Trend kufanotaura kwesvondo rinotanga muna Chikunguru 3rd 2013
Sezvo SPX inosvika pakukwirira kumusoro manhamba eNFP anoshungurudza, asi dhora rinoramba richitengwa.
Senge kana humbowo hwaidikanwa kuti kuenderera kweFed kuzvipira kumari 
kurerutsa kuri kuwedzera kukwira kwemakero makuru eESPX, iyo DJIA neNASDAQ, zvakauya nenzira yezvinhu zvinoodza mwoyo zviitiko zvevhiki svondo rapfuura zvichitadza kuburitsa 'kubhidha' kwenguva idzi dzinokanganisa kushora uye misika. Rondedzero yeasina kunaka data yakabva kuUSA svondo rapfuura yaive yakakosha, asi kwaive kusarongeka kwemabasa kudhinda kwakakonzera vaongorori vazhinji kuti vagare pasi vateerere. Zvinyorwa zvisina kunaka zvehupfumi zvaisanganisira zvinotevera;
- Kumirira kutengesa kweimba kwakaderera kubva pa5.8% +, kusvika pa0.4% -
- Musangano webhodhi chivimbo chakawira ku80.3
- NFP kugadzira mabasa kwakadonha kusvika 163K
- Mafekitori maodha akawira ku1.5% kubva pa3.0%
Kunyangwe paine zviitiko zvisinga tsanangurike zvemashoko ekurwisa zvakashata, kunze kweUSA GDP ichikwira kusvika pa 1.7% mwedzi pamwedzi uye ongororo dzakasiyana dzevatengi dzinova dzakanaka, misika yakasimuka, sezvakaita dhora nekupesana nevakawanda vemari dzevamwe vezera rayo.
Uku kusimuka kwegreenback mumasvondo apfuura sisitimu yekutengesa kwakakonzera shanduko mumatanho etemu akareba akarongwa pachati yezuva nezuva uye neshanduko idzi isu tichazotarisisa zvine chekuita nekugona kuitika kuenderera muvhiki iripo.
Zviitiko zvePolisi, kana zviitiko zvezviitiko zvakatarwa senge zvakakwirira pamusoro pevhiki, izvo zvinogona kukanganisa manzwiro uye nekuchinja maitiro.
Services PMI yeUK inoburitswa Muvhuro. Mune hupfumi hunotsamira zvakanyanya pahupfumi hwebasa kusimudzira kuvimba uye vanoongorora mashandiro ehupfumi vari mitengo mukuverenga kuri nani kwema 57.4 maringe ne56.5 kare. Kugadzira manhamba, nerubatsiro rweUK's ONS ichadhindwa zvakare neChipiri. Pakutanga kudhindwa kwacho kwaive 0.8% isina kunaka, tarisiro ndeyekudhinda kwe0.9% yakanaka. Kana iyo nhamba ikaramba isina kunaka izvi zvinogona kutanga kubvunza iyo yakanaka PMI yakapihwa naMarkit kare uye kukanganisa mutengo weiyo sterling maringe nevakuru vezera ravo.
Mari yekutengeserana yeUSA ichaongororwa zvakaringana neChipiri kuitira kuenderera mberi kwehupfumi pamwe nekuona kana kukura kwazvino kune huremu hunooneka. Mafuta asina kugadzirwa eU.SA anokanganisawo mutengo wemafuta uye inoratidza kuti 'nyota' sei hupfumi hweUSA kune simba.
Huwandu hwevashandi veAustralia hwakadhindwa neChitatu manheru / China mangwanani hunogona kuona kuti hawkish, kana kushamisa hurumende yeAussie uye uye kana paine chishuwo muRBA yekudzikisa mibairo yemhirizhonga zvine hukasha kupfuura zvakambokurukurwa.
China ichiona musangano wenhau weBoJ uyo unoona kuti BOJ nehurumende yeJapan vakazvipira zvakadii kuzvinangwa zvavo zvakasiyana siyana zvekuwedzera kwemitengo, kukura uye kudzikisira mari.
Kuenderera mberi kwekushaikwa kwemabasa kweU.SA kunogona kutariswa zvakanyanya kupfuura mumavhiki apfuura neChina zvakapa zvakanyanyisa kudhinda kweNFP. Kufanotaura kuri kweye kuramba uchitaura kuti uuye pa336K.
Maitiro ekucherechedza kwevhiki
Forex
EUR / USD yakakundikana kusvika kumatunhu akakwirira panguva dzekutengesa svondo rapfuura kukwidziridzira fungidziro dzekuti izvozvi maitiro asvika kumagumo ayo ehupenyu. Mazuva mana kubva pamazuva mashanu ekutengesa akapera neHiekin Ashi dojis emasimba akasiyana uye nechitarisiko. Nekudaro, iyo DMI ichiri yakanaka, iyo MACD zvimwechetezvo, iyo RSI irikuverenga pamusoro pe70, nepo stochastics ichiri munharaunda yakanyanya kutengwa asi ichidonha.
