EUR/USD Forecast: Euro e tseleng bakeng sa phaello ea bobeli ea beke ka tatellano
- Ho tloha qalong ea beke, EUR / USD e ntse e fetoha ka tsela e moqotetsane.
- Lintlha tse mabapi le inflation ea PCE ho la US li tla hlahlojoa bakeng sa lintlha tse ncha.
- Kamora data ea US, ba babeli ba ka leka 1.0680 haeba US Dollar e fokola.
Ka mor'a ho qala khoebo e tsoakaneng, Euro e ne e tšoaretsoe ka holimo ho letšoao la lidolara tsa 1.06 ka Labohlano. Motšehare oa mantsiboea, chelete e tloaelehileng e ne e bitsa liranta tsa 1.0619, e leng keketseho e nyenyane ho tloha mantsiboeeng a fetileng. Ho tloha ka Labone, tekanyo ea litšupiso e behiloe ho liranta tsa 1.0633 ke European Central Bank.
Tikoloho ea khoebo e ne e khutsitse nakoana pele ho Keresemese. Ho bile le ts'usumetso e nyane qalong e hlahisitsoeng ke data e ncha ea moruo. Keketseho ea moruo oa lehlabula Spain e ne e le tlase hanyane ho feta ea nakong ea selemo, kahoo e ile ea fokotsa sekhahla sa kholo. Ho latela khakanyo ea bobeli ea INE, kakaretso ea lihlahisoa tsa lapeng e eketsehile feela ka liperesente tse 0.1 ho tloha karolong ea bobeli ho ea ho ea boraro. Sephetho sa moruo se eketsehile ka potlako ho feta kamoo ho neng ho hakanngoa qalong ha ho bapisoa le kotara ea selemo se fetileng.
Hape hoa hlokomeleha hore bareki ba Italy ba bonahala ba itšepa haholoanyane ka bokamoso ba bona ho feta linaheng tse ling. Leha ho le joalo, e na le lipelaelo ho feta indastering.
Ka mor'a ho ba le tahlehelo e nyenyane ka Labone, EUR / USD e ile ea boela ea phahama nakong ea lihora tsa khoebo tsa Asia ho nyolohela ka holimo ho 1.0600. Lintlha tsa inflation tse tsoang US li ka baka maikutlo a 'maraka pele ho mafelo-beke a malelele, leha pono ea nako e haufi ea tekheniki e sa fane ka lintlha tse tataisang hajoale.
Ho latela khakanyo ea morao-rao e entsoeng ke Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), kakaretso ea lihlahisoa tsa naha tsa Amerika e holile ka sekhahla sa selemo sa 3.2% kotareng ea boraro, ho tloha ho 2.9% pejana kotareng. E le karabelo ho data e holimo, Dollar ea Amerika e ile ea fumana matla khahlanong le bahanyetsi ba eona ba ka sehloohong, e leng se ileng sa etsa hore EUR/USD e theohele tlase. Ka lebaka la ho theoha ho hoholo ha li-indices tsa Wall Street, US Dollar e ile ea matlafala le ho feta, 'me ba babeli ba hlōleha ho hlaphoheloa.
EUR/USD e ne e sa khone ho etsa qeto ka tsela efe kapa efe ka lebaka la tikoloho e tšesaane ea khoebo e lebang phomolong ea Keresemese.
Tlaleho ka November's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator, e tla lokolloa ke BEA ka halofo ea bobeli ea letsatsi.
Ho ea ka lichelete tsa lichelete, Core PCE Price Index e tla theoha ho 4.7% selemo le selemo ho tloha 5% ka October. Lintlha tse fokolang ho feta tse neng li lebeletsoe tsa US Dollar li lokela ho ba boima ba EUR/USD ho ea pele le ho sutumelletsa para holimo, hammoho le ka tsela e fapaneng.
Bankakarolo ba 'Maraka ba tla lula ba tsepamisitse maikutlo tlalehong ea inflation leha ho na le Durable Goods Orders le New Home Thekiso e hlahang letlapeng la moruo la US. Ntle le moo, ho hloka botsitso ha ba babeli ho ka eketseha ho leba London, ho baka metsamao e matla.
Moruo oa Jeremane
Ho sa tsotellehe mathata a matla le mathata a theko ea lichelete, lintlha tsa morao-rao li bontša ntlafatso e hlakileng maikutlong a khoebo a Jeremane.
Ho ne ho e-na le ho phahama ha lenane la Jeremane la Khoebo ea Klimate ea IFO ka December ho tloha 86.4 ho ea ho 88.6, ho otla litebello tsa bahlahlobisisi ba 87.6.
lipolelo tse
Nakong e bohareng, liofisiri tse 'maloa tsa ECB li lebeletse hore banka e bohareng e tla boloka phaello ea phaello maemong a hona joale ho fihlela theko ea lichelete e fihla ho 2%.
Ho lebelletsoe hore Christine Lagarde oa Banka e Khōlō ea Europe ho lebeletsoe ho nyoloha ka sekhahla sa 0.5% nakong e tlang e lebelletsoeng.
Ho hlokahala boiteko bo bongata ho laola inflation, Lagarde o itse.
Ho hakanngoa
Qetellong ea Pherekhong, bahlahlobisisi ba lebelletse hore Euro e tla fumana sebaka se eketsehileng khahlanong le dolara, e ntse e potoloha 1.1.
EUR / USD Technical Analysis
Boemo bo phahameng ba ts'ehetso bo ka fumanoa ho pota 1.0580, moo Fibonacci 23.6% ea morao-rao ea morao-rao le ea 100-nako e bonolo ea Moving Average (SMA) e lumellana le chate ea lihora tse 'nè. Pele ho 1.0500, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement 1.0530 e ka ba boemo bo latelang ba tšehetso.
Ka mor'a hore EUR / USD e phahame ka holimo ho 1.0620 (20-nako ea SMA, 50-nako ea SMA) 'me e tiisa hore ke ts'ehetso, ba babeli ba ka lebisa tlhokomelo ho 1.0680 (bofelo ba boemo bo holimo) le 1.0700 (boemo ba kelello).
« Lintlha tsa theko ea US PCE tse lebelletsoeng pele ho beke e telele Forex Target Trading- Ke eng? »
