Sezvo ichangoburwa CPI (inflation) nhamba inosunungurwa, ko iyo Bhangi yeEngland icharatidza kurudyi mukuchengetedza hwaro hwechibereko pa0.5%?
Musi waFebruary 13th na9.30AM iyo UK Statistics agency iyo ONS, ichaburitsa ichangoburwa inflation nhamba yeUK hupfumi. Huwandu hwemitengo hunosanganisira: CPI, RPI, inflation yepakati, kuisa, kuburitsa uye mutengo wemitengo yeimba. Ndiwo makuru manhamba eCPI, ese mwedzi nemwedzi uye gore pagore, ayo anozotariswa zvakanyanya nevanoongorora nevashambadziri uye iyo data inogona kuburitsa misika muUK pondo painoburitswa, kana fungidziro yasangana.
Mwedzi pamwedzi inflation nhamba inofungidzirwa kudonha kusvika -0.6% muna Ndira, kubva pa 0.4% mwero muna Zvita. Chiverengero chegore pagore chinotarisirwa kudonha kusvika pa2.9% munaNdira, kubva pa3% muna Zvita. Kudonha munzvimbo isina kunaka yemwedzi waNdira, inomiririra kuzara kwe1% kubva pane yakanakisa 0.4% kudhinda muna Zvita, zvinogona kutora vatengesi vazhinji (vanokundikana kuramba vari pamusoro peanouya ekuongorora kwakakosha) nekushamisika kwakapihwa Bank yeEngland kunetsekana nezve inflation, iyo yavanotepfenyura panguva yemusangano wavo nevatori venhau svondo rapfuura.
BoE yakataura ipfupi kusvika pakati nepakati kutya inflation, sekururamisa kwavo hawkish rondedzero yakapihwa svondo rapfuura, panguva yavo yekusachinja sarudzo maringe neUK base base chiwero. Mark Carney akaendesa kumberi nhungamiro inoratidza kuti varimi vanofanirwa kugadzirira imwe hasha yemari yemari mumakore anouya; kumuka kwaizove kwakakwirira uye nekukurumidza. Akadzivisa kuendesa tafura yenguva, zvisinei, kubvumirana kwese kwakaratidzika kuve kukwira katatu kwe0.25% kupera kwa2019, kutora chiyero chepasi kusvika 1.25%. Nekudaro, yambiro uye yekuwedzeredza kururamisa kwekukwira kupi mune ramangwana, inogona kuve mhedzisiro yenhaurirano dzeBrexit mumwedzi mitanhatu inotevera, iko kukanganisa kweBrexit kubva munaKurume 2019 zvichienda mberi nekuita kwakawanda kwehupfumi hweUK munguva iyi.
Iyo UK pondo yakakwira zvakanyanya mushure meBoE base rate danho uye inotevera musangano wenhau; tambo (GBP / USD) yakasimuka uye EUR / GBP yakadonha. Nekudaro, izvo zvakawanikwa zvaive zvenguva pfupi sekutya kwaBrexit zvakare kuoneka, sterling yakadzokera kumatanho ekutanga eBoE ekuzivisa, maringe nemari mbiri dzevamwe vezera. Kana fungidziro yeMoM yekudonha ku -0.6% ikava chokwadi, kana kuverenga kwakaipa padyo nemufananidzo uyu kwakanyorwa, ipapo fungidziro dzeBoE nekutya maererano ne inflation zvinogona kuratidza kuti hazvisati zvaitika, sezvo paundi inogona kuzotengeswa, vanoita mari vachidzikisa kuti kunetsekana kwemitengo yezvinhu kwakawedzeredzwa.
CHINOKOSHA KUNYANYA KWEZVINHU METRICS KUNE UK YOKUDZIDZIRA KUSunungurwa.
• GDP YoY 1.5%.
• GDP QoQ 0.5%.
Chimbadzo 0.5%.
Inflation mwero 3.0%.
• Chiyero chisina basa 4.3%.
• Chikwereti cheHurumende v GDP 89.3%.
• Kubatsira PMI 53.
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