Lichelete tsa Amerika li phahama kamora ho oa ha matsatsi a mabeli, FOMC e bonts'a hore keketseho ea phaello ea phaello ea Hlakubele e ntse e phahama, ha khauta e phahama, ha dolara ea Amerika e oela le lithaka tse 'maloa
Mopresidente Trump o fane ka puo ea hae ea pele ea puo ea kopano hoseng ka Laboraro hoseng, e ileng ea bonahala e khutsisa methapo ea batseteli ba Wall Street, e hlahisang limmaraka tsa tekano tsa USA li phahama ha seboka sa New York se buloa. FOMC e phatlalalitse hore sekhahla sa bohlokoa (sa litlamo tse holimo) se tla sala ho 1.5% qetellong ea kopano ea bona ea matsatsi a mabeli. Tlalehong e tsamaeang le ena, komiti ea Fed e fane ka tataiso ea pele, e bonts'a hore keketseho ea sekhahla sa Hlakubele e ka etsahala haholo, ka lebaka la kholo e matla ho feta e neng e lebelletsoe le boits'epo ba bona ba hore infoleishene e tla nyoloha ho feta sepheo sa 2%. Tumellano e akaretsang, ho tsoa ho bahlahlobisisi ba bangata bao ho buisanoeng le bona kamora qeto ea sekhahla sa tsoala, ke hore litho tsa FOMC joale li se li fetisitse nale ho ea ponong ea hawkish.
Lihlahisoa tsa likoloto tsa lichelete tsa lilemo tse leshome li fihlile ka sekhahla se phahameng ho tloha ka Mmesa 2014, kaholimo ho 2.75%. Hona joale SPX e tlalehile qalo ea eona e ntle ka ho fetisisa ea Pherekhong ho tloha ka 1997, e koala ka mokhoa o itekanetseng ka 0.05%, leha limmaraka li koetse li-indices tsa SPX le DJIA li oele bokamoso. USD e ile ea phahama ka circa ea 0.3% ha e bapisoa le yen, leha ho le joalo ha e bapisoa le euro le UK ponto dolara e oele, ha index ea dollar e thelletse ka circa 0.2% ka Laboraro. Khauta e ts'oere thekiso ea eona ea morao-rao, ka ho koala circa 0.4%. Oli ea WTI e ts'oselitse ho tlola $ 65.00 moqomo oa moqomo, ha bahlahlobi ba ntse ba hlahisa ngongoreho ea hore California (moruo oa botšelela / oa bosupa o moholo ka ho fetisisa lefats'eng), e kanna ea ba le lilemo tse ngata tse phahameng tsa $ 4 ka galone ka Mots'eanong. Litaba tsa khalendara ea moruo ka kakaretso li ne li rata moruo oa USA; nomoro ea phetoho ea khiro ea ADP e ne e khothatsa; ka 234k e otlang ponelopele, a fana ka maikutlo a hore nomoro ea NFP e kanna ea otla poleloana ha e phatlalatsoa ka Labohlano, ha thekiso ea lapeng e emetse e le haufi le ponelopele.
Litaba tsa Europe li ne li shebane le ho lokolloa ha Jeremane; thekiso e rekisitsoeng e lahlehetsoe ke sepheo ka bohole bo itseng, e oela ka -1.9% MoM mme ka palo e ts'oanang ea YoY, palo ea YoY e ne e lebelletsoe ho ngodisa kholo ea 2.8%. Ho hloka mosebetsi ho ile ha lula ho sa fetohe ho Jeremane ka 5.4%, ha likopo tsa tlhokeho ea mesebetsi li oa. Ho hloka mosebetsi ka kakaretso ho Eurozone ho ile ha lula ho le joalo ka 8.3%, inflation ho EZ e ile ea hlaha kaholimo ho tebello ho 1.3%, mme euro e bonahala e oela litabeng, bahlahlobisisi ba ahlolang hore ECB e kanna ea ba le litaba tse khothalletsang kholo ea infoleishene hore e etsahale, pele e thefuloa hampe. APP mme mohlomong o phahamisa sekhahla sa tsoala kaholimo ho 0.00%. DAX e thelletse, ha CAC le EURO STOXX li phahame ka mokhoa o itekanetseng.
