Mafaufau i le Leva; aoauli taeao Lonetona sauniga faʻafouina muamua New York's tatala
O mata uma i luga o le FOMC faʻamatalaga mulimuli ane nei
Many investors and traders will be keeping a 'weather-eye' on the FOMC meeting statement to be delivered by Ben Bernanke, he's due to begin his narrative at 2:00 PM USA time. Typically analysts and commentators will be looking for nuances and code in the language to determine if and when any changes to the current monetary easing of $85 billion per month will begin to take affect. Apologies in advance for using the word, but the key word of the day will be "tapering", which has become the financial mainstream media's euphemism for the Fed beginning to either force the USA equity markets off its drugs, into rehab, or possibly straight into cold turkey.
One aspect of his management that Bernanke should be commended for is his consistency; shortly after taking office he committed to do whatever it takes to keep equity values high. This latest round of quantitative easing has accomplished that, with the main USA equity markets reaching record levels this year. However, now his dilemma is how to withdraw the stimulus without causing an equity value crash raking with the 2007/2008 period and despite the claims otherwise the markets have not 'priced in' any form of tapering.
German retail figures fall as does Spain's
The latest retail figures published by Germany fell short of analysts' expectations, similarly the retail figures relating to Spain also missed the economists' polled consensus. In Germany the retail figures fell by 2.8% in real terms year on year according to the provisional results of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). Retail turnover in June 2013 in Germany decreased 1.0% in nominal terms and 2.8% in real terms compared with the corresponding month of the previous year. The number of days open for sale was 25 in June 2013 and 26 in June 2012. When adjusted for calendar and seasonal variations the June turnover was in nominal terms 1.2% and in real terms 1.5% smaller than that in May 2013. In Spain, retail sales have shrunk for three years, declining by 0.7% last month, meaning a 5.1% year-on-year decline last month.
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Ua paʻu le faigaluega a Siamani
O tala lelei mai Siamani na sau i le tulaga o le leai o ni galuega a Siamani, O faʻamaumauga e leai ni galuega mo Iuni o loʻo faʻaalia ai le paʻu 7,000 i le (faʻavasega taimi) leai o ni galuega, aumaia le aofaʻi o tagata mai galuega i Siamani i le 2.934m, tuua ai le leai ni galuega fua i le 6.8%, latalata i lona tulaga maualalo molimauina talu ona toefaʻatasia. O le leai ni galuega mo Europa o le a faʻasaʻolotoina i le 11:00 AM UK taimi ma o le naunautaʻiga e mo le aofaʻi e sosolo mai 12.1% i le 12.2%. Vagana o le lolomitusi e sili atu le leaga o lenei numera o le a fuaina o se auala feʻaveaʻi talafou gaioiga ma e le o faʻamoemoe e suia le taimi nei suiga i luga o le tele o puipuiga.
Farani 'aiga' aʻai pa'ū masina i le masina
Ia Iuni, o tupe faaalu a le aiga i oloa i Farani na paʻu i lalo i le 0.8% i le aofaʻi ina ua maeʻa le 0.7% siitaga ia Me. I le kuata lona lua, na latou siʻitia i le 0.3% (ina ua maeʻa –0.2% i le Q1 2013). O le paʻu ia Iuni na mafua mai i le paʻu o le taumafaina o oloa malosi. Ile kuata, o le siʻitia o tupe faʻaalu i oloa maumau ma oloa gaosi e faʻaalu ai le paʻu o le taumafaina o meaʻai. Ina ua maeʻa le siitaga ia Me (+ 0.8%), o tupe faʻaalu a aiga i oloa anagata na paʻu ia Iuni (-0.3%). Na latou siʻitia luga o le kuata lona lua (+ 1.8%, ina ua maeʻa –3.2% i le Q1).
Vaaiga aoao ile maketi ile 10:00 AM UK Time
O le Nikkei index na tapunia le 1.45% i lalo i le vaveao-vaveao o le sauniga. O le Hang Seng na tapunia 0.32%, ae o le CSI na tapunia 0.17%. O le ASX 200 na tapunia 0.09%. O palagi a Europa e fefiloi i le amataga o le sauniga i Lonetona, o le UK FTSE ua i luga 0.43%, o le CAC o loo i luga 0.05%, DAX i lalo 0.02%, IBEX i lalo 0.12% ma le MIB o loo i lalo 0.41%. O le DJIA equity index lumanaʻi ua i luga nei 0.03% ae o le NASDAQ equity index lumanaʻi ua i luga 0.05% fautuaina ai se mafolafola tatala mo Niu Ioka. O le solitulafono a le WTI i luga o le ICE na taofia ai le vaiaso o le paʻu o le 0.52% i le $ 103.52 i le paelo, o le NYMEX natura ua i luga le 0.35% i le $ 3.44. O le auro COMEX ua i luga 0.64% i le $ 1333.30. O le siliva luga o le COMEX ua i luga 1.22% i le $ 19.92.
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Forex taulaʻi
O le Sterling na leiloa 0.2 pasene o lona tau i le 87.20 pene i le euro i le amataga o le sauniga i Lonetona ina ua maeʻa ona paʻi i le 87.26, o le tulaga sili ona vaivai na molimauina talu mai Mati 13th. E foliga mai ua seti mo le 2 pasene pa'ū i le taimi o Iulai. O le tupe Peretania na paʻu 0.2 pasene i le $ 1.5205. O le fa aso leiloa faʻasologa o le mea moni le sili ona molimauina talu mai Iuni 28th. Ua faʻavaivaia nei e le Sterling le 1.4 pasene i le masina talu ai, e tusa ai ma le Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Index o loʻo sailia le 10 tupe sili ona atinaʻe a le atunuʻu. O le euro na faʻamalosia le 0.7 pasene ma le tala na teʻena 1.4 pasene.
O le tala na laititi lava suia i le $ 1.3258 i le euro ma le 97.94 yen i le amataga o le sauniga a Lonetona. O le sefulu ma le fitu o malo a Europa na fefaʻasoaaʻi tupe faʻatau i le 129.85 yen.
O le US Dollar Index, o loʻo mataʻituina le greenback faʻatusatusa i le sefulu isi tupe a le tupulaga, na siʻitia i le 0.1 pasene i le 1,027.82, ina ua maeʻa le 0.4 pasene i le lua aso talu ai. Na paʻu i le 1,021.21 ia Iulai 29th, ua oʻo i le tulaga sili ona vaivai talu mai Iuni 19.
O le Aussie na faʻavaivaia e le 0.5 pasene i le 90.18 sene a le US ina ua oʻo i le 90.08 sene, o le laʻititi ifo talu mai Iulai 12th ina ua pa'ū i le tapunia i le tolu-tausaga maualalo 89.99.
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