VHIKI MARKET SNAPSHOT 14/12 - 18/12 | EUR / GBP inosvika pakakwirira isati yaonekwa kubva munaGunyana sezvo hurukuro dzeBrexit dzinodonhera pamatombo
Pane nguva kana iwe uchitengesa forex, indices uye zvigadzirwa kana macroeconomic nyaya dzichifukidza zviitiko zvakanyorwa pane yako upfumi karenda. Mamiriro ezvinhu aripo anofanirwa kushanda sekukurumidza kuti hunyanzvi hwekuongorora hunyanzvi uye ruzivo rwunofanira kuwedzera kupfuura data, sarudzo uye zviitiko zvaunoona pane karenda rezuva nezuva.
Nyaya mbiri dzakakurumbira pari zvino dzinotonga nzvimbo yedu yekutengesa, dema rehwani denda uye Brexit. Sezvo iwe uchiziva, iyo chaiyo iyo yakasviba swan zviitiko zvinovimbisa kuti hauvaone ivo vachiuya. Funga kumashure kwenguva ino gore rapfuura, chirevo "Covid 19" yanga isiri muduramazwi repasi rese. Zvino, isu tinorarama hupenyu hwedu mumumvuri wehutachiona.
Utachiona hwave nemhedzisiro inoshamisa pamisika. Iko kukwira kwemusika kudonha munaKurume kwaive kufungidzira zvachose, oiri ichidonha kune yakashata kukosha nekuti hapana aigona kutora muridzi nekuchengetedza saizvozvo. Nzvimbo dzakachengeteka senge goridhe dzakakwirawo mune zvese mutengo uye maonero evashambadziri ekukosha. Asi iko kudzoreredza mune ese ari maviri emisika misika uye mafuta anga achishamisa.
Hukuru hwemari nemari inokurudzira hurumende yeUSA neFederal Reserve zvakachengetedza misika mikuru yekuenzanisira muUS yakadhindwa marekodhi, kunyangwe paine mamwe mamirioni gumi nemashanu vasina mabasa uye vatsva vanosvika mamirioni makumi maviri nemashanu. Tesla yakwira pedyo ne 15%. Kunyangwe kuendesa chidimbu chemotokari Toyota vanoita ivo vanodarika zana zvakapetwa zvakapetwa.
Airbnb yakakosheswa pamadhora gumi nematanhatu denda risati rasvika. Kunyangwe hosha yekutsikirira yekufambisa inodiwa uye nendege, iyo femu yakatenderera musi weChina Zvita Zvita uye yakangoerekana yasvika padyo ne $ 18b. Mutengo wayo weIPO wakakurumidza kupetwa kaviri pakupinda mumusika.
Kune imwe bhenefiti yeakadai stellar anomuka mune anofarira eTesla neAirbnb; chikwereti haisisiri nyaya yeimwe firm. Nekudaro, kukwidziridzwa kunoshamisa kunoratidza kuti misika yakaiswa muto wakadii uye kuti ongororo iri munzira dzakawanda dzakadii izvozvi, kupfuura nakare kose iwe paunofanirwa "kutengesa izvo zvaunoona".
Dhora reUS rakatsvedza richipesana nevezera raro rakakura nekuda kwekusimudzira. Iyo dollar indekisi (DXY) iri pasi -6.59% gore-kusvika-kudhara, nepo EUR / USD iri kumusoro 8.38% muna 2020. Iwe unofanirwa kutsvaga machati kuti uwane nguva iyo USD yaive pasi pekumanikidzwa kwakadai.
Pakutanga 2018 mushure mekunge VaTrump vakonzera kurwa kusiri madikanwa neChina uye nemitero yakatemwa yaive yekupedzisira nguva. Chiitiko icho uye "hondo dzemitero" zvinoratidza kuti zviitiko zve macroeconomic zvinogona kutonga sei. Trump paakatumira hasha dzake kuChina, misika yakaita.
Kana misika yemari muUS yanga iri chinhu, ngatitii wechidiki anotsamwa, zvobva zvashatira kana zvikasawana zvazvinoda, kana pasina shuga inomhanyisa muchimiro chekusimudzira saka ivo vari sulks uye vanokanda hasha. Iipe kukurudzira, uye pakarepo inofara. Zvinosuruvarisa, izvozvi, kuongororwa kwenzira dzemisika yemari ndiyo yakakosha. Kana Seneti yabvumidza iyo $ 900b + Pandemic Relief Bill US misika yemisika inozoita rally, ingori nguva yekukwira iyo Santa Rally.
Saizvozvowo, kana isu tiri kutsvaga kufanotaura mafambiro eUSD muvhiki iri kuuya, inosendamira pane yekukurudzira sarudzo: zvimwe zvinokurudzira = kudonha mumutengo weUSD. Yakawanda sei iyo inodonha zvinoenderana nemari iyo Seneti inobvumidza.