Iyo yepakati Bollinger bhendi yakatyorwa kusvika kune yakadzika panguva dzeChishanu dzekutengesa zvikamu, ichi ndicho chete chiratidzo, bhara mutengo wemitengo maitiro unoratidzwa nekenduru yezuva nezuva yaHeikin Ashi, iyo yakaratidza kuti iyo yazvino yekusimudzira maitiro yapera. Kana vatengesi vakapinda mukutengeserana, zvinoenderana neyakajairika maitiro anoratidza muna Chikunguru 11th, ipapo zviwanikwa zvepip zvinofanirwa kuve zvakakosha. Vatengesi vaizorayirwa kuti vatarise zvimwe zvinoratidzira zvisirizvo, pamwe seashoma PSAR kuti itaridzike pamusoro pemutengo uye akati wandei ma histograms kuti ave asina kunaka (iyo DMI neMACD) vasati vavhara bhizimusi ravo razvino refu uyezve vozozvipira kuita pfupi nzira yekutengesa..
GBP / USD. Cable yakagumisa yayo yazvino yekutsvagisa maitiro pane ichangoburwa muna Chikunguru 31st. Iyo yekumusoro-tsika yakanga yatanga yakafanana nemamwe mafambiro maringe nedhora kana kana kutenderera Chikunguru 11. Iyo tsika yakapera neakawanda eakashambadziro echinyakare matanho ekutengesa anotendeuka asina kunaka; PSAR pamusoro pemutengo, iyo DMI neMACCD inoratidza kuverenga kusingaiti, stochastics ichiyambuka pakagadziriswa 9,9,5 uye ichibuda munharaunda yakatariswa, nepo RSI yakawira pasi pemutsara wepakati pe50. Zvisinei, vhiki rakapera nekupa dambudziko kune vatengesi vangangodaro vakatora mapfupi maitiro ekutengesa zvinoenderana nezvakakurumbira zviratidzo uye mutengo wechiitiko unoratidzwa nemakenduru aHeikin Ashi. Nekuda kwevarombo NFP yekudhinda manzwiro akachinja maringe nedhora muchikamu chekupedzisira chekutengesa. Cable yakakwira kuburikidza neR1, iine hoveed padyo padanho rezuva nezuva pivot pamberi pemabasa kudhinda. Chishanu chekutengesa padyo chakaburitsa kenduru ye doij. Vatengesi vane pfupi tambo iye zvino vanofanirwa kuongorora maitiro emitengo pamusoro pezvikamu zviviri zvinotevera zvekutengesa kuti vaone kana bhizimusi ravo pfupi richiri kushanda. Ndinovimba vatengesi vakapfupika vanogona kuwana nyaradzo kubva kumamiriro ezvinhu azvino kana vakapinda sezviri maererano nezviratidzo zviripo kana kuti zvakatenderedza Chikunguru 31 uye semhedzisiro vachiri pombi akanaka, kana kungoratidza kuderera kwekutengeserana kurasikirwa.
USD / JPY yakachengetedza hunhu hwayo panguva dzekutengesa svondo rapfuura seyekutengesa kwakanyanyisa. Iyo greenback yakatengesa munzvimbo yakaoma kubvira muna Chikunguru 11th apo vatengesi vazhinji vangadai vakaedzwa kupfupisa iwo maviri emari. Shure kwaizvozvo kukwira kwakadzika kunoonekwa pachati kwave kushomeka zvakanyanya, nepo yen yakagadzira simba nekuda kwenzvimbo yazvino yekuchengetedza nzvimbo sezvo Nikkei akatambura kurasikirwa kwakanyanya mune dzinoverengeka dzehusiku / mangwanani-ngwanani anotengeswa masvondo apfuura.
USD / JPY iri kuvandudza dzakawanda dzetsika dzechengetedzo dzakagadzirira kubuda kuenda kumusoro. DMI yakanaka pane yakagadziridzwa marongero e20 (kuparadzira ruzha), iyo MACD iri kuita yakadzika zvishoma, ichishandisa iyo histogram seinoonekwa, nepo iyo RSI yanga iri pamusoro pemutsara wepakati makumi mashanu pamazuva anoteedzana. Iwo stochastics achiri kuyambuka uye anogona kunge achikwira kumusoro pane yakagadziriswa marongero e50. Vatengesi vaizorayirwa kuti vaongorore machati avo vachinyatsotarisa humwe humbowo, senge iyo PSAR inoonekwa pazasi pemutengo, kuti vatore maitiro akareba, kana nzvimbo yekutengesa.
