Mphalane 21 • Litlhaloso tsa Mmaraka • 6389 Maikutlo • 1 Comment ho The Light Bulb Moment, Kapa Motho oa ho Qetela o Tla Tlohela Europe Ka kopo Tima Mabone
U tlameha ho ipotsa hore na ho ohla le ho ngola hohle ho bile molemo ho filoe hore bana ba lilemo li leshome le metso e ts'eletseng UK ba nang le C grade ho GSCE maths ba ka be ba ile ba bolella ba baholo le ba hantle ho ba se nang palo; liboka tsa troika, EU le IMF tse tšoeroeng likhoeling tse 'maloa tse fetileng hore letlole la thekolohelo la limilione tse likete tse 440 le ne le sa lekana. Ha e le hantle 'letlole la botsitso' le nang le matla ao a mollo le ne le tla koahela feela phoso ea Greece, empa ha lieta tse ling li theoha (mme ba tla) Spain, Italy le Fora, liphahlo li ne li tla be li se na letho.
Ka kutloisiso e 'ngoe hoa babatseha hore Jeremane e khothaletsa tlhokomeliso e kholo molemong oa ho sebelisa letlole ho fihlela makhetlo a mahlano motse-moholo oa eona, ha se hore lithotsela tsa repaboliki ea Weimar li ntse li thetsa mohopolo oa Jeremane, ke potso ea taolo e nepahetseng le masene. Mafora a batla ho akofisa tšebeliso ea letlole, sena se tla fana ka matla a ho alima chelete libankeng tse bohareng, e leng boemo boo Jeremane e ikemiselitseng ho bo qoba. Le ha ho le joalo, le ha ba le bobebe le boemo ba bona e le boima ba ho pheha khang ka hore letlole le sebelisitsoe kapa ha ho na tharollo, ho hlile ho joalo hore ba batsho le ba basoeu mme re ts'epa hore liboka tsa beke ena le Laboraro li ka rarolla bothata.
Haeba 'mele e fapaneng e matla e batla; botsitso, bokhoni ba ho kenella le ho pholosa linaha tse ling tsa PIIGS ha li ntse li atamela ka mokhoa o ikhethileng ka nako eo € 440 bilione ha ea lekana. Ha ho na monyetla oa hore palo e ikokobelitseng e boletsoeng bosiu bo le bong le hoseng hona ha € 1.5 trillion e lekane, leha ho le joalo, e le ho sekisetsa ha 'lipolotiki' mohlomong ke moo ho lumellanoang le ho ba teng. Ka boemo boo ba ts'ehetso ho ke ke ha qojoa hore matla a fapaneng a tla khutlela tafoleng nakong ea lilemo tse peli mme ha ho pelaelo hore ho raha lekoti tlase litšoantšong tsa tsela ho tla sebelisoa hape, empa tšoaetso e tlameha ho qojoa.
Banka e Kholo ea Europe le eona e ka thusa botsitso ka kakaretso ka ho alima chelete e ngata khahlanong le litlamo tse tšehelitsoeng ke thepa haeba bafani ba fana ka leseli le eketsehileng ka mekoloto e tšehetsang lipolokeho. Libanka li ka alima chelete setsing sa mokoloto sa ECB ka ho romella sekoloto, ka theolelo e sebelisoa ho latela ts'ireletso eo e e bonang. ECB e ntse e nahana ka mekhoa ea ho ntlafatsa tsebahatso 'marakeng oa ts'ireletso e tšehelitsoeng ke letlotlo ka nako eo matona a mmuso oa Europe a kopanang Brussels ho leka ho fumana tharollo bothateng bo boholo ba tikoloho.
Peiso ea chelete har'a libanka tsa kantle ho naha ea China e ntse e chesa haholo kaha ba bang ba sa tsoa fihla, haholo-holo libanka tsa Europe, ba sokola ho bokella li-yuan depositi molemong oa ho fihlela tlhoko ea taolo e fetohang leano qetellong ea selemo. Khomishene ea Taolo ea Banka ea China (CBRC) e hloka hore libanka tsohle tsa malapeng le tsa kantle ho Chaena li be le LDR (mokoloto oa ho beha karolelano) ea liperesente tsa 75 kapa ka tlase, likalimo tseo ba li entseng ha lia lokela ho feta liperesente tsa 75 tsa chelete eohle eo ba e fumaneng, joalo ka La 31 Tšitoe, ha nako ea mohau ea leano le phatlalalitsoeng ka 2006 e fihla pheletsong.