Letsatsing le batlang le khutsitse, ka bobeli moruo le lipolotiki bakeng sa UK ho bala ho tsebahalang ka ho fetesisa ho phatlalalitsoeng ho ne ho kenyelletsa ho bala ha boits'oaro ba bareki ba GfK, ho ntlafalitseng ho -9 ho tloha -13. Sterling o ile a ba le ho putlama ho itekanetseng, ka lebaka la litaba tsa hore liofisiri tsa Khomishene ea Europe li hanne tlhahiso ea Motse oa London ea ho ts'oara tumellano ea khoebo ea mahala ea Brexit mabapi le lits'ebeletso tsa lichelete. Leha ho le joalo, ponto e se e bone khoeli ea eona e ntle ka ho fetisisa ho feta USD ho tloha ka Mots'eanong 2009, ho fihlela hoo e ka bang 5% nakong ea khoeli.
Yuro
EUR / USD e rekisitsoe ka bongata ka leeme le matlafatsang nakong ea liboka tsa Laboraro, e nyoloha ka R1, pele e fana ka phaello ea ho phethela letsatsi ho pota 0.1% ho 1.241, kaholimo ho ntlha ea bohlokoa ea letsatsi le letsatsi. EUR / GBP e rekisitsoe ka mefuta e mengata, e qhoqha lipakeng tsa maemo a holimo le a maemo, e nyoloha kaholimo ho R1, ebe e oela morao ka PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi ho fihlela S1, e koala circa 0.3% ho 0.874.
HO SEBELISA
GBP / USD e rekisitsoe ho pholletsa le letsatsi ka bongata, e roba R1 thapama pele e fana ka phaello, e koala circa 0.3% ka approx. 1.420. Sterling e ile ea atleha ka ho fetisisa letsatsing leo khahlanong le Aussie; GPB / AUD e shapuoa ka bongata ka leeme le matlafatsang, e koala circa 0.6% ho 1.761, e roba R2.
USDOLLAR
USD / JPY e rekisitsoe ka bongata bo matla ba li-circa 0.4% ka letsatsi, ho koala circa 0.3%, ho nyoloha hape ka mochini oa 109 ho 109.1. USD / CHF e rekisitsoe ka mocha o tiileng oa li-circa 0.3% motšehare, ho koala hoo e ka bang 0.3% ka letsatsi, ho phomola ho S1 ho 0.930. USD / CAD e shapuoa ka bongata sebakeng se pharalletseng, e oela ho S2, e oela ka circa 0.6% ho intraday low ea 1.2300, pele e hlaphoheloa ho koala circa 1.2303, tlase approx. 0.3%.
Gold
XAU / USD e koetse hoo e ka bang 0.4% ka letsatsi, ho ts'oaroa ho oela haufinyane hoo boleng ba tšepe ea bohlokoa bo theohileng ho tloha ho 1,366 ho isa ho 1,333. Ho oela ka spike ho ea tlase ho intraday e tlase ea theko ea 1,332 ebe e khutlisoa ho 1,345 ka ounce.
LITLHAKU TSE KHOLO TSE BONAHALANG KA LA 31 JANUARY.
• DJIA e koetse 0.28%.
• SPX e koetse 0.05%.
• FTSE 100 e koetse 0.72%.
• DAX e koetse 0.06%.
• CAC e koetse 0.15%.
• EURO STOXX e koetse 0.07%.
LITLHAKISO TSA SEHLOOHO TSA K'HALENDA EA MORUO KA LA 1 FEBRUARY
• GBP. Markit UK PMI Ho etsa thepa sa (JAN).
• USD. Likopo tsa pele tse se nang mosebetsi (JAN 27).
• CAD. RBC Mokhatlo oa Lihlahisoa oa Canada PMI (JAN).
• USD. Tlhahiso ea ISM (JAN).
• USD. Mosebetsi oa ISM (JAN).
« Ha limmaraka tsa tekano tsa USA li ntse li tsoela pele ho fihlella bopalo bo phahameng le dolara ea Amerika e oa, e ka fana ka maikutlo afe bakeng sa 2018, mabapi le khoebo ea FX Nomoro ea pele ea mesebetsi ea NFP ea tokollo ea 2018 e lebelletsoe ho khutla, kamora hore 'malo oa December o hloloheloe ponelopele »
