Zombini i-UK ne-USA bapapasha iziphumo zabo zokugqibela ze-GDP Q4 ngolwesiHlanu, bobabini baya kujongwa ngeliso elibukhali, ngezizathu ezahlukeneyo
Zombini ii-arhente zezibalo zase-UK kunye ne-USA zipapasha amanani ekota yokugqibela ye-GDP ye-2017, ngoLwesihlanu kaJanuwari 26. Zomibini ukufundwa ziya kubekwa esweni ngenyameko naziphi na iimpawu zobuthathaka kwezoqoqosho, okanye amandla aqhubekayo, njengoko unyaka ufika ekupheleni. Ukufundwa kwe-UK kuya kujongwa ngononophelo ngemiqondiso eyongezelelekileyo yokuba i-Brexit ezayo ayiluchaphazeli kakubi uqoqosho, ngelixa ukufundwa kwe-USA kuya kubekwa iliso kuzo naziphi na iimpawu ezibonisa ukuba idola ebuthathaka, kuyo yonke i-2017, ayiphumelelanga ukudambisa ukukhula okungaguqukiyo kwelizwe. kwiminyaka yakutshanje.
Nge-9: 30am GMT (ixesha laseLondon) ngoLwesihlanu we-26th kaJanuwari i-UK ONS (izibalo zesizwe ezisemthethweni) i-arhente iya kupapasha zombini ikota yokugqibela kunye nonyaka ngonyaka amanani e-GDP e-UK Uqikelelo lokufundwa kwe-0.4% ye-Q4 yokugqibela yowama-2017, isiphumo sonyaka woqikelelo lwe-GDP yokukhula nge-1.4%.
Abahlalutyi kunye nabatyali-mali baya kubeka iliso kuzo zombini ezi zifundo ngononophelo, ngakumbi ngokunxulumene nomba ozayo weBrexit, njengoko uninzi lwezoqoqosho kunye nabahlalutyi beemarike bakholelwa (kwaye ngokuqinisekileyo baqikelele), ukuba uqoqosho lwase-UK luza kudlala ngokukhawuleza ngokudodobala koqoqosho ngasekupheleni kuka-2016 nakwi-2017, ngenxa yokuba. kwivoti yovoto yokuphuma kwi-EU Nangona kunjalo, njengoko uninzi lusentlungwini yokubonisa; i-UK ayikamki, ke ngoko nayiphi na impembelelo yezoqoqosho ye-Brexit inokugwetywa kube kanye (kwaye ukuba) i-UK ingena kwixesha lotshintsho kwaye yakuba iphumile ekugqibeleni.
Ukufundwa kwe-GDP ye-Q3 kwafika kwi-0.4%, kufuneka ukuba i-Q4 ifike njenge-forecast kwi-0.4% ngoko ukukhula kwe-2017 kuya kungena kwi-1.4%, ukuwa kwe-YoY kwe-0.3%, ukusuka kwi-1.7% erekhodiweyo ngaphambili. Ngelixa oku kungamela ukwehla kokukhula kweGDP, oosoqoqosho abaninzi banokusithatha esi siphumo njengesamkelekileyo, xa kujongwa uqikelelo lwaphambi kwexesha lokudodobala koqoqosho. Nangona kunjalo, ukuba ukufundwa kungena kwi-0.5% ye-Q4, efana nokuqikelelwa okwenziwe yi-NIESR, iqumrhu elizimeleyo lezoqoqosho, ngoko ke i-GDP ye-1.7% inokugcinwa. I-Sterling iyonwabele i-rally ngokuchasene noontanga bayo abaphambili ngo-2018, ngaphezulu kwe-2% xa ithelekiswa noontanga abaninzi kwaye phezulu malunga ne-5.5% xa ithelekiswa nedola yaseMelika. Ukuba ufundo lwe-GDP luloyisa uqikelelo, i-sterling inokufumana ingqalelo eyandisiweyo kwaye njengesiphumo somsebenzi omkhulu.
Nge-13: 30pm, i-GMT (ixesha laseLondon) inani lamva nje le-GDP kuqoqosho lwase-USA liya kupapashwa yi-Bureau of Economic Analysis; ukufundwa konyaka (QoQ) (4Q A). Ingqikelelo yeyokufundwa kwe-3%, ukuwa ukusuka kwi-3.2% yokufunda yonyaka ebhalisiweyo kwikota edlulileyo. Izinga lokukhula kwe-YOY ngoku li-2.30%.
Nangona inkqubo yokunciphisa irhafu echazwe kakhulu ekugqibeleni iqala ukusebenza kunye nomthetho ngoDisemba 2017, olu khuthazo lwezemali alunakwenzeka ukuba lube nefuthe ekusebenzeni kwe-GDP e-USA ngexesha lonyaka we-2017. ukuvuselela amandla kumacandelo okuvelisa kunye nokuthengisa ngaphandle. Ibhalansi yase-USA yorhwebo kunye neentlawulo isarekhodisha intsilelo eyandileyo, unyaka nonyaka.
Nakuphi na ukufundwa ngasentla, okanye kufutshane ne-3% yokukhokela uqoqosho lweNtshona yeNtshona, kuthathwa njengento enqwenelekayo, ngoko ke ukuba ukunciphisa ngonyaka ekukhuleni kwe-GDP kubhaliwe, ukusuka kwi-3.2% ukuya kwi-3%, ngoko abahlalutyi, abahwebi kunye nabatyalo-mali banokuthatha oku njengento eyamkelekileyo, ngokwexabiso le-USD.
IZALATHISI ZOQOQOSHO EZIPHAMBILI ZE-UK
• IGDP YoY 1.7%.
Umyinge wenzala 0.50%.
• Ixabiso lentengo ngu-3%.
Umyinge ongenamisebenzi 4.3%.
• Ukukhula komvuzo 2.5%.
• Ityala v GDP 89.3%
• I-PMI edibeneyo ye-54.9.
IZALATHISI ZOQOQOSHO EZIPHAMBILI ZE-USA
• I-GDP QoQ yenziwa ngonyaka nge-3.2%.
Umyinge wenzala 1.50%.
• Ixabiso lentengo ngu-2.10%.
Umyinge ongenamisebenzi 4.1%.
• Ityala v GDP 106%.
• I-PMI edibeneyo ye-53.8.
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