Euro whipsaws mumatanho akapamhama mushure memasaini anovhiringidza eECB, misika yeUSA equity inodonha sezvo FOMC yemari yemari inobheja
Euro yakasangana nekutengesa mutengo-chiito ichipesana nevezera rayo panguva yemasikati sezvo ECB yakazivisa danho rayo rekumisikidza danho uye yakaratidza gwara nyowani maererano nekutungamira kumberi. Panzvimbo pekuzivisa chiyero chemubereko chakatemwa munguva pfupi, iyo ECB neMutungamiri Mario Draghi vakashamisika vaongorori nevanoongorora veFX sezvavakaratidza kuti mwero upi zvawo ungangobviswa kusvika kota yechina 2020 uye kuti vachatarisa zvakajairwa. zvinhu zve: GDP kukura, basa uye inflation isati yawedzera chirongwa chazvino cheTLTRO III.
Mutemo weEECB wakadzokororwa wezvemari wakatora vatengesi veFX musika nekushamisika vachigadzira mutengo-chiito mune maviri maviri izvo zvakaratidza kunetsa kutengesa panguva yemasikati. EUR / USD inotengeswa muhupamhi, hwezuva nezuva-renji, ichitenderera pakati pekutanga bearish uye yekupedzisira yekusimudzira manzwiro kusvika kumagumo ekutengesa kweChina. Na20: 52 pm UK nguva iyo vaviri vaviri vakatengesa pa1.114 kukwira 0.04%. Zvichida kufamba kwakachena kwazvo kweiri euro kwakaratidzwa neEUR / CHF; kutengesa pakutanga pazasi pezuva nezuva pivot-poindi iyo muchinjikwa-vaviri yakaputsika kusvika kumusoro sezvo mutemo weECB waiparadzirwa, uchityora danho rechitatu rekurwisa, R3, kutengesa up 0.68%. DAX yekuGerman yakavhara -1.33%, akasiyana maGerman IFO metric akashaya fungidziro dzakakanganisa manzwiro emusika muEurope, sezvakaita nhungamiro itsva yekumberi iyo ECB yakazivisa.
Nhau dzakanaka dzehupfumi nenzira yekutengesa uye kushaya kwemabasa kuUSA, yakakwenenzvera vatyairi vazhinji nevatengesi kutenda kuti FOMC yakanga isingabvumire kuzivisa kucheka muhuwandu hwechimbadzo neinenge 25bps musi waChikunguru 31. Mitsva mitsva yezvinhu zvakagadzirwa zveUS zvakagarika ne2% munaJune, kukura kukuru kubva muna Nyamavhuvhu 2018 uye kuchinjisa iyo -2.3% kudonha muna Chivabvu, ichirova kutarisirwa kwemusika kwe0.7% kukura neimwe nzvimbo. Kudiwa kwemuchina kwakawedzera zvakanyanya mumwedzi ingangosvika gumi nesere; zvekutakura zvekushandisa mirairo yakasimuka zvakanyanya, kunyanya ndege dzevanhu, mota uye zvikamu.
Zvekupedzisira vhiki nevhiki uye zvinoramba zvichinzi kushaya mabasa zvakadzora, neChina zviri nani pane zvaifungidzirwa nezvehupfumi zvakakonzera vatengesi veUS equity kudzora kutenda kwavo muFOMC ichideredza mwero svondo rinouya, nekudaro misika yeUSA yemari yakatengeswa semutengo wakaderera wemakambani haukwanisi kuuya . Iyo SPX yakavhara -0.51% uye iyo NASDAQ 100 yakavharwa -1.01%. Na21: 15 pm UK nguva iyo dhora index, DXY, yakatengesa kumusoro 0.07% pa97.80 ichichengetedza 1.60% pamwedzi kukwira.
Tarisa Chishanu neChishanu Chikunguru 26 ichanyanya kutarisisa kune ichangoburwa GDP yekukura manhamba eUSA kuti iburitswe neBEA Statistics agency na13: 30 pm UK nguva. Ose maviri Bloomberg neReuters masangano enhau anotarisira kuverengerwa kwe1.8% yeQ2 pagore kuburitswa, kudonha kubva ku3.1% yeQ1. Maitirwo emisika yeUSA equities uye madhora ekuAmerica zvinoenderana nekuti fungidziro yakatarwa here. Kuverenga kwakaderera kwakadaro (kana kukasangana) kunogona kukurudzira FOMC kudzikisa mwero wemubhadharo wakaderera pazasi peiyo 2.5% nhanho, saka, counter-intuitively murombo GDP kuverenga inogona kuve inokwidziridzwa kune equities uye bearish kune USD.
Na21: 30 masikati neChina USD / JPY yakatengesa yakakwira 0.42% uye USD / CHF yakatengesa 0.63% semari dzedunhu dzakachengeteka dzakapa mukana wekukwezva mari yepasi rose. GBP / USD yakatengeswa pasi -0.24% pa1.245 semutengo wakaswedera paS1. EUR / GBP pakutanga yaitengesa padyo neS1, asi semanzwiro euro akachinja mushure mekushambadzirwa kweECB, muchinjikwa-vaviri vakatengesa padhuze neR1 uye vachikwira 0.30% pazuva.
Sterling akakundikana kuwana mibairo mikuru achipesana nevezera ravo sezvo musangano wedare reparamende weUK wakazopera nemusi weChina, asi kwete pamberi pemutungamiriri mutsva Johnson akapa hurukuro isinganzwisisike, isina kujairika muImba yeMakomisheni ichityisidzira EU nekubuda-kwechibvumirano uye munguva pfupi. achiparadza chero chero chakanaka Theresa May aive avaka pamwe nevamwe vake vekuEurope.
« Kana fungidziro yeUSA GDP ikasangana ipapo FOMC inogona kuita svondo rinouya nekurova kiyi yechimbadzo kusvika ku2.00% Tarisa anotendeukira kune yazvino Q2 GDP yekukura manhamba eUSA kune zviitiso nezve kune iyo nongedzo iyo FOMC yemari mutemo inotora. »
