Iyo EUR / GBP uye iyo BOE uye maGreek nemaSpanish
Mushure mekuchinja kwakazara neChipiri neChitatu, vaviri veEUR / GBP vaive vawana imwe mhando yekuyenzana zvakare. Vaviri vakagara nezuro mune imwe nzira yekutengesa padivi padyo neiyo 0.8100 hombe nhamba. Pakanga paine zvishoma munzira yemashoko akaoma kusundira muchinjiko kure nepivot iyi. Mushure mekuvharwa kwemisika yeEuropean, Gurukota rezvemari reUK Osborne vakazivisa chirongwa chitsva chekutsigira kuwanikwa kwechikwereti kuhupfumi hweUK. Panguva imwecheteyo, iyo BoE ichaita zvakare yayo Yakawedzerwa Collateral Term Repo nzvimbo.
Gavhuna weBoE akataura zvakare kuti nyaya yekuwedzera kurerutsira yakanga ichikura. Sterling akarasikirwa netiki tiki pane chiziviso, asi maitiro acho aive mashoma. EUR / GBP yakavhara musangano ku0.8118, zvichienzaniswa ne0.8098 neChitatu manheru.
Kudzikisirwa kweMoody yekuSpain husiku hwese hakuna zvakanyanya kukanganisa paBund (ona pazasi pekukanganisa Spain / Italy) uye hapana kana aive nemushamba weItaly wakabudirira. Kuedza kwekutanga kuita rally kunonoka mushure mezvo kusarongeka kwekutengeserana kwemativi kwakatonga. Sentiment yakashandura hushoma hwakanyanya hushamwari muchikamu chemasikati ndokuwana rubatsiro rwezvakakwirira-kupfuura-zvinotarisirwa zvirevo.
Iyo yakaipa nhau inoratidza yakatanga husiku apo Moody akaderedza nyika nematatu noteki kuBaa3, pamucheto wekuwira munzvimbo isina maturo. Pakutanga kwechikamu cheEuropean, data rakaratidza kuti kudzikira kwemitengo yekuSpain kwedzimba kwakakurumidza. Pasina nguva, data reBank of Spain rakaratidza kuti kukwereta mabhanga eSpain kubva kuECB kwakawedzera zvakare (nyowani rekodhi huwandu) uye kubva ipapo zvichienda mberi, aive murume wega wega. Iyo yeSpanish 10-yr goho yakaisa nyowani euro yehupenyu hwepamusoro uye ndokunyara kuputsa iyo 7% mucherechedzo (6.998% zvinoenderana neBB data). Zvisungo zveItaly pakutanga zvakatamburawo asi kukuvara kwakagadziriswa mushure mekunge Italy yakwanisa kutengesa € 4.25B BTP's (yakanyanya kutarisirwa; ona pazasi). Pakupera, iyo Italian 10-yr yakapararira yakaderera ne8 bps kusvika 464 bps.
Nhasi, tinogona kuwana chinyararire chekutengesera pamberi pesarudzo dzeGreek vhiki ino. Mhedzisiro yesarudzo haina fungidziro. Sarudzo dzekupedzisira dzakabuda mavhiki maviri apfuura uye dzakaratidza kuti bato rinochengetedza reNew Democracy (vakahwina musarudzo dzaMay 6) nebato rekuruboshwe SYRIZA bato rakanangana. Chero zvingave mhedzisiro, isu tinofunga zvicharamba zvichiratidza kuoma kuumba hurumende. Kana hurumende ikaumbwa, kunyangwe ichitungamirwa neN ND yeSYRIZA, chimwe chezvinhu zvekutanga chichaita, iri kutaurazve chibvumirano cheEU / IMF Memorandamu. Maitiro eSYRIZA anowedzera zvakanyanya (kudzoreredza zvisarudzo zvekutanga etc.) ipapo ND (semuenzaniso kunonoka zvinangwa). Kubva ipapo zviri kuEurope. Makurukota eEuro zone achaita musangano neSvondo kuti vazeye zvakabuda musarudzo uye vozeya zvavanogona.
Nezuro, zvinyorwa zveG20 zvakaratidzawo kuti vemabhangi epakati vari kugadzirira kuita pamwe mushure mesarudzo dzeGreek kana zvichidikanwa. Karenda yeUK ine zviyero zvekutengeserana. Mumamiriro azvino, isu tinotarisira kuti chero musika maitiro kune uyu mushumo unongova wekukosha kwemukati, zvakanyanya. Izvo zvese zvichave zvekumira pamberi pesarudzo dzeGreek. Mukufunga, tarisiro yekuwedzera isingabvumirwe mutemo kusimudzira inofanirwa kunge isina kunaka kune yakanakisa. Nekudaro, mune ino yazvino nharaunda, izvi hazvisi zvekutanga nyaya yacho. IUK ichine hunyanzvi hwekuve nebhengi repakati rinogona kuita nenzira inoshanduka. Ichiri kure kure nechokwadi chekuti mutemo unoremekedza BoE uchashanda nekufamba kwenguva. Nekudaro, nemusika wacho paunenge uri padanho redutu, ino shanduko yemutemo inogona kuonekwa seyakakosha. Nekudaro, ipfupi-nguva isu tinofungidzira kuti sterling inogona kuramba yakabhadharwa, kunyanya ichipesana nemari imwechete.
Kubva pamaonero ehunyanzvi, EUR / GBP muchinjiko chiyero chiri kuratidza kubatana kwechinguvana mushure mekutengesa-kubva muna Kukadzi. Pakutanga kwaMay, kiyi 0.8068 yekutsigirwa yakabviswa. Kuputsa uku kwakavhura nzira yekukwanisa kudzoka chiito kunzvimbo ye0.77 (Gumiguru 2008 kudzikira). Pakati paMay, vaviri vacho vakaisa kururamisa kwakaderera pa0.7950. Kubva ipapo, kudzoreredza / kupfupisa kusvina kwakabayirwa mukati. Kuenderera mberi kwekutengesa pamusoro penzvimbo ye0.8095 (gap) kwaigona kuzomutsa yambiro yepasi. Kuedza kwekutanga kuzviita kwakarambwa svondo rapfuura. Vaviri vakaedza kanoverengeka kuti vatorezve nzvimbo ye0.8100 kutanga kwevhiki rino, asi pakanga pasina yekutevera-kubudikidza zvakadaro. Isu tichiri kusarudza kutengesa kusimba re kudzoka chiito chakaderera mune iyo renji.
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