingeniso ye-oyile ephezulu, enokuthi ibuyekeze ukukhula kwayo kwangaphakathi okungahambi kakuhle, kunye nazo naziphi na izothuso ezinkulu ze-euro.
iTshayinaekrwadagcc
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I-China, iCrude kunye neGCC
Ngomhla wesihlanu • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 5536 izimvo • Comments Off e China, Crude kunye neGCC
Kunyaka ophelileyo, amaxabiso e-oyile anyuke kakhulu ekuphenduleni intwasahlobo yaseArabia, afikelela kufutshane ne-126 yeedola ngomphanda ngo-Epreli odlulileyo kwincopho yengxaki yaseLibya.
Ukususela ngoko, amaxabiso awazange abuyele kumanqanaba aphakathi kwe-2010, xa ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka lalijikeleze i-80 yeedola ngomphanda. Endaweni yoko, amaxabiso e-oyile ahlala emalunga ne-110 yeedola ngomphanda ngamnye ngo-2011, anyuke nge-15% kuphela ngo-2012.
Amaxabiso e-oyile aphezulu adla ngokunceda i-GCC (iGulf Cooperation Council) ngokunyuka kweengeniso, kodwa xa amaxabiso enyuka ngokukhawuleza, okanye ehlala ephakamile ixesha elide, imveliso ebiza kakhulu iba nomtsalane kangako kwaye abarhwebi bamazwe angaphandle bathanda ukunciphisa ukusetyenziswa kwe-oyile. Kwiimeko ezinjalo, imfuno encinci ye-oyile iguqulela ekukhuleni kwehlabathi.
Inkxalabo ephambili ye-OPEC lixabiso le-oyile kunye nokuziphatha kwabathengi. Amaxabiso aphezulu azisa ingeniso ephezulu kodwa kukho inqanaba apho imfuno yabathengi iyancipha. Ukuba amaxabiso anyanzelisa utshintsho kwimfuno yabathengi, utshintsho lunokusuka kuhlengahlengiso olulula ukuya kwindlela yokuziphatha yexesha elide esongela usetyenziso kwixesha elide.
I-China, njengamanye amazwe amaninzi, sele ibhengeze ukukhula okuphantsi kowama-2012. Ekubeni ingumrhwebi onamandla we-oyile kumazwe angaphandle, imfuno yorhwebo kufuneka ngokwethiyori yehle. Ngaloo ndlela, amandla okuthenga e-China aqina ngokubhekiselele ekuthengeni i-asethi ye-dollar yase-US, kule meko i-oyile, iyenza ingabizi kakhulu e-China kunokuba abanye bayingenise ngaphandle. Ngaloo ndlela ixabiso elikhulayo leoli lihlawulwa kakuhle ngamandla okuthenga okomelezayo. Ngenxa yoko, umthamo we-China wezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle ezivela kumalungu e-GCC e-OPEC (uMbutho waMazwe aThumela iPetroliyam ngaphandle) uye wanda.
Amashumi amane ekhulwini e-oyile yehlabathi aphuma kwi-OPEC, eyenziwe ngamazwe ali-12 kuphela, isithathu kuwo singamalungu e-GCC. Kodwa ngokudibeneyo, iSaudi Arabia, i-UAE, iKuwait kunye neQatar zenza malunga nesiqingatha se-OPEC iyonke - i-20 pesenti yobonelelo lweoyile yehlabathi.
Amazwe amane e-GCC aye anyusa ngokuthe chu ukuthunyelwa kwawo e-China, ukusuka kwi-4.6 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngonyaka odlulileyo ukuya kwi-7.8 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ze-oyile ngoFebruwari. Oku kuhambelana nokunyuka kweepesenti ze-68.8 kwinani elithengiswe yi-China kumazwe amane e-GCC ngonyaka nje omnye.
Oku kufuneka kubonwe njengophawu oluqinisekisayo. Njengoko idola yaseMelika inokuthi ibe buthathaka kwixesha eliphakathi ngenxa yovuselelo olunamandla lomgaqo-mali wase-US nanjengoko umkhwa wokuya kwi-periphery ubuyela ngokuthe ngcembe kwisimo sesiqhelo, i-China, kunye nezinye izizwe zase-Asia ezinokuxabisa iimali zazo, zinokugcina imfuno. ukuthunyelwa kwe-GCC kumazwe angaphandle.
Amaxabiso e-oyile nawo aya kunceda uqoqosho lwe-GCC. Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka, amaxabiso aphenjelelwe kakhulu luphuhliso lwase-Iran. Ngezohlwayo ezichaphazela ibhalansi yentlawulo yase-Iran, sele sibona uqoqosho olukhulu lusiya kwezinye iimarike zeoyile, kubandakanya neSaudi Arabia kunye neKuwait. Olu tshintsho luya kubeka i-China kwindawo eyomeleleyo njengoko i-Iran iya kunyanzelwa ukuba ithengise i-oyile yayo e-China njengoyena mthengi uphambili kwaye i-China iya kulithoba ixabiso elinokufunyanwa yi-Iran.
I-China iya kuba lelinye lamazwe ambalwa aza kungenisa ioyile kodwa angakwazi ukuyihlawula ngenxa yezohlwayo.
I-GCC kufuneka iqhubeke isonwabela ingeniso ye-oyile ephezulu, enokuthi ibuyekeze ukukhula kwayo kwangaphakathi okungahambi kakuhle, kunye nazo naziphi na izothuso ezinkulu ze-euro.
iTshayinaekrwadagcc
« I-oyile ekrwada kunye ne-Speckulators ziphazamisa ukuBuyiselwa kwakhona koQoqosho Uphengululo lweNtengiso ngo-Epreli 11, 2012 »