Kunzwisisa Kunaka Kwekutarisira muForex Trading
Pakati pemazana emabhuku ekutengesa anowanikwa nyaya yemanejimendi manejimendi haina kumbobvira yakurukurwa, izvo zvakanyanya zvinyorwa zvemabhuku ekutengesa zvinowanzo kuve nemazano, mapatani, mafomula..Iyi pateni yezvirimo inodzokororwa pamaforamu ekutengesa e forex. Tarisa tarisa kune nhamba dzevashanyi pazvikamu zve sub forum uye iwe uchakurumidza kuona kuti tarisiro huru iri pamatanho nemaitiro, maforamu ekuchengetedza mari maforamu ane chaiwo madonhwe-masora achivhuvhuta kuburikidza navo. Nekudaro, sechikamu chemutengesi chinobata manejimendi manejimendi uye kuranga kunzwisiswa kwetarisiro kwakakosha.
Chii chinonzi tarisiro?
Tarisiro ndiyo avhareji yemari yaunotarisira kuhwina (kana kurasikirwa) pauniti yemari iri panjodzi. Heino nzira yekutarisira:
Tarisiro = (Zvichida zveWin * Avhareji Win) - (Pamwe Kurasikirwa * Avhareji Kurasikirwa)
Isu tinoshandisa maEuro mune iyo mienzaniso yatinosarudza kuratidza kuti chii chinotarisirwa uye kuti kuzviwana 'zvakanaka' kunogona kubatsira sei purofiti yako. Asi chekutanga pano vaviri vanoremekedzwa vanyori uye vezvehupfumi pfungwa pane kutarisira;
Dr. Van K. Tharp:
Yako yekutengesa system inofanirwa kuve netarisiro yakanaka uye iwe unofanirwa kunzwisisa kuti izvi zvinorevei. Iyo yakasarudzika kusarudzika iyo vanhu vazhinji vanayo ndeyokuenda kune yakakwira mikana masisitimu ane yakanyanya kuvimbika. Isu tese tinopihwa rusarura urwu rwaunofanirwa kuve rwechokwadi Isu tinodzidziswa kuchikoro kuti 94 muzana kana zvirinani ndeye A uye 70 kana pazasi kutadza. Hapana pazasi pemakumi manomwe chinogamuchirwa. Wese munhu arikutsvaga yakakwira kuvimbika masystem ekupinda, asi tarisiro yayo ndiyo kiyi. Uye kiyi chaiyo yekutarisira ndeyekuti unobuda sei mumisika kwete maunopinda iwe. Maitiro aunotora purofiti uye kuti unobuda sei munzvimbo yakaipa yekudzivirira yako midziyo. Iyo inotarisirwa ndiyo chaiko mari yaunogadzira paavhareji padhora rine njodzi. Kana iwe uine maitiro anoita kuti iwe masendi makumi mashanu kana zvirinani padhora rimwe riine njodzi, izvo zvakanakisa. Vanhu vazhinji havadaro. Izvi zvinoreva kuti kana ukazviisa panjodzi $ 70 50 iyo iwe yaunogadzira paavhareji $ 1,000 pabasa rega rega - iri avhareji vanokunda uye vanokundikana pamwechete.
Nassim Taleb:
Mune mamwe marongero uye mamiriro ehupenyu, zvinonzi, mumwe anobhejera madhora kuti akunde akateedzana masendi. Mune vamwe imwe njodzi yekuteedzana kwemasendi kuhwina madhora. Nepo munhu angafunga kuti chikamu chechipiri chingave chinonyanya kufadza kune vanoita mari nevamiriri vehupfumi, isu tine humbowo hwakawandisa hwekuzivikanwa kwekutanga
Kuverengera kwekutarisira:
- Kuhwina muzana 6%
- Kukunda mwero 60%
- Kurasikirwa muzana muzana
- Kurasikirwa mwero 40%
Iyo tarisiro saka 2.0% pamabhizimusi, kana (6% x 60%) - (4% x 40%).
Naizvozvo, pane avhareji yekutengesa, 2% yemari inotengeswa ibatsiro. Zvino, pakutarisa kwekutanga izvo zvinogona kusakwanisa kuverenga sekudzoka kwakanaka. Kana avhareji yako yekutengesa iri € 10,000 saka 2% iri € 200 purofiti pakushambadzira. Nekudaro, kana iwe uine mazana matatu emakambani pagore, saka une € 300 purofiti pagore uine avhareji bhizimusi re € 60,000 chete. Izvi hazvitombobatanidze chero purofiti kana iwe ukafunga kusanganisa kutengeserana kwega kwega.
Kana vachiyedza iyo 'tarisiro fomula', vatengesi vanokurumidza kusvika pakuziva kuti hapana imwechete seti ye 'nhamba' inopa tariro yakanaka, asi kune huwandu husingaverengeke hweseti saka (mune dzidziso) kune huwandu husingaverengeke hwekutengesa masisitimu anogona iva unobatsira. Mutsara wekupedzisira wakaomera vatengesi vazhinji (novice uye neruzivo) kuti vanzwisise sezvo ichibvarura kune imwe micheka yekutengesa - systemic / mekutengesa kutengesa. Iyo inotarisirwa modhi iri kuratidza kuti kunyangwe akasarudzika masisitimu anogona kubatsira kana manejimendi manejimendi ari mushe. Iyo inotarisirwa modhi inogona zvakare kukanganisa kune imwe yekutenda yekutenda; zvinokwanisika kukudziridza masisitimu uchishandisa tarisiro uye saizi yepachinzvimbo (huwandu hwenjodzi) senheyo dzinotsigira apo kurasikirwa kwekumira kwakakura kudarika chinangwa chebatsiro. Iko kurasikirwa kwekumira kunogona kutariswa sekuwedzeredzwa, kana yako purofiti tarisiro iri yakanaka.
