Sep 13 • Mashoko eMusika • 8092 Views • 1 Comment kuAustralia, nei vatengesi ve'bhoom uye nerima 'vachisimudzira nekurodza mapanga avo?
Munguva yese yepasi rese yezvemari maelstrom anga aripo kubvira 2007-2008 Australia yakaramba ichikwikwidza maitiro. Kunyangwe dzakateedzana mafashama akasangana muna Ndira gore rino (2011) akaonekwa kungogogodza kwenguva pfupi nyika hombe kubva pakuvimba kwegyroscopic sesimba guru repasi rese. Australia's-capita GDP yakakwira kupfuura iyo yeUK, Germany, neFrance maererano nekutenga masimba parity. Nyika yaive pachinzvimbo chechipiri muUnited Nations 2009 Human Development Index uye inogara iri pamusoro muEconomist yepasi rose yehunhu-hwe-hupenyu index.
Australia ndeimwe yeanokurumidza kukura hupfumi hwepasirese. IMF inofungidzira kuti Australia ichawedzera hupfumi hwakawanda mu2011 nekuda kwekuwedzera kwakasimba mukutsvaga kweChinese kwezvinhu zveAustralia. Muna 2010, Australia yakatumira kuUS $ 48.6 bhiriyoni yezvinhu kuChina, zvakapetwa kanopfuura makore gumi apfuura. Indasitiri yezvemigodhi ine mari, hupfumi hwesimbi hunotengeswa zvinopfuura hafu yekutengeswa kweAustralia kuChina. Kuchera uye kurima zvinotarisirwa kuendesa hupfumi hweAustralia munguva pfupi iri kutevera. Australian Bureau yeAgriculture neResource Economics neSainzi inofungidzira kuti kugadzirwa kwemigodhi kuchakwira ne10.2 muzana muna 2010-2011 uye kugadzirwa kwepurazi kungakwira ne8.9 muzana.
Hupfumi hweAustralia hunotarisirwa kukura mukati memakore mashanu anotevera. 2011 kusvika 2015 yaigona kuona GDP yeAustralia ichikura ne4.81 kusvika 5.09 muzana pagore. Pakupera kwa2015, GDP yeAustralia inotarisirwa kunge iri US $ 1.122 trillion. GDP yeAustralia pamunhu inofungidzirwa kukura zvine hutano. Muna 2010, GDP yeAustralia pamunhu yaive yegumi yepamusoro-soro - ichikura kubva paUS $ 38,633.17 muna2009 kusvika paUS $ 39,692.06. Muna 2011, GDP yeAustralia pamunhu inogona kuwedzera ne3.52 muzana kusvika US $ 41,089.17. Makore mana akatevera aigona kuona kukura kusingagumi muGDP yeAustralia pamunhu, zvichikonzera GDP pamunhu US $ 47,445.58 pakupera kwa2015.
Nhamba dzekupedzisira dzakaburitswa neAustralia Bureau of Statistics dzinoratidza kuti huwandu hwenyika hwezvinhu nemasevhisi hwasvika pamari yakagadziriswa mwaka inosvika $ 1.826 bhiriyoni mumwedzi. Hupfumi hweAustralia hwakawedzera zvakanyanya mukota yechipiri nekukura kwakapfuura-kutarisirwa kwe1.2 muzana inotungamirwa nebhizinesi rekudyara, kushandisa kwemhuri uye kuvaka muzvivakwa. Annette Beacher, mukuru we Asia-Pacific research kuTD Securities anotarisira kuti GDP ikwire kusvika pa2 muzana mu2011 uye ne4.5 muzana gore rinotevera.
Sekureva kwehuwandu hwekushaikwa kwemabasa kwakapihwa neIMF, kushaikwa kwemabasa kuchaona kudzikira kwekupedzisira kusvika pa5.025 muzana pakupera kwegore ra2012. Mushure meizvozvo, vanotarisira kuti mwero wekushaya mabasa (kubva 2013 kusvika 2015) unoramba uripo pa4.8 muzana.