Approx. Libanka tse 40 tsa kantle ho naha li thehile likarolo tse kenyellelitsoeng naheng ea Chaena ho tloha 2007 ka tšepo ea ho fumana phaello moruong oa bobeli o moholohali lefatšeng. Ho ea qetellong ea 2010, LDR e tloaelehileng ea libanka tse 29 tsa kantle ho naha tse senotseng palo ena e ne e le liperesente tsa 102, ho latela tlaleho ea PricewaterhouseCoopers. Seo se bapisoa le karolelano ea liperesente tse 150 qetellong ea 2009. European Union Chamber of Commerce e Chaena, pampiring ea eona ea boemo ba 2011/21 e phatlalalitsoeng khoeling e fetileng, e kopile Beijing ho nka sebaka sa tlhoko ka mokhoa o mong kapa ho fana ka nako e telele ea mohau bakeng sa ba tlang morao. E lumela hore litlamorao tse mpe ts'ebetsong ea libanka tsa kantle ho naha tse nyane tse mahareng ke tse mpe haholo, li na le marang-rang a manyane feela, ka hona e fokotsa bokhoni ba tsona ba ho bokella lichelete ho tsoa sechabeng se pharaletseng.
Ha e se e fihlile pele ho lekhalo la eona ka ho phatlalatsa QE e eketsehileng, MPC ea Banka ea Engelane e nkile bohato bo tiileng ho thibela phokotso ea moruo e ke keng ea qojoa e neng e tšaba haholo. Taba ea QE e boetse e hlahisoa USA. Liofisiri tse peli tsa Federal Reserve li tsitlella hore banka e kholo ea Amerika e lokela ho nahana ka ho qala bocha likhang tse kholo tsa theko ea mekoloto ea ntlo ho ts'ehetsa ntlafatso ea moruo ea USA. Mohlomong UK esale e le sesosa se sa tsebeng 'me baetsi ba melaoana ea Amerika ba kanna ba bea leihlo le tebileng tharollong ea Eurozone ba lumela hore katoloso e ngoe le e ngoe ea leano la QE e tsoang Europe e tla fana ka monyetla oa hore Fed e eketsehe.
Chelete e ile ea reka mokoloto o amanang le mokoloto oa ntlo o jang $ 1.25 trillion, ho qala ka 2009. Fed kopanong ea eona ea Loetse e itse e tla nka sebaka sa lidolara tse libilione tsa $ 400 tsa polokeho ea nako e khuts'oane potefolio ea eona ka tse telele ho sututsa litefiso tsa nako e telele tse tlase, tse tsebahalang. e le Operation Twist. E tla tlatsa hape mekoloto ea eona ea mekoloto e amanang le mokoloto oa ntlo ho ts'ehetsa 'maraka oa matlo o tepeletseng maikutlo. Operation Twist e bile ea morao-rao letotong le lelelele la mehato e sa tloaelehang ho matlafatsa kholo ka lebaka la letsoalo la lichelete le khutsufatso e tebileng. Sekhahla sa Fed se fokotsoang ho fihla haufi le zero lilemo tse ka bang tharo tse fetileng mme se phatlalalitsoe ka Phato litefiso li kanna tsa lula li le tlase joalo bohareng ba 2013. Banka e bohareng e boetse e rekile $ 2.3 trillion ka lipolokeho ho khothaletsa ho kalima.
Markets
Limmaraka tsa Asia / Pacific li ne li bataletse ebile li tsitsitse hoseng haholo khoebong ea bosiu. Nikkei e koetse 0.04%, Hang Seng e koetse 0.24% mme CSI e koetse 0.5%. ASX 200 e koetse 0.07% mme SET e phahame ka 1.21%. STOXX e phahame ka 1.0% FTSE e nyolohile ka 0.81%, CAC e nyoloha ka 1.05% le DAX e nyoloha ka 0.51%, ka tlhaho tšepo ea hore liboka tse fapaneng tsa EU li tla rarolla bothata ba mokoloto li tlisitse khutso e mabapi le mebaraka hoseng hona. Bokamoso ba SPX equity index hajoale bo se bo le haufi le 0.3% Brent crude e tlase ho $ 18 moqomo le khauta ho fihlela $ 3 aunzi.