AUD / USD. iyo Aussie maringe neUSD yakaratidzawo kuve kutengeserana kwakaomarara zvisingaite mumavhiki apfuura zvichipiwa kuti vaviri vaviri vezvinhu vane mukurumbira vane, yakafanana nedhora yen, yakatengeswa munzvimbo yakatetepa. Nekudaro, musi waChikunguru 30th moribund hunhu hweiyi mari yevaviri maitiro akapera sekupararira kune kwakadzika kwaionekwa neese makuru maitiro ekutengesa zviratidzi kuva zvinoshanda. PSAR pamusoro pemutengo, MACD ichiita kudzikisira pasi pane histogram, saizvozvowo iyo DMI. RSI iri kudhinda munzvimbo makumi matatu, inowanzo gamuchirwa sechirevo chinoratidza kuti kudonha kwechisimba uku kune kuwedzera kuwedzera. Bhora repazasi reBollinger rakatyorwa nepo stochastics yamboyambuka pakagadziriswa 30. Vatengesi mune iri pfupi bhizimusi vaizorayirwa kuti vagare naro kusvikira zvinongedzo zvinopesana zvaratidzwa. Zvichida sevatengesi vashoma vanofanirwa kutarisa kuPSAR kuti vaoneke pazasi pemutengo kuti vabude uye vamirire kumwe kuratidzwa kwekubatana vasati vachinja mafungiro avo kune yekusimudzira.
Nhamba
The SPX yakasvika pakakwirira nhanho panguva dzekutengesa svondo rapfuura, saizvozvowo iyo DJIA yakateedzana. Kunyangwe izvi zvitsva zvepamusoro uye kutonga nemutengo chiito chinoratidzwa pachati yezuva nezuva, vazhinji vaongorori nevatengesi vanoita sevasina chokwadi kuti chero kubhuroka kune kumusoro kune kwakanyanya kuwedzera. Iyo DJIA, SPX uye NASDAQ vakatengesa mumatanho akasimba mukati memavhiki apfuura vachipa mamiriro akaomesesa kune vatengesi vemafambiro ekugadzirisa.
Rondedzero yenguva dzose yeFed stimulus tapering inogona kunge iri kukonzera kukanganisika uku, kana chokwadi chiri nyore chekuti vatengesi vanoratidzika kunge vasingadi kubhadharisa mutengo pazvinongedzo zvikuru kupfuura zviyero zvemazita azvino pasina zvinoratidza zvakajeka kuti hupfumi hweUSA huri kugadzirisadi. Kune vatengesi vemafambiro; kushandisa mazhinji ezvinowanzo sarudzika maitiro zviratidzo, kugara kwenguva refu iyo DJIA ndicho chisarudzo chiri pachena chakamirira chero chakakosha zviitiko zvisina kunaka zvemashoko zvinogona kukonzera kutengesa. Vatengesi vakareba iyo DJIA yaizorayirwa kuti vatarise iyo PSAR inoonekwa pamusoro pemutengo sechikonzero chidiki chekusunga kwavo kutengeserana kwenguva refu. Ipo ichiri kutsvaga kumwe kusimbiswa nenzira yeMACD, DMI uye RSI kudhinda mabhendi emagetsi.
hazvo
WTI mafuta yakasimudzira maitiro ayo ekusimudzira zvichitevera kutengesa kwazvino, kunoenderana neakaderera manhamba eU.SA ekuwedzera uye kusagadzikana kwakanyanya kuMiddle East. WTI yakatanga kuburukira kumusoro kusvika munaAugust 1 mushure mekuonekwa kwekenduru doji kenduru ichishandisa Heikin Ashi yakavharwa musi waChikunguru 31. Oiri yakatyisidzazve kutora ayo akakwirisa egore akadhindwa mavhiki maviri apfuura. Tichitarisa pazvinonyanya kufarirwa zvekushambadzira zviratidziro zvese WTI neBrent mafuta anoonekwa achikwirisa, iyo DMI iri kudhinda yakakwira yakakwira pane iyo histogram sezvakaita MACD, nepo kuverenga kweRSI kuri pa60. Trend vatengesi mafuta marefu vaizokurudzirwa kuti vagare kwenguva yakareba kudzamara zvikwangwani, nenzira yezviratidzo zvinonyanya kushandiswa, zvionekwe pachati yezuva nezuva.
goridhe
Ndarama yakundikana kuchengetedza kubhururuka kwayo kwekusimudzira kusvika kumusoro kwayakatengesa mune yakasarudzika yakasimba renji kune akati wandei apfuura emavhiki ekutengesa zvikamu. Iyo chiratidzo chekuvhara uye inogona kutengesera kune yakadzika, yakauya nerubatsiro rwePSAR chiratidzo chinowoneka pamusoro pemutengo nepo RSI ichidanana nemutsetse wepakati makumi mashanu. Iyo yepakati Bollinger bhendi yakatyorwa nepo stochastics, (pane yakagadziriswa seti ye50) vayambuka uye vabuda munzvimbo yakanyanyisa kutengwa. Vatengesi vegoridhe vaizorayirwa kuti vagare vakapfupika kudzamara akawanda eanotungamira mafambiro ezvemhando zvinoratidza zvimwe. Kutenda kushoma kwazvo kunogona kuiswa munzvimbo yakachengetedzeka yegoridhe parizvino, zvichipiwa njodzi panjodzi uye kuwirirana kwakatevera izvozvi hazvigoneke.
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