Ukujongwa kwi-EUR / GBP ngaphambi kweNgxelo ye-BoE
NgoLwesithathu, ukurhweba kwi-EUR / GBP izinga lomnqamlezo ubukhulu becala lijoyine ipateni yorhwebo ye-intraday yentloko ye-EUR/USD pair. I-EUR / GBP yajikeleza kufuphi nommandla we-0.81 ngexesha leseshoni yasekuseni. Aba babini bawela kwisigqibo somgaqo-nkqubo we-ECB kwaye ekuqaleni kwenkomfa yenkomfa, bafikelela kwi-intraday ephantsi kwi-0.8051.
Ke, ukunqongophala komgaqo-nkqubo wokuvuselela i-ECB kwabonwa njengento engalunganga, kunokuba ibe yinto entle nakwi-euro ngokuchasene ne-sterling. Nangona kunjalo, ukuhla kwakhawuleza kwaguqulwa (njengoko kwakunjalo nge-EUR / USD). Kwakhona, akukho bungqina bokuba kutheni i-euro kufuneka izuze ngokuchasene ne-sterling ngenxa yokuphucuka ngokubanzi kwimvakalelo yomngcipheko. Ithemba kwisicwangciso sokuxhasa icandelo lebhanki laseSpain mhlawumbi yeyona nkcazo engcono.
Kungakhathaliseki isizathu, i-EUR / GBP ivale iseshoni nangona inzuzo encinci kwi-0.8119, xa kuthelekiswa ne-0.8095 ngoLwesibili. Ke, idabi lokufumana kwakhona i-0.8100 neckline iyaqhubeka ngobusuku, ukuthengiswa kweentengiso ze-BRC bekungcono kancinci kunokuba bekulindelwe (emva kwenani elibi kakhulu kwinyanga ephelileyo). Impembelelo ekurhwebeni kwe-sterling yayincinci. Kamva namhlanje, amaxabiso endlu ye-Halifax kunye ne-PMI yeeNkonzo ziya kupapashwa. Ukuhla okungaphezulu kwi-PMI kunokuphakamisa intelekelelo malunga nesidingo sesenzo se-BoE esingaphezulu. Ukuqaliswa ngokutsha kwenkqubo ye-BoE yokuthengwa kwe-asethi kujongeka nje ngumbandela wexesha. Ngokuqhelekileyo, i-BoE ayoyiki indlela yokuzithandela. Nangona kunjalo, iya kuba yinto engaqhelekanga kuKumkani kunye namahlakani ukuba atshintshe ikhosi kwakhona, inyanga enye kuphela emva kokuba begqibe kwelokuba uqoqosho lwase-UK lomelele ngokwaneleyo ukunqumamisa inkqubo. Ke, sisakhetha imeko ye-BoE ilinde ixesha elide, kodwa iya kuba ngumnxeba osondeleyo. Kwimeko yesigqibo esingatshintshwanga, oku kunokuba yinkxaso kancinane kwi-sterling.
Nangona kunjalo, ukuba uhlalutyo luchanekile ukuba kuya kuba ngumcimbi wexesha lokuba i-BoE ibuyele emva kwimarike, ukusabela kwe-sterling kufuneka kukhawulelwe. Ukususela kumbono wezobugcisa, i-EUR / GBP ye-cross rate ibonisa iimpawu ezibonisa ukuba ukuhla kuncipha. Ekuqaleni kukaMeyi, inkxaso ye-0.8068 engundoqo yacinywa.
[Igama lesibhengezo = "Izixhobo zokuRhweba eziLungelo"]
Eli khefu livule indlela yokubuyisela isenzo kwindawo ye-0.77 (i-Okthobha i-2008 lows). Phakathi ngoMeyi, isibini sibeka ukulungiswa okuphantsi kwi-0.7950. Ukusuka apho, kwakhatywa umjikelo ophindiweyo/omfutshane. Esi sibini saqhawuka okwexeshana ngaphezu kweMTMA, kodwa iinzuzo azizange zikwazi ukuqhubeka. Ukuthengisa okuqhubekayo ngaphaya kwendawo ye-0.8095 (i-gap) iya kumisa isilumkiso esisezantsi. Umzamo wokuqala wokwenza oko wakhatywa kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo kwaye isibini sabuyela ezantsi kuluhlu, kodwa uluhlu olusezantsi lwe-0.7950 lwahlala luqinile. NgoLwesihlanu, aba babini babuyela kuluhlu oluphezulu kwaye indawo ye-0.8100 yabuyiselwa ngoMvulo. Eli khefu liphucule umfanekiso wexesha elifutshane kweli nqanaba lomnqamlezo. Iithagethi zokubunjwa kweDB zibonwa kwi-0.8233 kunye ne-0.8254. Ngoko ke, ukulungiswa kusenokubakho okunye okuza kuhamba. Sijonge ukuthengisa ngamandla, kodwa asikangxami okwangoku ukongeza kwi-EUR/GBP ingcaciso emfutshane esele ikweli nqanaba.
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