lichelete
Khoebong ea pele, euro e ile ea oa ka lekhetlo la pele ka matsatsi a mane ho fapana le dolara le yen ka ha baetsi ba melaoana ea Europe ba tla thatafalloa ho tla le leano le felletseng la ho rarolla bothata ba mokoloto bo fihletseng tlhokeho ea thepa ea Eurozone. Euro e theohetse ka liperesente tsa 0.4 ho isa ho $ 1.3730 ka 9:35 am London time, e lebile tahlehelong ea liperesente tsa 1.1 bekeng ena. Chelete e oele ka liperesente tsa 0.5 ho li yen tse 105.29, mme e oele ka liperesente tsa 0.5 ho li-franc tsa 1.2252. Li-yen li ne li sa fetoloe hanyane ho 76.71 ka dolara. Leha ho le joalo, euro le boemo bo botle bo hlaphohetsoe khoebong ea hoseng ha litaba li le matla mabapi le tharollo ea euro.
Hajoale euro e bataletse ha e bapisoa le mekha ea eona e meholo ea thekiso. Sterling rose ha e bapisoa le euro e fumana liperesente tsa 0.2 ho isa ho 87.07 pence ka euro ka 9:01 hoseng ka nako ea London, ka ho ananela liperesente tsa 0.8 bekeng ena. E ne e sa fetoloe hanyane ka $ 1.5787, mme ea fokotseha ka liperesente tsa 0.2 ho ea ho li yen tse 121.07. Ponto e fokolitse liperesente tsa 1.2 likhoeling tse tšeletseng tse fetileng, ho latela Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Index, e lekanyang baskete ea lichelete tse 10 tse tsoetseng pele tsa mmaraka. Mokoloto oa mmuso oa UK o khutlisitse liperesente tsa 12 selemong sena, ho latela li-index tse hlophisitsoeng ke Bloomberg le European Federation of Financial Analysts Societies, e fetang puseletso ea liperesente tsa 7.2 bakeng sa mekotla ea Jeremane le phaello ea 7.9 lekholong bakeng sa Matlotlo a Amerika.
Ha ho na litaba tsa bohlokoa tsa moruo tse hlahisoang kapele kapa nakoana kamora ho buloa ha New York tse ka bang le maikutlo a mmaraka.
thuso ea eurozoneBothata ba mokoloto oa euro
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Nako ea Tleloubu ea Leseli, Kapa Motho oa ho Qetela o Tla Tlohela Europe Ka kopo Tima Mabone
Mphalane 21 • Litlhaloso tsa Mmaraka • 6389 Maikutlo • 1 Comment ho The Light Bulb Moment, Kapa Motho oa ho Qetela o Tla Tlohela Europe Ka kopo Tima Mabone
U tlameha ho ipotsa hore na ho ohla le ho ngola hohle ho bile molemo ho filoe hore bana ba lilemo li leshome le metso e ts'eletseng UK ba nang le C grade ho GSCE maths ba ka be ba ile ba bolella ba baholo le ba hantle ho ba se nang palo; liboka tsa troika, EU le IMF tse tšoeroeng likhoeling tse 'maloa tse fetileng hore letlole la thekolohelo la limilione tse likete tse 440 le ne le sa lekana. Ha e le hantle 'letlole la botsitso' le nang le matla ao a mollo le ne le tla koahela feela phoso ea Greece, empa ha lieta tse ling li theoha (mme ba tla) Spain, Italy le Fora, liphahlo li ne li tla be li se na letho.
Ka kutloisiso e 'ngoe hoa babatseha hore Jeremane e khothaletsa tlhokomeliso e kholo molemong oa ho sebelisa letlole ho fihlela makhetlo a mahlano motse-moholo oa eona, ha se hore lithotsela tsa repaboliki ea Weimar li ntse li thetsa mohopolo oa Jeremane, ke potso ea taolo e nepahetseng le masene. Mafora a batla ho akofisa tšebeliso ea letlole, sena se tla fana ka matla a ho alima chelete libankeng tse bohareng, e leng boemo boo Jeremane e ikemiselitseng ho bo qoba. Le ha ho le joalo, le ha ba le bobebe le boemo ba bona e le boima ba ho pheha khang ka hore letlole le sebelisitsoe kapa ha ho na tharollo, ho hlile ho joalo hore ba batsho le ba basoeu mme re ts'epa hore liboka tsa beke ena le Laboraro li ka rarolla bothata.
