Kodi mitengo yotsika mtengo yamakasitomala yochokera ku USA, ipereka kuwala kobiriwira ku FOMC kuti ikweze chiwongola dzanja pamsonkhano wawo wa Disembala?
Kuchokera kumagwero osiyanasiyana aku USA Lachisanu, timalandira zatsopano: CPI data, kugulitsa kwamalonda kwapamwamba komanso kafukufuku wofufuza za University of Michigan. Utatu wamtengo wapatali, koma wosiyana mosiyanasiyana womwe udzawunikire magawo osiyanasiyana a: kukula, chidaliro komanso magwiridwe antchito, amitundu yosiyanasiyana yachuma ku USA. Ndipo ndi mphindi zochepa chabe za FOMC zomwe zatulutsidwa, zomwe mwina zidasintha malingaliro azachuma ambiri; mokhudzana ndi zikhumbo za Fed zakuchita kukulitsa ndi kukweza chiwongola dzanja mu 2018, ziwerengerozi ziziwunikidwa mwatcheru, pazizindikiro zilizonse zofooka, m'malo aliwonse azachuma ku USA.
CPI ikuyembekezeka kubwera ku 2.3%, patsogolo pa 1.9% yolembedwa mwezi wa Ogasiti. Maminiti a FOMC adanenanso kuti mitu ina ya Fed idafunafuna kuwona kukwera kwamitengo kuposa 2% ya inflation, asanapereke voti imodzi, kuti akweze chiwongola dzanja pamsonkhano womaliza wa FOMC wa 2017, womwe udachitika pa Disembala 12-13. Ngati chiwonetsero cha inflation chikwaniritsidwa Lachisanu, ndiye kuti ndalama zamadola zimatha kumasulira zotsatirazo ngati umboni kuti chiwongola dzanja chidzachitika, komanso, atha kukhulupirira kuti FOMC ili ndi zida zokwanira kuchita nawo pulogalamu ya QT ndikuwonjezeka kwa 2018, tanenera m'misonkhano yapita ndi mphindi.
Kugulitsa kwaposachedwa kwambiri kumapereka chidziwitso chabwino pakukhulupirira kwathunthu kwa ogwiritsa ntchito aku USA; kodi akuyitanitsa maoda, makamaka, tikiti yayikulu? Chuma cha USA ndi magawo awiri mwa atatu aliwonse omwe amayendetsedwa ndi ogula, chifukwa chake kuchepa kulikonse kumakhudzanso omwe amapanga mfundo zachuma. Chiwonetserochi chikuwerengedwa pakukula kwa 1.7% kwa Seputembala, zomwe zitha kuyimira kusintha kwakukulu, kuchokera ku -0.2% yomwe idalembetsedwa mu Ogasiti.
Chikhulupiriro cha University of Michigan, sichingalemekezedwe ngati Index Board Consumer Confidence Index, komabe, chikuwunikiridwa bwino ndi omwe amagulitsa ndalama, popeza ndi mbiri yakale yowerengeka kwambiri ku USA. Manambala a UMich ali ndi mbiri yakutsatiranso kusintha kwa GDP yonse. Chiwerengerocho chimangowerengedwa pochotsa kuchuluka kwa mayankho osavomerezeka, kuchokera pazoyankha zabwino. Kuwerengedwa kwa Seputembala kudabwera 95.1, zolosera za Okutobala ndi 95.
ZOTHANDIZA ZOTHANDIZA NTHAWI ZOKHUDZA IFEYO KU USA.
• Kukula kwa GDP 3.1%.
• Ulova 4.4%.
• CPI (inflation) 1.9%.
• Ngongole ya boma / GDP 106%.
• Kukula kwa malipiro 2.95%.
• Chiwongola dzanja chachikulu 1.25%.
Wophatikiza PMI 54.8.
• Katundu wokhalitsa amaitanitsa 1.7%.
• Kudalira kasitomala 95.1.
• Zogulitsa malonda YoY 3.2%.
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