Brexit yave zvakare iri inotungamira nhau dzehupfumi svondo rapfuura. UK yakazosvika kumagumo emugwagwa. Sezvo vagari vekuUK vakafinhwa neiyi nyaya uye vakavhotera maTori kuti adzokere musimba kuti vagone "kuita kuti Brexit iitwe", pane kusava nehanya nekusaziva muUK nezvenyaya iyi.
Wepakati Brit haazive kuti kudonha kubva kuhukama hwemakore makumi mana- kusvika makumi mashanu neEU kunokonzeresa sei kurwadziwa kwehupfumi nekugarisana kwevanhu; vazhinji vanotenda manyepo e "hutongi, hove, uye kuzvimirira".
NeSvondo saga yetorrid inofanira kunge yapera, iwo (anofungidzirwa) musi wekupedzisira wekuti mapato maviri anofanirwa kubvumirana pane mhinduro. Sezvineiwo, nhau dzinotungamira kubva kuChishanu EU Council yeVatungamiriri foramu haisi Brexit, asi shanduko yemamiriro ekunze uye chibvumirano chekudzora mweya. Kubuda kwechisimba kutora nzvimbo-nzvimbo kunogona kuva chiratidzo icho EU yakazorega kuUK se enfant zvinotyisa uye yakagadzirirwa zvizere kusaita-dhiri.
Sezvatakataridza kanoverengeka nguva pfupi yadarika; iyo UK pondo haina kusimuka zvakanyanya maringe nedhora reUS pamwedzi ichangopfuura, dhora radonha maringe nevezera ravo vese. Chadonha zvishoma zvichipesana nezvakanaka. NeChishanu, Zvita 11 kusvika 11:30 am, GBP / USD yakatengeswa pasi -0.85% pa1.3190, yakwira 0.40% gore kusvika zvino.
EUR / GBP yaitengesa ku0.9182, ichikwira 0.58% pazuva uye ichikwira 8.07% gore-kusvika-zuva. Iyo euro yakasimudza kumusoro ichipesana nevezera rayo munguva ye2020, kunyangwe iyo ECB ichiita mukutenderera kwekusimudzira uye chiwero chemitero chiri pazero kana chakaipa kune vanoisa mari uye vanoziva sevha.
Kana Svondo riri iro rekupedzisira zuva reUK kuti riwirirane neEU, saka tinogona kutarisira kufamba kamwe-kamwe mumapara eGBP kana misika yeFX yavhurwa. Naizvozvo, vatengesi vanofanirwa kufunga nezvezvinzvimbo zvavo nokungwarira. Mamiriro ezvinhu akadaro anogona kukonzeresa akakosha mapikisi anogona kukanganisa kumira uye miganho. Mune yakaderera mvura asi yakanyanya kusagadzikana nzvimbo yekutengesa, inozadza uye inopararira inogona kunetsa.
Karenda zviitiko zvekutarisa mukati mevhiki inotanga Zvita 13
On Chipiri isu tinowana yazvino yekumubvunzurudza kuverenga uye data rekushaya basa kubva kuUK's ONS. Nekuda kwekunetseka uye kufefitiswa, kutonga kuti akanyatsoita sei manhamba akafanana nekuedza kubaya jelly kumadziro. Asi kufungidzira ndekwekuvandudza zvine mwero muhuwandu hweanodaidzira uye nemusoro wepamusoro wekushomeka kwehuwandu hwevanhu vanoshanda.
Chiyero chekutengeserana cheJapan chinotarisirwa kuvandudzika apo huwandu hunoburitswa neChipiri manheru; izvi zvinogona kukanganisa kukosha kweiyo yen.
On Chitatu iyo yekuchangobva kuitika inflation nhamba yeUK yakaburitswa, yeCanada iri zvakare sezvazvino ichangoburwa yekutengesa data yeUSA Chero inflation nhamba ingangotamisa kukosha kwe GBP kana CAD yakawanda. Nhamba dzekutengesa dzeUSA dzinogona kuratidza kuda kwemutengi kushandisa.
Japan inflation nhamba inoburitswa pa China, uye fungidziro ndeyekunyudza kusvika -0.4%. Kumhanyisa hupfumi hunodzikira haisi dambudziko nyowani kune vanogadzira mitemo veJapan kana vanogadzira mitemo.
Chishanu kuburitswa kwemashoko kunetsekana ichangoburwa GfK kuvimba kuverenga kwevatengi veUK. Chirevo chekuverenga chiri -33. Huwandu hungatsigira ongororo ichangoburwa yevakuru vekuUK vanoshanda, zvichiratidza padyo ne68% havazove nemari yakakwana kuti vararame pamubhadharo waZvita; vachatofanira kukwereta kusvikira mubhadharo waJanuary wabaya maakaundi avo ekubhangi. IHS Markit ichaburitsa yakauraya ma PMI mukati mevhiki. Aya akadzika kusvika pakati epakati ekuverengera kuverenga anonyengera kududzira mune yazvino denda paradigm. Ivo vanosiyana zvisingaite mwedzi nemwedzi uye havachagone kuvimbwa nayo seyakarurama inotungamira zviratidzo.
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