Metare neMisika muMangwanani
Musi weChipiri mangwanani masimbi esimbi ari kutengesa kumusoro ne0.2 kusvika 1.2 muzana paLME yemagetsi chikuva. MaAsia equities arikutengesa kumusoro ne0.4 kusvika 1.6 muzana mangwanani-ngwanani maChinese asiri ekugadzira PMI akawedzera kupfuura tarisiro yekutsigira mibairo mune riskier pfuma pamwe nekuwana mumisika yekumadokero.
Sezvinotarisirwa, iyo Euro-Summit mushure memhedzisiro haina kupera zvachose uye pachinzvimbo cheizvozvo, yakawedzera tariro yemusimari uye chishuwo chekuda kudya. Kupfuurirazve, kunonoka kwekuita kwehupfumi nebasa risina kusimba uye kugadzira zvakare kwakawedzera kufungidzira kwekuti kumwe kurerutsa kwakasimba kunogona kunge kuri kumberi kuwedzera hupfumi hwemari.
Chaizvoizvo, mamiriro ekushomeka kwekuramba ari kuramba achitsigira zvakadzikira, kunyangwe yakawedzera mutero nekumisikidzwa kwenzira nyowani senge ichangoburwa MRRT (Mineral Resource Rent Mutero) neparamende yeAustralia haina kungopinda muhomwe dzevashandi vemigodhi asi inogona zvakare kuwedzera mutengo we kugadzirwa kunotsigira kuwana mune simbi. Mari yepamusoro ingangowedzera maprimiyamu epanyama uye inotsigirwa nekusimudzirwa kwakakwirira kubva kumabhangi epakati anogona kuramba achitsigira zviwanikwa musimbi yesimbi.
Kubva pane data rehupfumi pamberi, iyo UK PMI kuvaka inogona kuramba isina simba mushure mekunonoka dzimba index, asi kuwedzera kurerukirwa neBank yeEngland kunogona kudzikisira zvakanyanya kuderera apo mutengi chikwereti angangoderera uye anogona kudzikisira mibairo muzvigadziko zvesimbi. Mitengo yemugadziri weEuro-Zone inogona kuita kondirakiti zvakare, inogona kupa imwe nzvimbo yeECB yekuwedzera kureruka, uye inogona kutsigira kuwanikwa mupaketi yesimbi. Iwo mafekitori eU.S. anohodha angangoramba asina kusimba mushure mekunonoka kwenhamba dzeISM asi misika yeUS ingavharwe mangwana uye kutarisira kudzikisira chimbadzo neECB kunogona kupupurirwawo ichitsigira nzombe inomhanyisa simbi dzesimbi.
Naizvozvo, pakati peyakasimba equities uye netarisiro yekutarisira yekuwedzera kurerukirwa kunogona kutsigira zviwanikwa musimbi uye kutanga kwenguva refu ingave iri zano rekuchenjera kwezuva.
Mushure mekufamba kwakasimba nezuro, ndarama yemberi mitengo yakachinja zvishoma kumusana kwekushomeka kwekugadzira kuburitsa pasi rose. Nenharaunda yeEuro yekushaikwa kwemabasa ichiramba iri pamutengo wakakwira uye zvine mwero inflation, iyo ECB inotarisirwa kudzikisa mwero wechimbadzo ne25bps mumusangano wayo weChina. Iyo Euro saka irikubata yakasimba kurwisa dhora uye inotsigira mabhuru.
Mishumo nhasi inogona kuratidza kuti US fekitori maodha akange aramba mushure mekunge iyo ISM data yauya pazasi makumi mashanu, zvichiratidza kushaya simba kwakanyanya kwehupfumi hweUS. Iyo Euro zone PPI ingangodaro inotonhorera iyo ingangodaro iri yekutarisisa kune iyo ECB kurerutsa mareti emitemo gare gare svondo rino.
Pakati peiyi mamiriro, hupfumi hweUS hunopa huchienda kune yakaderera chikamu che1.5535. Zvakananga izvi zvinoratidza kutsvaga kwekuchengetedza mari.
Ndarama, inogovera kuwirirana kwakashata pamwe nehupfumi hwezvibereko, tinogona kutarisira kuti mari inoyerera ichienda musimbi sekutsvaga nzvimbo yakachengeteka kunyanya pamberi pezororo repakati pevhiki reUS. Tarisira kuti goridhe igare yakasimba kune iyo nguva yezororo muUS sezvo varimi vachatanga kuzvimisikidza pamberi pechishanu cheNonfarm payroll kuburitswa uye ECB neBoE sarudzo.
Sirivheri yeramangwana mitengo irikutora girini kumashure kwemasimba akasimba eAsia uye iyo Euro ingadai yakatsigira simbi. Sirivhi saka inogona kudikanwa senzvimbo pamwe negoridhe pamwe nekuwedzera kwemitengo yezvinhu zvesimbi.
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