Kufanana nehumwe upfumi hwepamberi Hupfumi hweAustralia hunotongwa nechero chikamu chebasa, chinomiririra 68% yeGDP yeAustralia, kutenga vatengi kuri chikamu chikuru. Kukura mubazi rezve masevhisi kwakura zvakanyanya, zvivakwa uye zvebhizimusi masevhisi akakura kubva pa10% kusvika pa14.5% yeGDP panguva imwecheteyo, ichiita chikamu chikuru cheGDP yechikamu. Uku kukura kwave kuri pakushandisa chikamu chekugadzira, icho muna 2006-07 chakaverengera kutenderedza 12% yeGDP. Imakore gumi zvisati zvaitika, yaive chikamu chakakura kwazvo mune hupfumi, ichiverengera anopfuura 15% chete eGDP. Nzvimbo dzazvino dzichinetsekana nevamwe vezvehupfumi dzinosanganisira kushomeka kweakaundi yeAustralia, kusavapo kweindasitiri inogadzira inotengesa kunze kwenyika, bubble yezvivakwa zveAustralia, uye huwandu hwakakwira hwechikwereti chekunze chakakweretwa nevemasangano akazvimirira.
Chikamu chekurima uye chekuchera (10% yeGDP yakasanganiswa) inoverengera kuma57% yekutengeswa kwenyika. Hupfumi hweAustralia hunobva pane oiri isina kuchekwa inotengwa kunze uye zvigadzirwa zvepeturu, hupfumi hwepetroleum kuendesa kunze hunotenderera hunosvika makumi masere muzana - zvigadzirwa zvemafuta peturu.
Saka nei paine kutaurwa kwakanyanya nezveAustralia boom nerima uye nedambudziko mune media munguva pfupi yapfuura?
Zvinotaridzika kuvavatauri vazhinji kuti Australia inogona kunge yakatambisa nhaka yegoridhe uye yakazvisundira mukuita hupfumi hwenyika. Kunyange iri nhoroondo yezvehupfumi kuti 80% yebhizimusi rako rinouya kubva ku20% yevatengi vako, Australia yakatora icho kusvika pakunyanyisa, ichiita seine mutengi mumwe chete uye yakatetepa zvigadzirwa zvigadzirwa kusimudzira yavo yekunze drive. Kana China ikanonoka, kana isingakwanise kubhadhara michero yakawedzerwa pazvinhu zvavo zvakagadzirwa, nepo kutengeswa kweAustralia kuchiramba kuchidhura, nyika huru iyi inogona kuzviwana iri mune yakasarudzika hupfumi. Mitengo yeimba, iyo zvachose nzira imwe 'Aussie punt', vapedzisira varova ma buffers uye zvino iwo mutambo we spoof wasvika pachinzvimbo cheiyo average Aussie iri kunzwa kushaya chivimbo. Iine main index (iyo ASX) inodonha ne circa 11.5% gore pagore kushomeka kwekuvimba kunowedzerwa nehurombo hwepenjeni uye yekudyara inodzoka. Kune zvakare hunyaradzo hushoma hunotorwa kubva pamutero wepamusoro wemubhadharo we4.75% pane kuchengetedza zvakapihwa kugogodza pamhedzisiro pamitero yemubhedha.
Kune huwandu hwakawanda kwazvo hwenhema hunotsigira kutenda kwekuti kuchera indasitiri hombe yeAustralia. Mune ongororo ichangoburwa neAustralia Institute, zvakafumurwa kuti vanhu vekuAustralia vanofungidzira hukuru uye kukosha kweindasitiri yemigodhi. Pavakabvunzwa kuti chikamu chakakura sei, vanhu vakabvunzwa vakafunga kuti indasitiri yekuchera inoshandisa 16 muzana yevashandi veAustralia, apo iyo chaiyo nhamba iri 1.9 muzana. Chirevo chinoburitsa kuti kunyange hazvo kuchera kwemigodhi kwakagadzira mabasa matsva, mabhenefiti chikomborero chakavhengana kune hupfumi.
”Hupfumi huri kukura muWestern Australia hwabatsira kuti urovha hushome, asi kuwedzera kwacho kwareva kuti Reserve Bank yakawedzera chimbadzo kuitira kuti 'ikwanise' nzvimbo iyi nekuderedza kukura kwemamwe matunhu. Mari dzinodiwa nemutemo uyu dzakatakurwa zvakanyanya neavo vane zvikwereti zvikuru, kazhinji mhuri dzevechidiki. ”
"Dai avo vanotambira mibairo vaizobatsirika kubva mukuchera kwemigodhi paifanira kuve nekukwira muhoro chaicho zvichienzaniswa neizvo vashandi vangadai vakawana neimwe nzira. Nehurombo, hapana humbowo hwekuti izvi zvakaitika.
Executive director weiyo Richard Denniss, anoshuma kuti maonero eruzhinji nezvehukuru uye kukosha kweindasitiri yezvicherwa kuhupfumi hweAustralia zvakasiyana nezvazviri.
