Ho phahama ha khauta, dolara ea Amerika ho rekisa ha ho bapisoa le lithaka tsa bona khoebong ea morao-rao, marotholi a USD-JPY ha infleishene ea Japane e phahama
Ha limmaraka tsa FX li buloa hape ka Letsatsi la Boxing, khaello ea chelete mme ka lebaka leo khoebo ea lichelete e ile ea fokotsoa haholo, joalo ka ha barekisi ba bangata ba libanka le lichelete ba ile ba lula mebarakeng, kapa matsatsing a phomolo. Lipara tse ngata tsa lichelete li bile le maemo a otlang nakong ea khoebo, e fanang ka maemo a phephetsang le menyetla bakeng sa barekisi ba bangata ba matsatsi a FX. Limmaraka tse ling tsa setoko sa lefatše le tsona li koetsoe, ka hona, litlamorao tsa litaba tsa bohlokoa tsa khalendara ea moruo li ipakile li le bobebe.
Mohlala, litaba tse phatlalatsoang hore barekisi ba USA e kanna eaba ba hlahisitse mabenkele a bona a matle ho feta lilemo tse fetang tse leshome, ha li a ka tsa thusa haholo ho matlafatsa mebaraka ea lichelete tsa Amerika, leha ho bile le ts'ehetso e matla ea hore ts'epo e tlameha ho ba holimo ho USA, hore bareki ba nke mokoloto o mong hape qeta. Mohlomong Maamerika a ruileng le ona a sebelisa puseletso ea ona ea lekhetho ea 2018 esale pele. Motsamaisi ea hlahelletseng ka ho fetesisa oa chelete ho pholletsa le letsatsi e ne e le dolara ea Canada, karabelo ea chelete ea thepa e kanna ea tla ka lebaka la bahlahisi ba oli ba supang keketseho ea tlhoko le phepelo lilemong tse tlang.
Mabapi le litaba tsa khalendara ea moruo ea USA, Case Shiller 20 ea litheko tsa litheko tsa litoropo e senotse ho phahama ha YoY ka 6.38%, ha palo ea MoM e bonts'a ho phahama ha 0.7%. Lenane la tlhahiso ea Dallas le sentse ponelopele ea 20, ka ho tla ka 29.7, ho fana ka maikutlo a hore tšenyo ea sefefo sa tropike e pakiloeng seterekeng pejana ho selemo, e se e fokotsehile. DJIA le SPX li koetse letsatsi (empa haufi le folete), ha limmaraka tsa equity tsa Europe li koetsoe.
Leha ho le joalo, tokollo e le 'ngoe ea moruo e ileng ea bonahala e ama mebaraka ea FX e ne e le palo ea morao-rao ea CPI ea Japane, e senolang hore theko e nyolohile ka 0.9% YoY le 1% Tokyo. Ts'ebeliso ea bareki le eona e nyolohile haholo, e otla ponelopele ea 0.5% ka sebaka se itseng, ka ho tla ka 1.7% selemo le selemo. Lipalo tsena tse khothatsang, tse fanang ka maikutlo a hore BOJ e se e qala ho bona melemo ea leano la eona la lichelete le hore moruo o pharalletseng o bona melemo ea leano la mmuso la lichelete, o khothalelitse bahoebi ho reka boleng ba yen ho bapisoa le dolara. USD / JPY e oele ka circa 1% ka letsatsi le ka boemo ba boraro ba ts'ehetso. Ho phahama ha yen, ho bapisoa le lithaka tsa bona tse ling, ho ile ha halefisoa ke ho phatlalatsoa ha metsotso ea morao-rao ea leano la lichelete ho tsoa ho BOJ, e senotseng hore banka e kholo e ntse e ikemiselitse lenaneong la eona la leano la lichelete.
Kaha limmaraka tsa European equity li koetsoe bakeng sa Letsatsi la Boxing ebile ho se na litaba tsa Brexit, UK e ile ea rekisa khatello e matla le ketso ea theko e nyenyefalitsoeng, e ne e bakiloe haholo ke mathata a mang le khaello ea molumo oa khoebo le mokelikeli, e kanna eaba ke eona e bakileng ho phatloha hoa motlakase Euro e bile le boiphihlelo lihoreng tse 24 tse fetileng tse boneng EUR / USD e putlama ka li-circa 3% mohatong o le mong nakong ea linyeoe.
EURO.
EUR / USD e rekisitsoe ka phapang e pharalletseng e fetang 1% ho pholletsa le linako tsa khoebo tsa Labobeli, e putlama ka S3, pele e hlaphoheloa ho tlola R1, ebe e khutlela ka har'a PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi ho koala letsatsi haufi le S1, tlase approx. 0.3%, ho 1.186. EUR / GBP e robile R2, e nyolohile kaholimo ho 0.6% mohatong o le mong, pele e khutla ho koala circa 0.2%, ho 0.886.
USDOLLAR.
USD / JPY e roba S3 pele e hlaphoheloa ho phethela letsatsi hoo e ka bang ka 113.1, kaha yen e ile ea fumana phaello e ntle khahlanong le lithaka tsa eona tse ngata nakong ea khoebo ea letsatsi. USD / CAD e oele ka circa 1%, ka S3 mohatong o le mong, ho felisa letsatsi ka approx. 1.268. USD / CHF e ile ea shapuoa ka bongata ka leeme ho ea holimo ho fihlela nakong eohle ea khoebo, e tsoha hoseng, pele e khutlisa le ho tela phaello, ebe e boetse e hlaphoheloa ho koala ka 0.989.
LITŠOANELO STERING.
E ts'oana le lipara tse 'maloa tse kholo tsa lichelete GBP / USD e shapuoa ka bongata ka Labobeli, e oela maemong a pele a ts'ehetso, ebe e phahama ho atamela R2, pele e fana ka phaello e' ngoe ho phethela letsatsi ho circa 1.337. Ponto ea UK e bile le boits'oaro bo tšoanang ba theko ho bapisoa le boholo ba lithaka tsa eona.
GOLD.
XAU / USD e fihlile holimo ho 1283, e nyoloha ka R2 ka letsatsi ho feta 0.6%. Ho koala letsatsi ka hoo e ka bang ka 1282 tšepe ea bohlokoa e entse leruo le leholo ho tloha ka 1236 ea December e tlase eo (molemong oa ho shebella morao) joale e shebahalang e feta. Kamora ho roba 200 DMA ho ea holimo hloohong bekeng e fetileng, sepheo se latelang e ka ba sesepa sa 1290, kapa 100 DMA e ho 1287.
LITLHAKU TSE KHOLO TSA LITLHAKU TSE KHOLO TSA LA 26 DECEMBER.
• DJIA e koetse 0.03%.
• SPX e koetse 0.11%.
• NASDAQ e koetse 0.34%.
LIKETSAHALO TSA BOHLOKOA TSA K'HALENDA EA MORUO LIHLOOHO TSA LA 27 DECEMBER.
• Likalimo tsa GBP BBA bakeng sa Theko ea Ntlo (NOV).
• Index ea Tšepo ea Bareki ea USD (DEC)
• USD e sa lebelloang ea thekiso ea lapeng (YoY) (NOV).
• Khoebo ea JPY Retail Trade (YoY) (NOV).
• JPY Barekisi ba Kholo ba Barekisi (NOV).
• Tlhahiso ea Liindasteri ea JPY (YoY) (NOV P).
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