Sezvo MPC yeBhanga reEngland inosangana kuti ikurukure uye izivise huwandu hweUK hwezvibereko, vaongorori vanotanga kubvunza kuti "kusimuka kusingadzivisike kuchaitika riini?"
NeChina China Kukadzi 8, na12: 00 pm GMT (UK nguva) bhanga repakati reUK iyo Bank yeEngland, icharatidza sarudzo yavo maererano nemitero yemari. Parizvino chiyero chepasi chiri pa0.5%, uye pane tarisiro shoma yekukwira. BoE inokurukura zvakare vobva vazivisa yavo sarudzo maererano neiyo UK yezvinhu zvekutenga zvinhu (QE) chirongwa, parizvino pa £ 435b, vaongorori vakaferefetwa neReuters neBloomberg, vanotarisira kuti mwero uyu ucharamba usingachinji.
Kana sarudzo yemutero yaburitswa, kutarisisa kuchakurumidza kutendeukira kurondedzero inoenderana nesarudzo yeBhangi. Vavaki vemari nevanoongorora vachange vachitsvaga mafambiro ehungwaru kubva kuna gavhuna weBoE, maererano nezveramangwana mutemo wezvemari. Iyo mwero weUK inflation parizvino 3%, inova imwe muzana pamusoro pechinotarisirwa / nzvimbo inotapira iyo BoE inotarisira sechikamu chemutemo wayo wemari. Mune mamwe mazera BoE inogona kunge yakakwidza mitengo kutonhora inflation. Nekudaro, kukura kweGDP muUK kuri pa1.5%, nokudaro kukwidza mitengo kunogona kukuvadza kukura kwakadaro kusingakoshi. Zvakare, kukwidza mitengo ikozvino kunogona kukanganisa mitengo yemidziyo, semuenzaniso, panguva yekuedzwa kwekupedzisira kwekunetseka kwakaitwa nebhanga repakati, vakagumisa kuti mwero wepasi kukwira kusvika pa3% unogona kudzikisa kukosha kweLondon neSouth East England musika wepfuma kusvika 30%.
Iyo MPC / BoE ichafanirwawo kuramba yakanangana nemitemo yezvemari yeFed neECB, iwo mabhanga epakati epakati evanoshamwaridzana vekuUK - USA neEurozone. Iyo FOMC / Fed yakapetwa kaviri mitengo mu2017 kusvika 1.5%, fungidziro ndeyekuwedzera kumwe kukwira muna 2018, kutora mitengo kusvika ku2.75%. Iyo ECB ingangofanira kukwidza, kuitira kuchengetedza / kubata kukosha kweeuro, maringe nedhora reUS. Nomuzvarirwo sarudzo idzi dzinogona kumbosendekwa, kana iko zvino musika wekuenzana musika selloff ichiratidza kuve kururamisa kwe10% kana kupfuura, kubva kumusoro kwazvino.
BoE inobatwa zvakare pakati pebwe uye nenzvimbo yakaoma, nekuda kwemamiriro eBrexit. Mark Carney, gavhuna webhanga guru nevamwe vake paMPC (monetary policy committee), vakazviwana vava panguva yakaoma zvikuru. Havasi ivo chete vanofanirwa kubata mutemo wezvemari vachigarisana nezvinetso zvakajairika hupfumi huchauya, vanofanirwawo kufunga nezvezvishoma nezvishoma uye zvichizopedzisira zvaitika izvo Brexit ichave nehupfumi hweUK, kana Britain yangobva munaKurume 2019. Chii kunzi "inguva yechinjo" yekutengesa, kubva munaKurume 2019, rave kungosara gore, basa rekutarisira kubuda ikozvino chikamu cheBoE, kwete chete hurumende yeTory.
Vatengesi havafanirwe kungozvigadzirira ivo vega sarudzo yemutero, asiwo yemusangano wevatori venhau uye chero imwe rondedzero yakapihwa neBoE. Kana danho iri rakabata pa0.5%, hazvireve kuti rinodudzira kuti sterling inoramba isingazungunusirwe zvichipesana nevezera rayo. Sterling yakauya yakamanikidzwa panguva yekutanga kwevhiki nekuda kwemusika wepasi rose wemusika, saka mari yacho inogona kunzwisiswa kune chero chirevo chakanyorwa kubhangi, kana naMark Carney.
ZVINOKOSHA UK STATISTICS ZVIRI PAMUSORO PAKUKURA IMPACT RELEASE
Chimbadzo 0.5%.
• GDP YoY 1.5%.
Inflation (CPI) 3%.
• Chiyero chisina basa 4.3%.
Kukura kwemubhadharo 2.5%.
• Chikwereti cheHurumende v GDP 89.3%.
• Yakaumbwa PMI 54.9.
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