Haeba 'mele e fapaneng e matla e batla; botsitso, bokhoni ba ho kenella le ho pholosa linaha tse ling tsa PIIGS ha li ntse li atamela ka mokhoa o ikhethileng ka nako eo € 440 bilione ha ea lekana. Ha ho na monyetla oa hore palo e ikokobelitseng e boletsoeng bosiu bo le bong le hoseng hona ha € 1.5 trillion e lekane, leha ho le joalo, e le ho sekisetsa ha 'lipolotiki' mohlomong ke moo ho lumellanoang le ho ba teng. Ka boemo boo ba ts'ehetso ho ke ke ha qojoa hore matla a fapaneng a tla khutlela tafoleng nakong ea lilemo tse peli mme ha ho pelaelo hore ho raha lekoti tlase litšoantšong tsa tsela ho tla sebelisoa hape, empa tšoaetso e tlameha ho qojoa.
Banka e Kholo ea Europe le eona e ka thusa botsitso ka kakaretso ka ho alima chelete e ngata khahlanong le litlamo tse tšehelitsoeng ke thepa haeba bafani ba fana ka leseli le eketsehileng ka mekoloto e tšehetsang lipolokeho. Libanka li ka alima chelete setsing sa mokoloto sa ECB ka ho romella sekoloto, ka theolelo e sebelisoa ho latela ts'ireletso eo e e bonang. ECB e ntse e nahana ka mekhoa ea ho ntlafatsa tsebahatso 'marakeng oa ts'ireletso e tšehelitsoeng ke letlotlo ka nako eo matona a mmuso oa Europe a kopanang Brussels ho leka ho fumana tharollo bothateng bo boholo ba tikoloho.
Peiso ea chelete har'a libanka tsa kantle ho naha ea China e ntse e chesa haholo kaha ba bang ba sa tsoa fihla, haholo-holo libanka tsa Europe, ba sokola ho bokella li-yuan depositi molemong oa ho fihlela tlhoko ea taolo e fetohang leano qetellong ea selemo. Khomishene ea Taolo ea Banka ea China (CBRC) e hloka hore libanka tsohle tsa malapeng le tsa kantle ho Chaena li be le LDR (mokoloto oa ho beha karolelano) ea liperesente tsa 75 kapa ka tlase, likalimo tseo ba li entseng ha lia lokela ho feta liperesente tsa 75 tsa chelete eohle eo ba e fumaneng, joalo ka La 31 Tšitoe, ha nako ea mohau ea leano le phatlalalitsoeng ka 2006 e fihla pheletsong.
Approx. Libanka tse 40 tsa kantle ho naha li thehile likarolo tse kenyellelitsoeng naheng ea Chaena ho tloha 2007 ka tšepo ea ho fumana phaello moruong oa bobeli o moholohali lefatšeng. Ho ea qetellong ea 2010, LDR e tloaelehileng ea libanka tse 29 tsa kantle ho naha tse senotseng palo ena e ne e le liperesente tsa 102, ho latela tlaleho ea PricewaterhouseCoopers. Seo se bapisoa le karolelano ea liperesente tse 150 qetellong ea 2009. European Union Chamber of Commerce e Chaena, pampiring ea eona ea boemo ba 2011/21 e phatlalalitsoeng khoeling e fetileng, e kopile Beijing ho nka sebaka sa tlhoko ka mokhoa o mong kapa ho fana ka nako e telele ea mohau bakeng sa ba tlang morao. E lumela hore litlamorao tse mpe ts'ebetsong ea libanka tsa kantle ho naha tse nyane tse mahareng ke tse mpe haholo, li na le marang-rang a manyane feela, ka hona e fokotsa bokhoni ba tsona ba ho bokella lichelete ho tsoa sechabeng se pharaletseng.
Ha e se e fihlile pele ho lekhalo la eona ka ho phatlalatsa QE e eketsehileng, MPC ea Banka ea Engelane e nkile bohato bo tiileng ho thibela phokotso ea moruo e ke keng ea qojoa e neng e tšaba haholo. Taba ea QE e boetse e hlahisoa USA. Liofisiri tse peli tsa Federal Reserve li tsitlella hore banka e kholo ea Amerika e lokela ho nahana ka ho qala bocha likhang tse kholo tsa theko ea mekoloto ea ntlo ho ts'ehetsa ntlafatso ea moruo ea USA. Mohlomong UK esale e le sesosa se sa tsebeng 'me baetsi ba melaoana ea Amerika ba kanna ba bea leihlo le tebileng tharollong ea Eurozone ba lumela hore katoloso e ngoe le e ngoe ea leano la QE e tsoang Europe e tla fana ka monyetla oa hore Fed e eketsehe.
