VHIKI REMAKO SNAPSHOT 08/02 - 12/02 | INVESTORI OPTIMISMY INOPARIRA PASI PASI, AS VACCINE ROLLOUTS FAMBIRA MBERI PASI, USD INOENDA KUTI IVE PAMUSORO PAKUSARUDZA VARI VAYO
Munguva yekutengesa vhiki inopera Kukadzi 5 misika yemakero yanga ichinyanya kukwidziridzwa, zvikonzero zvekumutsiridzwa kwenjodzi-manzwiro zvakasiyana.
- - Vaccine inobuda muUnited States, UK uye zvikamu zveEurope zviri kufambira mberi sezvakarongwa uye, mune dzimwe nguva, pamberi pechinangwa. Tarisiro iri kusimukira kuti yazvino kumadokero hemisphere wave yakwira.
- - Nekuda kwekubatanidzwa kwemajekiseni uye matanho ekuvharira akasara munzvimbo, hurumende nemapazi ehutano pasi rose vari kungwarira vachitarisa kumwaka wechirimo kuti vanangise pfungwa yehunhu kudzoka.
- - Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, naJerome Powell vanofanirwa kuita timu inoshanda. Kudzikama kweMutungamiri Joe Biden kwakaunzwa kuWhite House kwakawedzera pfungwa dzevatyairi. Yake yakashata, yepasirese, everyman toni yakafamba zvakanaka kumatunhu ese epasi.
Yakasanganiswa neyekuchangamuka ichangoburwa kugadzirira uye sachigaro weFederal Reserve Jerome Powell achishanda zvakanaka neMunyori weHaimari Janet Yellen (aimbogara chigaro cheFed), ramangwana rinotaridzika kuva rakajeka kuvagari vemuUS nehupfumi hwavo.
Kwemavhiki matatu akateedzana, manhamba evhiki nevhiki asina mabasa akadonha, nepo zvirevo zvinoramba zvichiderera muhuwandu hwakaenzana. Vashandi vanozotarisa kunhamba dzichangoburwa dzeNFP uye huwandu hwekushaikwa kwemabasa hwakaburitswa nemusi weChishanu 5 na1: 30 PM nguva yeUK yekupa humbowo hwekuti kurasikirwa kwemabasa kwadzikira uye basa riri kukura.
Vaya vane simba havagoni kurerutsa dambudziko rakamirirwa ne-post-COVID-19
Hurumende, mabhanga epakati, economists, uye vanoita mari havasi kurerutsa kuedza kunodiwa kuti USA, UK, neEE vakwire kunze kweCOVID-19 gomba rehupfumi apo (kana) majekiseni uye kukiyiwa kushanda, uye isu tinogona kuenderera mberi. Nedzimwe metric, iko kuderera kwave kwakadzika kwazvo mumazana emakore.
Chirevo chazvino kubva kuBhangi yeEngland neChina chakaratidza chokwadi chaicho. Kufanotaura kuri kwekuti Q4 2020 GDP iuye pa -2.2% neGDP yegore iri pa -8.6%. Nekudaro, iyo BoE inofungidzira iyo GDP nhamba yeQ1 2021 kuti iuye pa -4% neQ3 inozivikanwa sekota apo kukura kuchadzoka.
USD inoenderera mberi nekumhanya kwayo kwe2021
Parizvino, panguva ya2021, dhora reUS rakanyora zviwanikwa zvakanyanya maringe nevezera raro. Iyo dollar indekisi DXY yakakwira 1.59% gore-kusvika-zuva uye 2.05% pamwedzi. Pa91.35 iro bhasiketi remadhora emari richiri 10% pasi zvichidaro maringe nezinga raMay 2020. Nekudaro, iyo index yakaratidza kupora zvine mwero zvichipesana nevezera rayo.
Semuenzaniso wesimba reUSD panguva ya2021 kusvika parizvino, pamwedzi EUR / USD iri pasi -2.87%, AUD / USD iri pasi -2.44%, USD / JPY iri kumusoro 2.24%, USD / CHF iri kumusoro 2.74%. GBP / USD ndiko kusara kwemaviri makuru emari; iri kumusoro 0.60% pamwedzi.
Vhiki riri mberi
Sekureva kweReuters, kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri kweGerman kunofanirwa kuratidza kuderera kwaDecember -1.6% kudonha kana nhamba yacho ikaburitswa Muvhuro London isati yavhura. Kana ichibatanidzwa nedzimwe dhata dzeGerman dzinoshaya zvinangwa munguva pfupi yapfuura, iyo metric inogona kurova zvese iyo DAX uye mutengo weeuro.
Kuenderera mberi iro reGerman dhata theme pa Chipiri, yazvino chiyero chevatengesi manhamba chinoburitswa yeEE yekukura injini. Kufanotaura kuri kuwanda kwe16.2B muna Zvita kuGerman, kudonha kubva ku17.2B euros munaNovember.
Yekupedzisira mabasa ekuvhura (JOLTS) nhamba yakaburitswa muchikamu cheNew York inofanirwa kutsigira dzidziso yekuti iyo US irikufambira mberi basa. Kufanotaura kuri kuvhurwa kwe6.25M, chero chinhu chiri pamusoro pe6 M chinoonekwa sechinosimudzira.
Kufanotaura kuri kwenzvimbo dzinochengeterwa mafuta muUS kuratidza a -4.26m migomo inodonha, ichikanganisa mutengo wedhiramu.
Chitatu Tokyo chikamu chinoona China ichangoburwa CPI (inflation) data rakaburitswa. Pagore uye pamwedzi, inflation inofanira kuratidza kukwira. Kuwedzera kweGerman inflation kunofanirwa kuratidza kuwedzera kwe1% gore rega. Iyo inflation theme inoenderera mberi neChitatu nguva dzekutengesa nedata rekupedzisira reUS CPI. A 0.2% rate yaNdira, kuchengetedza mwero wegore pa1.4% ndiyo fungidziro.
Munguva yechirongwa cheNew York, hurongwa hwebhajeti yeUS uye hurongwa hwaJanuary hwemwedzi bhajeti hunoburitswa. Sekureva kwevaongorori, mari yaNdira inofanira kuuya pa - $ 147B.
Iko kutarisisa kwevhiki nevhiki kuUS kwekutanga kushaya basa kunoitika China, uye vaongorori vanotarisira kuona zvirevo zvisina basa zvichiwira 4th vhiki dzakateedzana, kudzika ku750K.
Maziso epasirose ekutengesa epasirese anozoiswa pamhando dzeGDP dzeUK pavanoburitswa na7: 00 AM nguva yeUK mberi Chishanu, musangano weLondon usati wavhura.
Reuters vanofanotaura -2% Q4 2020, ine yekupedzisira 2020 nhamba pa -8%. Chikamu chakakosha kwazvo pamakota slump chichauya mukuvaka pasi -8.6% uye kugadzira pasi -7.2%.
Bhanga reEngland riri kufungidzira -4.0% yeQ1 2021. Kana fungidziro iyi ikazadzikiswa, saka neQ2 UK inodzokera mune kuderera kwepamutemo, yakatarwa semakota maviri akateedzana ezvekutenderera. Iyo euro inogona kuuya pasi pekumanikidzwa uye kuwedzera kufungidzira mune imwechete bloc mari kana ichangoburwa indasitiri yekugadzira data ichiburitswa na10: 00 AM yeEuro Area. Gore pagore kugadzirwa kunofanirwa kuratidza kudonha -3.2% uye -2.2% muna Zvita.
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