"Ongororo iyi yakawana kuti vanhu vemuAustralia vanodavira kuti mugodhi unobata zvinopfuura chikamu chimwe muzvitatu chezviitiko zveupfumi asi nhamba dzeAustralia Bureau of Statistics dzinoratidza kuti indasitiri yezvicherwa inosvika 9.2 muzana muzana yeGDP, mupiro wakaenzana mukugadzira uye mudiki pane mari indasitiri. Indasitiri yezvemigodhi inofarira kuzviratidza semushandirwi mukuru, mubhadhari mukuru uye mugadziri wemari mukuru wevagovani veAustralia, asi chokwadi chacho hachienderane nematauriro. Kushambadzira kwemaindasitiri ezvicherwa kunozeya nzira iyo kuchera kwemigodhi kuri kukwidza mwero wekutsinhana, kukwidza chimbadzo chemubereko uye kudzikisira basa mune zvimwe zvikamu zvehupfumi. ” Dr Denniss vakati chirevo ichi chakaburitsa pachena kuti kuwedzera kwemigodhi kwaive kuri kukonzera kukuvadza kune njodzi mukushaikwa kweakaundi ikozvino.
Zvakafanana neUK, iyo inowana gasi nemafuta bonanza, kutya ndekwekuti nyika inogona kunge yasvika pa 'tipping point' mune yayo yezvigadzirwa boom, uko kana mitengo yemafuta yakashata ichiramba yakaomesa musoro kukura kweAustralia kunogona kuratidza kuve kushomeka. Kushomeka kwegore rega pamasevhisi kwakamira pane zvinyorwa $ 7.19 bhiriyoni.
Peturu, ndiyo imwe chete yekutenga mhuri muAustralia vhiki rega rega, yakwira kusvika pamutengo wepamusoro pamwedzi mina. Ipo maAustralia vari kuzvitutumadza nemarisiti akakwirira emarasha, simbi uye goridhe, havagone kukanganwa chokwadi chekuti dhora reAustralia rakakura riri kubatsira mukushomeka kwemasevhisi. Mari inopinda, asi zvakare inobuda..kutya ndekwekuti kudzikama uye tide haisi mukuda kwenguva refu kweAustralia.
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Ositireriya, nei vatengesi ve 'boom uye nerima' vachisimudzira nekurodza mapanga avo?
Sep 13 • Mashoko eMusika • 8092 Views • 1 Comment kuAustralia, nei vatengesi ve'bhoom uye nerima 'vachisimudzira nekurodza mapanga avo?
Munguva yese yepasi rese yezvemari maelstrom anga aripo kubvira 2007-2008 Australia yakaramba ichikwikwidza maitiro. Kunyangwe dzakateedzana mafashama akasangana muna Ndira gore rino (2011) akaonekwa kungogogodza kwenguva pfupi nyika hombe kubva pakuvimba kwegyroscopic sesimba guru repasi rese. Australia's-capita GDP yakakwira kupfuura iyo yeUK, Germany, neFrance maererano nekutenga masimba parity. Nyika yaive pachinzvimbo chechipiri muUnited Nations 2009 Human Development Index uye inogara iri pamusoro muEconomist yepasi rose yehunhu-hwe-hupenyu index.
Australia ndeimwe yeanokurumidza kukura hupfumi hwepasirese. IMF inofungidzira kuti Australia ichawedzera hupfumi hwakawanda mu2011 nekuda kwekuwedzera kwakasimba mukutsvaga kweChinese kwezvinhu zveAustralia. Muna 2010, Australia yakatumira kuUS $ 48.6 bhiriyoni yezvinhu kuChina, zvakapetwa kanopfuura makore gumi apfuura. Indasitiri yezvemigodhi ine mari, hupfumi hwesimbi hunotengeswa zvinopfuura hafu yekutengeswa kweAustralia kuChina. Kuchera uye kurima zvinotarisirwa kuendesa hupfumi hweAustralia munguva pfupi iri kutevera. Australian Bureau yeAgriculture neResource Economics neSainzi inofungidzira kuti kugadzirwa kwemigodhi kuchakwira ne10.2 muzana muna 2010-2011 uye kugadzirwa kwepurazi kungakwira ne8.9 muzana.
