Juni 6 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 3821 izimvo • Comments Off Kwincopho yeSterling kunye neYen
Izolo ekuseni, i-USD / JPY isantya sesiphambano safika phantsi koxinzelelo oluphakathi njengoko ukwehla kwe-EUR / USD kunye ne-EUR / JPY kulinganiswe kwi-pair of headline pair. I-USD / JPY ifikelele kwi-intraday ephantsi kwi-78.11 ekuqaleni kweYurophu kwaye yahlala kancinane ngaphezu kwelo nqanaba ngexesha leseshoni yasekuseni eYurophu. Kurhwebo lwasemva kwemini, i-yen 'yonwabele' ukubuyisela umva okukhulu kwizimvo emva kobizo lwenkomfa ye-G7 ekwakuthiwe izoxoxa …….ingxaki yetyala laseSpain ne-EMU!! Kwakungekho ndaba zininzi zekhonkrithi eYurophu ezivela kwinkomfa ye-G7, kodwa u-Fin Fin Min Azumi waseJapan wathi uxelele inkomfa ukuba i-yen eyomeleleyo kunye namaxabiso esitokhwe ehlayo abeka umngcipheko kuqoqosho lwaseJapan. Oku kwabonwa njengeJapan igcina umnyango uvulekile (solo) ungenelelo. I-USD / JPY yatsibela kwindawo ephezulu ye-78. Kwakukho ukuhlehla okuncinci kwesi sibini kamva kwiseshoni. Le ntsasa, i-USD / JPY yayiphinda ikwindawo ephezulu ye-78 njengoko imvakalelo esemngciphekweni yakha kakhulu e-Asia.
I-USD / JPY ngoku iphelile kwi-lows yamva nje, kodwa asiboni gumbi lininzi lokuphindaphinda okuzinzileyo kunye nengxoxo-mpikiswano engaphezulu kwe-QE e-US isekhona kakuhle. Ke, ukuqinisa ngakumbi malunga namanqanaba akhoyo kulindeleke okwangoku.
NgoLwesibini, ukurhweba kumaxabiso anqamlezayo aphuhliswe kwakhona kwiimeko zentengiso ebhityileyo njengoko iimarike zaseLondon bezivaliwe kwiDiamond Jubilee yoKumkanikazi. Kwakukho ngokuqinisekileyo encinci kwindlela yeendaba zezoqoqosho ukukhokela isenzo sexabiso kwi-sterling. Ukuthotywa kwenqanaba letyala elizimeleyo lase-UK ukuya ku-AA kuthatyathwe kubangele ezinye iintloko zeendaba, kodwa impembelelo kurhwebo oluncomekayo lwalulinganiselwe.
[Igama lesibhengezo = "Iakhawunti yeDemo ye-ECN yokwenyani"]
I-EUR / GBP ye-cross rate inxalenye eninzi yajoyina intshukumo ebanzi ye-euro. Emva kokubuyiselwa kwakhona ngoMvulo, indlela iphinde yasezantsi kwi-euro. I-EUR / GBP ifikelele kwi-intraday ephezulu kwi-0.8141 kwaye oku kwakusele kubonwa njengethuba lokuthengisa i-euro. Ukuhamba kweendaba eSpain kwakudida, ukutsho oko kuncinci njengoko amagosa aseSpain acebisa ukuba, kumanqanaba akhoyo enkxaso-mali, kukho ilizwe elinqunywe kwimarike. Ngelo xesha bazama ukwenza ityala kwisisombululo se-EMU (i-recapitalization) yecandelo lebhanki laseSpain. Lo mlo wezopolitiko unzima kwi-euro kunye ne-EUR/GBP yajika nayo emazantsi. Aba babini babuyela kwindawo yenkxaso ye-0.8100 / I-Neckline, kodwa ukubuya okucocekileyo okungezantsi akuzange kwenzeke. I-EUR / GBP ivale iseshoni kwi-0.8095, xa kuthelekiswa ne-0.8125 ngoMvulo kusihlwa.
Ngobusuku, isalathisi sexabiso levenkile ye-BRC saphuma ngokuhambelana nokulindela (1.5% Y / Y). Kamva namhlanje, i-PMI yokwakha iya kupapashwa. Silindele ukuba esi salathisi sibe kuphela ngokubaluleka kwe-intraday kwi-EUR / GBP yorhwebo. Asilindelanga ukuba intlanganiso ye-ECB ibe yinkxaso ye-euro, kodwa abatyali-mali baya kuhlala belumkile kwi-sterling ngaphambi kwentlanganiso ye-BoE yangomso. Silindele ukurhweba ngasecaleni ngakumbi kwindawo ye-0.81 ixesha elifutshane.