Chelete e ile ea reka mokoloto o amanang le mokoloto oa ntlo o jang $ 1.25 trillion, ho qala ka 2009. Fed kopanong ea eona ea Loetse e itse e tla nka sebaka sa lidolara tse libilione tsa $ 400 tsa polokeho ea nako e khuts'oane potefolio ea eona ka tse telele ho sututsa litefiso tsa nako e telele tse tlase, tse tsebahalang. e le Operation Twist. E tla tlatsa hape mekoloto ea eona ea mekoloto e amanang le mokoloto oa ntlo ho ts'ehetsa 'maraka oa matlo o tepeletseng maikutlo. Operation Twist e bile ea morao-rao letotong le lelelele la mehato e sa tloaelehang ho matlafatsa kholo ka lebaka la letsoalo la lichelete le khutsufatso e tebileng. Sekhahla sa Fed se fokotsoang ho fihla haufi le zero lilemo tse ka bang tharo tse fetileng mme se phatlalalitsoe ka Phato litefiso li kanna tsa lula li le tlase joalo bohareng ba 2013. Banka e bohareng e boetse e rekile $ 2.3 trillion ka lipolokeho ho khothaletsa ho kalima.
Markets
Limmaraka tsa Asia / Pacific li ne li bataletse ebile li tsitsitse hoseng haholo khoebong ea bosiu. Nikkei e koetse 0.04%, Hang Seng e koetse 0.24% mme CSI e koetse 0.5%. ASX 200 e koetse 0.07% mme SET e phahame ka 1.21%. STOXX e phahame ka 1.0% FTSE e nyolohile ka 0.81%, CAC e nyoloha ka 1.05% le DAX e nyoloha ka 0.51%, ka tlhaho tšepo ea hore liboka tse fapaneng tsa EU li tla rarolla bothata ba mokoloto li tlisitse khutso e mabapi le mebaraka hoseng hona. Bokamoso ba SPX equity index hajoale bo se bo le haufi le 0.3% Brent crude e tlase ho $ 18 moqomo le khauta ho fihlela $ 3 aunzi.
lichelete
Khoebong ea pele, euro e ile ea oa ka lekhetlo la pele ka matsatsi a mane ho fapana le dolara le yen ka ha baetsi ba melaoana ea Europe ba tla thatafalloa ho tla le leano le felletseng la ho rarolla bothata ba mokoloto bo fihletseng tlhokeho ea thepa ea Eurozone. Euro e theohetse ka liperesente tsa 0.4 ho isa ho $ 1.3730 ka 9:35 am London time, e lebile tahlehelong ea liperesente tsa 1.1 bekeng ena. Chelete e oele ka liperesente tsa 0.5 ho li yen tse 105.29, mme e oele ka liperesente tsa 0.5 ho li-franc tsa 1.2252. Li-yen li ne li sa fetoloe hanyane ho 76.71 ka dolara. Leha ho le joalo, euro le boemo bo botle bo hlaphohetsoe khoebong ea hoseng ha litaba li le matla mabapi le tharollo ea euro.
Hajoale euro e bataletse ha e bapisoa le mekha ea eona e meholo ea thekiso. Sterling rose ha e bapisoa le euro e fumana liperesente tsa 0.2 ho isa ho 87.07 pence ka euro ka 9:01 hoseng ka nako ea London, ka ho ananela liperesente tsa 0.8 bekeng ena. E ne e sa fetoloe hanyane ka $ 1.5787, mme ea fokotseha ka liperesente tsa 0.2 ho ea ho li yen tse 121.07. Ponto e fokolitse liperesente tsa 1.2 likhoeling tse tšeletseng tse fetileng, ho latela Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Index, e lekanyang baskete ea lichelete tse 10 tse tsoetseng pele tsa mmaraka. Mokoloto oa mmuso oa UK o khutlisitse liperesente tsa 12 selemong sena, ho latela li-index tse hlophisitsoeng ke Bloomberg le European Federation of Financial Analysts Societies, e fetang puseletso ea liperesente tsa 7.2 bakeng sa mekotla ea Jeremane le phaello ea 7.9 lekholong bakeng sa Matlotlo a Amerika.
Ha ho na litaba tsa bohlokoa tsa moruo tse hlahisoang kapele kapa nakoana kamora ho buloa ha New York tse ka bang le maikutlo a mmaraka.
thuso ea eurozoneBothata ba mokoloto oa euro
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