Hupfumi hweAustralia hunotarisirwa kukura mukati memakore mashanu anotevera. 2011 kusvika 2015 yaigona kuona GDP yeAustralia ichikura ne4.81 kusvika 5.09 muzana pagore. Pakupera kwa2015, GDP yeAustralia inotarisirwa kunge iri US $ 1.122 trillion. GDP yeAustralia pamunhu inofungidzirwa kukura zvine hutano. Muna 2010, GDP yeAustralia pamunhu yaive yegumi yepamusoro-soro - ichikura kubva paUS $ 38,633.17 muna2009 kusvika paUS $ 39,692.06. Muna 2011, GDP yeAustralia pamunhu inogona kuwedzera ne3.52 muzana kusvika US $ 41,089.17. Makore mana akatevera aigona kuona kukura kusingagumi muGDP yeAustralia pamunhu, zvichikonzera GDP pamunhu US $ 47,445.58 pakupera kwa2015.
Nhamba dzekupedzisira dzakaburitswa neAustralia Bureau of Statistics dzinoratidza kuti huwandu hwenyika hwezvinhu nemasevhisi hwasvika pamari yakagadziriswa mwaka inosvika $ 1.826 bhiriyoni mumwedzi. Hupfumi hweAustralia hwakawedzera zvakanyanya mukota yechipiri nekukura kwakapfuura-kutarisirwa kwe1.2 muzana inotungamirwa nebhizinesi rekudyara, kushandisa kwemhuri uye kuvaka muzvivakwa. Annette Beacher, mukuru we Asia-Pacific research kuTD Securities anotarisira kuti GDP ikwire kusvika pa2 muzana mu2011 uye ne4.5 muzana gore rinotevera.
Sekureva kwehuwandu hwekushaikwa kwemabasa kwakapihwa neIMF, kushaikwa kwemabasa kuchaona kudzikira kwekupedzisira kusvika pa5.025 muzana pakupera kwegore ra2012. Mushure meizvozvo, vanotarisira kuti mwero wekushaya mabasa (kubva 2013 kusvika 2015) unoramba uripo pa4.8 muzana.
Kufanana nehumwe upfumi hwepamberi Hupfumi hweAustralia hunotongwa nechero chikamu chebasa, chinomiririra 68% yeGDP yeAustralia, kutenga vatengi kuri chikamu chikuru. Kukura mubazi rezve masevhisi kwakura zvakanyanya, zvivakwa uye zvebhizimusi masevhisi akakura kubva pa10% kusvika pa14.5% yeGDP panguva imwecheteyo, ichiita chikamu chikuru cheGDP yechikamu. Uku kukura kwave kuri pakushandisa chikamu chekugadzira, icho muna 2006-07 chakaverengera kutenderedza 12% yeGDP. Imakore gumi zvisati zvaitika, yaive chikamu chakakura kwazvo mune hupfumi, ichiverengera anopfuura 15% chete eGDP. Nzvimbo dzazvino dzichinetsekana nevamwe vezvehupfumi dzinosanganisira kushomeka kweakaundi yeAustralia, kusavapo kweindasitiri inogadzira inotengesa kunze kwenyika, bubble yezvivakwa zveAustralia, uye huwandu hwakakwira hwechikwereti chekunze chakakweretwa nevemasangano akazvimirira.
Chikamu chekurima uye chekuchera (10% yeGDP yakasanganiswa) inoverengera kuma57% yekutengeswa kwenyika. Hupfumi hweAustralia hunobva pane oiri isina kuchekwa inotengwa kunze uye zvigadzirwa zvepeturu, hupfumi hwepetroleum kuendesa kunze hunotenderera hunosvika makumi masere muzana - zvigadzirwa zvemafuta peturu.
Saka nei paine kutaurwa kwakanyanya nezveAustralia boom nerima uye nedambudziko mune media munguva pfupi yapfuura?
Zvinotaridzika kuvavatauri vazhinji kuti Australia inogona kunge yakatambisa nhaka yegoridhe uye yakazvisundira mukuita hupfumi hwenyika. Kunyange iri nhoroondo yezvehupfumi kuti 80% yebhizimusi rako rinouya kubva ku20% yevatengi vako, Australia yakatora icho kusvika pakunyanyisa, ichiita seine mutengi mumwe chete uye yakatetepa zvigadzirwa zvigadzirwa kusimudzira yavo yekunze drive. Kana China ikanonoka, kana isingakwanise kubhadhara michero yakawedzerwa pazvinhu zvavo zvakagadzirwa, nepo kutengeswa kweAustralia kuchiramba kuchidhura, nyika huru iyi inogona kuzviwana iri mune yakasarudzika hupfumi. Mitengo yeimba, iyo zvachose nzira imwe 'Aussie punt', vapedzisira varova ma buffers uye zvino iwo mutambo we spoof wasvika pachinzvimbo cheiyo average Aussie iri kunzwa kushaya chivimbo. Iine main index (iyo ASX) inodonha ne circa 11.5% gore pagore kushomeka kwekuvimba kunowedzerwa nehurombo hwepenjeni uye yekudyara inodzoka. Kune zvakare hunyaradzo hushoma hunotorwa kubva pamutero wepamusoro wemubhadharo we4.75% pane kuchengetedza zvakapihwa kugogodza pamhedzisiro pamitero yemubhedha.