Ukususela kumbono wezobugcisa, i-EUR / GBP ye-cross rate ibonisa iimpawu ezibonisa ukuba ukuhla kuncipha. Ekuqaleni kukaMeyi, inkxaso ye-0.8068 engundoqo yacinywa. Eli khefu livule indlela yokubuyisela isenzo kwindawo ye-0.77 (i-Okthobha i-2008 lows). Phakathi ngoMeyi, isibini sibeka ukulungiswa okuphantsi kwi-0.7950. Ukusuka apho, i-rebound yakhatywa/yakhatywa phakathi. Isibini saphuka okwexeshana ngaphezu kweMTMA, kodwa iinzuzo azizange zikwazi ukuqhubeka. Ukuthengisa okuqhubekayo ngaphaya kwendawo ye-0.8095 (i-gap) iya kumisa isilumkiso esisezantsi. Umzamo wokuqala wokwenza oko wakhatywa kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo kwaye isibini sabuyela ezantsi kuluhlu, kodwa uluhlu olusezantsi lwe-0.7950 lwahlala luqinile. NgoLwesihlanu, aba babini babuyela kuluhlu oluphezulu kwaye indawo ye-0.8100 yabuyiselwa ngoMvulo. Eli khefu liphucule umfanekiso wexesha elifutshane kweli nqanaba lomnqamlezo. Iithagethi zokubunjwa kweDB zibonwa kwi-0.8233 kunye ne-0.8254. Ngoko ke, ukulungiswa kusenokubakho okunye okuza kuhamba. Sijonge ukuthengisa ngamandla, kodwa asikangxami okwangoku ukongeza kwi-EUR/GBP ingcaciso emfutshane esele ikweli nqanaba.
yeEURIGBPi-JPYiUSDyen
« Uphengululo lweMarike kaJuni 6 2012 IiBhanki eziPhakathi kunye ne-Oli eKrwada »
Incopho eSterling kunye neYen
Juni 6 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 3821 izimvo • Comments Off Kwincopho yeSterling kunye neYen
Izolo ekuseni, i-USD / JPY isantya sesiphambano safika phantsi koxinzelelo oluphakathi njengoko ukwehla kwe-EUR / USD kunye ne-EUR / JPY kulinganiswe kwi-pair of headline pair. I-USD / JPY ifikelele kwi-intraday ephantsi kwi-78.11 ekuqaleni kweYurophu kwaye yahlala kancinane ngaphezu kwelo nqanaba ngexesha leseshoni yasekuseni eYurophu. Kurhwebo lwasemva kwemini, i-yen 'yonwabele' ukubuyisela umva okukhulu kwizimvo emva kobizo lwenkomfa ye-G7 ekwakuthiwe izoxoxa …….ingxaki yetyala laseSpain ne-EMU!! Kwakungekho ndaba zininzi zekhonkrithi eYurophu ezivela kwinkomfa ye-G7, kodwa u-Fin Fin Min Azumi waseJapan wathi uxelele inkomfa ukuba i-yen eyomeleleyo kunye namaxabiso esitokhwe ehlayo abeka umngcipheko kuqoqosho lwaseJapan. Oku kwabonwa njengeJapan igcina umnyango uvulekile (solo) ungenelelo. I-USD / JPY yatsibela kwindawo ephezulu ye-78. Kwakukho ukuhlehla okuncinci kwesi sibini kamva kwiseshoni. Le ntsasa, i-USD / JPY yayiphinda ikwindawo ephezulu ye-78 njengoko imvakalelo esemngciphekweni yakha kakhulu e-Asia.
I-USD / JPY ngoku iphelile kwi-lows yamva nje, kodwa asiboni gumbi lininzi lokuphindaphinda okuzinzileyo kunye nengxoxo-mpikiswano engaphezulu kwe-QE e-US isekhona kakuhle. Ke, ukuqinisa ngakumbi malunga namanqanaba akhoyo kulindeleke okwangoku.
