GPB / USD inodonha seUK GDP zvibvumirano uye hurumende yeUK haina kufambira mberi paBrexit
Sangano reUK rekuverenga, iyo ONS, yakapa huwandu hwekuvhundutsa kwehupfumi hweUK nemusi weMuvhuro mangwanani. Iko kukura kweGDP kwakauya mu -0.4% mwedzi pamwedzi waZvita, kuchishaya tarisiro yekukura kwe0.00%. Izvo zvinofanirwa kucherechedzwa kuti nhoroondo, mune hupfumi hwakaita seBritain; inotungamirwa nemasevhisi uye kushandiswa, mwedzi wekupedzisira nekota yegore inowanzo kuve yakanaka, maererano nekukura. Asi iyo kota yakauya ne0.2%, ichishaya fungidziro uye ichidonha kubva ku0.6% muQ3. Sekureva kwemasangano akasiyana siyana, kukura kwegore rose kwakauya zvakasiyana pakati pe1.3% uye 1.4%, zvichienderana nekuverenga. Reuters yakazvisimbisa pa1.3%, ichidonha kubva ku1.6%.
Dhipatimendi rekudyidzana neruzhinji rweUK rakapinda mumamiriro enhamo, zvichiratidza kuti kukura kwakangomira, sezvainge zvaita muEurope yose. Nekudaro, kutarisa pasi pebhoneti pane iyo raft yedata, ndicho chikonzero che alarm. Kunze kwenyika kwawa, kunyangwe paundi isina kusimba. Bhizimusi yekudyara iri -3.7% gore pagore uye kugadzira iko iko iko iko kuderera kwehupfumi, mushure mekuendesa mwedzi mitanhatu munhevedzano yekuverengwa kusiri iko. Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri uye kuburitsa kwekuvaka kuri kutambawo nehupfumi. Mazhinji emametric aya, akawedzerwa kune yakashata seti yeHS Markit PMIs yakaburitswa svondo rapfuura, zvinoratidza hupfumi hwakananga kuderera kwehupfumi, kana pakamira pakanangana neQ3-Q4 ye2019.
Sterling yakadonha ichipesana nevazhinji vezera rayo repamusoro mukati menguva dzeMuvhuro dzekutengesa; GPB / USD yakapedzisa zuva rekutengesa pasi pa0.67% pa1.286, ichipunzika neS3, ichipedza zviwanikwa zvakawanikwa kubva pakati paNdira, ichizopedzisira yaenda kure nekukura kweiyo 1.300 mubato uye 200 DMA. EUR / GBP yakatengesa kumusoro 0.27% uye ikozvino yave kutengesa zvakatenderera vhiki nevhiki, pa0.878. Versus AUD, NZD uye CHF, sterling yakadzokorora yakafanana maitiro ekudonha. Kunyangwe paine ruzivo rwekusuwa, iyo UK FTSE 100 yakavhara 0.82% pazuva. Nekuda kwemazhinji emafemu ari muindekisi ari USA yakavakirwa uye kutengesa mumadhora, kudonha mu sterling kune mhedzisiro.
Kushaikwa kwekufambira mberi maererano neBrexit kwakaratidzirwa zvakare, sezvo nhaurirano yeEU Michel Barnier aifanira kuramba achidudza, pasina zvirevo, kuti mazwi echibvumirano chekubvisa haazovhurwe kuti vatauriranezve. Kunyangwe izvi, hurumende yeTory yakaisa minwe yavo yakabatana munzeve dzavo, pamwe nemutungamiriri wenyika VaMay vachienderera mberi nenyaya sekunge nhaurirano inogona kuenderera. Paramende yeUK inofanirwa kukakavadzana naBrexit zvakare neChitatu 13, panguva yaMay anofungidzirwa kukumbira paramende nguva yakawandisa, sezvo nguva yekupedzisira yaKurume 29 ichiswedera. Nediki dzinokosha dzeEuropean, kana Eurozone nhau dzakaburitswa neMuvhuro, main Eurozone indices; CAC yeFrance uye DAX yekuGerman, yakavhara zuva kumusoro kusvika 1.0%. EUR / USD yakavhara zuva pasi pasi pa 0.46% pa 1.127, sezvo euro yakasiya kukosha maringe neruzhinji rwezera rayo.
USA indices yakasangana yakasangana yekutengesa hupfumi panguva yeNew York musangano neMuvhuro, iyo DJIA yakavhara -0.21%, iyo SPX yakakwira 0.07% uye iyo NASDAQ yakakwira 0.13%. Iyo specter yehurukuro dzekutengeserana, dzakarongerwa kuitika svondo rino neChina, zvakayera pamusoro pevatengesi kuita sarudzo nekufunga, sezvo varimi zvakare vakatsvaga nyaradzo munzvimbo yakachengeteka yeUSD, iyo yakakwira ichipesana nevazhinji vezera rayo. Iko kufurira kwe (izvo zvaifungidzirwa se) chirevo chinoshatisa neFOMC uye naFed sachigaro Jerome Powell, pavakachengeta chiyero chakakosha pa2.5%, zvinoita kunge yaderera. Nguva yekupedzisira yaKurume 2nd, yekuti USA iite 25% mitero pamadhora mazana maviri emazana ezvitengeswa zveChinese kuAmerica, zvinoita kunge yapera. Kupindira kwakananga chete kubva kunaTrump, kunogona kuchinja kusagadzikana.
Zviitiko zvine hunyanzvi izvo vatengesi veFX vanofanirwa kuratidzira pazvikamu zveChipiri, zvinosanganisira hurukuro dzaMark Carney Gavhuna weBank yeEngland kuma13: 00 pm UK nguva uye Jerome Powell, sachigaro webhanga guru reUSA Fed, pa17: 45pm UK nguva. Izvo zvemukati mehurukuro zvavo hazvina kuburitswa, huwandu hwenyaya dzenyaya dzavanogona kuvhara hwakakosha.
NaVa Carney nyaya dze: inflation, izvo zvichangoshungurudza UK GDP kukura manhamba uye Brexit inogona kukurukurwa. NaVaPowell nyaya iri kutaurwa inogona kusanganisira kusagadzikana kwekutengeserana neChina, tarisiro yekuwedzera mwero wemari inowedzera mukati megore ra2019, kukura kwepasirese kunogona kudonha uye akasiyana metric achangobatana ane chekuita nehupfumi hweUSA, kwete kuuya sekufungidzira. Nomuzvarirwo, panguva yekuendeswa kwese kutaura kune vateereri vavo, mari mbiri vanhu vese vane basa nazvo, ichauya pasi pevanoonekwa.
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