Kune huwandu hwakawanda kwazvo hwenhema hunotsigira kutenda kwekuti kuchera indasitiri hombe yeAustralia. Mune ongororo ichangoburwa neAustralia Institute, zvakafumurwa kuti vanhu vekuAustralia vanofungidzira hukuru uye kukosha kweindasitiri yemigodhi. Pavakabvunzwa kuti chikamu chakakura sei, vanhu vakabvunzwa vakafunga kuti indasitiri yekuchera inoshandisa 16 muzana yevashandi veAustralia, apo iyo chaiyo nhamba iri 1.9 muzana. Chirevo chinoburitsa kuti kunyange hazvo kuchera kwemigodhi kwakagadzira mabasa matsva, mabhenefiti chikomborero chakavhengana kune hupfumi.
”Hupfumi huri kukura muWestern Australia hwabatsira kuti urovha hushome, asi kuwedzera kwacho kwareva kuti Reserve Bank yakawedzera chimbadzo kuitira kuti 'ikwanise' nzvimbo iyi nekuderedza kukura kwemamwe matunhu. Mari dzinodiwa nemutemo uyu dzakatakurwa zvakanyanya neavo vane zvikwereti zvikuru, kazhinji mhuri dzevechidiki. ”
"Dai avo vanotambira mibairo vaizobatsirika kubva mukuchera kwemigodhi paifanira kuve nekukwira muhoro chaicho zvichienzaniswa neizvo vashandi vangadai vakawana neimwe nzira. Nehurombo, hapana humbowo hwekuti izvi zvakaitika.
Executive director weiyo Richard Denniss, anoshuma kuti maonero eruzhinji nezvehukuru uye kukosha kweindasitiri yezvicherwa kuhupfumi hweAustralia zvakasiyana nezvazviri.
"Ongororo iyi yakawana kuti vanhu vemuAustralia vanodavira kuti mugodhi unobata zvinopfuura chikamu chimwe muzvitatu chezviitiko zveupfumi asi nhamba dzeAustralia Bureau of Statistics dzinoratidza kuti indasitiri yezvicherwa inosvika 9.2 muzana muzana yeGDP, mupiro wakaenzana mukugadzira uye mudiki pane mari indasitiri. Indasitiri yezvemigodhi inofarira kuzviratidza semushandirwi mukuru, mubhadhari mukuru uye mugadziri wemari mukuru wevagovani veAustralia, asi chokwadi chacho hachienderane nematauriro. Kushambadzira kwemaindasitiri ezvicherwa kunozeya nzira iyo kuchera kwemigodhi kuri kukwidza mwero wekutsinhana, kukwidza chimbadzo chemubereko uye kudzikisira basa mune zvimwe zvikamu zvehupfumi. ” Dr Denniss vakati chirevo ichi chakaburitsa pachena kuti kuwedzera kwemigodhi kwaive kuri kukonzera kukuvadza kune njodzi mukushaikwa kweakaundi ikozvino.
Zvakafanana neUK, iyo inowana gasi nemafuta bonanza, kutya ndekwekuti nyika inogona kunge yasvika pa 'tipping point' mune yayo yezvigadzirwa boom, uko kana mitengo yemafuta yakashata ichiramba yakaomesa musoro kukura kweAustralia kunogona kuratidza kuve kushomeka. Kushomeka kwegore rega pamasevhisi kwakamira pane zvinyorwa $ 7.19 bhiriyoni.
Peturu, ndiyo imwe chete yekutenga mhuri muAustralia vhiki rega rega, yakwira kusvika pamutengo wepamusoro pamwedzi mina. Ipo maAustralia vari kuzvitutumadza nemarisiti akakwirira emarasha, simbi uye goridhe, havagone kukanganwa chokwadi chekuti dhora reAustralia rakakura riri kubatsira mukushomeka kwemasevhisi. Mari inopinda, asi zvakare inobuda..kutya ndekwekuti kudzikama uye tide haisi mukuda kwenguva refu kweAustralia.
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