NgoLwesibini, ukurhweba kumaxabiso anqamlezayo aphuhliswe kwakhona kwiimeko zentengiso ebhityileyo njengoko iimarike zaseLondon bezivaliwe kwiDiamond Jubilee yoKumkanikazi. Kwakukho ngokuqinisekileyo encinci kwindlela yeendaba zezoqoqosho ukukhokela isenzo sexabiso kwi-sterling. Ukuthotywa kwenqanaba letyala elizimeleyo lase-UK ukuya ku-AA kuthatyathwe kubangele ezinye iintloko zeendaba, kodwa impembelelo kurhwebo oluncomekayo lwalulinganiselwe.
[Igama lesibhengezo = "Iakhawunti yeDemo ye-ECN yokwenyani"]
I-EUR / GBP ye-cross rate inxalenye eninzi yajoyina intshukumo ebanzi ye-euro. Emva kokubuyiselwa kwakhona ngoMvulo, indlela iphinde yasezantsi kwi-euro. I-EUR / GBP ifikelele kwi-intraday ephezulu kwi-0.8141 kwaye oku kwakusele kubonwa njengethuba lokuthengisa i-euro. Ukuhamba kweendaba eSpain kwakudida, ukutsho oko kuncinci njengoko amagosa aseSpain acebisa ukuba, kumanqanaba akhoyo enkxaso-mali, kukho ilizwe elinqunywe kwimarike. Ngelo xesha bazama ukwenza ityala kwisisombululo se-EMU (i-recapitalization) yecandelo lebhanki laseSpain. Lo mlo wezopolitiko unzima kwi-euro kunye ne-EUR/GBP yajika nayo emazantsi. Aba babini babuyela kwindawo yenkxaso ye-0.8100 / I-Neckline, kodwa ukubuya okucocekileyo okungezantsi akuzange kwenzeke. I-EUR / GBP ivale iseshoni kwi-0.8095, xa kuthelekiswa ne-0.8125 ngoMvulo kusihlwa.
Ngobusuku, isalathisi sexabiso levenkile ye-BRC saphuma ngokuhambelana nokulindela (1.5% Y / Y). Kamva namhlanje, i-PMI yokwakha iya kupapashwa. Silindele ukuba esi salathisi sibe kuphela ngokubaluleka kwe-intraday kwi-EUR / GBP yorhwebo. Asilindelanga ukuba intlanganiso ye-ECB ibe yinkxaso ye-euro, kodwa abatyali-mali baya kuhlala belumkile kwi-sterling ngaphambi kwentlanganiso ye-BoE yangomso. Silindele ukurhweba ngasecaleni ngakumbi kwindawo ye-0.81 ixesha elifutshane.
Ukususela kumbono wezobugcisa, i-EUR / GBP ye-cross rate ibonisa iimpawu ezibonisa ukuba ukuhla kuncipha. Ekuqaleni kukaMeyi, inkxaso ye-0.8068 engundoqo yacinywa. Eli khefu livule indlela yokubuyisela isenzo kwindawo ye-0.77 (i-Okthobha i-2008 lows). Phakathi ngoMeyi, isibini sibeka ukulungiswa okuphantsi kwi-0.7950. Ukusuka apho, i-rebound yakhatywa/yakhatywa phakathi. Isibini saphuka okwexeshana ngaphezu kweMTMA, kodwa iinzuzo azizange zikwazi ukuqhubeka. Ukuthengisa okuqhubekayo ngaphaya kwendawo ye-0.8095 (i-gap) iya kumisa isilumkiso esisezantsi. Umzamo wokuqala wokwenza oko wakhatywa kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo kwaye isibini sabuyela ezantsi kuluhlu, kodwa uluhlu olusezantsi lwe-0.7950 lwahlala luqinile. NgoLwesihlanu, aba babini babuyela kuluhlu oluphezulu kwaye indawo ye-0.8100 yabuyiselwa ngoMvulo. Eli khefu liphucule umfanekiso wexesha elifutshane kweli nqanaba lomnqamlezo. Iithagethi zokubunjwa kweDB zibonwa kwi-0.8233 kunye ne-0.8254. Ngoko ke, ukulungiswa kusenokubakho okunye okuza kuhamba. Sijonge ukuthengisa ngamandla, kodwa asikangxami okwangoku ukongeza kwi-EUR/GBP ingcaciso emfutshane esele ikweli nqanaba.
yeEURIGBPi-JPYiUSDyen
« Uphengululo lweMarike kaJuni 6 2012 IiBhanki eziPhakathi kunye ne-Oli eKrwada »