Tinogona kushandisa zvakanyanyisa, kuisa 20% yekumira kurasikirwa uye 5% purofiti tarisiro uye kubuda ne2% tarisiro kana iyo win rate yakakwira zvakakwana. Iyo 88% yekukunda mwero mune uyu muenzaniso ingaburitse 2.0%, mhedzisiro ye (5% x 88%) - (20% x 12%). Iwe unogona kuve netarisiro yakanaka ine yakaderera kwazvo win mitengo.
Imwe yeanonyanya kuzivikanwa tarisiro manhamba anotangira kubva kuCAN SLIM system. INOGONA SLIM inoreva minemonic-inotenderera nomwe yakashambadzwa nepepanhau reAmerican Investor's Bhizinesi reZuva nezuva, iro rinozviti ndere yekutarisa kwehunhu huri kuita masheya anowanzo kugovana pamberi pekuwana kwavo kukuru. Yakagadziriswa naInvestor's Bhizinesi reDaily Daily mupepeti William O'Neil uyo anonzi akaita mazana emamirioni emadhora nekugara achishandisa maitiro ayo.
Mnemonic:
Izvo zvikamu zvinomwe zveiyo mnemonic zvinotevera:
C inomiririra Ikozvino mari. Mugove, mubairo wazvino unofanirwa kuve unosvika 25%. Pamusoro pezvo, kana mihoro iri kukurumidza munzvimbo dzekupedzisira, ichi chiratidzo chakanakira kufungidzira.
A inomiririra mibairo yegore rega, iyo inofanirwa kunge iri kumusoro kwe25% kana kupfuura mune yega yega yemakore matatu apfuura. Kudzoka kwegore negore pane equity kunofanirwa kunge kuri 17% kana kudarika
N inomirira Chitsva chigadzirwa kana sevhisi, zvinoreva pfungwa yekuti kambani inofanirwa kunge iine pfungwa nyowani inosimudzira kukura kwemihoro kunoonekwa mumativi maviri ekutanga emunemon. Ichi chigadzirwa ndicho chinotendera stock kuti ibude kubva pane chaiyo chati chati yemihoro yayo yapfuura kuitendera kuti irambe ichikura uye kuzadzisa imwe nyowani yepamusoro yemitengo. Muenzaniso unozivikanwa weiyi Apple Computer's iPod.
S inomiririra Kupa uye kudiwa. Iyo indekisi yezvinodiwa zvechitoro inogona kuonwa neiyo huwandu hwekutengesa hwechitoro, kunyanya panguva yekuwedzera kwemitengo.
L inomirira Mutungamiriri kana lagard? O'Neil anoratidza kutenga "iyo inotungamira zvinhu muindasitiri inotungamira". Izvi zviyero zvine hungwaru zvinogona kuyerwa zvakaringana neRudzi Rwekusimba Simba reShare (RPSR) yechitoro, indekisi yakagadzirirwa kuyera mutengo wechitoro mukati memwedzi gumi nemaviri yapfuura tichienzanisa nemamwe musika zvichienderana neS & P 12 kana iyo TSE 500 pane yakatarwa nguva yenguva.
I inomiririra Institutional rutsigiro, zvinoreva hupfumi hwechitoro nemari yemubatanidzwa, kunyanya munzvimbo dzichangoburwa. Chiyero chekuyera apa chiKuunganidzira / Kugovera Chiyero, inova geji yezvemari mari chiitiko mune imwe sitoko.
M inomiririra maMakete indexes, kunyanya iyo Dow Jones, S&P 500, uye NASDAQ. Munguva yenguva yekudyara, O'Neil anofarira kuisa mari mukati menguva dzezvakajeka zvezvirevo zvitatu izvi, sezvo matatu mumatura mana anowanzo tevedzera iwo musika wepasi rose.
Kana isu tikashandisa kumira kwaO'Neil uye kunongedza manhamba e8% uye 20% uye yake yakaburitswa win rate ye30%, iyo tarisiro inogona kuverengerwa kuve: (20% x 30%) - (8% x 70%) kana + 0.4%. Kwenguva yakati yenguva yega yega yekutengesa kwake ine tarisiro ye0.4%. Ipo pachiso chayo 0.4% ROI ichiita senge kudzoka kune mwero pakutengeserana kana 100% chivimbo chiripo munzira iyi ipapo mukana wepundutso wakakura.
Tarisiro inofanirwa kuve yakanaka kana iwe uchida kuwana purofiti nekufamba kwenguva. Usambofa wakashandisa system ine zero kana isina tariro kutarisira, haugone kukunda. Iwe haugadzire mari yakawanda kunze kwekunge iwe uine mikana yakawanda yekutengesa, nepo O'Neil's CAN SLIM inogona kunge iine muganho, ikapihwa yakawanda kwazvo ine chekuita nechitoro pane forex, hapana zviyero zvakadaro pama forex emaviri. Kuziva kugadzira nzira, (zvirinani pabepa), netarisiro yakanaka inyaya imwe, asi kana tikakudziridza sisitimu ine tarisiro ye8% uye iyo system yakangoburitsa kutengeserana kumwe pagore, zvaisazotengeswa. Dai isu taive nenzira yakaburitsa 0.2% pamabhizimusi uye iyo sisitimu yakagadzira chiuru chemabhizimusi pagore chiuru zvakapetwa 1,000% yaizove mari yakakomba munguva pfupi pfupi yenguva.
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